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Game Theory

TagLast edit: 19 Mar 2023 21:28 UTC by Diabloto96

Game theory is the formal study of how rational actors interact to pursue incentives. It investigates situations of conflict and cooperation.

See also: Coalition/​coordination, Coalitional Instincts, Decision theory, Moloch, Utility functions, Decision Theory, Prisoner’s Dilemma

Game theory is an extremely powerful and robust tool in analyzing much more complex situations, such as: mergers and acquisitions, political economy, voting systems, war bargaining and biological evolution. Eight game-theorists have won the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences.

References

Eight Short Stud­ies On Excuses

Scott Alexander20 Apr 2010 23:01 UTC
834 points
253 comments10 min readLW link

In­tro­duc­tion to Game The­ory: Se­quence Guide

Scott Alexander28 Jun 2012 3:32 UTC
84 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

Player of Games

Jacob Falkovich29 Aug 2018 21:26 UTC
65 points
3 comments12 min readLW link

Moloch games

Chris van Merwijk16 Oct 2020 15:19 UTC
80 points
9 comments4 min readLW link

The Pavlov Strategy

sarahconstantin20 Dec 2018 16:20 UTC
273 points
14 comments4 min readLW link
(srconstantin.wordpress.com)

Book Re­view—The Ori­gins of Un­fair­ness: So­cial Cat­e­gories and Cul­tural Evolution

Zack_M_Davis21 Jan 2020 6:28 UTC
27 points
5 comments1 min readLW link
(unremediatedgender.space)

Book re­port: The­ory of Games and Eco­nomic Be­hav­ior (von Neu­mann & Mor­gen­stern)

Nisan11 May 2020 9:47 UTC
38 points
4 comments6 min readLW link

Thomas C. Schel­ling’s “Strat­egy of Con­flict”

cousin_it28 Jul 2009 16:08 UTC
151 points
154 comments2 min readLW link

Quotes from Mo­ral Mazes

Zvi30 May 2019 11:50 UTC
114 points
27 comments53 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Nash Equil­ibria and Schel­ling Points

Scott Alexander29 Jun 2012 2:06 UTC
131 points
82 comments7 min readLW link

Schel­ling fences on slip­pery slopes

Scott Alexander16 Mar 2012 23:44 UTC
592 points
250 comments6 min readLW link

“Zero Sum” is a mis­nomer.

abramdemski30 Sep 2020 18:25 UTC
120 points
34 comments6 min readLW link

Med­i­ta­tions On Moloch

Scott Alexander30 Jul 2014 4:00 UTC
187 points
10 comments47 min readLW link

Threat-Re­sis­tant Bar­gain­ing Me­ga­post: In­tro­duc­ing the ROSE Value

Diffractor28 Sep 2022 1:20 UTC
152 points
19 comments53 min readLW link2 reviews

Con­trite Strate­gies and The Need For Standards

sarahconstantin24 Dec 2018 18:30 UTC
131 points
5 comments4 min readLW link
(srconstantin.wordpress.com)

[Link] A gen­tle video in­tro­duc­tion to game the­ory

[deleted]13 Dec 2011 8:52 UTC
45 points
10 comments8 min readLW link

You Play to Win the Game

Zvi30 Aug 2018 14:10 UTC
27 points
5 comments2 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Rock, Paper and Scis­sors: A Game The­ory View

Edward P. Könings21 Jan 2023 21:00 UTC
18 points
3 comments4 min readLW link
(edwardknings.substack.com)

Pri­son­ers’ Dilemma with Costs to Modeling

Scott Garrabrant5 Jun 2018 4:51 UTC
123 points
20 comments7 min readLW link

In­tel­li­gence al­lo­ca­tion from a Mean Field Game The­ory perspective

Marv K13 Jun 2023 19:52 UTC
13 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

The Dar­win Game

lsusr9 Oct 2020 10:19 UTC
91 points
131 comments3 min readLW link

Fair Divi­sion of Black-Hole Ne­gen­tropy: an In­tro­duc­tion to Co­op­er­a­tive Game Theory

Wei Dai16 Jul 2009 4:17 UTC
62 points
37 comments2 min readLW link

Back­ward Rea­son­ing Over De­ci­sion Trees

Scott Alexander30 Jun 2012 3:17 UTC
166 points
58 comments4 min readLW link

In­tro­duc­tion to Pri­son­ers’ Dilemma

Scott Alexander30 Jun 2012 0:54 UTC
62 points
6 comments5 min readLW link

Unify­ing Bar­gain­ing No­tions (1/​2)

Diffractor25 Jul 2022 0:28 UTC
209 points
41 comments16 min readLW link

The Com­mit­ment Races problem

Daniel Kokotajlo23 Aug 2019 1:58 UTC
152 points
56 comments5 min readLW link

Most Pri­soner’s Dilem­mas are Stag Hunts; Most Stag Hunts are Schel­ling Problems

abramdemski14 Sep 2020 22:13 UTC
177 points
36 comments10 min readLW link3 reviews

Less Threat-Depen­dent Bar­gain­ing Solu­tions?? (3/​2)

Diffractor20 Aug 2022 2:19 UTC
88 points
7 comments6 min readLW link

Bar­gain­ing and Auctions

Scott Alexander15 Jul 2012 17:01 UTC
54 points
72 comments8 min readLW link

Mechanism De­sign: Con­struct­ing Al­gorithms for Strate­gic Agents

badger30 Apr 2014 18:37 UTC
71 points
14 comments9 min readLW link

The Dark Mir­a­cle of Optics

Suspended Reason24 Jun 2020 3:09 UTC
27 points
5 comments8 min readLW link

Game The­ory As A Dark Art

Scott Alexander24 Jul 2012 3:27 UTC
165 points
107 comments13 min readLW link

Anti-so­cial Punishment

Martin Sustrik27 Sep 2018 7:08 UTC
309 points
66 comments6 min readLW link3 reviews

Game the­ory, sanc­tions, and Ukraine

Dumbledore's Army13 Mar 2022 17:45 UTC
27 points
36 comments3 min readLW link

Re­sponses to ap­par­ent ra­tio­nal­ist con­fu­sions about game /​ de­ci­sion theory

Anthony DiGiovanni30 Aug 2023 22:02 UTC
142 points
14 comments12 min readLW link

Co­op­er­at­ing with agents with differ­ent ideas of fair­ness, while re­sist­ing exploitation

Eliezer Yudkowsky16 Sep 2013 8:27 UTC
103 points
42 comments4 min readLW link

Even Odds

Scott Garrabrant12 Jan 2014 7:24 UTC
76 points
47 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Karma votes: blind to or ac­count­ing for score?

cata22 Jun 2024 21:40 UTC
19 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Game The­ory with­out Argmax [Part 1]

Cleo Nardo11 Nov 2023 15:59 UTC
69 points
18 comments19 min readLW link

Game The­ory with­out Argmax [Part 2]

Cleo Nardo11 Nov 2023 16:02 UTC
31 points
14 comments13 min readLW link

In praise of heuristics

Bucky24 Oct 2018 15:44 UTC
39 points
27 comments7 min readLW link

Con­fu­sions re: Higher-Level Game Theory

Diffractor2 Jul 2021 3:15 UTC
38 points
5 comments9 min readLW link

Hyper­games 101

Josephine23 Jul 2021 13:19 UTC
12 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Yet More Mo­dal Combat

Donald Hobson24 Aug 2021 10:32 UTC
10 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

Clas­sify­ing games like the Pri­soner’s Dilemma

philh4 Jul 2020 17:10 UTC
109 points
28 comments6 min readLW link1 review
(reasonableapproximation.net)

Coun­ter­fac­tual Contracts

harsimony16 Sep 2021 15:20 UTC
10 points
4 comments9 min readLW link
(harsimony.wordpress.com)

EA Han­gout Pri­son­ers’ Dilemma

Jeffrey Ladish27 Sep 2021 23:15 UTC
55 points
18 comments3 min readLW link

In Log­i­cal Time, All Games are Iter­ated Games

abramdemski20 Sep 2018 2:01 UTC
94 points
10 comments5 min readLW link

My take on higher-or­der game theory

Nisan30 Nov 2021 5:56 UTC
40 points
8 comments5 min readLW link

If we solve al­ign­ment, do we die any­way?

Seth Herd23 Aug 2024 13:13 UTC
70 points
108 comments4 min readLW link

Mea­sures, Risk, Death, and War

Vaniver20 Dec 2011 23:37 UTC
17 points
14 comments8 min readLW link

Two Co­or­di­na­tion Styles

abramdemski7 Feb 2018 9:00 UTC
40 points
14 comments7 min readLW link

In­di­vi­d­u­ally in­cen­tivized safe Pareto im­prove­ments in open-source bargaining

17 Jul 2024 18:26 UTC
39 points
2 comments17 min readLW link

PD-al­ikes in two dimensions

philh23 Apr 2022 9:52 UTC
15 points
5 comments2 min readLW link
(reasonableapproximation.net)

Real World Solu­tions to Pri­son­ers’ Dilemmas

Scott Alexander3 Jul 2012 3:25 UTC
73 points
88 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] How should I talk about op­ti­mal but not sub­game-op­ti­mal play?

JamesFaville30 Jun 2022 13:58 UTC
5 points
1 comment3 min readLW link

«Boundaries» Se­quence (In­dex Post)

Andrew_Critch26 Jul 2022 19:12 UTC
25 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

In­ter­lude for Be­hav­ioral Economics

Scott Alexander6 Jul 2012 20:12 UTC
90 points
53 comments6 min readLW link

«Boundaries», Part 1: a key miss­ing con­cept from util­ity theory

Andrew_Critch26 Jul 2022 23:03 UTC
158 points
33 comments7 min readLW link

Unify­ing Bar­gain­ing No­tions (2/​2)

Diffractor27 Jul 2022 3:40 UTC
118 points
19 comments21 min readLW link

«Boundaries», Part 2: trends in EA’s han­dling of boundaries

Andrew_Critch6 Aug 2022 0:42 UTC
81 points
14 comments7 min readLW link

What Is Sig­nal­ing, Really?

Scott Alexander12 Jul 2012 17:43 UTC
141 points
173 comments6 min readLW link

AI coöper­a­tion is more pos­si­ble than you think

42317524 Sep 2022 21:26 UTC
7 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Max­i­mal lot­ter­ies for value learning

ViktoriaMalyasova16 Oct 2022 23:44 UTC
17 points
1 comment5 min readLW link

Nash equil­ibria of sym­met­ric zero-sum games

Ege Erdil27 Oct 2022 23:50 UTC
14 points
0 comments14 min readLW link

Im­perfect Vot­ing Systems

Scott Alexander20 Jul 2012 0:07 UTC
62 points
92 comments6 min readLW link

Mo­ral­ity as Parfi­tian-filtered De­ci­sion The­ory?

SilasBarta30 Aug 2010 21:37 UTC
32 points
273 comments8 min readLW link

Re­spect­ing your Lo­cal Preferences

Scott Garrabrant26 Nov 2022 19:04 UTC
73 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

What counts as defec­tion?

TurnTrout12 Jul 2020 22:03 UTC
81 points
21 comments5 min readLW link1 review

Col­lege Ad­mis­sions as a Bru­tal One-Shot Game

devansh5 Dec 2022 20:05 UTC
8 points
26 comments2 min readLW link

«Boundaries», Part 3b: Align­ment prob­lems in terms of bound­aries

Andrew_Critch14 Dec 2022 22:34 UTC
72 points
7 comments13 min readLW link

Sec­tions 1 & 2: In­tro­duc­tion, Strat­egy and Governance

JesseClifton17 Dec 2019 21:27 UTC
35 points
8 comments14 min readLW link

Kin­naird’s truels

Johnicholas5 Mar 2009 16:50 UTC
30 points
35 comments1 min readLW link

Sec­tions 3 & 4: Cred­i­bil­ity, Peace­ful Bar­gain­ing Mechanisms

JesseClifton17 Dec 2019 21:46 UTC
20 points
2 comments12 min readLW link

Sec­tions 5 & 6: Con­tem­po­rary Ar­chi­tec­tures, Hu­mans in the Loop

JesseClifton20 Dec 2019 3:52 UTC
27 points
4 comments10 min readLW link

Fixed points in mor­tal pop­u­la­tion games

ViktoriaMalyasova14 Mar 2023 7:10 UTC
31 points
0 comments12 min readLW link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Sec­tion 7: Foun­da­tions of Ra­tional Agency

JesseClifton22 Dec 2019 2:05 UTC
14 points
4 comments8 min readLW link

Notes on Fairness

David Gross7 Dec 2020 18:52 UTC
20 points
4 comments8 min readLW link

Pro­ject idea: an iter­ated pris­oner’s dilemma com­pe­ti­tion/​game

Adam Zerner26 Feb 2024 23:06 UTC
8 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Uncer­tainty in all its flavours

Cleo Nardo9 Jan 2024 16:21 UTC
27 points
6 comments35 min readLW link

A Prob­lem About Bar­gain­ing and Log­i­cal Uncertainty

Wei Dai21 Mar 2012 21:03 UTC
47 points
49 comments1 min readLW link

Moloch Hasn’t Won

Zvi28 Dec 2019 16:30 UTC
186 points
40 comments7 min readLW link1 review
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

The Costly Co­or­di­na­tion Mechanism of Com­mon Knowledge

Ben Pace15 Mar 2018 20:20 UTC
198 points
31 comments20 min readLW link2 reviews

A di­a­gram for a sim­ple two-player game

Paul Crowley10 Nov 2013 8:59 UTC
56 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

The Schel­ling Choice is “Rab­bit”, not “Stag”

Raemon8 Jun 2019 0:24 UTC
163 points
52 comments12 min readLW link3 reviews

Strate­gic ig­no­rance and plau­si­ble deniability

Kaj_Sotala10 Aug 2011 9:30 UTC
62 points
59 comments4 min readLW link

The True Pri­soner’s Dilemma

Eliezer Yudkowsky3 Sep 2008 21:34 UTC
229 points
117 comments4 min readLW link

From Per­sonal to Pri­son Gangs: En­forc­ing Proso­cial Behavior

johnswentworth24 Jan 2019 18:07 UTC
153 points
26 comments5 min readLW link2 reviews

A short calcu­la­tion about a Twit­ter poll

Ege Erdil14 Aug 2023 19:48 UTC
62 points
64 comments11 min readLW link

Red Pill vs Blue Pill, Bayes style

ErickBall16 Aug 2023 15:23 UTC
26 points
33 comments1 min readLW link

Speak­ing Truth to Power Is a Schel­ling Point

Zack_M_Davis30 Dec 2019 6:12 UTC
52 points
19 comments2 min readLW link

Funk-tunul’s Le­gacy; Or, The Le­gend of the Ex­tor­tion War

Zack_M_Davis24 Dec 2019 9:29 UTC
13 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

A Case for Co­op­er­a­tion: Depen­dence in the Pri­soner’s Dilemma

grantstenger17 Jun 2024 1:10 UTC
9 points
2 comments23 min readLW link

When Hind­sight Isn’t 20/​20: In­cen­tive De­sign With Im­perfect Credit Allocation

johnswentworth8 Nov 2020 19:16 UTC
79 points
24 comments6 min readLW link

The Dar­win Game—Rounds 1 to 2

lsusr11 Nov 2020 1:53 UTC
48 points
9 comments3 min readLW link

Spe­cial­ized La­bor and Coun­ter­fac­tual Compensation

philh14 Nov 2020 18:13 UTC
18 points
2 comments19 min readLW link
(reasonableapproximation.net)

For­mal Open Prob­lem in De­ci­sion Theory

Scott Garrabrant29 Nov 2018 3:25 UTC
37 points
28 comments4 min readLW link

The Ubiquitous Con­verse Law­vere Problem

Scott Garrabrant29 Nov 2018 3:16 UTC
22 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Hyper­real Brouwer

Scott Garrabrant29 Nov 2018 3:15 UTC
31 points
2 comments6 min readLW link

The Mu­tant Game—Rounds 11 to 30

lsusr23 Nov 2020 9:20 UTC
5 points
2 comments5 min readLW link

The Mu­tant Game—Rounds 31 to 90

lsusr27 Nov 2020 21:05 UTC
18 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

How Often Does Tak­ing Away Op­tions Help?

niplav21 Sep 2024 21:52 UTC
20 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Non-ul­ti­ma­tum game problem

numpyNaN8 Apr 2024 23:25 UTC
9 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

Pareto im­prove­ments are rarer than they seem

philh27 Jan 2018 22:23 UTC
27 points
13 comments3 min readLW link
(reasonableapproximation.net)

Co­or­di­na­tion Prob­lems in Evolu­tion: The Rise of Eukaryotes

Martin Sustrik15 Oct 2018 6:18 UTC
49 points
8 comments8 min readLW link

Build­ing Blocks of Poli­tics: An Overview of Selec­torate Theory

Yoav Ravid12 Oct 2021 11:27 UTC
86 points
26 comments49 min readLW link1 review

“A Note on the Com­pat­i­bil­ity of Differ­ent Ro­bust Pro­gram Equil­ibria of the Pri­soner’s Dilemma”

the gears to ascension27 Apr 2023 7:34 UTC
18 points
5 comments1 min readLW link
(arxiv.org)

What is a VNM sta­ble set, re­ally?

Nisan25 Jan 2021 5:43 UTC
14 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] How to avoid Schel­ling points?

cwg1g1614 May 2020 19:37 UTC
29 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

Con­flict vs. mis­take in non-zero-sum games

Nisan5 Apr 2020 22:22 UTC
167 points
40 comments2 min readLW link1 review

A free to en­ter, 240 char­ac­ter, open-source iter­ated pris­oner’s dilemma tournament

Isaac King9 Nov 2023 8:24 UTC
64 points
19 comments1 min readLW link
(manifold.markets)

Mo­dal Bar­gain­ing Agents

orthonormal16 Apr 2015 22:19 UTC
14 points
20 comments5 min readLW link

De-Cen­ter­ing Bias

Chris_Leong18 Oct 2017 23:24 UTC
14 points
10 comments2 min readLW link

Nega­tive “eeny meeny miny moe”

jefftk20 Aug 2019 2:48 UTC
25 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Ra­tional Unilat­er­al­ists Aren’t So Cursed

SCP4 Jul 2023 12:19 UTC
47 points
5 comments6 min readLW link

The Power of Noise

jsteinhardt16 Jun 2014 17:26 UTC
60 points
80 comments11 min readLW link

How I Learned To Stop Wor­ry­ing And Love The Shoggoth

Peter Merel12 Jul 2023 17:47 UTC
9 points
15 comments5 min readLW link

Split-a-Dol­lar Game

Martin Sustrik24 Aug 2020 4:54 UTC
29 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

The hous­ing crisis, ex­plained us­ing game theory

Johnstone15 Jul 2023 20:27 UTC
4 points
2 comments8 min readLW link

[Question] Inac­cessible finely tuned RNG in hu­mans?

Sandi7 Oct 2020 17:04 UTC
23 points
13 comments1 min readLW link

Play­ing the Meta-game

Technologos25 Dec 2009 10:06 UTC
31 points
47 comments2 min readLW link

Learn­ing as you play: an­thropic shadow in deadly games

dr_s12 Aug 2023 7:34 UTC
37 points
28 comments35 min readLW link

The Dar­win Game—Rounds 0 to 10

lsusr24 Oct 2020 2:17 UTC
107 points
34 comments4 min readLW link

The Dar­win Game—Round 1

lsusr29 Oct 2020 21:56 UTC
58 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

Fair­ness vs. Goodness

Eliezer Yudkowsky22 Feb 2009 20:22 UTC
15 points
21 comments1 min readLW link

Precom­mit­ting to pay­ing Omega.

topynate20 Mar 2009 4:33 UTC
5 points
33 comments7 min readLW link

Ra­tional Agents Co­op­er­ate in the Pri­soner’s Dilemma

Isaac King2 Sep 2023 6:15 UTC
17 points
66 comments12 min readLW link

Two rea­sons to ex­pect a peace­ful change of power in the US

Tim Liptrot8 Nov 2020 17:13 UTC
11 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

The Talk: a brief ex­pla­na­tion of sex­ual dimorphism

Malmesbury18 Sep 2023 16:23 UTC
492 points
72 comments16 min readLW link

Ex­tor­tion beats brinks­man­ship, but the au­di­ence matters

Stuart_Armstrong16 Nov 2020 21:13 UTC
27 points
15 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Is there a defini­tive in­tro to pun­ish­ing non-pun­ish­ers?

pjeby31 Oct 2019 20:20 UTC
25 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

The Monty Maul Problem

JGWeissman24 Jun 2009 5:30 UTC
7 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

Sleep­ing Beauty gets coun­ter­fac­tu­ally mugged

Stuart_Armstrong26 Mar 2009 11:44 UTC
6 points
34 comments2 min readLW link

The Dar­win Game—Conclusion

lsusr4 Dec 2020 8:06 UTC
94 points
30 comments2 min readLW link

Freaky Fairness

cousin_it25 Jul 2009 8:14 UTC
14 points
36 comments3 min readLW link

Hermione Granger and New­comb’s Paradox

lsusr14 Dec 2020 5:27 UTC
48 points
18 comments2 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s Mug­ging: The Word Wars

johncrox16 Oct 2023 17:54 UTC
9 points
1 comment6 min readLW link

[LINK] The P + ep­silon At­tack (Precom­mit­ment in cryp­toe­co­nomics)

DanielVarga29 Jan 2015 2:02 UTC
32 points
22 comments2 min readLW link

Pri­soner’s Dilem­mas : Altru­ism :: Bat­tles of the Sexes : Convention

michaelcohen1 Feb 2021 10:39 UTC
11 points
4 comments4 min readLW link

Notes on Schel­ling’s “Strat­egy of Con­flict” (1960)

MichaelA10 Feb 2021 2:48 UTC
25 points
8 comments8 min readLW link

Don’t en­courage pris­on­ers dilemmas

Yair Halberstadt16 Feb 2021 6:33 UTC
8 points
7 comments2 min readLW link

The Pro­to­typ­i­cal Ne­go­ti­a­tion Game

johnswentworth20 Feb 2021 21:33 UTC
97 points
16 comments5 min readLW link1 review

An­a­lyz­ing Mul­ti­player Games us­ing IMPACT

midco2 Apr 2021 19:10 UTC
10 points
3 comments9 min readLW link

Iden­ti­fi­a­bil­ity Prob­lem for Su­per­ra­tional De­ci­sion Theories

Bunthut9 Apr 2021 20:33 UTC
17 points
16 comments2 min readLW link

Paper re­view: A Cryp­to­graphic Solu­tion to a Game The­o­retic Problem

victorsintnicolaas24 Apr 2021 11:54 UTC
23 points
4 comments6 min readLW link

The Schel­ling Game (a.k.a. the Co­or­di­na­tion Game)

jchan3 May 2021 14:31 UTC
31 points
13 comments3 min readLW link

Game-the­o­retic Align­ment in terms of At­tain­able Utility

8 Jun 2021 12:36 UTC
20 points
2 comments9 min readLW link

Reflec­tion of Hier­ar­chi­cal Re­la­tion­ship via Nuanced Con­di­tion­ing of Game The­ory Ap­proach for AI Devel­op­ment and Utilization

Kyoung-cheol Kim4 Jun 2021 7:20 UTC
2 points
2 comments7 min readLW link

Gam­ing Incentives

Jozdien29 Jul 2021 13:51 UTC
10 points
4 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] Open prob­lem: how can we quan­tify player al­ign­ment in 2x2 nor­mal-form games?

TurnTrout16 Jun 2021 2:09 UTC
23 points
59 comments1 min readLW link

Progress on Causal In­fluence Diagrams

tom4everitt30 Jun 2021 15:34 UTC
73 points
6 comments9 min readLW link

For­mal­iz­ing Ob­jec­tions against Sur­ro­gate Goals

VojtaKovarik2 Sep 2021 16:24 UTC
16 points
23 comments1 min readLW link

[link] Are All Dic­ta­tor Game Re­sults Ar­ti­facts?

Kaj_Sotala23 May 2013 7:08 UTC
24 points
8 comments2 min readLW link

In the Pareto world, liars prosper

Stuart_Armstrong8 Dec 2011 14:15 UTC
28 points
33 comments2 min readLW link

Ran­domWalkNFT: A Game The­ory Exercise

Annapurna12 Nov 2021 19:05 UTC
7 points
10 comments2 min readLW link

Why a No-Fly-Zone would be the biggest gift to Putin, and why Ze­len­skyy keeps ask­ing for it [Linkpost and com­men­tary]

Dojan17 Mar 2022 3:13 UTC
48 points
16 comments3 min readLW link

Nu­clear Deter­rence 101 (and why the US can’t even hint at in­ter­ven­ing in Ukraine)

Darmani18 Mar 2022 7:25 UTC
36 points
9 comments3 min readLW link

Op­tional stopping

Ege Erdil2 Apr 2022 13:58 UTC
14 points
6 comments7 min readLW link

Solv­ing the Brazilian Chil­dren’s Game of 007

Epirito6 Apr 2022 13:03 UTC
4 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

The real rea­son Futarchists are doomed

lc1 Apr 2022 18:37 UTC
20 points
2 comments5 min readLW link

Ensem­bling the greedy doc­tor problem

Ryan Kidd18 Apr 2022 19:16 UTC
7 points
12 comments2 min readLW link

New co­op­er­a­tion mechanism—quadratic fund­ing with­out a match­ing pool

Filip Sondej5 Jun 2022 13:55 UTC
11 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Quick Sum­maries of Two Papers on Kant and Game Theory

Erich_Grunewald25 Jun 2022 10:25 UTC
8 points
2 comments4 min readLW link
(www.erichgrunewald.com)

What should su­per­ra­tional play­ers do in asym­met­ric games?

badger24 Jan 2014 7:42 UTC
46 points
18 comments4 min readLW link

Do bam­boos set them­selves on fire?

Malmesbury19 Sep 2022 15:34 UTC
170 points
14 comments6 min readLW link1 review

Ap­ply­ing su­per­in­tel­li­gence with­out col­lu­sion

Eric Drexler8 Nov 2022 18:08 UTC
109 points
63 comments4 min readLW link

Two New New­comb Variants

eva_14 Nov 2022 14:01 UTC
26 points
22 comments3 min readLW link

Strat­egy of In­ner Conflict

Jonathan Moregård15 Nov 2022 19:38 UTC
9 points
4 comments6 min readLW link
(honestliving.substack.com)

[Question] Is there any policy for a fair treat­ment of AIs whose friendli­ness is in doubt?

nahoj18 Nov 2022 19:01 UTC
15 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

Master plan spec: needs au­dit (logic and co­op­er­a­tive AI)

Quinn30 Nov 2022 6:10 UTC
17 points
5 comments7 min readLW link

Con­di­tions for Su­per­ra­tional­ity-mo­ti­vated Co­op­er­a­tion in a one-shot Pri­soner’s Dilemma

Jim Buhler19 Dec 2022 15:00 UTC
24 points
4 comments5 min readLW link

Prop­er­ties of cur­rent AIs and some pre­dic­tions of the evolu­tion of AI from the per­spec­tive of scale-free the­o­ries of agency and reg­u­la­tive development

Roman Leventov20 Dec 2022 17:13 UTC
33 points
3 comments36 min readLW link

Rock-Paper-Scis­sors Can Be Weird

winwonce28 Dec 2022 23:12 UTC
14 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Quan­tum Suicide, De­ci­sion The­ory, and The Multiverse

Slimepriestess22 Jan 2023 8:44 UTC
7 points
38 comments10 min readLW link
(voidgoddess.org)

The Eco­nomics of Contracts

Edward P. Könings7 Feb 2023 13:52 UTC
21 points
3 comments8 min readLW link
(edwardknings.substack.com)

A multi-dis­ci­plinary view on AI safety research

Roman Leventov8 Feb 2023 16:50 UTC
43 points
4 comments26 min readLW link

Noz­ick’s Dilemma: A Cri­tique of Game Theory

Edward P. Könings17 Feb 2023 16:11 UTC
10 points
1 comment13 min readLW link

Op­ti­mized for Some­thing other than Win­ning or: How Cricket Re­sists Moloch and Good­hart’s Law

A.H.5 Jul 2023 12:33 UTC
53 points
26 comments4 min readLW link

A De­ci­sion The­ory Can Be Ra­tional or Com­putable, but Not Both

StrivingForLegibility21 Dec 2023 21:02 UTC
9 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

An On­tol­ogy for Strate­gic Epistemology

StrivingForLegibility28 Dec 2023 22:11 UTC
9 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Distributed Strate­gic Epistemology

StrivingForLegibility28 Dec 2023 22:12 UTC
11 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

Build­ing Trust in Strate­gic Settings

StrivingForLegibility28 Dec 2023 22:12 UTC
24 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

So­cial Choice The­ory and Log­i­cal Handshakes

StrivingForLegibility29 Dec 2023 3:49 UTC
15 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Us­ing Threats to Achieve So­cially Op­ti­mal Outcomes

StrivingForLegibility4 Jan 2024 23:30 UTC
8 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

Best-Re­spond­ing Is Not Always the Best Response

StrivingForLegibility4 Jan 2024 23:30 UTC
10 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

A Bench­mark for De­ci­sion Theories

StrivingForLegibility11 Jan 2024 18:54 UTC
10 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Moloch—An Illus­trated Primer

James Stephen Brown26 May 2024 1:04 UTC
5 points
0 comments7 min readLW link
(nonzerosum.games)

In Strate­gic Time, Open-Source Games Are Loopy

StrivingForLegibility18 Jan 2024 0:08 UTC
21 points
2 comments6 min readLW link

Log­i­cal Line-Of-Sight Makes Games Se­quen­tial or Loopy

StrivingForLegibility19 Jan 2024 4:05 UTC
39 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

In­cor­po­rat­ing Jus­tice The­ory into De­ci­sion Theory

StrivingForLegibility21 Jan 2024 19:17 UTC
13 points
20 comments5 min readLW link

Leg­i­bil­ity Makes Log­i­cal Line-Of-Sight Transitive

StrivingForLegibility19 Jan 2024 23:39 UTC
13 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Ev­i­den­tial Cor­re­la­tions are Sub­jec­tive, and it might be a problem

Martín Soto7 Mar 2024 18:37 UTC
26 points
6 comments14 min readLW link

In­terLab – a toolkit for ex­per­i­ments with multi-agent interactions

22 Jan 2024 18:23 UTC
69 points
0 comments8 min readLW link
(acsresearch.org)

Coun­ter­fac­tual Mechanism Networks

StrivingForLegibility30 Jan 2024 20:30 UTC
4 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

To Boldly Code

StrivingForLegibility26 Jan 2024 18:25 UTC
25 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

Si­mu­la­tions and Altruism

FateGrinder2 Jun 2024 2:45 UTC
−7 points
2 comments25 min readLW link

In­cor­po­rat­ing Mechanism De­sign Into De­ci­sion Theory

StrivingForLegibility26 Jan 2024 18:25 UTC
17 points
4 comments4 min readLW link

Up­date­less­ness doesn’t solve most problems

Martín Soto8 Feb 2024 17:30 UTC
128 points
43 comments12 min readLW link

Dar­wi­nian Traps and Ex­is­ten­tial Risks

KristianRonn25 Aug 2024 22:37 UTC
76 points
14 comments10 min readLW link

ChatGPT re­fuses to ac­cept a challenge where it would get shot be­tween the eyes [game the­ory]

Bill Benzon20 Feb 2024 16:55 UTC
4 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] How does the ever-in­creas­ing use of AI in the mil­i­tary for the di­rect pur­pose of mur­der­ing peo­ple af­fect your p(doom)?

Justausername6 Apr 2024 6:31 UTC
19 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

In­fra-Bayesian haggling

hannagabor20 May 2024 12:23 UTC
18 points
0 comments20 min readLW link

Co­op­er­a­tion is op­ti­mal, with weaker agents too  -  tldr

Ryo 18 Apr 2024 15:03 UTC
12 points
22 comments4 min readLW link
(medium.com)

Can Kauff­man’s NK Boolean net­works make hu­mans swarm?

Yori-928 May 2024 2:09 UTC
6 points
2 comments20 min readLW link

The Frag­ility of Life Hy­poth­e­sis and the Evolu­tion of Cooperation

KristianRonn4 Sep 2024 21:04 UTC
49 points
6 comments11 min readLW link

The Align­ment Prob­lem No One Is Talk­ing About

James Stephen Brown10 May 2024 18:34 UTC
10 points
10 comments2 min readLW link
(nonzerosum.games)

What Are Non-Zero-Sum Games?—A Primer

James Stephen Brown18 May 2024 9:19 UTC
4 points
7 comments3 min readLW link

Geo­met­ric Utili­tar­i­anism (And Why It Mat­ters)

StrivingForLegibility12 May 2024 3:41 UTC
26 points
2 comments11 min readLW link

The Geo­met­ric Im­por­tance of Side Payments

StrivingForLegibility7 Aug 2024 1:38 UTC
8 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

The Carnot Eng­ine of Economics

StrivingForLegibility9 Aug 2024 15:59 UTC
5 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Prov­ing the Geo­met­ric Utili­tar­ian Theorem

StrivingForLegibility7 Aug 2024 1:39 UTC
25 points
0 comments8 min readLW link

Deriv­ing the Geo­met­ric Utili­tar­ian Weights

StrivingForLegibility7 Aug 2024 1:39 UTC
2 points
0 comments11 min readLW link

Gra­di­ent As­cen­ders Reach the Harsanyi Hyperplane

StrivingForLegibility7 Aug 2024 1:40 UTC
2 points
0 comments6 min readLW link

In­di­vi­d­ual Utilities Shift Con­tin­u­ously as Geo­met­ric Weights Shift

StrivingForLegibility7 Aug 2024 1:41 UTC
2 points
0 comments17 min readLW link

“New­ton’s laws” of finance

pchvykov21 Jun 2024 9:41 UTC
9 points
3 comments10 min readLW link

Joint manda­tory dona­tion as a way to in­crease the num­ber of donations

Crazy philosopher7 Jul 2024 10:56 UTC
3 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

Why Ge­or­gism Lost Its Popularity

Zero Contradictions20 Jul 2024 15:08 UTC
43 points
50 comments1 min readLW link
(zerocontradictions.net)

The Case Against Libertarianism

Zero Contradictions3 Aug 2024 5:05 UTC
−3 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(zerocontradictions.net)

Game The­ory and Society

Zero Contradictions5 Aug 2024 4:27 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(thewaywardaxolotl.blogspot.com)

Thoughts On Democracy

Zero Contradictions4 Aug 2024 6:02 UTC
2 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(zerocontradictions.net)

Happy simulations

FateGrinder1 Oct 2024 21:05 UTC
−5 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

An In­ter­ac­tive Shap­ley Value Explainer

James Stephen Brown28 Sep 2024 5:01 UTC
41 points
9 comments1 min readLW link
(nonzerosum.games)

Re­quest for ad­vice: Re­search for Con­ver­sa­tional Game The­ory for LLMs

Rome Viharo16 Oct 2024 17:53 UTC
10 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

A small im­prove­ment to Wikipe­dia page on Pareto Efficiency

ektimo18 Nov 2024 2:13 UTC
6 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Ex­pected Utility, Geo­met­ric Utility, and Other Equiv­a­lent Representations

StrivingForLegibility20 Nov 2024 23:28 UTC
10 points
0 comments11 min readLW link

GPT-4 al­ign­ing with aca­sual de­ci­sion the­ory when in­structed to play games, but in­cludes a CDT ex­pla­na­tion that’s in­cor­rect if they differ

Christopher King23 Mar 2023 16:16 UTC
7 points
4 comments8 min readLW link

Align­ment—Path to AI as ally, not slave nor foe

ozb30 Mar 2023 14:54 UTC
10 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

Dou­ble-nega­tion as framing

Stuart Johnson16 Apr 2023 6:59 UTC
25 points
9 comments6 min readLW link

Self-Ac­tu­al­iz­ing AGI—Gam­ify­ing AI Align­ment & Mean­ing-Making

kibagateaux27 Oct 2023 6:54 UTC
1 point
0 comments6 min readLW link
(nootype.substack.com)

The case for “Gen­er­ous Tit for Tat” as the ul­ti­mate game the­ory strategy

positivesum9 Nov 2023 18:41 UTC
2 points
3 comments8 min readLW link
(tryingtruly.substack.com)

How “Pinky Promise” diplo­macy once stopped a war in the Mid­dle East

positivesum22 Nov 2023 12:03 UTC
15 points
9 comments1 min readLW link
(tryingtruly.substack.com)

How Microsoft’s ruth­less em­ployee eval­u­a­tion sys­tem an­nihilated team col­lab­o­ra­tion.

positivesum25 Nov 2023 13:25 UTC
3 points
2 comments1 min readLW link
(tryingtruly.substack.com)

[Question] Help me solve this prob­lem: The basilisk isn’t real, but peo­ple are

canary_itm26 Nov 2023 17:44 UTC
−19 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

6. The Mutable Values Prob­lem in Value Learn­ing and CEV

RogerDearnaley4 Dec 2023 18:31 UTC
12 points
0 comments49 min readLW link

Co­op­er­a­tion and Align­ment in Del­e­ga­tion Games: You Need Both!

3 Aug 2024 10:16 UTC
8 points
0 comments14 min readLW link
(www.oliversourbut.net)

Pri­soner’s Dilemma Tour­na­ment Results

prase6 Sep 2011 0:46 UTC
152 points
171 comments11 min readLW link

Out to Get You

Zvi23 Sep 2017 10:50 UTC
120 points
14 comments6 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Less Com­pe­ti­tion, More Mer­i­toc­racy?

Zvi20 Jan 2019 2:00 UTC
85 points
19 comments20 min readLW link3 reviews
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Hell is Game The­ory Folk Theorems

jessicata1 May 2023 3:16 UTC
82 points
101 comments5 min readLW link
(unstableontology.com)

The Dar­win Results

Zvi25 Nov 2017 13:30 UTC
52 points
10 comments5 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Sim­plified Poker

Zvi4 Jun 2018 15:50 UTC
34 points
17 comments1 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

2014 iter­ated pris­oner’s dilemma tour­na­ment results

tetronian230 Sep 2014 21:23 UTC
95 points
57 comments6 min readLW link

Pavlov Generalizes

abramdemski20 Feb 2019 9:03 UTC
67 points
4 comments7 min readLW link

Does the US nu­clear policy still tar­get cities?

Jeffrey Ladish2 Oct 2019 0:18 UTC
61 points
7 comments10 min readLW link

Sim­plified Poker Conclusions

Zvi9 Jun 2018 21:50 UTC
64 points
2 comments5 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

On Robin Han­son’s Board Game

Zvi8 Sep 2018 17:10 UTC
49 points
15 comments17 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

The Dar­win Game

Zvi15 Nov 2017 23:20 UTC
37 points
17 comments3 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Let’s Read: Su­per­hu­man AI for mul­ti­player poker

Yuxi_Liu14 Jul 2019 6:22 UTC
56 points
6 comments8 min readLW link

The Dar­win Pregame

Zvi21 Nov 2017 1:10 UTC
43 points
6 comments5 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Buri­dan’s ass in co­or­di­na­tion games

jessicata16 Jul 2018 2:51 UTC
52 points
26 comments10 min readLW link

Your Price for Joining

Eliezer Yudkowsky26 Mar 2009 7:16 UTC
87 points
58 comments4 min readLW link

Re­duc­ing col­lec­tive ra­tio­nal­ity to in­di­vi­d­ual op­ti­miza­tion in com­mon-pay­off games us­ing MCMC

jessicata20 Aug 2018 0:51 UTC
59 points
12 comments6 min readLW link

The Soli­taire Prin­ci­ple: Game The­ory for One

alkjash17 Jan 2018 0:14 UTC
25 points
8 comments9 min readLW link
(radimentary.wordpress.com)

Towards op­ti­mal play as Villager in a mixed game

Benquo7 May 2019 5:29 UTC
51 points
40 comments3 min readLW link
(benjaminrosshoffman.com)

Di­plo­macy as a Game The­ory Laboratory

Scott Alexander12 Nov 2010 22:19 UTC
69 points
98 comments12 min readLW link

Sim­plified Poker Strategy

Zvi6 Jun 2018 11:10 UTC
40 points
0 comments2 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Some Ways Co­or­di­na­tion is Hard

Zvi13 Jun 2019 13:00 UTC
55 points
11 comments10 min readLW link1 review
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

“Backchain­ing” in Strategy

Davis_Kingsley9 Feb 2018 12:01 UTC
23 points
17 comments1 min readLW link

Let’s look for co­her­ence theorems

Valdes7 May 2023 14:45 UTC
25 points
18 comments6 min readLW link

In­ves­ti­gat­ing Emer­gent Goal-Like Be­hav­ior in Large Lan­guage Models us­ing Ex­per­i­men­tal Economics

phelps-sg5 May 2023 11:15 UTC
6 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

Ex­plain­ing “Hell is Game The­ory Folk The­o­rems”

electroswing5 May 2023 23:33 UTC
57 points
21 comments5 min readLW link

Mixed strat­egy Nash equilibrium

Meni_Rosenfeld16 Oct 2010 16:00 UTC
59 points
47 comments4 min readLW link

Black­mail, Nukes and the Pri­soner’s Dilemma

Stuart_Armstrong10 Mar 2010 14:58 UTC
25 points
20 comments2 min readLW link

Let’s split the cake, length­wise, up­wise and slantwise

Stuart_Armstrong25 Oct 2010 13:15 UTC
74 points
31 comments4 min readLW link

De­ci­sion Auc­tions aka “How to fairly as­sign chores, or de­cide who gets the last cookie”

daenerys21 Jan 2014 21:13 UTC
60 points
59 comments3 min readLW link

The Epistemic Pri­soner’s Dilemma

MBlume18 Apr 2009 5:36 UTC
109 points
46 comments2 min readLW link

Blame games

Benquo6 May 2019 2:38 UTC
46 points
13 comments8 min readLW link
(benjaminrosshoffman.com)

Nash equil­ibriums can be ar­bi­trar­ily bad

Stuart_Armstrong1 May 2019 14:58 UTC
35 points
24 comments2 min readLW link

UDT as a Nash Equilibrium

cousin_it6 Feb 2018 14:08 UTC
18 points
17 comments1 min readLW link

Front Row Center

Zvi11 Jun 2018 13:50 UTC
30 points
12 comments2 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Two ideas for al­ign­ment, per­pet­ual mu­tual dis­trust and induction

APaleBlueDot25 May 2023 0:56 UTC
1 point
2 comments4 min readLW link

Moloch and multi-level selection

thoughtfulmadison11 Aug 2020 7:08 UTC
19 points
3 comments3 min readLW link

AI co­op­er­a­tion is already stud­ied in academia as “pro­gram equil­ibrium”

cousin_it30 Jul 2012 15:22 UTC
60 points
40 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] A way to beat su­per­ra­tional/​EDT agents?

Abhimanyu Pallavi Sudhir17 Aug 2020 14:33 UTC
5 points
13 comments1 min readLW link

Eval­u­at­ing strate­gic rea­son­ing in GPT models

phelps-sg25 May 2023 11:51 UTC
4 points
1 comment8 min readLW link

Tak­ing the awk­ward­ness out of a Prenup—A Game The­o­retic solution

VijayKrishnan22 May 2010 0:45 UTC
42 points
111 comments4 min readLW link

Boomerang—pro­to­col to dis­solve some com­mit­ment races

Filip Sondej30 May 2023 16:21 UTC
37 points
10 comments8 min readLW link

The Cry­on­ics Strat­egy Space

Froolow24 Apr 2014 16:11 UTC
40 points
47 comments8 min readLW link
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