I think twice as much time actually spent would have improved decisions substantially, but is tough—everyone is very busy these days, so it would require both a longer working window, and also probably higher compensation for recommenders. At minimum, it would allow a lot more investigations especially of non-connected outsider proposals.
Zvi
Repeal the Jones Act of 1920
AI #91: Deep Thinking
Zvi’s Thoughts on His 2nd Round of SFF
Monthly Roundup #24: November 2024
AI #90: The Wall
The Online Sports Gambling Experiment Has Failed
AI #89: Trump Card
AI #88: Thanks for the Memos
Occupational Licensing Roundup #1
Housing Roundup #10
The skill in such a game is largely in understanding the free association space, knowing how people likely react and thinking enough steps ahead to choose moves that steer the person where you want to go, either into topics you find interesting, information you want from them, or getting them to a particular position, and so on. If you’re playing without goals, of course it’s boring...
AI #87: Staying in Character
Claude Sonnet 3.5.1 and Haiku 3.5
The Mask Comes Off: At What Price?
I don’t think that works because my brain keeps trying to make it a literal gas bubble?
I see how you got there. It’s a position one could take, although I think it’s unlikely and also that it’s unlikely that’s what Dario meant. If you are right about what he meant, I think it would be great for Dario to be a ton more explicit about it (and for someone to pass that message along to him). Esotericism doesn’t work so well here!
I am taking as a given people’s revealed and often very strongly stated preference that CSAM images are Very Not Okay even if they are fully AI generated and not based on any individual, to the point of criminality, and that society is going to treat it that way.
I agree that we don’t know that it is actually net harmful—e.g. the studies on video game use and access to adult pornography tend to not show the negative impacts people assume.
I am not a software engineer, and I’ve encountered cases where it seems plausible that an engineer has basically stopped putting in work. It can be tough to know for sure for a while even when you notice. But yeah, it shouldn’t be able to last for THAT long, but if no one is paying attention?
I’ve also had jobs where I’ve had periods with radically different hours worked, and where it would have been very difficult for others to tell which it was for a while if I was trying to hide it, which I wasn’t.