Your Fu­ture Self’s Cre­dences Should Be Un­pre­dictable to You

David UdellMar 11, 2022, 11:33 PM
6 points
8 comments2 min readLW link

Ar­gu­ments are good for helping peo­ple rea­son about things

AprilSRMar 11, 2022, 11:02 PM
28 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Is There a Valley of Bad Civ­i­liza­tional Ad­e­quacy?

lbThingrbMar 11, 2022, 7:49 PM
13 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

Rhythm Stage Setup v4

jefftkMar 11, 2022, 7:40 PM
9 points
0 comments5 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Deep Dives: My Ad­vice for Pur­su­ing Work in Re­search

scasperMar 11, 2022, 5:56 PM
33 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

If your solu­tion doesn’t work, make it work

Ege ErdilMar 11, 2022, 4:10 PM
17 points
7 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] Ways to in­vest your wealth if you be­lieve in a high-var­i­ance fu­ture?

Alex_AltairMar 11, 2022, 4:07 PM
51 points
13 comments1 min readLW link

A Longlist of The­o­ries of Im­pact for Interpretability

Neel NandaMar 11, 2022, 2:55 PM
127 points
41 comments5 min readLW link2 reviews

Beyond micromarriages

Richard_NgoMar 11, 2022, 3:40 AM
91 points
13 comments3 min readLW link
(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

On con­tin­u­ous de­ci­sion boundaries

eeegnuMar 11, 2022, 3:36 AM
2 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

Book re­view: The Dawn of Everything

PeterMcCluskeyMar 11, 2022, 1:56 AM
24 points
1 comment7 min readLW link
(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

[Question] Are there any im­pos­si­bil­ity the­o­rems for strong and safe AI?

David JohnstonMar 11, 2022, 1:41 AM
5 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Al­gorith­mic Mea­sure of Emer­gence v2.0

intersticeMar 10, 2022, 8:26 PM
15 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

I left Rus­sia on March 8

avturchinMar 10, 2022, 8:05 PM
127 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

What’s the chance a smart Lon­don res­i­dent dies of a Rus­sian nuke in the next month?

DanielFilanMar 10, 2022, 7:20 PM
40 points
8 comments4 min readLW link
(danielfilan.com)

[Question] What’s the best ra­tio for Afri­cans to starve com­pared to Ukraini­ans not dy­ing in the war?

ChristianKlMar 10, 2022, 6:52 PM
9 points
28 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] In­fo­haz­ards, hack­ing, and Brick­ing—how to for­mal­ize these con­cepts?

YitzMar 10, 2022, 4:42 PM
6 points
10 comments4 min readLW link

Ukraine Post #2: Options

ZviMar 10, 2022, 4:10 PM
84 points
55 comments24 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Covid 3/​10/​22: We Have a Plan

ZviMar 10, 2022, 4:10 PM
37 points
3 comments12 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Treat Ex­am­ples as World-Building

adamShimiMar 10, 2022, 3:09 PM
19 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Best LessWrong posts for un­der­stand­ing sci­en­tific stud­ies.

Sean McAnenyMar 10, 2022, 1:13 PM
10 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Dona­tions, The First Year

jennMar 10, 2022, 3:57 AM
21 points
0 comments3 min readLW link
(jenn.site)

Pro­gram­ming note

HoldenKarnofskyMar 9, 2022, 9:20 PM
8 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.cold-takes.com)

The Proof of Doom

johnlawrenceaspdenMar 9, 2022, 7:37 PM
27 points
18 comments3 min readLW link

[Sur­vey] Ex­pec­ta­tions of a Post-ASI Order

Lone PineMar 9, 2022, 7:17 PM
5 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

A Rephras­ing Of and Foot­note To An Embed­ded Agency Proposal

JoshuaOSHickmanMar 9, 2022, 6:13 PM
5 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

ELK Sub—Note-tak­ing in in­ter­nal rollouts

HoagyMar 9, 2022, 5:23 PM
6 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Meadow Theory

Duncan Sabien (Deactivated)Mar 9, 2022, 5:13 PM
132 points
16 comments16 min readLW link1 review

Be­ing Mo­ral is an end goal.

Yair HalberstadtMar 9, 2022, 4:37 PM
10 points
17 comments1 min readLW link

It Looks Like You’re Try­ing To Take Over The World

gwernMar 9, 2022, 4:35 PM
408 points
120 comments1 min readLW link1 review
(www.gwern.net)

Effects are cor­re­lated, policy out­comes are not, and multi-fac­tor ex­pla­na­tions are hard

Thomas KehrenbergMar 9, 2022, 3:30 PM
16 points
2 comments14 min readLW link
(tm.kehrenberg.net)

Ask AI com­pa­nies about what they are do­ing for AI safety?

micMar 9, 2022, 3:14 PM
51 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

[In­tro to brain-like-AGI safety] 7. From hard­coded drives to fore­sighted plans: A worked example

Steven ByrnesMar 9, 2022, 2:28 PM
78 points
0 comments10 min readLW link

Against Think­ing About The Unactionable

George3d6Mar 9, 2022, 11:55 AM
20 points
2 comments8 min readLW link
(www.epistem.ink)

[Question] Will Rus­sia de­fault, and if so, will it lead to fi­nan­cial crisis?

sanxiynMar 9, 2022, 6:34 AM
11 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

On pre­sent­ing the case for AI risk

Aryeh EnglanderMar 9, 2022, 1:41 AM
54 points
17 comments4 min readLW link

Deriv­ing Our World From Small Datasets

CapybasiliskMar 9, 2022, 12:34 AM
5 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

ELK prize results

Mar 9, 2022, 12:01 AM
138 points
50 comments21 min readLW link

We’re already in AI takeoff

ValentineMar 8, 2022, 11:09 PM
145 points
119 comments7 min readLW link

Value ex­trap­o­la­tion, con­cept ex­trap­o­la­tion, model splintering

Stuart_ArmstrongMar 8, 2022, 10:50 PM
16 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

ACX meetup #5

sallatikMar 8, 2022, 10:36 PM
1 point
0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Pre­dic­tion Mar­ket News/​Ticker?

RaelifinMar 8, 2022, 9:44 PM
13 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Non-co­er­cive mo­ti­va­tion for al­ign­ment re­search?

Jonathan MoregårdMar 8, 2022, 8:50 PM
4 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

PSA for aca­demics in Ukraine (or any­where else) who want to come to the United Kingdom

gabrielreccMar 8, 2022, 8:00 PM
3 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Prepar­ing for Power Ou­tages in Disasters

tragedyofthecommentsMar 8, 2022, 5:02 PM
20 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

Bu­gout Bags for Disasters

tragedyofthecommentsMar 8, 2022, 5:02 PM
5 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

Food Pre­pared­ness for Disasters

tragedyofthecommentsMar 8, 2022, 5:02 PM
5 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

Water Pre­pared­ness for Disasters

tragedyofthecommentsMar 8, 2022, 5:02 PM
5 points
1 comment3 min readLW link

Nu­clear Pre­pared­ness Guide

tragedyofthecommentsMar 8, 2022, 5:01 PM
36 points
7 comments11 min readLW link

[Question] Is there a good solu­tion for doc­u­ments that need to be signed with a bal­l­point pen un­der suicide watch?

ChristianKlMar 8, 2022, 3:58 PM
11 points
4 comments1 min readLW link