Some of the probability questions (many worlds, simulation) are like… ontologically weird enough that I’m not entirely certain it makes sense to assign probabilities to them? It doesn’t really feel like they pay rent in anticipated experience?
I’m not sure “speaking the truth even when it’s uncomfortable” is the kind of skill it makes sense to describe yourself as “comfortable” with.
I mostly think it’s too loose a heuristic and that you should dig into more details