Covid-19

TagLast edit: Jun 27, 2020, 2:07 AM by Raemon

The 2019 Novel Coronavirus (aka COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2) is a pandemic sweeping the world.

LessWrong Coronavirus Link Database

Elizabeth, habryka and Ben Pace

Mar 13, 2020, 11:39 PM

72 points

16 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Coronavirus: Justified Practical Advice Thread

Ben Pace and Elizabeth

Feb 28, 2020, 6:43 AM

218 points

337 comments1 min readLW link 1 review

[Question] LessWrong Coronavirus Agenda

ElizabethMar 18, 2020, 4:48 AM

136 points

65 comments6 min readLW link

Coronavirus Justified Practical Advice Summary

Elizabeth and habryka

Mar 15, 2020, 10:25 PM

87 points

53 comments6 min readLW link

Near-term planning for secondary impacts of coronavirus lockdowns [assuming things don’t blow up]

VipulNaikMar 21, 2020, 2:43 AM

102 points

1 comment8 min readLW link

Credibility of the CDC on SARS-CoV-2

Elizabeth and jimrandomh

Mar 7, 2020, 2:00 AM

226 points

119 comments6 min readLW link 1 review

[Question] Will COVID-19 survivors suffer lasting disability at a high rate?

jimrandomhFeb 11, 2020, 8:23 PM

134 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are the costs, benefits, and logistics of opening up new vaccine facilities?

ElizabethMar 31, 2020, 4:43 PM

30 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

Takeaways from one year of lockdown

mingyuanMar 1, 2021, 3:53 AM

193 points

87 comments6 min readLW link

April Coronavirus Open Thread

ElizabethMar 31, 2020, 4:48 PM

34 points

141 comments1 min readLW link

Making Vaccine

johnswentworthFeb 3, 2021, 8:24 PM

580 points

249 comments6 min readLW link 3 reviews

When to Reverse Quarantine and Other COVID-19 Considerations

BenquoMar 10, 2020, 4:37 PM

46 points

24 comments7 min readLW link

(benjaminrosshoffman.com)

[Question] What should we do once infected with COVID-19?

ElizabethMar 18, 2020, 4:50 AM

62 points

58 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 12/24: We’re F***ed, It’s Over

ZviDec 24, 2020, 3:10 PM

276 points

135 comments31 min readLW link 2 reviews

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Growth rate of COVID-19 outbreaks

BuckyMar 9, 2020, 11:16 PM

70 points

28 comments2 min readLW link

Rob Bensinger’s COVID-19 overview

habrykaMar 28, 2020, 9:47 PM

40 points

11 comments45 min readLW link

(docs.google.com)

A Significant Portion of COVID-19 Transmission Is Presymptomatic

jimrandomhMar 14, 2020, 5:52 AM

119 points

22 comments4 min readLW link 1 review

[Question] Research on repurposing filter products for masks?

TurnTroutApr 3, 2020, 4:32 PM

42 points

12 comments1 min readLW link

How likely is the COVID-19 apocalyptic scenario?

Roko JelavićApr 22, 2020, 10:28 AM

14 points

18 comments2 min readLW link

March Coronavirus Open Thread

ElizabethMar 8, 2020, 10:45 PM

57 points

378 comments1 min readLW link

Seeing the Smoke

Jacob FalkovichFeb 28, 2020, 6:26 PM

197 points

29 comments5 min readLW link 1 review

[Question] Do we have updated data about the risk of ~ permanent chronic fatigue from COVID-19?

Eli TyreAug 14, 2020, 7:19 PM

60 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

Timeline: The proximal origin of SARS-CoV-2

ChristianKlMar 1, 2023, 5:02 PM

9 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

(usrtk.org)

Using the Quantified Self paradigma for COVID-19

ChristianKlMar 22, 2020, 9:14 PM

27 points

11 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] What happens in a recession anyway?

ElizabethMar 31, 2020, 1:16 AM

30 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

Making Sense of Coronavirus Stats

jmhFeb 20, 2020, 3:12 PM

23 points

28 comments2 min readLW link

Omicron Variant Post #1: We’re F***ed, It’s Never Over

ZviNov 26, 2021, 7:00 PM

260 points

95 comments18 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Quarantine Preparations

jefftkFeb 25, 2020, 2:40 AM

58 points

38 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Some quick notes on hand hygiene

willbradshawFeb 6, 2020, 2:47 AM

68 points

52 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] How long does SARS-CoV-2 survive on copper surfaces

ChristianKlMar 7, 2020, 10:00 AM

24 points

15 comments1 min readLW link

The Puzzling Linearity of COVID-19

Radford NealApr 24, 2020, 2:09 PM

19 points

23 comments1 min readLW link

(radfordneal.wordpress.com)

[Question] What will the economic effects of COVID-19 be?

ElizabethMar 24, 2020, 12:59 AM

37 points

31 comments1 min readLW link

microCOVID.org: A tool to estimate COVID risk from common activities

catherioAug 29, 2020, 11:01 PM

176 points

36 comments1 min readLW link 1 review

(microcovid.org)

How About a Remote Variolation Study?

LironApr 3, 2020, 12:04 PM

25 points

24 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What is the typical course of COVID-19? What are the variants?

ElizabethMar 9, 2020, 5:52 PM

36 points

27 comments1 min readLW link

Fauci’s Emails and the Lab Leak Hypothesis

ChristianKlJun 18, 2021, 1:55 PM

53 points

12 comments14 min readLW link

Rapid Increase of Highly Mutated B.1.1.529 Strain in South Africa

dawangyNov 26, 2021, 1:05 AM

103 points

15 comments1 min readLW link

Omicron Variant Post #2

ZviNov 29, 2021, 4:30 PM

120 points

34 comments14 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Long Covid Is Not Necessarily Your Biggest Problem

ElizabethSep 1, 2021, 7:20 AM

201 points

40 comments10 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

Comment on the lab leak hypothesis

Jeffrey LadishJun 11, 2021, 10:49 PM

63 points

14 comments4 min readLW link

How to Contribute to the Coronavirus Response on LessWrong

Ben PaceMar 24, 2020, 10:04 PM

37 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] How will this recession differ from the last two?

ElizabethMar 31, 2020, 1:32 AM

35 points

22 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What will happen to supply chains in the era of COVID-19?

ElizabethMar 31, 2020, 1:57 AM

34 points

27 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What is the impact of varying infectious dose of COVID-19?

ElizabethApr 5, 2020, 9:40 PM

29 points

16 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Is the coronavirus the most important thing to be focusing on right now?

Adam ZernerMar 18, 2020, 10:48 PM

49 points

22 comments1 min readLW link

Personal Response to Omicron

jefftkDec 30, 2021, 8:40 PM

60 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Draft: Models of Risks of Delivery Under Coronavirus

ElizabethFeb 28, 2020, 4:10 AM

28 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

Hammer and Mask - Wide spread use of reusable particle filtering masks as a SARS-CoV-2 eradication strategy

EGIApr 14, 2020, 10:32 PM

31 points

8 comments12 min readLW link

[U.S. Specific] Free money (~$5k-$30k) for Independent Contractors and grant recipients from U.S. government

Eli Tyre and habryka

Apr 10, 2020, 5:00 AM

31 points

18 comments6 min readLW link

Coronavirus: the four levels of social distancing, and when and why we might transition between them

VipulNaikMar 27, 2020, 3:07 AM

46 points

4 comments8 min readLW link

Covid 9/24: Until Morale Improves

ZviSep 24, 2020, 3:40 PM

95 points

16 comments11 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Crisis and opportunity during coronavirus

Bird ConceptMar 12, 2020, 8:20 PM

78 points

6 comments5 min readLW link 1 review

Holiday Pitch: Reflecting on Covid and Connection

RaemonApr 22, 2020, 7:50 PM

58 points

14 comments12 min readLW link

(secularsolstice.com)

[Question] How likely is it that US states or cities will prevent travel across their borders?

Eli TyreMar 14, 2020, 7:20 PM

10 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How should I be thinking about the risk of air travel (re: Coronavirus)?

Eli TyreMar 2, 2020, 8:10 PM

18 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What is the best way to disinfect a (rental) car?

Eli TyreMar 11, 2020, 6:12 AM

15 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

COVID-19: An opportunity to help by modelling testing and tracing to inform the UK government

JustinShovelainApr 17, 2020, 5:21 PM

14 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

COVID-19: List of ideas to reduce the direct harm from the virus, with an emphasis on unusual ideas

JustinShovelainApr 9, 2020, 11:33 AM

30 points

12 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] Testing and contact tracing impact assessment model?

JustinShovelainApr 9, 2020, 5:42 PM

6 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

On New York’s Antibody Tests

ZviApr 25, 2020, 3:20 PM

31 points

1 comment12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 7/23: The Second Summit

ZviJul 23, 2020, 2:40 PM

59 points

6 comments8 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

My prediction for Covid-19

TheMajorMay 31, 2020, 11:25 PM

17 points

11 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] Should I self-variolate to COVID-19

Eli TyreMay 25, 2020, 8:29 PM

46 points

19 comments2 min readLW link

Covid 12/31: Meet the New Year

ZviDec 31, 2020, 5:20 PM

112 points

32 comments29 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Authorities and Amateurs

jefftkMar 25, 2020, 3:40 AM

146 points

30 comments3 min readLW link 1 review

(www.jefftk.com)

COVID-19′s Household Secondary Attack Rate Is Unknown

jimrandomhMar 16, 2020, 11:19 PM

63 points

11 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] How likely is it that SARS-CoV-2 originated in a laboratory?

CTVKenneyJan 25, 2021, 8:22 PM

38 points

26 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How useful are masks during an epidemic?

ElizabethMar 10, 2020, 10:12 PM

32 points

19 comments1 min readLW link

COVID-19 response as XRisk intervention

polyphonyApr 10, 2020, 6:22 AM

48 points

3 comments4 min readLW link

A Personal (Interim) COVID-19 Postmortem

DavidmanheimJun 25, 2020, 6:10 PM

163 points

41 comments9 min readLW link 1 review

The Hammer and the Mask—A call to action

Simon FischerApr 19, 2020, 1:36 PM

18 points

49 comments1 min readLW link

COVID-19 growth rates vs interventions

BuckyMar 27, 2020, 9:33 PM

28 points

13 comments7 min readLW link

Peter’s COVID Consolidated Brief − 29 Apr

Peter WildefordApr 29, 2020, 3:27 PM

54 points

5 comments32 min readLW link

Covid vaccine safety: how correct are these allegations?

DPiepgrassJun 13, 2021, 3:08 AM

45 points

93 comments19 min readLW link

Covid 8/13: Same As It Ever Was

ZviAug 13, 2020, 3:40 PM

53 points

3 comments16 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Link] COVID-19 causing deadly blood clots in younger people

orthonormalApr 27, 2020, 9:02 PM

46 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

FHI paper published in Science: interventions against COVID-19

SoerenMindDec 16, 2020, 9:19 PM

119 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

The Case for Extreme Vaccine Effectiveness

RubyApr 13, 2021, 9:08 PM

142 points

37 comments23 min readLW link

The Long Long Covid Post

ZviFeb 10, 2022, 1:10 PM

103 points

29 comments52 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Omicron: My Current Model

ZviDec 28, 2021, 5:10 PM

253 points

72 comments10 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] What do we now know about long-term consequences of a COVID-19 infection?

ChristianKlJul 15, 2020, 2:42 PM

14 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] If I interact with someone with nCov for an hour, how likely am I to get nCov?

RaemonMar 1, 2020, 11:53 PM

38 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 12/30: Infinity War

ZviDec 30, 2021, 5:20 PM

67 points

18 comments19 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] What will be the big-picture implications of the coronavirus, assuming it eventually infects >10% of the world?

Daniel KokotajloFeb 26, 2020, 2:19 PM

36 points

93 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Why aren’t we all using Taffix?

ChristianKlFeb 26, 2021, 11:09 PM

63 points

24 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 8/11/22: The End Is Never The End

ZviAug 11, 2022, 4:20 PM

28 points

11 comments16 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

A quick and crude comparison of epidemiological expert forecasts versus Metaculus forecasts for COVID-19

Jotto999Apr 1, 2020, 1:59 PM

46 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Covid-19 5/7: Fighting Limbo

ZviMay 7, 2020, 7:00 PM

27 points

7 comments10 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Prioritizing COVID-19 interventions & individual donations

Ian David Moss and catherio

May 7, 2020, 1:44 AM

11 points

0 comments20 min readLW link

The Critical COVID-19 Infections Are About To Occur: It’s Time To Stay Home [crosspost]

ImpassionataMar 12, 2020, 6:50 PM

36 points

8 comments2 min readLW link

Mask wearing: do the opposite of what the CDC/WHO has been saying?

ShmiApr 2, 2020, 10:10 PM

11 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Do nasal decongestants increase risk associated with cardiovascular (and respiratory via second-order effects) symptoms from COVID-19?

DorikkaMay 10, 2020, 7:17 PM

12 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

162 benefits of coronavirus

bfinnMay 12, 2020, 11:19 AM

41 points

20 comments8 min readLW link

Has LessWrong been a good early alarm bell for the pandemic?

DirectedEvolutionApr 3, 2020, 9:44 AM

18 points

20 comments1 min readLW link

Effectiveness of Fever-Screening Will Decline

jimrandomhMar 6, 2020, 11:00 PM

69 points

8 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] How to fly safely right now?

Ben PaceMar 3, 2020, 7:35 PM

29 points

20 comments1 min readLW link

Please Help Metaculus Forecast COVID-19

AABoylesFeb 14, 2020, 5:31 PM

34 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.metaculus.com)

Covid 5/26/22: I Guess I Should Respond To This Week’s Long Covid Study

ZviMay 26, 2022, 5:30 PM

46 points

4 comments11 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Possible takeaways from the coronavirus pandemic for slow AI takeoff

VikaMay 31, 2020, 5:51 PM

135 points

36 comments3 min readLW link 1 review

[Question] SARS-CoV-2 pool-testing algorithm puzzle

Steven ByrnesMar 20, 2020, 1:22 PM

41 points

25 comments1 min readLW link

LW Coronavirus Agenda Update 3/23

ElizabethMar 24, 2020, 1:05 AM

44 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

Breaking quarantine is negligence. Why are democracies acting like we can only ask nicely?

syllogismMar 24, 2020, 2:58 PM

29 points

20 comments3 min readLW link

reflections on lockdown, two years out

mingyuanMar 1, 2023, 6:58 AM

86 points

9 comments3 min readLW link

LW Coronavirus Agenda Update 4/6

ElizabethApr 6, 2020, 5:53 PM

24 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

Rationalist prepper thread

avturchinJan 28, 2020, 1:42 PM

29 points

15 comments1 min readLW link

Covid-19 6/11: Bracing For a Second Wave

ZviJun 11, 2020, 9:30 PM

61 points

6 comments5 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Body Mass and Risk from COVID-19 and Influenza

Radford NealApr 7, 2020, 6:18 PM

30 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

(radfordneal.wordpress.com)

[Question] COVID-19 transmission: Are we overemphasizing touching rather than breathing?

Steven ByrnesMar 23, 2020, 5:40 PM

32 points

10 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Does SARS-CoV-2 utilize antibody-dependent enhancement?

SpiracularMar 14, 2020, 10:46 PM

35 points

15 comments3 min readLW link

Covid 7/9: Lies, Damn Lies and Death Rates

ZviJul 9, 2020, 1:40 PM

56 points

13 comments15 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Why don’t we have active human trials with inactivated SARS-COV-2?

ChristianKlApr 9, 2020, 7:40 PM

17 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What is the current process for increases testing?

jmhJul 12, 2020, 5:21 PM

5 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] You’ve Been Exposed to COVID-19: What Do You Wish You Knew?

ElizabethMar 6, 2020, 7:57 PM

49 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What should be my triggers for initiating self quarantine re: Corona virus

Eli TyreFeb 29, 2020, 8:09 PM

34 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Against Reopening Ottawa

eapacheJul 18, 2020, 8:08 PM

6 points

2 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] What is the safe in-person distance for COVID-19?

RaemonMar 26, 2020, 8:29 PM

33 points

21 comments1 min readLW link

Omicron Post #6

ZviDec 13, 2021, 6:00 PM

89 points

30 comments8 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Omicron Post #4

ZviDec 6, 2021, 5:00 PM

153 points

66 comments15 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 8/6: The Case of the Missing Data

ZviAug 6, 2020, 9:40 PM

43 points

3 comments15 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Assorted thoughts on the coronavirus

Adam ZernerMar 18, 2020, 7:08 AM

11 points

11 comments4 min readLW link

Omicron Post #3

ZviDec 2, 2021, 3:10 PM

57 points

15 comments13 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] When are immunostimulants/immunosuppressants likely to be helpful for COVID-19?

John_MaxwellMar 5, 2020, 9:44 PM

13 points

7 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Is there a clearly laid-out write-up of the case to drop Covid precautions?

NoSignalNoNoiseNov 9, 2021, 2:46 AM

46 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 8/27: The Fall of the CDC

ZviAug 27, 2020, 2:10 PM

85 points

16 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Seemingly Popular Covid-19 Model is Obvious Nonsense

ZviApr 11, 2020, 11:10 PM

129 points

28 comments4 min readLW link 1 review

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 9/10: Vitamin D

ZviSep 10, 2020, 7:00 PM

113 points

50 comments15 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] What will be the economic effects of no restrictions

Yoav RavidMar 24, 2020, 6:48 AM

20 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

March 25: Daily Coronavirus Updates

habryka and Ben Pace

Mar 27, 2020, 4:32 AM

10 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

Covid 10/1: The Long Haul

ZviOct 1, 2020, 6:00 PM

95 points

22 comments9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Quantifying Risk

devanshOct 12, 2021, 2:41 PM

4 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

Zeynep Tufekci on Why Telling People They Don’t Need Masks Backfired

Zack_M_DavisMar 18, 2020, 4:34 AM

27 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

(www.nytimes.com)

[Question] Rationalist Town Hall: Pandemic Edition

Ben PaceOct 21, 2020, 11:54 PM

50 points

33 comments2 min readLW link

Covid 8/12: The Worst Is Over

ZviAug 12, 2021, 1:30 PM

79 points

66 comments26 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] ($1000 bounty) How effective are marginal vaccine doses against the covid delta variant?

Bird ConceptJul 22, 2021, 1:26 AM

105 points

73 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] What will be the aftermath of the US intelligence lab leak report?

ChristianKlJun 26, 2021, 8:33 PM

20 points

33 comments1 min readLW link

Convoy

ZviFeb 4, 2022, 9:40 PM

28 points

18 comments9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Two non-obvious lessons from microcovid.org

catherioJun 24, 2021, 2:35 AM

196 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 3/4: Declare Victory and Leave Home

ZviMar 4, 2021, 1:20 PM

90 points

28 comments13 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

China Covid #4

ZviDec 22, 2022, 4:30 PM

50 points

2 comments11 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Comprehensive COVID-19 Disinfection Protocol for Packages and Envelopes

John_MaxwellMar 15, 2020, 10:00 AM

28 points

27 comments5 min readLW link

Covid: CDC Issues New Guidance on Opening Schools

ZviFeb 17, 2021, 8:00 PM

52 points

11 comments11 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

How poor is US vaccine response by comparison to other countries?

aphyerFeb 17, 2021, 2:57 AM

24 points

9 comments2 min readLW link

Your risk of developing long COVID is probably high

SiebeMar 26, 2022, 4:10 AM

25 points

16 comments3 min readLW link

How four guys helped redirect Japan’s coronavirus policy

TaranApr 23, 2020, 9:22 AM

32 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

(www.kalzumeus.com)

How to have a happy quarantine

mingyuanMar 15, 2020, 3:42 AM

81 points

20 comments4 min readLW link

Prediction: Astra Zeneca approval date

Tim LiptrotJan 19, 2021, 9:59 PM

11 points

5 comments3 min readLW link

Covid 8/5: Much Ado About Nothing

ZviAug 5, 2021, 2:00 PM

63 points

34 comments31 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 3/17/22: The Rise of BA.2

ZviMar 17, 2022, 4:20 PM

44 points

23 comments23 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Omicron Post #10

ZviDec 28, 2021, 6:20 PM

67 points

18 comments9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

We have some evidence that masks work

technicalitiesJul 11, 2021, 6:36 PM

97 points

13 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] Why are deaths not increasing with infections in the US?

Tim LiptrotNov 1, 2020, 10:43 PM

3 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 7/30: Whack a Mole

ZviJul 30, 2020, 3:50 PM

39 points

4 comments10 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 1/14: To Launch a Thousand Shipments

ZviJan 14, 2021, 5:30 PM

108 points

35 comments22 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

“I Don’t Know” (2020 Solstice Speech)

RaemonDec 30, 2020, 6:30 PM

36 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

My Model of the New COVID Strain and US Response

Jacob FalkovichDec 27, 2020, 4:34 AM

51 points

13 comments4 min readLW link

Covid: Bill Gates and Vaccine Production

ZviJan 28, 2021, 3:00 PM

38 points

18 comments7 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] MicroCOVID risk levels inaccurate due to undercounting in data sources vs wastewater data?

SameerishereMar 14, 2022, 8:04 PM

6 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

List of prompts for brainstorming COVID response project ideas

nonzerosumApr 29, 2020, 9:39 PM

2 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Quantifying Household Transmission of COVID-19

Owain_EvansJul 6, 2020, 11:19 AM

35 points

4 comments4 min readLW link

Predicting Virus Relative Abundance in Wastewater

jefftkAug 10, 2023, 3:46 PM

33 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

(naobservatory.org)

[Question] Does there exist a detailed Bayesian COVID tracker?

Optimization ProcessNov 12, 2020, 5:06 AM

8 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 7/2: It Could Be Worse

ZviJul 2, 2020, 8:20 PM

85 points

13 comments16 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Coronavirus and Rents

jefftkJun 20, 2020, 4:20 PM

17 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Coronavirus crash vs history

bfinnJun 14, 2021, 10:55 AM

39 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

Coronavirus as a test-run for X-risks

Sammy MartinJun 13, 2020, 9:00 PM

71 points

11 comments18 min readLW link

[Question] How can we estimate how many people are C19 infected in an area?

ElizabethMar 18, 2020, 4:49 AM

20 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

I made an N95-level mask at home, and you can too

billmeiNov 17, 2020, 7:00 PM

40 points

12 comments8 min readLW link

March 17th: Daily Coronavirus Links

habryka and Ben Pace

Mar 18, 2020, 8:55 PM

12 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Job ad] Lead an ambitious COVID-19 forecasting project [Deadline extended: June 10th]

Bird ConceptMay 27, 2020, 4:38 PM

54 points

1 comment6 min readLW link

When to Get the Booster?

jefftkOct 3, 2023, 9:00 PM

50 points

15 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Which rationalists faced significant side-effects from COVID-19 vaccination?

ChristianKlJun 14, 2021, 9:39 AM

18 points

45 comments1 min readLW link

Thanksgiving and Covid

jefftkNov 20, 2020, 4:30 AM

13 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Covid 5/21: Limbo Under

ZviMay 14, 2020, 10:30 PM

15 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] When will total cases in the EU surpass that of China?

jmhMar 17, 2020, 12:34 PM

7 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 5/6: Vaccine Patent Suspension

ZviMay 6, 2021, 8:20 PM

87 points

58 comments18 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 2/9/23: Interferon λ

ZviFeb 9, 2023, 4:50 PM

48 points

8 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] What do you believe are the most critical open questions/hypotheses that could inform a more effective COVID response?

nonzerosumMay 12, 2020, 5:46 PM

1 point

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How long should I delay my second shot?

purgeApr 17, 2021, 8:51 AM

8 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 1/20/22: Peak Omicron

ZviJan 20, 2022, 4:20 PM

56 points

21 comments27 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

You Can Get Fluvoxamine

AppliedDivinityStudiesJan 18, 2022, 11:48 PM

60 points

18 comments3 min readLW link

Long covid: probably worth avoiding—some considerations

KatjaGraceJan 16, 2022, 11:46 AM

127 points

88 comments14 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Avoiding coronavirus spread from family members, roommates, extended family and close friends

nonzerosumMay 11, 2020, 10:38 PM

4 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

COVID-19 estimated test detection windows for IgG, IgM and nasal PCR tests

nonzerosumMay 11, 2020, 10:39 PM

3 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Nose / throat treatments for respiratory infections

juliawiseMar 13, 2023, 2:41 AM

47 points

6 comments8 min readLW link

NYT: Lab Leak Most Likely Caused Pandemic, Energy Dept. Says

trevorFeb 26, 2023, 9:21 PM

17 points

9 comments4 min readLW link

(www.nytimes.com)

[U.S. Specific] Criminal Justice Reform in the Time of Covid-19

KiranChokshiMay 1, 2020, 5:29 AM

3 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] COVID-19 Group Testing Post-mortem?

gwernAug 5, 2022, 4:32 PM

72 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

Judging Our April 2020 Covid-19 Predictions

ZviFeb 23, 2021, 5:20 PM

53 points

12 comments10 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Is Omicron less severe?

Alex_AltairDec 30, 2021, 11:14 PM

11 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Peter’s COVID Consolidated Brief for 29 March

Peter WildefordMar 29, 2020, 5:07 PM

80 points

7 comments16 min readLW link

An appeal for vitamin D supplementation as a prophylactic for coronaviruses and influenza and a simple evolutionary theory for why this is plausible.

Michael ADec 22, 2020, 7:40 PM

11 points

1 comment9 min readLW link

Covid 3/24/22: Respite

ZviMar 24, 2022, 3:00 PM

23 points

4 comments13 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Refactoring EMH – Thoughts following the latest market crash

Alex_ShleizerFeb 28, 2020, 3:53 PM

33 points

16 comments3 min readLW link

Omicron Post #12

ZviJan 4, 2022, 3:50 PM

75 points

21 comments11 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Announcement: LessWrong Coronavirus Links Database 2.0

Ben PaceMar 24, 2020, 10:07 PM

28 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

An alarm bell for the next pandemic

DirectedEvolutionApr 6, 2020, 1:35 AM

48 points

23 comments8 min readLW link

Covid 2/4: Safe and Effective Vaccines Aplenty

ZviFeb 4, 2021, 2:50 PM

90 points

25 comments25 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

How much should you update on a COVID test result?

mayleafOct 17, 2021, 7:49 PM

114 points

43 comments9 min readLW link

[Question] Estimates of COVID risk rankings for different activities when together with people in the same household?

nonzerosumApr 29, 2020, 1:13 AM

1 point

0 comments1 min readLW link

Omicron Post #11

ZviDec 31, 2021, 3:50 PM

67 points

17 comments11 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 9/2: Long Covid Analysis

ZviSep 2, 2021, 2:50 PM

70 points

15 comments14 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Coronavirus is Here

ZviMar 2, 2020, 2:10 PM

70 points

16 comments3 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 11/11: Winter and Effective Treatments Are Coming

ZviNov 11, 2021, 2:50 PM

65 points

19 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Is there any value in self-quarantine (from Coronavirus), if you live with other people who aren’t taking similar precautions?

Eli TyreMar 2, 2020, 7:31 AM

32 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Have the lockdowns been worth it?

Ben Pace and zhukeepa

Oct 12, 2020, 11:35 PM

70 points

32 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Why don’t our vaccines get updated to the delta spike protein?

ChristianKlNov 26, 2021, 10:43 AM

16 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 8/19: Cracking the Booster

ZviAug 19, 2021, 2:20 PM

52 points

23 comments21 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 1/7: The Fire of a Thousand Suns

ZviJan 7, 2021, 5:00 PM

157 points

56 comments27 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 10/22: Europe in Crisis

ZviOct 22, 2020, 3:40 PM

80 points

13 comments15 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Since the “Will COVID-19 survivors suffer lasting disability at a high rate?” thread was posted, has new information emerged that may update those estimates?

nonzerosumApr 29, 2020, 9:40 PM

12 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Omicron Post #9

ZviDec 23, 2021, 9:50 PM

89 points

11 comments19 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Adding a Housemate Under Covid

jefftkMay 14, 2020, 9:30 PM

16 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Help wanted: Improving COVID-19 contact-tracing by estimating respiratory droplets

Steven ByrnesMay 22, 2020, 2:05 PM

7 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(github.com)

Plague in Assassin’s Creed Odyssey

ZviMay 24, 2020, 12:00 PM

41 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid-19 5/29: Dumb Reopening

ZviMay 29, 2020, 9:00 PM

26 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid-19: My Current Model

ZviMay 31, 2020, 5:40 PM

188 points

73 comments19 min readLW link 1 review

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Will the many protests throughout the USA prove to be good test cases for reopening?

jmhMay 31, 2020, 12:15 PM

9 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

FHI paper on COVID-19 government countermeasures

Bird ConceptJun 4, 2020, 9:06 PM

47 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

(doi.org)

Covid-19 6/4: The Eye of the Storm

ZviJun 4, 2020, 8:50 PM

33 points

7 comments6 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Does taking extreme measures to avoid the coronavirus make sense when you factor in the possibility of a really long life?

Adam ZernerJun 5, 2020, 12:58 AM

4 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Quarantine Bubbles Require Directness, and Tolerance of Rudeness

RaemonJun 7, 2020, 7:52 PM

37 points

8 comments3 min readLW link

Estimating COVID-19 Mortality Rates

BenquoJun 7, 2020, 3:45 PM

8 points

27 comments2 min readLW link

(benjaminrosshoffman.com)

COVID-19: The Illusion of Stability

PeterMcCluskeyJun 8, 2020, 6:46 PM

32 points

1 comment5 min readLW link

(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

[Question] Can Covid-19 spread by surface transmission?

RaemonJun 10, 2020, 10:09 PM

65 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

Second Wave?

jefftkJun 14, 2020, 2:00 PM

25 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] If the reproduction number is socially “controlled” to its inflection point 1, what are the ethical and predictive implications?

Tim LiptrotJun 15, 2020, 4:01 PM

1 point

2 comments1 min readLW link

Simulacra Levels and their Interactions

ZviJun 15, 2020, 1:10 PM

200 points

51 comments17 min readLW link 1 review

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid-19 6/18: The Virus Goes South

ZviJun 18, 2020, 8:10 PM

55 points

5 comments6 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Has anyone explored deliberate infection with milder coronavirus strains for cross-immunity?

polyamorousRobotJun 23, 2020, 10:23 PM

2 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 6/25: The Dam Breaks

ZviJun 25, 2020, 6:30 PM

116 points

21 comments8 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Somerville Mask Usage

jefftkJun 30, 2020, 2:50 PM

17 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Second Wave Covid Deaths?

jefftkJul 1, 2020, 8:40 PM

35 points

16 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] What are the risks of permanent injury from COVID?

Daniel KokotajloJul 7, 2020, 4:30 PM

41 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

Was SARS-CoV-2 actually present in March 2019 wastewater samples?

Jeffrey LadishJul 7, 2020, 11:08 PM

4 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

Partially Stepping Down Isolation

jefftkJul 8, 2020, 11:40 AM

18 points

10 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Nicotinamide riboside vs. SARS-coV-2 update

William WalkerJul 8, 2020, 7:50 PM

10 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

Cost/Benefit analysis of School Closures in the US

anna.becca.g@gmail.comJul 10, 2020, 11:35 PM

9 points

8 comments3 min readLW link

Maximal Ventilation

jefftkJul 11, 2020, 1:20 AM

31 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Covid-19: Analysis of Mortality Data

ZviJul 11, 2020, 9:30 PM

32 points

12 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] What is the current state of knowledge around COVID-19 at-home remedies?

DorikkaJul 12, 2020, 10:50 PM

10 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

Possible new pneumonia in Kazahkstan (July 2020)

JayJul 12, 2020, 8:41 PM

2 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Public Figures Contracting COVID-19 as Positive Event

mcJul 15, 2020, 7:56 PM

−11 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 7/16: Becoming the Mask

ZviJul 16, 2020, 12:40 PM

82 points

20 comments15 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Restocking

jefftkJul 23, 2020, 1:40 PM

12 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

New Paper on Herd Immunity Thresholds

ZviJul 29, 2020, 8:50 PM

41 points

16 comments9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Fight the Power

Jacob FalkovichJun 22, 2020, 2:19 AM

23 points

3 comments7 min readLW link

LW Team Updates: Pandemic Edition (March 2020)

RubyMar 26, 2020, 11:55 PM

37 points

1 comment5 min readLW link

RT-LAMP is the right way to scale diagnostic testing for the coronavirus

KevinAug 4, 2020, 10:05 AM

35 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] RFC: COVID-19 Statistical Guilt

ErhannisAug 4, 2020, 6:46 AM

3 points

4 comments8 min readLW link

[Question] UK Predicted Grades

cwg1g16Aug 10, 2020, 5:36 PM

2 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] Are vaccine safe enough, that we can give their producers liability?

ChristianKlJun 23, 2023, 2:47 AM

3 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What price would you pay for the RadVac Vaccine and why?

Ben GoldhaberAug 22, 2020, 12:17 AM

30 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Why have exposure notification apps been (mostly) discontinued?

VipulNaikJul 9, 2023, 7:07 PM

10 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

Exposure or Contacts?

jefftkAug 22, 2020, 1:00 PM

15 points

4 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Covid 9/3: Meet the New CDC

ZviSep 3, 2020, 1:40 PM

49 points

9 comments11 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] When should I be concerned about my Oura measurements indicating COVID-19?

ChristianKlSep 4, 2020, 10:15 PM

11 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Efficacy of Vitamin D in helping with COVID

df fdSep 8, 2020, 10:49 AM

16 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Decision theory analysis of whether vaccines should be distributed prior to the completion of stage three trials please

Tim LiptrotSep 7, 2020, 11:50 PM

4 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] In 1 year and 5 years what do you see as “the normal” world.

jmhSep 10, 2020, 12:47 PM

8 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 9/17: It’s Worse

ZviSep 17, 2020, 3:10 PM

54 points

41 comments8 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Link: Vitamin D Can Likely End the COVID-19 Pandemic—Rootclaim Blog

KennySep 18, 2020, 5:07 PM

20 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Prepare for COVID-19 Human Challenge Trials — A Petition in Canada (and soon, the UK)

abierohrigSep 21, 2020, 7:38 PM

6 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

Covid 10/8: October Surprise

ZviOct 8, 2020, 1:20 PM

66 points

17 comments29 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] What was your behavioral response to covid-19 ?

George3d6Oct 8, 2020, 7:27 PM

7 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

Dancing With Covid

jefftkOct 10, 2020, 2:10 AM

14 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Increasing Isolation Again

jefftkOct 25, 2020, 1:10 PM

11 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] How should one deal with life threatening infections or air planes?

Nacruno96Oct 29, 2020, 3:35 AM

1 point

24 comments1 min readLW link

Covid-19 IFR from a Bayesian point of view

mwacksenNov 4, 2020, 11:55 PM

12 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

Covid ‘Mink variant’

henryajNov 6, 2020, 5:50 PM

2 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

Teach People to Recognize the Sound of Covid?

jefftkNov 6, 2020, 2:30 PM

21 points

8 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Somerville Mask Usage II

jefftkNov 7, 2020, 5:00 PM

17 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

The 300-year journey to the covid vaccine

jasoncrawfordNov 9, 2020, 11:06 PM

123 points

9 comments5 min readLW link 2 reviews

(rootsofprogress.org)

A $10k retroactive grant for VaccinateCA

Austin ChenJul 27, 2023, 6:14 PM

82 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(manifund.org)

[Question] What risks from vaccines?

BuckyNov 12, 2020, 11:32 PM

9 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

FAR—UVC

todd@acatrack.netNov 15, 2020, 7:34 PM

1 point

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] When socializing, to what extent does walking reduce the risk of contracting Covid as opposed to being stationary?

Adam ZernerNov 16, 2020, 12:39 AM

7 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

How the Moderna vaccine works, and a note about mRNA vaccines

masasinNov 17, 2020, 5:22 PM

27 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Comparing Covid and Tobacco

Tim LiptrotNov 17, 2020, 4:13 PM

4 points

24 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Can we get people to shut up on public transportation?

ChristianKlNov 28, 2020, 3:30 PM

9 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

How We Failed COVID-19

LukeOnlineDec 2, 2020, 9:29 PM

16 points

7 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] Is it safe to spend time with people who already recovered from COVID?

TurnTroutDec 2, 2020, 10:06 PM

7 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] From behind the vale of ignorance, would you prefer focused protection or the current Covid policy in the US

Tim LiptrotDec 3, 2020, 2:54 PM

2 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Pre-Hindsight Prompt: Why did 2021 NOT bring a return to normalcy?

mike_hawkeDec 6, 2020, 5:35 PM

22 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 12/10: Vaccine Approval Day in America

ZviDec 10, 2020, 2:20 PM

58 points

31 comments20 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Would a more deadly virus have induced greater compliance with US lockdown restrictions?

Tim LiptrotDec 20, 2020, 6:24 PM

6 points

14 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How Hard Would It Be To Make A COVID Vaccine For Oneself?

johnswentworthDec 21, 2020, 4:19 PM

117 points

29 comments2 min readLW link

A few predictions

Tim LiptrotDec 25, 2020, 1:27 AM

5 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What evidence will tell us about the new strain? How are you updating?

ZviDec 25, 2020, 9:37 PM

83 points

18 comments1 min readLW link

More predictions

Tim LiptrotJan 2, 2021, 3:53 PM

8 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Data about the new coronavirus variant (B.1.1.7) from Denmark

Oskar MathiasenJan 2, 2021, 11:38 AM

26 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

A vastly faster vaccine rollout

KatjaGraceJan 12, 2021, 7:40 AM

86 points

37 comments5 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

[Question] Base rate of RCT from developing countries finding unexpected effects

MichaelLoweJan 12, 2021, 1:57 AM

18 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

RationalWiki on face masks

ViliamJan 15, 2021, 1:55 AM

92 points

27 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Are there examples of rationalists getting censored for COVID-19 related communication?

ChristianKlJan 15, 2021, 6:46 PM

15 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What charities can I donate to for preventing another pandemic?

calsemJan 15, 2021, 4:45 AM

1 point

2 comments1 min readLW link

1Day Sooner is Hiring a Communications Director

1daysoonerJan 19, 2021, 4:25 AM

16 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.1daysooner.org)

Covid: The Question of Immunity From Infection

ZviJan 20, 2021, 3:50 PM

68 points

9 comments2 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

You can send people KN95s

jefftkJan 24, 2021, 11:40 PM

18 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Indoor dancing is safe enough

jefftkOct 31, 2021, 1:30 AM

18 points

19 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Vote With Your Face

jefftkJan 14, 2024, 3:30 AM

11 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

On Not Requiring Vaccination

jefftkFeb 1, 2024, 7:20 PM

31 points

21 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Nitric oxide for covid and other viral infections

ElizabethFeb 7, 2024, 9:30 PM

39 points

6 comments6 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

A Back-Of-The-Envelope Calculation On How Unlikely The Circumstantial Evidence Around Covid-19 Is

RokoFeb 7, 2024, 9:49 PM

−1 points

36 comments5 min readLW link

On coincidences and Bayesian reasoning, as applied to the origins of COVID-19

viking_mathFeb 19, 2024, 1:14 AM

62 points

28 comments14 min readLW link

[Linkpost] Practically-A-Book Review: Rootclaim $100,000 Lab Leak Debate

trevorMar 28, 2024, 4:03 PM

77 points

22 comments2 min readLW link

(www.astralcodexten.com)

(USA) N95 masks are available on Amazon

Wei DaiJan 18, 2021, 10:37 AM

53 points

21 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What should we do about COVID in 2024?

ChristianKlAug 4, 2024, 10:57 AM

20 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] COVID-19 - a good or bad time for extended travel?

wolverdudeFeb 29, 2020, 8:18 AM

16 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] SARS, MERS and COVID-19

jmhMar 1, 2020, 8:53 PM

7 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Cryonics?

kinchenMar 4, 2020, 2:40 AM

9 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How did the Coronavirus Justified Practical Advice Thread Change Your Behavior, if at All?

ElizabethMar 6, 2020, 4:15 AM

20 points

12 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Did everyone miss the big thing about your phone?

jmhMar 4, 2020, 1:35 PM

22 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Dealing with the left overs: COVID-19

jmhMar 5, 2020, 2:10 PM

8 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] To mask or not mask

jmhMar 4, 2020, 3:55 PM

22 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What is the appropriate way to communicate that we are experiencing a pandemic?

Filipe MarchesiniMar 4, 2020, 12:02 AM

14 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] How hard would it be to attack coronavirus with CRISPR?

Donald HobsonMar 6, 2020, 11:18 PM

9 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

Covid-19: Things I’m Doing Differently

jefftkMar 5, 2020, 1:40 AM

39 points

8 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Ineffective Response to COVID-19 and Risk Compensation

DavidmanheimMar 8, 2020, 9:21 AM

29 points

23 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Why would panic during this coronavirus pandemic be a bad thing?

Adam ZernerMar 8, 2020, 8:32 AM

9 points

31 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Help me with bayesian thinking re:coronavirus?

hereisonehandMar 8, 2020, 5:03 PM

6 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What is the death rate for those who test negative on Covid-19?

Derek LomasMar 8, 2020, 4:40 PM

3 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] Active Recovery

Rarity RingsMar 7, 2020, 8:29 PM

13 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] At what level of coronavirus cases in a population should the people in that population start self-quarantining?

Jeremy HadfieldMar 8, 2020, 3:22 AM

13 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] At what point does disease spread stop being well-modeled by an exponential function?

Eli TyreMar 8, 2020, 11:53 PM

8 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Quadratic models and (un)falsified data

BuckyMar 8, 2020, 11:34 PM

32 points

8 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] How can we extrapolate the true prevalence of a disease, given available information?

ElizabethMar 9, 2020, 12:16 AM

21 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Model estimating the number of infected persons in the bay area

Eli TyreMar 9, 2020, 5:31 AM

21 points

21 comments4 min readLW link

COVID-19 article translations site aims to bridge the knowledge gap

Mike Stop ContinuesMar 10, 2020, 6:34 PM

29 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Is Coronavirus active in Summer?

Anton LorenzenMar 1, 2020, 8:57 PM

33 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

A practical out-of-the-box solution to slow down COVID-19: Turn up the heat

Alex_ShleizerMar 11, 2020, 10:30 PM

25 points

31 comments2 min readLW link

Coronavirus tests and probability

skybrianMar 11, 2020, 11:09 PM

9 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

The Danes wish to know more about the coronavirus

RubyMar 14, 2020, 4:39 PM

13 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

(marginalrevolution.com)

[Question] When is the right time to hole up?

gilchMar 14, 2020, 9:42 PM

8 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Should we heat our houses to ~78F to reduce coronavirus risk?

jefftkMar 15, 2020, 3:28 PM

16 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Good News: the Containment Measures are Working

ShmiMar 17, 2020, 5:49 AM

25 points

16 comments1 min readLW link

Let My People Stay Home

ZviMar 17, 2020, 12:10 PM

46 points

2 comments5 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Should we all be more hygenic in normal times?

DanielFilanMar 17, 2020, 6:14 AM

8 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Did any US politician react appropriately to COVID-19 early on?

DanielFilanMar 17, 2020, 6:12 AM

21 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Kevin Simler: Outbreak

habrykaMar 16, 2020, 10:50 PM

15 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

(meltingasphalt.com)

March 14/15th: Daily Coronavirus link updates

habrykaMar 16, 2020, 10:24 PM

39 points

7 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Why such low detected rates of COVID-19 in children?

BuckyMar 16, 2020, 4:52 PM

16 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

International Conflict X-Risk in the Era of COVID-19

eapacheMar 18, 2020, 11:42 AM

5 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Ubiquitous Far-Ultraviolet Light Could Control the Spread of Covid-19 and Other Pandemics

avturchin and Roko

Mar 18, 2020, 12:44 PM

79 points

39 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] Can we use Variolation to deal with the Coronavirus?

FactorialCodeMar 18, 2020, 2:40 PM

11 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Does the 14-month vaccine safety test make sense for COVID-19?

orthonormalMar 18, 2020, 6:41 PM

60 points

28 comments1 min readLW link

[UPDATED] COVID-19 cabin secondary attack rates on Diamond Princess

BuckyMar 18, 2020, 10:36 PM

50 points

5 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] How can we protect economies during massive public health crises?

kithpendragonMar 18, 2020, 6:56 PM

7 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Makeshift face touch warner

rmoehnMar 18, 2020, 9:38 AM

15 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

March 16th: Daily Coronavirus Links

habryka and Ben Pace

Mar 18, 2020, 12:00 AM

15 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Reasons why coronavirus mortality of young adults may be underestimated.

avturchinMar 15, 2020, 4:34 PM

30 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

An Open Letter To The Congregation Regarding The Upcoming Holiday

ZviMar 6, 2020, 3:40 PM

25 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] How do you use face masks?

ChristianKlFeb 13, 2020, 2:18 PM

12 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] How many people in the Bay Area are infected with Covid-19 as of the end of 2/29/2020?

Pee DoomMar 1, 2020, 5:37 AM

10 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Will the current COVID-19 outbreak increase the use of block-chain in supply chain management globally?

jmhFeb 28, 2020, 2:53 PM

4 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are the long-term outcomes of a catastrophic pandemic?

Matthew BarnettMar 1, 2020, 7:39 PM

26 points

7 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] What are sensible ways to screen event participants to reduce COVID-19 risk?

ChristianKlMar 3, 2020, 8:43 PM

9 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Is there a better way to define groups for COVID-19 impact?

jmhMar 4, 2020, 1:24 PM

12 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] For viruses, is presenting with fatigue correlated with causing chronic fatigue?

jimrandomhMar 4, 2020, 9:09 PM

18 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What “Saving throws” does the world have against coronavirus? (And how plausible are they?)

Daniel KokotajloMar 4, 2020, 6:04 PM

25 points

17 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How are people tracking confirmed Coronavirus cases / Coronavirus deaths?

Eli TyreMar 7, 2020, 3:53 AM

13 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

Potential High-Leverage and Inexpensive Mitigations (which are still feasible) for Pandemics

DavidmanheimMar 9, 2020, 6:59 AM

34 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

[Question] How’s the case for wearing googles for COVID-19 protection when in public transportation?

ChristianKlMar 8, 2020, 9:31 AM

11 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

Estimated risk of death by coronavirus for a healthy 30 year old male ~ 1/190

Roko JelavićMar 10, 2020, 12:32 PM

6 points

8 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Why isn’t increasing ventilation of public spaces part of the best practice response to the Coronovirus?

ChristianKlMar 12, 2020, 10:40 AM

23 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

More Dakka for Coronavirus: We need immediate human trials of many vaccine-candidates and simultaneous manufacturing of all of them

avturchinMar 13, 2020, 1:35 PM

54 points

18 comments2 min readLW link

Stepping Up Isolation

jefftkMar 13, 2020, 4:00 PM

30 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Meetups in the era of COVID-19

mingyuanMar 15, 2020, 6:24 AM

27 points

9 comments2 min readLW link

What might be learned from the COVID-19 buying patterns?

jmhMar 15, 2020, 2:58 AM

5 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] When are the most important times to wash your hands?

Eli TyreMar 15, 2020, 12:52 AM

10 points

20 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How dangerous is it to test a vaccine without animal trials?

Yoav RavidMar 14, 2020, 8:51 AM

17 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Recommendations for a resource on very basic epidemiology?

Eli TyreMar 14, 2020, 5:08 PM

20 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Possible worst outcomes of the coronavirus epidemic

avturchinMar 14, 2020, 4:26 PM

19 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

Forecasting an 80% chance of an effective anti COVID-19 drug (probably Remdesivir)

DirectedEvolutionMar 15, 2020, 7:21 PM

11 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Frivolous speculation about the long-term effects of coronavirus

skybrianMar 15, 2020, 7:12 PM

7 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Could you save lives in your community by buying oxygen concentrators from Alibaba?

abergalMar 16, 2020, 8:58 AM

18 points

12 comments1 min readLW link

Robin Hanson on whether governments can squash COVID-19

DanielFilanMar 19, 2020, 6:23 PM

10 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

(www.overcomingbias.com)

[Question] Is the Covid-19 crisis a good time for x-risk outreach?

Adam ZernerMar 19, 2020, 4:14 PM

17 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

Covid-19 Points of Leverage, Travel Bans and Eradication

RokoMar 19, 2020, 9:08 AM

87 points

48 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] North Korea and COVID-19

jmhMar 19, 2020, 3:51 PM

7 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Should we build thermometer substitutes?

RobertMMar 19, 2020, 7:43 AM

5 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Do 24-hour hand sanitizers actually work?

gilchMar 1, 2020, 8:41 PM

7 points

4 comments2 min readLW link

Making a Standing Desk

jefftkMar 7, 2020, 11:10 PM

2 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Ignoring Country Cohorts

bakenMar 8, 2020, 8:07 AM

6 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What can we do to help others during the coronavirus outbreak?

swimchordMar 9, 2020, 6:12 AM

6 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

Over $1,000,000 in prizes for COVID-19 work from Emergent Ventures

jasoncrawfordMar 13, 2020, 3:46 PM

21 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] Coronavirus Quantitative Reasoning Thread

ElizabethMar 8, 2020, 10:58 PM

6 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] At what point should CFAR stop holding workshops due to COVID-19?

Adam SchollFeb 25, 2020, 9:59 AM

29 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Literature regarding epidemics and political stability?

jmhFeb 24, 2020, 1:21 PM

8 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Cost of a COVID-19 test that uses shotgun RNA sequencing?

ChristianKlMar 19, 2020, 9:33 PM

10 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

March 18th: Daily Coronavirus Links

habryka and Ben Pace

Mar 19, 2020, 10:20 PM

12 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Sarah Constantin: Oxygen Supplementation 101

habrykaMar 20, 2020, 1:00 AM

15 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

(srconstantin.github.io)

The Hammer and the Dance

Chris_LeongMar 20, 2020, 4:09 PM

48 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

(medium.com)

[Question] How does one run an organization remotely, effectively?

RaemonMar 20, 2020, 8:26 PM

17 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

March 19th: Daily Coronavirus Links

habryka and Ben Pace

Mar 21, 2020, 12:00 AM

18 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

mRNA vaccine development for COVID-19

ChristianKlMar 21, 2020, 3:17 PM

18 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

March 20th: Daily Coronavirus Links

habrykaMar 21, 2020, 7:17 PM

9 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Preprint says R0=~5 (!) / infection fatality ratio=~0.1%. Thoughts?

Hauke HillebrandtMar 20, 2020, 11:37 AM

6 points

29 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How long should someone quarantine to be sure they aren’t contagious with Covid?

RaemonMar 21, 2020, 10:39 PM

28 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

Coronavirus Tech Handbook

Linda LinseforsMar 21, 2020, 11:27 PM

15 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

When to Donate Masks?

jefftkMar 22, 2020, 1:20 PM

33 points

9 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Virus As A Power Optimisation Process: The Problem Of Next Wave

avturchinMar 22, 2020, 8:35 PM

6 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Pulse Oximetry & the Oxygen–Haemoglobin Dissociation Curve

leggiMar 22, 2020, 7:05 AM

7 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Loss of sense of smell as marker of COVID-19 infection

trseekerMar 22, 2020, 2:27 AM

40 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

(www.entuk.org)

Using smart thermometer data to estimate the number of coronavirus cases

UnnamedMar 23, 2020, 4:26 AM

29 points

8 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Ideas on estimating personal risk of infection

jmhMar 23, 2020, 4:33 PM

5 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

March 21st: Daily Coronavirus Links

habryka and Ben Pace

Mar 23, 2020, 12:43 AM

9 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Petition] We Call for Open Anonymized Medical Data on COVID-19 and Aging-Related Risk Factors

avturchinMar 23, 2020, 9:44 PM

6 points

0 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] Which facebook groups on covid do you recommend?

romeostevensitMar 23, 2020, 10:34 PM

12 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

History’s Biggest Natural Experiment

jimrandomhMar 24, 2020, 2:56 AM

104 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

The Solution is Inaction

Amritam GamayaMar 24, 2020, 6:01 PM

9 points

5 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Advice on reducing other risks during Coronavirus?

eapacheMar 24, 2020, 11:30 PM

13 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

Cognitive mistakes I’ve made about COVID-19

DanielFilanDec 27, 2020, 12:50 AM

45 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

(danielfilan.com)

SARS-CoV-2, 19 times less likely to infect people under 15

George3d6Mar 24, 2020, 6:10 PM

2 points

0 comments9 min readLW link

(blog.cerebralab.com)

Price Gouging and Speculative Costs

jefftkMar 26, 2020, 1:50 AM

61 points

16 comments3 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Are HEPA filters likely to pull COVID-19 out of the air?

John_MaxwellMar 25, 2020, 1:07 AM

13 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Hanson vs Mowshowitz LiveStream Debate: “Should we expose the youth to coronavirus?” (Mar 29th)

Ben PaceMar 26, 2020, 11:46 PM

42 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Alternative mask materials

Dmitry VaintrobMar 27, 2020, 1:22 AM

7 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

March 24th: Daily Coronavirus Link Updates

habryka and Ben Pace

Mar 26, 2020, 2:22 AM

8 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Russian x-risks newsletter March 2020 – coronavirus update

avturchinMar 27, 2020, 6:06 PM

11 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Has the effectiveness of fever screening declined?

Vaughn PapenhausenMar 27, 2020, 10:07 PM

8 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

Coronavirus Research Ideas for EAs

habrykaMar 27, 2020, 10:10 PM

14 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

[Question] Is donating to AMF and malaria interventions the most cost-effective way to save lives from COVID-19?

warrenjordanMar 27, 2020, 10:25 PM

5 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

mind viruses about body viruses

nostalgebraistMar 28, 2020, 4:20 AM

52 points

12 comments10 min readLW link

(nostalgebraist.tumblr.com)

[Question] What software projects would be helpful for different groups?

davelaingMar 28, 2020, 7:50 AM

3 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Coronavirus Virology: A Beginner’s Guide

brookMar 28, 2020, 8:47 PM

25 points

7 comments5 min readLW link

Iceland’s COVID-19 random sampling results: C19 similar to Influenza

jacob_cannellMar 28, 2020, 6:26 PM

0 points

44 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Will grocery stores thwart social distancing, and when should I eat my food stockpile?

Patrick LongMar 28, 2020, 6:20 PM

7 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

Coronavirus: California case growth

VipulNaikMar 29, 2020, 4:14 PM

30 points

11 comments10 min readLW link

[Question] How to study statistical/computer modelling of the current pandemic and its outcomes?

CheerfulWarriorMar 29, 2020, 8:40 AM

4 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Chris Masterjohn on Coronavirus, Part 1

philhMar 29, 2020, 11:00 AM

14 points

3 comments10 min readLW link

(reasonableapproximation.net)

COVID transmission by talking (& singing)

Steven ByrnesMar 29, 2020, 6:26 PM

42 points

1 comment3 min readLW link

[Update: New URL] Today’s Online Meetup: We’re Using Mozilla Hubs

Ben PaceMar 29, 2020, 4:00 AM

34 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Would Covid19 patients benefit from blood transfusions from people who have recovered?

Donald HobsonMar 29, 2020, 10:27 PM

13 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

C19 Prediction Survey Thread

jacob_cannellMar 30, 2020, 12:53 AM

8 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What marginal returns now?

jmhMar 30, 2020, 11:12 PM

7 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

LW Coronavirus Agenda Update 3/31

ElizabethMar 31, 2020, 9:40 PM

31 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What’s the expected QALY (quality-adjusted life years) loss per capita due to SARS-COV-2? QALY gain of increasing ICU capacity? Of buying new ventilators?

CheerfulWarriorApr 1, 2020, 5:42 AM

5 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Taking Initial Viral Load Seriously

ZviApr 1, 2020, 10:50 AM

94 points

45 comments17 min readLW link 1 review

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

The attack rate estimation is more important than CFR

avturchinApr 1, 2020, 4:23 PM

10 points

3 comments3 min readLW link

Peter’s COVID Consolidated Brief for 2 April

Peter WildefordApr 2, 2020, 5:00 PM

53 points

9 comments18 min readLW link

[Question] What should you do regarding footwear to protect against COVID-19?

ChristianKlApr 2, 2020, 7:28 PM

19 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

“Preparing for a Pandemic: Stage 3: Grow Food if You Can [COVID-19, hort, US, Patreon]”

KennyApr 3, 2020, 5:57 PM

7 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

(siderea.dreamwidth.org)

[Question] How credible is the theory that COVID19 escaped from a Wuhan Lab?

Alexander Gietelink OldenzielApr 3, 2020, 6:47 AM

22 points

16 comments1 min readLW link

The Peter Attia Drive podcast episode #102: Michael Osterholm, Ph.D.: COVID-19—Lessons learned, challenges ahead, and reasons for optimism and concern

KennyApr 4, 2020, 5:19 AM

7 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

(peterattiamd.com)

[Question] What to draw from Macintyre et al 2015?

ChristianKlApr 5, 2020, 4:56 PM

11 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How strong is the evidence for hydroxychloroquine?

Chris_LeongApr 5, 2020, 9:32 AM

35 points

14 comments1 min readLW link

Hydroxychloroquine: the day science stopped

Filipe MarchesiniApr 5, 2020, 6:09 PM

20 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] What is the maximum number of COVID-19 tests which could be performed until the end of the year?

Roko JelavićApr 5, 2020, 7:19 PM

5 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How can we quantify the good done of donating PPEs vs ventilators?

BrianTanApr 6, 2020, 2:41 PM

1 point

1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] What is going on in Singapore and the Philippines?

jmhApr 6, 2020, 11:27 AM

13 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are the Nth Order Effects of the Coronavirus?

Yoav RavidApr 7, 2020, 1:55 PM

8 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How do you do fit-testing for KN95/N95/FFP2/FFP3 masks?

ChristianKlApr 7, 2020, 8:46 AM

15 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

Would 2009 H1N1 (Swine Flu) ring the alarm bell?

DirectedEvolutionApr 7, 2020, 7:16 AM

32 points

13 comments5 min readLW link

On R0

ZviApr 7, 2020, 11:20 PM

63 points

6 comments15 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Hanson & Mowshowitz Debate: COVID-19 Variolation

Ben PaceApr 8, 2020, 12:07 AM

38 points

3 comments77 min readLW link

Would 2014-2016 Ebola ring the alarm bell?

DirectedEvolutionApr 8, 2020, 2:01 AM

16 points

7 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] How do you determine temperature cutoffs for women’s body-temperature?

ChristianKlApr 8, 2020, 12:11 PM

9 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

The Ethics of Ventilators

palisatriumApr 8, 2020, 8:15 PM

1 point

0 comments1 min readLW link

English summaries of German Covid-19 expert podcast

Chi NguyenApr 8, 2020, 8:29 PM

22 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

(www.notion.so)

COVID-19 and the US Elections

jmhApr 8, 2020, 6:25 PM

10 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

Ways you can get sick without human contact

Connor_FlexmanApr 8, 2020, 10:41 PM

31 points

15 comments6 min readLW link

The Value Is In the Tails

fyloApr 10, 2020, 4:53 PM

26 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

App-Based Disease Surveillance After COVID-19

RedManApr 10, 2020, 6:52 PM

1 point

4 comments1 min readLW link

Leaving Things For Others

jefftkApr 12, 2020, 11:50 AM

16 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Are there any prediction markets for Covid-19?

devasApr 13, 2020, 2:47 PM

4 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Where should LessWrong go on COVID?

ElizabethApr 13, 2020, 9:39 PM

60 points

22 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Coronavirus: Justified Key Insights Thread

Ben PaceApr 13, 2020, 10:40 PM

50 points

33 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Why don’t we tape surgical masks to the face to seal them airtight?

ChristianKlApr 14, 2020, 8:33 AM

16 points

23 comments1 min readLW link

Far-Ultraviolet Light in Public Spaces to Fight Pandemic is a Good Idea but Premature

Kirby SikesApr 14, 2020, 8:27 PM

42 points

35 comments12 min readLW link

[Question] What does the curve look like for coronavirus on a surface?

eapacheApr 15, 2020, 2:07 AM

4 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Leaders support global truce to turn fire on coronavirus

JohnCDraperApr 16, 2020, 2:49 PM

3 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

My Covid-19 Thinking: 4/17

ZviApr 17, 2020, 7:50 PM

65 points

6 comments16 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

My stumble on COVID-19

DirectedEvolutionApr 18, 2020, 4:32 AM

39 points

5 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] My dad got stung by a bee, and is mildly allergic. What are the tradeoffs involved in deciding whether to have him go the the emergency room?

Eli TyreApr 18, 2020, 10:12 PM

10 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

covid-19 notes, 4/19/20

nostalgebraistApr 20, 2020, 5:30 AM

29 points

1 comment9 min readLW link

(nostalgebraist.tumblr.com)

[Question] Equilibrium point of the social evolution under the selective pressure of COVID-19?

Yandong ZhangApr 21, 2020, 3:06 PM

−2 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

Fourth Wave Covid Toy Modeling

ZviJan 6, 2021, 6:30 PM

108 points

22 comments14 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Could city design impact spread of infections?

jmhApr 22, 2020, 2:57 PM

3 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

COVID-19: home stretch and fourth wave Q&A

habrykaJan 6, 2021, 10:44 PM

39 points

29 comments12 min readLW link

Analysis of COVID-19 superspread events (linkpost)

Jay MolstadApr 23, 2020, 4:17 PM

4 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

My Covid-19 Thinking: 4/23 pre-Cuomo Data

ZviApr 23, 2020, 9:40 PM

25 points

5 comments20 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Genetic Sequencing of Wastewater: Prevalence to Relative Abundance

jefftkApr 25, 2023, 7:30 PM

17 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

The Chilling Effect of Confiscation

jefftkApr 25, 2020, 2:50 AM

39 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Market-shaping approaches to accelerate COVID-19 response: a role for option-based guarantees?

DerekF and Davidmanheim

Apr 27, 2020, 10:43 PM

38 points

2 comments6 min readLW link 1 review

Emergency Central Planning

jefftkApr 28, 2020, 12:50 AM

16 points

14 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Chris Masterjohn on Coronavirus, Part 2

philhApr 28, 2020, 9:50 PM

6 points

0 comments8 min readLW link

(reasonableapproximation.net)

On “COVID-19 Superspreader Events in 28 Countries: Critical Patterns and Lessons”

ZviApr 29, 2020, 7:40 PM

67 points

12 comments10 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Seasonality of COVID-19, Other Coronaviruses, and Influenza

Radford NealApr 30, 2020, 9:43 PM

10 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

(radfordneal.wordpress.com)

Covid-19 4/30: Stuck in Limbo

ZviApr 30, 2020, 8:40 PM

28 points

8 comments7 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Reopen Protest Sign Survey

jefftkMay 1, 2020, 3:40 AM

34 points

4 comments3 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Nicotinamide riboside and SARS-CoV-2

William WalkerMay 1, 2020, 4:10 PM

8 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

Pueyo: How to Do Testing and Contact Tracing [Summary]

DerekFMay 1, 2020, 10:29 PM

7 points

1 comment6 min readLW link

COVID-19 from a different angle

jmhMay 4, 2020, 5:58 PM

8 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Covid-19: New York’s Antibody Tests 2

ZviMay 6, 2020, 5:40 PM

16 points

0 comments10 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Does isolating the high-risk suppress COVID-19?

Fahad AlkhaterMay 6, 2020, 9:18 PM

3 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

Why there’s an ethanol glut and sanitizer shortage (WSJ)

William WalkerMay 9, 2020, 3:08 PM

0 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

(www.wsj.com)

Why COVID-19 prevention at the margin might be bad for most LWers

KenoubiMay 10, 2020, 12:19 AM

21 points

23 comments2 min readLW link

The Greatest Host

trentbrickMay 10, 2020, 8:28 PM

33 points

8 comments14 min readLW link

Covid-19: Comorbidity

ZviMay 10, 2020, 9:30 PM

42 points

7 comments7 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Will the world hit 10 million recorded cases of COVID-19? If so when?

jmhMay 13, 2020, 5:26 PM

6 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Suggestions for making research as trustworthy, intelligible and quickly available as possible

mickofemsworthMay 14, 2020, 2:47 PM

3 points

0 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] How to bayesian update on multiple covid tests?

rchplgJul 29, 2021, 1:15 PM

13 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 7/29: You Play to Win the Game

ZviJul 29, 2021, 4:10 PM

97 points

25 comments23 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] What weird treatments should people who lost their taste from COVID try?

Maxwell PetersonJul 30, 2021, 2:51 AM

11 points

14 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What made the UK COVID-19 case count drop?

ChristianKlAug 2, 2021, 1:01 PM

38 points

39 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What’s the status of third vaccine doses?

Alex_AltairAug 4, 2021, 2:22 AM

30 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What was my mistake evaluating risk in this situation?

Andrew VlahosAug 3, 2021, 2:54 AM

33 points

32 comments2 min readLW link

Delta, Deaths, and Vaccinations

jefftkAug 7, 2021, 7:10 PM

21 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Is microCOVID “badness” superlinear?

Optimization ProcessAug 13, 2021, 6:37 AM

4 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Vaccination with natural immunity

sudoLifeAug 18, 2021, 5:47 AM

4 points

15 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Is antibody testing to assess effects of vaccines on you a good idea?

LightwaveAug 21, 2021, 2:38 PM

17 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

COVID/Delta advice I’m currently giving to friends

Rob BensingerAug 24, 2021, 3:46 AM

61 points

31 comments8 min readLW link

Humanity is Winning the Fight Against Infectious Disease

lsusrAug 30, 2021, 1:31 AM

60 points

8 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] How much COVID protection is gained from protecting your eyes?

Davis_KingsleyAug 31, 2021, 1:18 AM

20 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

Exercise Trade Offs

ElizabethAug 31, 2021, 2:40 AM

32 points

4 comments3 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

[Question] How do you decide when to change N95/FFP-2 masks?

ChristianKlSep 10, 2021, 7:40 AM

33 points

14 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] ‘Good enough’ way to clean an O2 Curve respirator?

KennySep 16, 2021, 2:51 PM

5 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Lessons from covid predictions: Always use multiple models

pkuSep 17, 2021, 3:19 AM

8 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

Covid 9/17: Done Biden His Time

ZviSep 17, 2021, 12:00 PM

63 points

14 comments29 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] How dangerous is Long COVID for kids?

ViliamSep 22, 2021, 10:29 PM

27 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 9/23: There Is a War

ZviSep 23, 2021, 1:30 PM

69 points

30 comments24 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 9/30: People Respond to Incentives

ZviSep 30, 2021, 6:40 PM

49 points

14 comments17 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Vax passports—theory and practice

tkpwaeubOct 3, 2021, 10:35 PM

17 points

18 comments6 min readLW link

[ACX Linkpost] Too Good to Check: A Play in Three Acts

mike_hawkeOct 5, 2021, 5:04 AM

24 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(astralcodexten.substack.com)

[Question] Covid Home Test Experiment

SebastianG Oct 5, 2021, 3:24 PM

3 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 10/7: Steady as She Goes

ZviOct 7, 2021, 12:10 PM

58 points

26 comments7 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Outdoor dancing is likely very safe

jefftkOct 11, 2021, 1:40 AM

14 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Niacin as a treatment for covid? (Probably no, but I’m glad we’re checking)

ElizabethOct 12, 2021, 5:40 AM

24 points

1 comment11 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

Covid 10/14: Less Long Cvoid

ZviOct 14, 2021, 2:20 PM

57 points

22 comments7 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Long Covid Informal Study Results

ElizabethOct 16, 2021, 7:10 AM

43 points

3 comments5 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

Covid 10/21: Rogan vs. Gupta

ZviOct 21, 2021, 3:10 PM

70 points

62 comments19 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Rapid Antigen Tests for COVID

TornusOct 21, 2021, 3:26 PM

25 points

3 comments8 min readLW link

[Question] Effectiveness of Moderna booster shot and mix-and-match?

warrenjordanOct 26, 2021, 6:18 AM

9 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 10/28: An Unexpected Victory

ZviOct 28, 2021, 2:50 PM

29 points

37 comments9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Where can we donate time and money to avert coronavirus deaths?

ElizabethMar 18, 2020, 4:50 AM

33 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

Comparing Options For Safer Events

jefftkNov 1, 2021, 4:30 PM

9 points

19 comments7 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Vaccine Requirements, Age, and Fairness

jefftkNov 2, 2021, 12:10 PM

14 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Covid 11/4: The After Times

ZviNov 4, 2021, 3:20 PM

51 points

33 comments6 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

It’s Ok to Dance Again

jefftkNov 12, 2021, 2:50 AM

8 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Did EcoHealth create SARS-CoV-2?

jamalNov 17, 2021, 8:42 PM

3 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 11/18: Paxlovid Remains Illegal

ZviNov 18, 2021, 3:50 PM

55 points

36 comments14 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Use Tools For What They’re For

DirectedEvolutionNov 23, 2021, 8:26 AM

28 points

14 comments8 min readLW link

[Question] How much Bayesian evidence from rapid antigen and PCR tests?

mingyuanNov 24, 2021, 6:54 AM

8 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Paxlovid Remains Illegal: 11/24 Update

ZviNov 24, 2021, 1:40 PM

54 points

21 comments7 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 11/25: Another Thanksgiving

ZviNov 25, 2021, 1:40 PM

73 points

9 comments21 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] COVID Era: Updating On Life Risks

jmhNov 29, 2021, 5:27 PM

6 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Looking for reasoned discussion on Geert Vanden Bossche’s ideas? +6 Months on...

megabranflakeNov 30, 2021, 4:30 PM

12 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

FDA Votes on Molunpiravir

ZviDec 1, 2021, 3:00 PM

59 points

3 comments8 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Viral Mutation, Pandemics and Social Response

jmhDec 1, 2021, 6:36 PM

5 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

Covid Prediction Markets at Polymarket

ZviDec 2, 2021, 12:50 PM

39 points

10 comments7 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 12/2: But Aside From That

ZviDec 2, 2021, 4:20 PM

36 points

11 comments9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Life, struggle, and the psychological fallout from COVID

Alex FlintDec 6, 2021, 4:59 PM

15 points

1 comment8 min readLW link

Interpreting the Biobot Spike

jefftkDec 8, 2021, 4:30 PM

42 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

COVID and the holidays

Connor_FlexmanDec 8, 2021, 11:13 PM

71 points

31 comments9 min readLW link

Omicron Post #5

ZviDec 9, 2021, 9:10 PM

102 points

18 comments14 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 12/9: Counting Down the Days

ZviDec 9, 2021, 9:40 PM

59 points

12 comments11 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

EA Dinner Covid Logistics

jefftkDec 11, 2021, 9:50 PM

17 points

7 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Omicron Post #7

ZviDec 16, 2021, 5:30 PM

155 points

41 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Understand the exponential function: R0 of the COVID

Yandong ZhangDec 17, 2021, 6:44 AM

−6 points

17 comments1 min readLW link

Elevated Air Purifier Cubes

jefftkDec 19, 2021, 12:50 AM

13 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Omicron Post #8

ZviDec 20, 2021, 11:10 PM

96 points

33 comments16 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Get Set, Also Go

ZviDec 23, 2021, 3:00 PM

62 points

21 comments16 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

San Francisco shares COVID data only when it’s too late

kniteDec 26, 2021, 8:12 PM

10 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

What would you like from Microcovid.org? How valuable would it be to you?

ElizabethDec 29, 2021, 4:42 AM

64 points

45 comments1 min readLW link

CDC Changes Isolation Guidelines

ZviDec 29, 2021, 4:40 PM

12 points

3 comments14 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

COVID Skepticism Isn’t About Science

jaspaxDec 29, 2021, 5:53 PM

128 points

76 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] Questions about Stocker’s DIY vaccine

dawangyDec 29, 2021, 10:44 PM

10 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

[Question] Mailing Binax kits

NormanPerlmutterJan 1, 2022, 6:17 AM

3 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are sane reasons that Covid data is treated as reliable?

ValentineJan 1, 2022, 6:47 PM

41 points

33 comments2 min readLW link

Careful With Trailing Averages

jefftkJan 1, 2022, 4:00 PM

31 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] What explains the excess mortality?

ChristianKlJan 2, 2022, 10:13 AM

16 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Covid risk of staying at a hotel

NormanPerlmutterJan 2, 2022, 6:47 AM

4 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

How to End a Pandemic

MikkWJan 3, 2022, 8:26 PM

2 points

27 comments7 min readLW link

Omicron in Biobot

jefftkJan 5, 2022, 2:50 AM

14 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] How much, and on what margins, should we be rethinking quarantine protocols?

jmhJan 5, 2022, 8:29 PM

8 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

Thank you, Queensland

mukashiJan 5, 2022, 2:21 PM

22 points

4 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] How the response to a pandemic affecting mainly children would look like?

mukashiJan 5, 2022, 10:15 AM

4 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 1/6/22: The Blip

ZviJan 6, 2022, 6:30 PM

68 points

21 comments25 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] How reasonable are concerns about asking for patents to be lifted for COVID-19 vaccines?

ChristianKlJan 6, 2022, 1:09 PM

2 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Omicron Post #13: Outlook

ZviJan 7, 2022, 9:20 PM

63 points

24 comments11 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Omicron—How does it change Covid risk and what should we do about it?

jackcJan 9, 2022, 11:13 PM

22 points

9 comments9 min readLW link

The IHME Report

ZviJan 10, 2022, 3:50 PM

44 points

2 comments7 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

(briefly) RaDVaC and SMTM, two things we should be doing

Eliezer YudkowskyJan 12, 2022, 6:20 AM

230 points

79 comments3 min readLW link 1 review

Omicron Post #14

ZviJan 13, 2022, 6:00 PM

53 points

21 comments9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] I have COVID, for how long should I isolate?

iceplantJan 13, 2022, 8:44 PM

17 points

18 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 1/13/22: Endgame

ZviJan 13, 2022, 6:10 PM

75 points

2 comments10 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Linkpost] [Fun] CDC To Send Pamphlet On Probabilistic Thinking

Gunnar_ZarnckeJan 14, 2022, 9:44 PM

37 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

Survey supports ‘long covid is bad’ hypothesis (very tentative)

KatjaGraceJan 14, 2022, 2:50 PM

76 points

10 comments3 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

[Question] Storing own covid saliva for use as a “booster”?

kuudesJan 14, 2022, 8:02 AM

8 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

Polymarket Covid-19 1/17/2022

ZviJan 17, 2022, 4:10 PM

38 points

10 comments9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Hedging omicron impact to supply chains

mukashiJan 17, 2022, 6:49 PM

29 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

A decision tree for vaccinating children against Covid-19, or how to wisely make a monumental decision

methreeJan 17, 2022, 11:23 AM

7 points

12 comments9 min readLW link

Positly covid survey: long covid

KatjaGraceJan 18, 2022, 10:40 AM

31 points

2 comments8 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

[Question] How do you reason about how many COVID test kits to keep on hand?

nimJan 18, 2022, 6:09 PM

7 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

Omicron Post #15

ZviJan 19, 2022, 2:40 PM

52 points

10 comments5 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Due to a roommate, can COVID’s viral load stay high enough after day 10 to infect others?

catears123Jan 21, 2022, 7:08 AM

3 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

Postmortem on DIY Recombinant Covid Vaccine

caffemacchiavelliJan 22, 2022, 2:12 PM

179 points

27 comments5 min readLW link 1 review

Covid 1/27/22: Let My People Go

ZviJan 27, 2022, 5:00 PM

49 points

24 comments16 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 2/3/22: Loosening Bounds

ZviFeb 3, 2022, 11:00 PM

53 points

4 comments16 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Positly covid survey 2: controlled productivity data

KatjaGraceFeb 4, 2022, 7:30 AM

15 points

1 comment4 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Decreasing Isolation Further

jefftkFeb 7, 2022, 2:00 PM

15 points

4 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Covid 2/10/22: Happy Birthday

ZviFeb 10, 2022, 5:50 PM

44 points

9 comments20 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Does needle anxiety drive vaccine hesitancy?

Matthew BarnettFeb 11, 2022, 7:35 PM

50 points

11 comments3 min readLW link

Bazant: An alternate covid calculator

ElizabethFeb 15, 2022, 7:50 PM

24 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

Microcovid Becoming Less Useful

jefftkFeb 20, 2022, 3:50 AM

59 points

13 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Linkpost] Review: Happiness

VipulNaikFeb 26, 2022, 5:10 PM

6 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 3/3/2022: Move Along

ZviMar 3, 2022, 12:00 PM

35 points

9 comments10 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 3/31/2022: More of the Same

ZviMar 31, 2022, 3:50 PM

28 points

10 comments11 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

They Don’t Know About Second Booster

ZviMar 31, 2022, 3:30 PM

65 points

17 comments7 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Predictions on when the requirement for pre-flight COVID testing for returning citizen will be dropped?

jmhApr 6, 2022, 1:30 AM

6 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

How to Interpret Vitamin D Dosage Using Numbers

BenquoApr 6, 2022, 7:36 PM

12 points

7 comments5 min readLW link

(benjaminrosshoffman.com)

Covid 4/7/22: Opening Day

ZviApr 7, 2022, 4:10 PM

28 points

5 comments5 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

China Covid Update #1

ZviApr 11, 2022, 1:40 PM

88 points

22 comments3 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 4/14/22: China Stays the Course

ZviApr 14, 2022, 4:10 PM

26 points

1 comment7 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Judge Overturns Transportation Mask Mandate

ZviApr 20, 2022, 1:50 PM

38 points

17 comments8 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 4/21/22: Variants Working Overtime

ZviApr 21, 2022, 3:10 PM

40 points

16 comments9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

I Caught Covid And All I Got Was This Lousy Ambiguous Data

ElizabethApr 21, 2022, 7:30 PM

47 points

0 comments4 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

China Covid #2

ZviApr 22, 2022, 7:00 PM

64 points

9 comments8 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 4/28/22: Take My Paxlovid, Please

ZviApr 28, 2022, 3:20 PM

35 points

14 comments8 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Home Antigen Tests Aren’t Useful For Covid Screening

ElizabethMay 3, 2022, 1:30 AM

19 points

15 comments4 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

Covid 5/5/22: A Lack of Care

ZviMay 5, 2022, 3:10 PM

37 points

6 comments10 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Contra Dance Mask Policy

jefftkMay 6, 2022, 3:10 PM

14 points

10 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Stuff I might do if I had covid

KatjaGraceMay 11, 2022, 12:00 AM

39 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Covid 5/12/22: Other Priorities

ZviMay 12, 2022, 1:30 PM

31 points

4 comments15 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

China Covid #3

ZviMay 16, 2022, 5:40 PM

54 points

6 comments9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 5/19/22: The Law of Five

ZviMay 19, 2022, 12:20 PM

53 points

2 comments11 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

How Big Are Covid Particles?

jefftkMay 21, 2022, 2:00 PM

29 points

5 comments3 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

MERV Filters for Covid?

jefftkMay 25, 2022, 1:50 AM

35 points

11 comments4 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Covid 6/2/22: Declining to Respond

ZviJun 2, 2022, 1:50 PM

55 points

10 comments7 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 6/9/22: Nice

ZviJun 9, 2022, 4:30 PM

26 points

2 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 6/16/22: Do Not Hand it to Them

ZviJun 16, 2022, 2:40 PM

29 points

5 comments7 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Common but neglected risk factors that may let you get Paxlovid

DirectedEvolutionJun 21, 2022, 7:34 AM

29 points

8 comments4 min readLW link

Covid 6/23/22: Under Five Alive

ZviJun 23, 2022, 2:00 PM

26 points

9 comments10 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 6/30/22: Vaccine Update Update

ZviJun 30, 2022, 2:00 PM

32 points

6 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 7/7/22: Paxlovid at the Pharmacy

ZviJul 7, 2022, 2:30 PM

34 points

11 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 7/21/22: Featuring ASPR

ZviJul 21, 2022, 1:50 PM

27 points

0 comments14 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Is there any evidence that handwashing does anything to prevent COVID?

mukashiJul 25, 2022, 7:34 AM

4 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 7/28/22: Ruining It For Everyone

ZviJul 28, 2022, 3:10 PM

32 points

8 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 8/4/22: Rebound

ZviAug 4, 2022, 11:20 AM

36 points

0 comments11 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 8/18/22: CDC Admits Mistakes

ZviAug 18, 2022, 2:30 PM

46 points

9 comments17 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 8/25/22: What We Owe

ZviAug 25, 2022, 2:40 PM

33 points

3 comments19 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Contra Dance Contact Tracing

jefftkAug 27, 2022, 1:50 AM

9 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Covid 9/1/22: Meet the New Booster

ZviSep 1, 2022, 2:00 PM

41 points

6 comments14 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 9/8/22: Booster Boosting

ZviSep 8, 2022, 1:50 PM

34 points

9 comments24 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 9/15/22: Permanent Normal

ZviSep 15, 2022, 4:00 PM

32 points

9 comments20 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Why doesn’t China (or didn’t anyone) encourage/mandate elastomeric respirators to control COVID?

Wei DaiSep 17, 2022, 3:07 AM

34 points

15 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 9/22/22: The Joe Biden Sings

ZviSep 22, 2022, 2:40 PM

15 points

17 comments24 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Ivermectin: Much Less Than You Needed To Know

George3d6Oct 3, 2022, 3:02 PM

31 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

(doyourownresearch.substack.com)

Covid 10/6/22: Overreactions Aplenty

ZviOct 6, 2022, 7:10 PM

37 points

18 comments31 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 10/13/22: Just the Facts

ZviOct 13, 2022, 2:40 PM

28 points

7 comments10 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] How much of China’s Zero COVID policy is actually about COVID?

jmhOct 14, 2022, 7:23 AM

9 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Drafting a Covid Survey

jefftkOct 18, 2022, 7:30 PM

15 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Covid 10/20/22: Wait, We Did WHAT?

ZviOct 20, 2022, 9:50 PM

55 points

16 comments16 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 10/27/22: Another Origin Story

ZviOct 27, 2022, 1:40 PM

32 points

1 comment13 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Rapid Test Throat Swabbing?

jefftkOct 28, 2022, 4:30 PM

18 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Covid 11/3/22: Asking Forgiveness

ZviNov 3, 2022, 1:50 PM

23 points

3 comments6 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 11/10/22: Into the Background

ZviNov 10, 2022, 1:40 PM

31 points

5 comments4 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 11/17/22: Slow Recovery

ZviNov 17, 2022, 2:50 PM

33 points

3 comments4 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 11/24/22: Thanks for Good Health

ZviNov 24, 2022, 1:00 PM

26 points

4 comments8 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 12/1/22: China Protests

ZviDec 1, 2022, 5:10 PM

38 points

2 comments10 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Scott Alexander’s “Ivermectin: Much More Than You Wanted To Know”

RaemonDec 5, 2021, 5:43 AM

13 points

2 comments1 min readLW link 2 reviews

(astralcodexten.substack.com)

Key Mostly Outward-Facing Facts From the Story of VaccinateCA

ZviDec 14, 2022, 1:30 PM

61 points

2 comments23 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] COVID China Personal Advice (No mRNA vax, possible hospital overload, bug-chasing edition)

Lao MeinDec 14, 2022, 10:31 AM

20 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 12/15/22: China’s Wave Begins

ZviDec 15, 2022, 4:20 PM

32 points

7 comments10 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Masking to Avoid Missing Things

jefftkDec 15, 2022, 9:00 PM

17 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Covid 12/22/22: Reevaluating Past Options

ZviDec 22, 2022, 4:50 PM

30 points

2 comments9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 12/29/22: Next Up is XBB.1.5

ZviDec 29, 2022, 6:20 PM

33 points

4 comments10 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

The Twitter Files: Covid Edition

ZviDec 30, 2022, 1:30 PM

32 points

2 comments10 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Any significant updates on long covid risk analysis?

Randomized, ControlledJan 11, 2023, 2:31 PM

23 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] COVID contagiousness after negative tests?

wunanJan 20, 2023, 3:02 PM

10 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How are you currently modeling COVID contagiousness?

CounterBlunderJan 26, 2023, 4:46 AM

2 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 1/26/23: Case Count Crash

ZviJan 26, 2023, 12:50 PM

32 points

5 comments9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Whatever their arguments, Covid vaccine sceptics will probably never convince me

contrarianbritJan 30, 2023, 1:42 PM

8 points

10 comments3 min readLW link

(thomasprosser.substack.com)

What I did to reduce the risk of Long COVID (and manage symptoms) after getting COVID

SameerishereMar 18, 2023, 5:32 AM

11 points

3 comments10 min readLW link

[Question] Did convalescent plasma therapy drive the evolution of more infectious covid strains?

Angela PretoriusJan 27, 2021, 6:16 AM

10 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

Covid 1/28: Muddling Through

ZviJan 28, 2021, 4:50 PM

97 points

18 comments35 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Vaccinated Socializing

jefftkFeb 2, 2021, 3:20 AM

29 points

12 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Covid cafes

KatjaGraceFeb 3, 2021, 8:20 AM

24 points

9 comments3 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

[Question] Why are clinical trials so expensive?

ChristianKlFeb 5, 2021, 12:10 AM

23 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

[Link] Sarah Constantin on RaDVaC

OrbordeFeb 5, 2021, 4:08 PM

38 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

(twitter.com)

#unclogtheFDA: a twitter storm to approve vaccines

Tim LiptrotFeb 7, 2021, 2:39 PM

45 points

8 comments3 min readLW link

How would free prediction markets have altered the pandemic?

mike_hawkeFeb 9, 2021, 10:55 AM

10 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

We got what’s needed for COVID-19 vaccination completely wrong

ChristianKlFeb 10, 2021, 7:59 AM

61 points

32 comments4 min readLW link

Covid 2/11: As Expected

ZviFeb 11, 2021, 6:30 PM

101 points

79 comments21 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] What does the FDA actually do between getting the trial results and having their meeting?

ChristianKlFeb 12, 2021, 1:08 PM

28 points

19 comments1 min readLW link

Not Yet the Dawn

SlimepriestessFeb 15, 2021, 4:00 AM

6 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

(hivewired.wordpress.com)

Covid 2/18: Vaccines Still Work

ZviFeb 18, 2021, 12:30 PM

76 points

29 comments30 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Could first doses first be better for the vaccine hesitant?

DirectedEvolutionFeb 22, 2021, 4:24 PM

7 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] Are multiple shorter exposures less likely to reduce in infections of COVID-19 then one larger exposure?

ChristianKlFeb 24, 2021, 1:14 PM

10 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 2/25: Holding Pattern

ZviFeb 25, 2021, 2:30 PM

67 points

16 comments9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Grading myself on SSC’s 2020 predictions

kniteMar 1, 2021, 7:55 PM

15 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How do you run a fit-test for a mask at home when you don’t have fancy equipment?

ChristianKlFeb 28, 2021, 8:30 PM

21 points

33 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Attempt at a gears model of getting infected with COVID-19

ChristianKlMar 2, 2021, 3:39 PM

23 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What other peptide vaccines might it be useful to make?

Bird ConceptMar 3, 2021, 6:25 AM

31 points

14 comments1 min readLW link

Simple Tricks to Improve KN95 Masks

dawangyMar 8, 2021, 8:59 AM

25 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

Quarantine variety

KatjaGraceMar 10, 2021, 8:40 AM

12 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Impact of delaying vaccinations on the total number of deaths

qbolecMar 11, 2021, 11:49 PM

5 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

Covid 3/12: New CDC Guidelines Available

ZviMar 12, 2021, 5:20 PM

101 points

28 comments24 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Nitric Oxide Spray… a cure for COVID19??

ShmiMar 15, 2021, 7:36 PM

25 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 3/18: An Expected Quantity of Blood Clots

ZviMar 18, 2021, 1:50 PM

74 points

25 comments15 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Another RadVac Testing Update

johnswentworthMar 23, 2021, 5:29 PM

140 points

19 comments5 min readLW link

Covid 3/25: Own Goals

ZviMar 25, 2021, 1:50 PM

80 points

17 comments19 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Is there any plausible mechanisms for why taking an mRNA vaccine might be undesirable for a young healthy adult?

Mati_RoyApr 8, 2021, 1:18 AM

28 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

Monastery and Throne

Jacob FalkovichApr 6, 2021, 7:00 PM

115 points

42 comments10 min readLW link

Sometimes, it can take a while to notice confusion

masasinApr 10, 2021, 3:24 AM

27 points

11 comments5 min readLW link

Covid 4/15: Are We Seriously Doing This Again

ZviApr 15, 2021, 1:00 PM

82 points

37 comments9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] What does vaccine effectiveness as a function of time look like?

David Scott Krueger (formerly: capybaralet)Apr 17, 2021, 12:36 AM

18 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

Young kids catching COVID: how much to worry?

Steven ByrnesApr 20, 2021, 6:03 PM

55 points

22 comments6 min readLW link

Covid 4/22: Crisis in India

ZviApr 22, 2021, 1:40 PM

100 points

25 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Vaccination and House Rules

jefftkApr 24, 2021, 1:00 AM

33 points

8 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Estimating COVID cases & deaths in India over the coming months

GeneSmithApr 24, 2021, 9:35 PM

33 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Covid-19 in India: Why didn’t it happen earlier?

SherrinfordApr 27, 2021, 7:13 PM

14 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 4/29: Vaccination Slowdown

ZviApr 29, 2021, 1:50 PM

55 points

19 comments15 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] When’s the best time to get the 2nd dose of Pfizer Vaccine?

David Scott Krueger (formerly: capybaralet)Apr 30, 2021, 5:11 AM

5 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What do the reported levels of protection offered by various vaccines mean?

David Scott Krueger (formerly: capybaralet)May 4, 2021, 10:06 PM

10 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Did they use serological testing for COVID vaccine trials?

David Scott Krueger (formerly: capybaralet)May 4, 2021, 9:48 PM

4 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Let’s Go Back To Normal

Connor_FlexmanMay 6, 2021, 3:10 AM

60 points

18 comments11 min readLW link

[Question] What do we know about how much protection COVID vaccines provide against transmitting the virus to others?

David Scott Krueger (formerly: capybaralet)May 6, 2021, 7:39 AM

9 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What do we know about how much protection COVID vaccines provide against long COVID?

David Scott Krueger (formerly: capybaralet)May 6, 2021, 7:39 AM

8 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 5/13: Moving On

ZviMay 13, 2021, 2:30 PM

69 points

13 comments17 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Vaccine Rollout as Wheeled-Luggage Problem

DirectedEvolutionMay 13, 2021, 9:04 PM

28 points

23 comments3 min readLW link

Covid 5/20: The Great Unmasking

ZviMay 21, 2021, 12:30 AM

49 points

15 comments15 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 5/27: The Final Countdown

ZviMay 27, 2021, 12:30 PM

72 points

19 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] What is the Risk of Long Covid after Vaccination?

dawangyMay 31, 2021, 7:32 PM

64 points

15 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 6/3: No News is Good News

ZviJun 3, 2021, 4:50 PM

50 points

10 comments5 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Why has no one compared Covid-19 and Vaccine Risks?

Niklas LehmannJun 4, 2021, 4:29 AM

5 points

20 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 6/10: Somebody Else’s Problem

ZviJun 10, 2021, 1:10 PM

57 points

26 comments24 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Is the length of the Covid-19 incubation period likely to be affected by whether you are vaccinated?

Josh JacobsonJun 12, 2021, 3:27 AM

9 points

15 comments1 min readLW link

A systematic error that lead to a bad policy response to COVID-19

ChristianKlJun 12, 2021, 7:56 PM

23 points

6 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Up-to-date advice about what to do upon getting COVID?

DanielFilanJun 19, 2021, 2:37 AM

31 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How do you deal with people cargo culting COVID-19 defense?

ChristianKlJun 23, 2021, 7:59 PM

16 points

23 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How do the side effects of Novavax compare to other COVID-19 vaccines?

ChristianKlJun 24, 2021, 4:36 PM

14 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 6/24: The Spanish Prisoner

ZviJun 24, 2021, 2:40 PM

43 points

30 comments9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] How do the ivermectin meta-reviews come to so different conclusions?

ChristianKlJun 29, 2021, 10:34 PM

39 points

24 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 7/1: Don’t Panic

ZviJul 1, 2021, 12:30 PM

53 points

35 comments9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] What’s the effective R for the Delta variant of COVID-19?

ChristianKlJul 2, 2021, 12:49 PM

7 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How would you run the statistics on whether Ivermectin helped India reduce COVID-19 cases?

ChristianKlJul 3, 2021, 4:09 PM

13 points

14 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 7/8: Delta Takes Over

ZviJul 8, 2021, 1:00 PM

72 points

16 comments11 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

For some, now may be the time to get your third Covid shot

Josh JacobsonJul 10, 2021, 5:38 PM

58 points

8 comments4 min readLW link

Covid 7/15: Rates of Change

ZviJul 15, 2021, 5:10 PM

64 points

63 comments16 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Is there a reasonable reading according to which Baric, Shi et al 2015 isn’t gain-of-function research?

ChristianKlJul 21, 2021, 8:19 AM

31 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

Delta variant: we should probably be re-masking

Aaron BergmanJul 23, 2021, 9:13 PM

34 points

34 comments4 min readLW link

(aaronbergman.substack.com)

Delta Strain: Fact Dump and Some Policy Takeaways

Connor_FlexmanJul 28, 2021, 3:38 AM

119 points

60 comments16 min readLW link

Tentative covid surface risk estimates

KatjaGraceJan 25, 2021, 9:40 AM

92 points

8 comments2 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Covid Canada Jan25: low & slow

MalcolmOceanJan 26, 2021, 11:48 AM

26 points

7 comments4 min readLW link

Yet Another Covid Risk Calculator

Thomas ColthurstOct 11, 2021, 7:24 PM

3 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

What if we all just stayed at home and didn’t get covid for two weeks?

KatjaGraceJan 22, 2021, 9:10 AM

37 points

12 comments3 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Duckbill Masks Are Great

jefftkFeb 7, 2023, 3:00 AM

22 points

14 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

The Pandemic is Only Beginning: The Long COVID Disaster

salvatore matteraAug 11, 2023, 5:36 PM

−6 points

15 comments8 min readLW link

House Covid Infection Retrospective

jefftkFeb 8, 2023, 2:20 AM

25 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Covid 1/21: Turning the Corner

ZviJan 21, 2021, 4:40 PM

136 points

41 comments26 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Contra StatNews: How Long to Herd Immunity?

AppliedDivinityStudiesJan 20, 2021, 10:06 PM

24 points

0 comments11 min readLW link

Interpreting Diagnostic Tests

TornusOct 15, 2021, 2:58 AM

6 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

School Daze

ZviJan 14, 2022, 1:50 PM

50 points

6 comments17 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

O2 Curve Review: Well Worth the Money

eapacheFeb 6, 2021, 10:35 PM

14 points

4 comments5 min readLW link

Hoarding and Shortages

jefftkFeb 25, 2020, 6:40 PM

20 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Quadratic, not logarithmic

Valentin2026Feb 8, 2021, 3:42 AM

84 points

23 comments1 min readLW link

Betadine oral rinses for covid and other viral infections

ElizabethApr 24, 2024, 5:50 PM

22 points

3 comments5 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

Covid 9/29/22: The Jones Act Waver

ZviSep 29, 2022, 6:20 PM

47 points

10 comments24 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Participating in a Covid-19 Vaccine Trial

ejacobFeb 11, 2021, 8:35 PM

37 points

14 comments7 min readLW link

(eidan.substack.com)

Monthly Roundup #5: April 2023

ZviApr 3, 2023, 6:50 PM

26 points

12 comments14 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Long COVID risk: How to maintain an up to date risk assessment so we can go back to normal life?

SameerishereMay 8, 2022, 7:56 PM

19 points

34 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What trade should we make if we’re all getting the new COVID strain?

Jacob FalkovichDec 25, 2020, 7:09 AM

79 points

73 comments1 min readLW link

Which COVID booster to get?

SameerishereOct 21, 2023, 7:43 PM

8 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Should reasonably healthy people still take Paxlovid?

SameerishereSep 29, 2022, 3:41 AM

15 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Do you believe in hundred dollar bills lying on the ground? Consider humming

ElizabethMay 16, 2024, 12:00 AM

122 points

22 comments6 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

New SARS-CoV-2 variant

TheMajorDec 20, 2020, 9:22 PM

46 points

16 comments2 min readLW link

H5N1

ZviFeb 13, 2023, 12:50 PM

102 points

1 comment9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Why hasn’t there been research on the effectiveness of zinc for Covid-19?

Rudi CAug 24, 2020, 8:58 PM

12 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

RadVac Commercial Antibody Test Results

johnswentworthFeb 26, 2021, 6:04 PM

243 points

30 comments3 min readLW link 1 review

We desperately need to talk more about human challenge trials.

DirectedEvolutionDec 19, 2020, 10:00 AM

29 points

25 comments4 min readLW link

Participating in a Covid-19 Vaccine Trial #2: We pretty much knew it would work the whole time

ejacobFeb 27, 2021, 12:47 AM

7 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

Germs and Politics

Savio CoelhoMar 1, 2021, 9:57 PM

1 point

1 comment10 min readLW link

[Question] How many people have died in China from Covid-19?

Pee DoomMar 30, 2020, 3:06 AM

7 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Where did the 5 micron number come from? Nowhere good. [Wired.com]

ElizabethNov 9, 2021, 7:14 AM

108 points

8 comments1 min readLW link 1 review

(www.wired.com)

[Question] Current guidance for COVID-19 self-care?

kniteAug 23, 2020, 2:10 AM

20 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

BIDA Air Quality Measurements

jefftkMay 16, 2022, 2:00 PM

19 points

9 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Some things I’m looking forward to in 2021: probable post-pandemic edition

KatjaGraceDec 17, 2020, 8:20 AM

23 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Participating in a Covid-19 Vaccine Trial #3: I Hope I feel Worse Tomorrow

ejacobMar 5, 2021, 12:02 AM

8 points

2 comments5 min readLW link

Covid 2/16/23: It All Seems Rather Quaint

ZviFeb 16, 2023, 3:10 PM

25 points

2 comments5 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Which booster shot to get and when?

NormanPerlmutterNov 19, 2021, 8:52 AM

22 points

17 comments2 min readLW link

Heuristic: Replace “No Evidence” with “No Reason”

Yair HalberstadtFeb 15, 2021, 9:25 PM

44 points

9 comments2 min readLW link

French long COVID study: Belief vs Infection

BuckyNov 23, 2021, 11:14 PM

40 points

11 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] AstraZeneca COVID Vaccine and blood clots

jmhMar 15, 2021, 1:16 PM

10 points

19 comments1 min readLW link

Risk and Safety in the age of COVID

Mike HarrisJan 20, 2022, 6:40 PM

24 points

14 comments10 min readLW link

AstraZeneca vaccine shows no protection against Covid-19 variant from Africa

Gytis DaujotasMar 17, 2021, 6:45 PM

13 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

Covid 2/23/23: Your Best Possible Situation

ZviFeb 23, 2023, 1:10 PM

92 points

9 comments5 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] What are the best resources to point people who are skeptical of getting vaccinated for COVID-19 to?

ChristianKlMar 20, 2021, 11:18 AM

13 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Canada Covid Update: thinking out loud

MalcolmOceanMar 22, 2021, 9:39 PM

35 points

6 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Why is COVID reinfection rate still so uncertain.

glebMar 24, 2021, 9:12 PM

1 point

4 comments1 min readLW link

Coronavirus and Rents II

jefftkAug 21, 2020, 2:30 AM

11 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Should I advocate for people to not buy Ivermectin as a treatment for COVID-19 in the Philippines for now?

BrianTanMar 31, 2021, 1:59 PM

8 points

9 comments2 min readLW link

Covid 4/1: Vaccine Passports

ZviApr 1, 2021, 12:10 PM

50 points

52 comments27 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] By which mechanism does immunity favor new Covid variants?

anorangiccApr 4, 2021, 10:24 AM

2 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

Risk Budgets vs. Basic Decision Theory

Vlad FiroiuApr 5, 2021, 9:55 PM

11 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

There Is No Control System For COVID

Mike HarrisApr 6, 2021, 5:16 PM

35 points

8 comments10 min readLW link

Covid 8/20: A Little Progress

ZviAug 20, 2020, 2:30 PM

47 points

6 comments15 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] How should I behave ≥14 days after my first mRNA vaccine dose but before my second dose?

dsjApr 8, 2021, 6:24 AM

8 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Responding to common objections to the FDA unbanning Paxlovid right now

delton137Nov 26, 2021, 5:18 PM

21 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(moreisdifferent.substack.com)

Covid 4/9: Another Vaccine Passport Objection

ZviApr 9, 2021, 2:50 PM

54 points

34 comments14 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Why didn’t virologists run the studies necessary to determine which viruses are airborne?

ChristianKlJun 20, 2023, 11:58 AM

28 points

19 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How long would you wait to get Moderna/Pfizer vs J&J?

SameerishereApr 12, 2021, 6:23 PM

25 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

Post-COVID Integration Rituals

UnrealApr 12, 2021, 4:54 PM

43 points

1 comment4 min readLW link

Covid 12/17: The First Dose

ZviDec 17, 2020, 2:20 PM

76 points

29 comments19 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Should PAXLOVID be given preventively?

ChristianKlNov 27, 2021, 4:51 PM

11 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Submit comments on Paxlovid to the FDA (deadline Nov 29th).

DirectedEvolutionNov 27, 2021, 6:44 PM

20 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

Covid 12/3: Land of Confusion

ZviDec 3, 2020, 2:20 PM

79 points

34 comments23 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Contra Mask Status

jefftkJun 6, 2023, 2:10 AM

10 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

It’s Time To Stop Dancing

jefftkMar 9, 2020, 3:30 AM

36 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Experience with Cue Covid Testing

jefftkDec 1, 2021, 2:50 AM

19 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] For mRNA vaccines, is (short-term) efficacy really higher after the second dose?

Sam MarksApr 25, 2021, 8:21 PM

27 points

13 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Help me understand the rationale of the NIH to not recommend Fluvoxamine for COVID treatment.

df fdFeb 2, 2022, 10:23 AM

17 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] Are there alternative routes to variolate COVID instead of the respiratory tract?

df fdFeb 2, 2022, 10:45 AM

3 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Is asymptomatic transmission less common after vaccination?

Brendan LongFeb 2, 2022, 8:53 PM

8 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

Imagine a World Where Governments Treated COVID-19 Properly

jdcampolargoAug 12, 2020, 10:52 PM

−2 points

0 comments4 min readLW link

Covid 1/5/23: Various XBB Takes

ZviJan 5, 2023, 2:20 PM

21 points

18 comments15 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Should we postpone getting a booster due to Omicron, till there are Omicron-specific boosters?

ChristianKlDec 4, 2021, 12:46 PM

33 points

18 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 11/26: Thanksgiving

ZviNov 26, 2020, 2:50 PM

114 points

14 comments24 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid Christmas

jefftkDec 4, 2021, 10:00 PM

20 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Which COVID-19 serology (antibody) test is best?

kniteAug 5, 2020, 6:54 PM

5 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Louisiana Gets Vaccine Passports Right

tkpwaeubMay 12, 2021, 1:23 AM

14 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Everything Wrong with Roko’s Claims about an Engineered Pandemic

WitheringWeightsFeb 22, 2024, 3:59 PM

93 points

10 comments16 min readLW link

Overall numbers won’t show the English strain coming

Eric NeymanJan 1, 2021, 11:00 PM

60 points

12 comments2 min readLW link

Covid 1/12/23: Unexpected Spike in Deaths

ZviJan 12, 2023, 2:30 PM

31 points

2 comments8 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Starting a Rationalist Meetup during Lockdown

Felix KargMay 25, 2021, 3:43 PM

29 points

2 comments11 min readLW link

[Question] Where are the post-COVID complainers?

kniteDec 28, 2020, 6:36 PM

15 points

16 comments1 min readLW link

Flying With Covid

jefftkJan 18, 2023, 5:00 PM

44 points

29 comments3 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Is there a way to test your personal COVID vaccine response? How do corticosteroids impact response?

SameerishereJun 3, 2021, 5:08 AM

13 points

4 comments2 min readLW link

Why do people avoid vaccination?

KatjaGraceFeb 10, 2022, 9:10 PM

53 points

58 comments6 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

[Question] Are there reasons to think mixing vaccines is dangerous?

Maxwell PetersonJun 3, 2021, 10:36 PM

7 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

Long Covid Risks: 2023 Update

ElizabethMay 6, 2023, 6:20 PM

68 points

9 comments4 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

Covid 1/19/23: Flipped Numbers

ZviJan 19, 2023, 1:30 PM

19 points

4 comments4 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Am I anti-social if I get vaccinated now?

FlorianHJun 11, 2021, 3:42 PM

5 points

14 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Why are young, healthy people eager to take the Covid-19 vaccine?

CheerfulWarriorNov 22, 2020, 3:24 PM

14 points

59 comments2 min readLW link

Covid 12/16: On Your Marks

ZviDec 16, 2021, 9:00 PM

53 points

36 comments9 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] How to think about wearing masks / distancing within the household?

SameerishereNov 22, 2020, 6:56 AM

1 point

5 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 11/19: Don’t Do Stupid Things

ZviNov 19, 2020, 4:00 PM

72 points

29 comments23 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Honor System for Vaccination?

jefftkSep 24, 2023, 11:50 AM

17 points

22 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Covid 6/17: One Last Scare

ZviJun 17, 2021, 6:40 PM

86 points

42 comments11 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 11/12: The Winds of Winter

ZviNov 12, 2020, 2:30 PM

100 points

64 comments19 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 2/17/22: Coasting Downwards

ZviFeb 17, 2022, 3:20 PM

32 points

10 comments28 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Why did the UK switch to a 12 week dosing schedule for COVID-19 vaccines?

Eli TyreJun 20, 2021, 9:57 PM

30 points

22 comments3 min readLW link

How humanity would respond to slow takeoff, with takeaways from the entire COVID-19 pandemic

Noosphere89Jul 6, 2022, 5:52 PM

4 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

[Question] Does BioNtech’s vaccine result of 90% disease prevention mean that 90% of the vaccinated can’t pass the virus to other people?

ChristianKlNov 10, 2020, 3:27 PM

15 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Omicron Paths

jefftkDec 20, 2021, 6:30 PM

14 points

8 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Quick Poll: Booster Reactions

ElizabethDec 21, 2021, 7:40 AM

40 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

Covid 11/5: Don’t Mention the War

ZviNov 5, 2020, 2:20 PM

64 points

16 comments28 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] What precautions should fully-vaccinated people still be taking?

SameerishereJun 27, 2021, 7:10 PM

32 points

48 comments9 min readLW link

What’s Up With the CDC Nowcast?

ZviDec 22, 2021, 1:00 PM

61 points

4 comments5 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Testing, Testing, Hopefully

ZviDec 23, 2021, 12:30 PM

41 points

8 comments4 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 2/24/22: The Next War

ZviFeb 24, 2022, 2:30 PM

39 points

4 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Averting Catastrophe: Decision Theory for COVID-19, Climate Change, and Potential Disasters of All Kinds

JakubKMay 2, 2023, 10:50 PM

10 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

We Still Don’t Know If Masks Work

Mike HarrisJul 5, 2021, 4:52 AM

21 points

25 comments3 min readLW link

Sofia, Bulgaria ACX March 2023 Social

AnastasiaMar 1, 2023, 12:21 PM

1 point

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022?

AnnapurnaJul 10, 2021, 2:01 PM

5 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

Why is Covid Surveillance so Hard?

TornusDec 28, 2021, 5:41 PM

13 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

Trick-or-treating in Covid Times

jefftkOct 31, 2020, 12:30 AM

29 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Food Spending During Covid

jefftkAug 1, 2020, 5:10 PM

10 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Vaccine Policies Need Updating

jefftkApr 30, 2023, 5:20 PM

11 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Covid Covid Covid Covid Covid 10/29: All We Ever Talk About

ZviOct 29, 2020, 3:10 PM

61 points

50 comments22 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 7/22: Error Correction

ZviJul 22, 2021, 2:20 PM

66 points

45 comments21 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 7/14/22: BA.2.75 Plus Tax

ZviJul 14, 2022, 2:40 PM

39 points

9 comments8 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Is there a theoretical upper limit on the R0 of Covid variants?

CraigMichaelJul 26, 2021, 6:53 AM

11 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

A reasonable debate about Ivermectin

CraigMichaelJul 27, 2021, 10:31 PM

7 points

14 comments2 min readLW link

Covid 3/10/22: We Have a Plan

ZviMar 10, 2022, 4:10 PM

37 points

3 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Omicron #16: Danger in China

ZviMar 14, 2022, 3:50 PM

58 points

10 comments4 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Even if your Voice Shakes

SlimepriestessMar 6, 2020, 6:04 PM

49 points

17 comments1 min readLW link

(hivewired.wordpress.com)

[Question] How should we adjust microCOVID estimates for omicron, boosters, testing?

SameerishereDec 30, 2021, 12:15 AM

8 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

How to get mRNA after J&J

jefftkAug 5, 2021, 1:50 AM

19 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What do we know about vaccinating children?

Gunnar_ZarnckeAug 4, 2021, 11:57 PM

17 points

12 comments1 min readLW link

The case for C19 being widespread

Hauke HillebrandtMar 28, 2020, 12:07 AM

16 points

64 comments5 min readLW link

Scoring My AstraZeneca Predictions

Erich_GrunewaldAug 6, 2021, 11:52 AM

7 points

0 comments8 min readLW link

(www.erichgrunewald.com)

R0 Is Not Counterfactual

jefftkApr 13, 2023, 7:50 PM

33 points

9 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

How can I reconcile these COVID test false-negative numbers?

Optimization ProcessOct 27, 2020, 11:56 PM

15 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

Effective Epidemiology

Mike HarrisOct 22, 2020, 7:45 PM

26 points

13 comments9 min readLW link

(Salt) Water Gargling as an Antiviral

ElizabethNov 22, 2024, 6:00 PM

88 points

6 comments5 min readLW link

(acesounderglass.com)

Mildly against COVID risk budgets

Optimization ProcessAug 16, 2021, 5:53 AM

54 points

15 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] When will kids stop wearing masks at school?

Daniel KokotajloMar 19, 2022, 10:13 PM

15 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

You have recovered from SARS-CoV-2. Now what?

AnnapurnaOct 18, 2020, 5:52 PM

15 points

1 comment5 min readLW link

Interview with Olle Häggström: Reason, COVID-19 and Academic Freedom in Sweden

Erich_GrunewaldAug 21, 2021, 3:08 PM

8 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

(www.erichgrunewald.com)

Experimental longtermism: theory needs data

Jan_Kulveit and technicalities

Mar 24, 2022, 8:23 AM

52 points

0 comments4 min readLW link

(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

[Question] What fraction of breakthrough COVID cases are attributable to low antibody count?

johnswentworthAug 22, 2021, 4:07 AM

51 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How to optimize my time fighting COVID-19?

Ian David MossMar 19, 2020, 7:15 PM

28 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

Covid 8/26: Full Vaccine Approval

ZviAug 26, 2021, 1:00 PM

56 points

46 comments15 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

How much should we still worry about catching COVID? [Links and Discussion Thread]

MichaelStJulesAug 29, 2021, 6:26 AM

5 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] How Do You Convince Your Parents To Prep? To Quarantine?

ElizabethMar 16, 2020, 3:42 AM

27 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How does late-2022 COVID transmissibility drop over time?

Daniel DeweyNov 22, 2022, 7:54 PM

8 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Boston Social Dance Covid Requirements

jefftkApr 12, 2023, 2:30 AM

7 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Covid 10/15: Playtime is Over

ZviOct 15, 2020, 2:30 PM

74 points

21 comments17 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

COVID Strategy 101

Mike HarrisOct 5, 2020, 7:30 PM

58 points

7 comments18 min readLW link

Cliffs Notes: How much should fully vaccinated people care about Long COVID?

SameerishereSep 5, 2021, 10:01 PM

21 points

0 comments11 min readLW link

Covid 9/9: Passing the Peak

ZviSep 9, 2021, 4:10 PM

35 points

21 comments17 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Day Zero Antivirals for Future Pandemics

Niko_McCartyAug 26, 2024, 3:18 PM

22 points

2 comments10 min readLW link

(www.asimov.press)

[Question] Recommended book for a balanced take and lessons learned from covid pandemic response

Martin Hare RobertsonMar 13, 2024, 6:14 PM

4 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

The Effectiveness Of Masks is Limited

Mike HarrisSep 21, 2021, 5:03 PM

24 points

7 comments6 min readLW link

My covid-related beliefs and questions

Severin T. SeehrichJul 23, 2024, 3:27 AM

8 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Sample Prevalence vs Global Prevalence

jefftkJul 8, 2024, 9:00 PM

11 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Superforecasting the Origins of the Covid-19 Pandemic

DanielFilanMar 12, 2024, 7:01 PM

64 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(goodjudgment.substack.com)

[Question] Omicron variolation?

Randomized, ControlledJan 8, 2022, 3:12 AM

15 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 12/8/22: Another Winter Wave

ZviDec 8, 2022, 2:40 PM

23 points

8 comments11 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Linkpost] The Story Of VaccinateCA

hathDec 9, 2022, 11:54 PM

103 points

4 comments10 min readLW link

(www.worksinprogress.co)

patio11′s “Observations from an EA-adjacent (?) charitable effort”

RobertMDec 10, 2022, 12:27 AM

43 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

[Question] Booster shots from same vs different vaccines

Aryeh EnglanderOct 9, 2021, 2:56 AM

11 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

Covid 2/2/23: The Emergency Ends on 5/11

ZviFeb 2, 2023, 2:00 PM

22 points

6 comments7 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

No comments.

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