“It’s a 10% chance which I did 10 times, so it should be 100%”

egor.timatkov18 Nov 2024 1:14 UTC

118 points

44 comments2 min readLW link

Neutrality

sarahconstantin13 Nov 2024 23:10 UTC

141 points

22 comments11 min readLW link

(sarahconstantin.substack.com)

The Median Researcher Problem

johnswentworth2 Nov 2024 20:16 UTC

163 points

69 comments1 min readLW link

The hostile telepaths problem

Valentine27 Oct 2024 15:26 UTC

340 points

74 comments15 min readLW link

A bird’s eye view of ARC’s research

Jacob_Hilton23 Oct 2024 15:50 UTC

116 points

12 comments7 min readLW link

(www.alignment.org)

Catastrophic sabotage as a major threat model for human-level AI systems

evhub22 Oct 2024 20:57 UTC

90 points

8 comments15 min readLW link

I got dysentery so you don’t have to

eukaryote22 Oct 2024 4:55 UTC

310 points

4 comments17 min readLW link

(eukaryotewritesblog.com)

Arithmetic is an underrated world-modeling technology

dynomight17 Oct 2024 14:00 UTC

147 points

32 comments6 min readLW link

(dynomight.net)

Overview of strong human intelligence amplification methods

TsviBT8 Oct 2024 8:37 UTC

264 points

141 comments10 min readLW link

Why I’m not a Bayesian

Richard_Ngo6 Oct 2024 15:22 UTC

184 points

92 comments10 min readLW link

(www.mindthefuture.info)

Three Subtle Examples of Data Leakage

abstractapplic1 Oct 2024 20:45 UTC

171 points

16 comments4 min readLW link

Explore More: A Bag of Tricks to Keep Your Life on the Rails

Shoshannah Tekofsky28 Sep 2024 21:38 UTC

225 points

13 comments11 min readLW link

(shoshanigans.substack.com)

Struggling like a Shadowmoth

Raemon24 Sep 2024 0:47 UTC

175 points

38 comments7 min readLW link

A basic systems architecture for AI agents that do autonomous research

Buck23 Sep 2024 13:58 UTC

187 points

15 comments8 min readLW link

Laziness death spirals

PatrickDFarley19 Sep 2024 15:58 UTC

242 points

34 comments8 min readLW link

Skills from a year of Purposeful Rationality Practice

Raemon18 Sep 2024 2:05 UTC

178 points

18 comments7 min readLW link

Did Christopher Hitchens change his mind about waterboarding?

Isaac King15 Sep 2024 8:28 UTC

171 points

22 comments7 min readLW link

The Great Data Integration Schlep

sarahconstantin13 Sep 2024 15:40 UTC

258 points

16 comments9 min readLW link

(sarahconstantin.substack.com)

Contra papers claiming superhuman AI forecasting

nikos, Peter Mühlbacher, Lawrence Phillips and dschwarz

12 Sep 2024 18:10 UTC

180 points

16 comments7 min readLW link

My Number 1 Epistemology Book Recommendation: Inventing Temperature

adamShimi8 Sep 2024 14:30 UTC

116 points

18 comments3 min readLW link

(epistemologicalfascinations.substack.com)