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Toward a general structure of economic explanation

physicaleconomicsMar 27, 2022, 11:33 PM

9 points

1 comment4 min readLW link

[Question] How many generals does Russia have left?

YitzMar 27, 2022, 11:11 PM

14 points

16 comments1 min readLW link

Do a cost-benefit analysis of your technology usage

TurnTroutMar 27, 2022, 11:09 PM

198 points

53 comments13 min readLW link

[Question] Your specific attitudes towards AI safety

Esben KranMar 27, 2022, 10:33 PM

8 points

21 comments1 min readLW link

Sums and products

Ege Erdil and Metaculus

Mar 27, 2022, 9:57 PM

23 points

11 comments12 min readLW link

(www.metaculus.com)

[ASoT] Searching for consequentialist structure

leogaoMar 27, 2022, 7:09 PM

26 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

The Opposite Of Autism

CapybasiliskMar 27, 2022, 3:30 PM

8 points

16 comments3 min readLW link

Practical everyday human strategizing

akaTricksterMar 27, 2022, 2:20 PM

6 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

Manhattan project for aligned AI

Chris van MerwijkMar 27, 2022, 11:41 AM

36 points

8 comments2 min readLW link

[ASoT] Some ways ELK could still be solvable in practice

leogaoMar 27, 2022, 1:15 AM

26 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

[Question] What are the top 1-10 posts / sequences / articles / etc. that you’ve found most useful for yourself for becoming “less wrong”?

Aryeh EnglanderMar 27, 2022, 12:37 AM

14 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

Beyond Blame Minimization

physicaleconomicsMar 27, 2022, 12:03 AM

137 points

47 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] When people ask for your P(doom), do you give them your inside view or your betting odds?

Vivek HebbarMar 26, 2022, 11:08 PM

11 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

A Primer on God, Liberalism and the End of History

Mahdi ComplexMar 26, 2022, 8:07 PM

33 points

2 comments14 min readLW link

Agency and Coherence

David UdellMar 26, 2022, 7:25 PM

25 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

Magic, tricks, and high-dimensional configuration spaces

pchvykovMar 26, 2022, 7:14 PM

8 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

Compute Governance: The Role of Commodity Hardware

JanMar 26, 2022, 10:08 AM

14 points

7 comments7 min readLW link

(universalprior.substack.com)

Game that might improve research productivity

Jack RMar 26, 2022, 7:00 AM

21 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

You must on average be improving to not guarantee failure.

eeegnuMar 26, 2022, 5:28 AM

3 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

Your risk of developing long COVID is probably high

SiebeMar 26, 2022, 4:10 AM

25 points

16 comments3 min readLW link

Primitive Perspectives and Sleeping Beauty

dadadarrenMar 26, 2022, 1:55 AM

21 points

14 comments6 min readLW link

[ASoT] Observations about ELK

leogaoMar 26, 2022, 12:42 AM

34 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

Lesson Plan: Biases in Quantity Estimation

abstractapplicMar 26, 2022, 12:23 AM

9 points

2 comments5 min readLW link

Why Agent Foundations? An Overly Abstract Explanation

johnswentworthMar 25, 2022, 11:17 PM

302 points

58 comments8 min readLW link 1 review

My mistake about the war in Ukraine

Ege ErdilMar 25, 2022, 11:04 PM

40 points

35 comments3 min readLW link

An outline of an ironic LessWrong post

YitzMar 25, 2022, 10:51 PM

−6 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Summary: “How to write a thesis” by Umberto Eco

Pablo RepettoMar 25, 2022, 9:40 PM

7 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(pabloernesto.github.io)

Is Metaculus Slow to Update?

SimonMMar 25, 2022, 7:44 PM

75 points

9 comments2 min readLW link

Ukraine Post #6: More Data and Peace Terms

ZviMar 25, 2022, 6:20 PM

59 points

21 comments21 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Duels & D.Sci March 2022: It’s time for D-d-d-d-d-d-d-d-d-d-d-d-d-d-data!

aphyerMar 25, 2022, 4:55 PM

51 points

38 comments4 min readLW link

Contextual Self

ACrackedPotMar 25, 2022, 3:39 PM

2 points

1 comment4 min readLW link

Fake Journal Club proposal

gwernMar 25, 2022, 2:23 PM

25 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

(www.gwern.net)

Chesterton’s Fence vs The Onion in the Varnish

Joel BurgetMar 24, 2022, 9:20 PM

7 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 3/24/22: Respite

ZviMar 24, 2022, 3:00 PM

23 points

4 comments13 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

The Ontics and The Decouplers

hawkebiaMar 24, 2022, 2:04 PM

11 points

1 comment6 min readLW link

[Question] What if fiat money was created at a fixed rate and given to government?

MrThinkMar 24, 2022, 1:02 PM

3 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Christopher Alexander’s architecture for learning

Henrik KarlssonMar 24, 2022, 9:11 AM

44 points

8 comments9 min readLW link

(escapingflatland.substack.com)

Experimental longtermism: theory needs data

Jan_Kulveit and technicalities

Mar 24, 2022, 8:23 AM

52 points

0 comments4 min readLW link

(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

On expected utility, part 4: Dutch books, Cox, and Complete Class

Joe CarlsmithMar 24, 2022, 7:51 AM

20 points

2 comments19 min readLW link

Applied Rationality Meetup

Raj ThimmiahMar 24, 2022, 7:40 AM

3 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

In the very near future the internet will answer all of our questions and that makes me sad

David GrossMar 24, 2022, 3:55 AM

24 points

23 comments1 min readLW link

A survey of tool use and workflows in alignment research

Logan Riggs, Jan, janus and jacquesthibs

Mar 23, 2022, 11:44 PM

45 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Rational and irrational infinite integers

ViliamMar 23, 2022, 11:12 PM

36 points

28 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] Research on how pattern-finding contributes to memorization?

DirectedEvolutionMar 23, 2022, 9:42 PM

9 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Why Miracles Should Not Be Used as a Reason to Believe in a Religion

YitzMar 23, 2022, 8:53 PM

−1 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

Announcing research

Pablo RepettoMar 23, 2022, 8:43 PM

2 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

(pabloernesto.github.io)

Flywheels of progress

jasoncrawfordMar 23, 2022, 8:42 PM

30 points

0 comments4 min readLW link

(rootsofprogress.org)

[Closed] Job Offering: Help Communicate Infrabayesianism

abramdemski, Vanessa Kosoy and Diffractor

Mar 23, 2022, 6:35 PM

129 points

22 comments1 min readLW link

Wanted: Executive Assistant to help build the progress movement

jasoncrawfordMar 23, 2022, 6:19 PM

8 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(rootsofprogress.org)

Circular Counterfactuals “Only that which Happens is Possible”

SebastianG Mar 23, 2022, 2:40 PM

4 points

15 comments9 min readLW link