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Luck based medicine: my resentful story of becoming a medical miracle

Elizabeth16 Oct 2022 17:40 UTC

483 points

121 comments12 min readLW link 3 reviews

(acesounderglass.com)

Counterarguments to the basic AI x-risk case

KatjaGrace14 Oct 2022 13:00 UTC

370 points

124 comments34 min readLW link 1 review

(aiimpacts.org)

So, geez there’s a lot of AI content these days

Raemon6 Oct 2022 21:32 UTC

257 points

140 comments6 min readLW link

Introduction to abstract entropy

Alex_Altair20 Oct 2022 21:03 UTC

234 points

78 comments18 min readLW link 1 review

Lessons learned from talking to >100 academics about AI safety

Marius Hobbhahn10 Oct 2022 13:16 UTC

216 points

18 comments12 min readLW link 1 review

What does it take to defend the world against out-of-control AGIs?

Steven Byrnes25 Oct 2022 14:47 UTC

199 points

47 comments30 min readLW link 1 review

Decision theory does not imply that we get to have nice things

So8res18 Oct 2022 3:04 UTC

170 points

72 comments26 min readLW link 2 reviews

The Social Recession: By the Numbers

antonomon29 Oct 2022 18:45 UTC

165 points

29 comments8 min readLW link

(novum.substack.com)

Why I think there’s a one-in-six chance of an imminent global nuclear war

Max Tegmark8 Oct 2022 6:26 UTC

164 points

169 comments4 min readLW link

Six (and a half) intuitions for KL divergence

CallumMcDougall12 Oct 2022 21:07 UTC

162 points

25 comments10 min readLW link 1 review

(www.perfectlynormal.co.uk)

Age changes what you care about

Dentin16 Oct 2022 15:36 UTC

141 points

37 comments2 min readLW link

AI Timelines via Cumulative Optimization Power: Less Long, More Short

jacob_cannell6 Oct 2022 0:21 UTC

139 points

33 comments6 min readLW link

Apply to the Redwood Research Mechanistic Interpretability Experiment (REMIX), a research program in Berkeley

maxnadeau, Xander Davies, Buck and Nate Thomas

27 Oct 2022 1:32 UTC

135 points

14 comments12 min readLW link

Warning Shots Probably Wouldn’t Change The Picture Much

So8res6 Oct 2022 5:15 UTC

126 points

42 comments2 min readLW link

Niceness is unnatural

So8res13 Oct 2022 1:30 UTC

125 points

20 comments8 min readLW link 1 review

Mnestics

Jarred Filmer23 Oct 2022 0:30 UTC

119 points

5 comments4 min readLW link

Don’t leave your fingerprints on the future

So8res8 Oct 2022 0:35 UTC

118 points

46 comments5 min readLW link

Am I secretly excited for AI getting weird?

porby29 Oct 2022 22:16 UTC

116 points

4 comments4 min readLW link

Why Weren’t Hot Air Balloons Invented Sooner?

Lost Futures18 Oct 2022 0:41 UTC

115 points

52 comments6 min readLW link

(lostfutures.substack.com)

Actually, All Nuclear Famine Papers are Bunk

Lao Mein12 Oct 2022 5:58 UTC

113 points

37 comments2 min readLW link 1 review

That one apocalyptic nuclear famine paper is bunk

Lao Mein12 Oct 2022 3:33 UTC

110 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

Plans Are Predictions, Not Optimization Targets

johnswentworth20 Oct 2022 21:17 UTC

108 points

20 comments4 min readLW link 1 review

Consider your appetite for disagreements

Adam Zerner8 Oct 2022 23:25 UTC

107 points

18 comments6 min readLW link 1 review

Scaling Laws for Reward Model Overoptimization

leogao, John Schulman and Jacob_Hilton

20 Oct 2022 0:20 UTC

103 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

(arxiv.org)

Contra shard theory, in the context of the diamond maximizer problem

So8res13 Oct 2022 23:51 UTC

102 points

19 comments2 min readLW link 1 review

Alignment 201 curriculum

Richard_Ngo12 Oct 2022 18:03 UTC

102 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

(www.agisafetyfundamentals.com)

Analysis: US restricts GPU sales to China

aogara7 Oct 2022 18:38 UTC

102 points

58 comments5 min readLW link

Some Lessons Learned from Studying Indirect Object Identification in GPT-2 small

KevinRoWang, Alexandre Variengien, Arthur Conmy, Buck and jsteinhardt

28 Oct 2022 23:55 UTC

101 points

9 comments9 min readLW link 2 reviews

(arxiv.org)

The Teacup Test

lsusr8 Oct 2022 4:25 UTC

99 points

32 comments2 min readLW link

How To Make Prediction Markets Useful For Alignment Work

johnswentworth18 Oct 2022 19:01 UTC

97 points

18 comments2 min readLW link

A shot at the diamond-alignment problem

TurnTrout6 Oct 2022 18:29 UTC

95 points

59 comments15 min readLW link

Transformative VR Is Likely Coming Soon

jimrandomh13 Oct 2022 6:25 UTC

92 points

46 comments2 min readLW link

«Boundaries», Part 3a: Defining boundaries as directed Markov blankets

Andrew_Critch30 Oct 2022 6:31 UTC

90 points

20 comments15 min readLW link

A blog post is a very long and complex search query to find fascinating people and make them route interesting stuff to your inbox

Henrik Karlsson5 Oct 2022 19:07 UTC

89 points

12 comments11 min readLW link

(escapingflatland.substack.com)

Why Balsa Research is Worthwhile

Zvi10 Oct 2022 13:50 UTC

87 points

12 comments8 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Polysemanticity and Capacity in Neural Networks

Buck, Adam Jermyn and Kshitij Sachan

7 Oct 2022 17:51 UTC

87 points

14 comments3 min readLW link

Untapped Potential at 13-18

belkarx18 Oct 2022 18:09 UTC

82 points

53 comments1 min readLW link

Paper: Discovering novel algorithms with AlphaTensor [Deepmind]

LawrenceC5 Oct 2022 16:20 UTC

82 points

18 comments1 min readLW link

(www.deepmind.com)

More Recent Progress in the Theory of Neural Networks

jylin046 Oct 2022 16:57 UTC

82 points

6 comments4 min readLW link

“Normal” is the equilibrium state of past optimization processes

Alex_Altair30 Oct 2022 19:03 UTC

81 points

5 comments5 min readLW link

I learn better when I frame learning as Vengeance for losses incurred through ignorance, and you might too

chaosmage15 Oct 2022 12:41 UTC

81 points

9 comments3 min readLW link 1 review

Voting Theory Introduction

Scott Garrabrant17 Oct 2022 8:48 UTC

80 points

8 comments6 min readLW link

The heritability of human values: A behavior genetic critique of Shard Theory

geoffreymiller20 Oct 2022 15:51 UTC

80 points

59 comments21 min readLW link

Response to Katja Grace’s AI x-risk counterarguments

Erik Jenner and Johannes Treutlein

19 Oct 2022 1:17 UTC

77 points

18 comments15 min readLW link

Neural Tangent Kernel Distillation

Thomas Larsen and Jeremy Gillen

5 Oct 2022 18:11 UTC

76 points

20 comments8 min readLW link

The “you-can-just” alarm

Emrik8 Oct 2022 10:43 UTC

76 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Maximal Lotteries

Scott Garrabrant17 Oct 2022 8:54 UTC

75 points

11 comments7 min readLW link

Open Problem in Voting Theory

Scott Garrabrant17 Oct 2022 20:42 UTC

75 points

16 comments6 min readLW link

What does it mean for an AGI to be ‘safe’?

So8res7 Oct 2022 4:13 UTC

74 points

29 comments3 min readLW link

Wisdom Cannot Be Unzipped

Sable22 Oct 2022 0:28 UTC

74 points

17 comments7 min readLW link 1 review

(affablyevil.substack.com)