Eli Tyre

Evolu­tion did a sur­pris­ing good job at al­ign­ing hu­mans...to so­cial status

On the lethal­ity of bi­ased hu­man re­ward ratings

Smart Ses­sions—Fi­nally a (kinda) win­dow-cen­tric ses­sion manager

Un­pack­ing the dy­nam­ics of AGI con­flict that sug­gest the ne­ces­sity of a premp­tive pivotal act

Briefly think­ing through some analogs of debate

Public be­liefs vs. Pri­vate beliefs

Twit­ter thread on postrationalists

[Question] What are some good pieces on civ­i­liza­tional de­cay /​ civ­i­liza­tional col­lapse /​ weak­en­ing of so­cietal fabric?

[Question] What are some trig­gers that prompt you to do a Fermi es­ti­mate, or to pull up a spread­sheet and make a sim­ple/​rough quan­ti­ta­tive model?

I’m no longer sure that I buy dutch book ar­gu­ments and this makes me skep­ti­cal of the “util­ity func­tion” abstraction

[Question] Why did the UK switch to a 12 week dos­ing sched­ule for COVID-19 vac­cines?

[Question] How do we pre­pare for fi­nal crunch time?

[Question] What are some real life Inad­e­quate Equil­ibria?

#2: Neu­ro­cry­op­reser­va­tion vs whole-body preservation

Some recom­men­da­tions for al­ign­ing the de­ci­sion to go to war with the pub­lic in­ter­est, from The Spoils of War

[Question] What is the cur­rent bot­tle­neck on ge­netic en­g­ineer­ing of hu­man em­bryos for im­proved IQ

How To Fermi Model

[Question] Do we have up­dated data about the risk of ~ per­ma­nent chronic fa­tigue from COVID-19?

Ba­sic Con­ver­sa­tional Co­or­di­na­tion: Micro-co­or­di­na­tion of In­ten­tion

[Question] If you are signed up for cry­on­ics with life in­surance, how much life in­surance did you get and over what term?