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Ukraine #4: Prediction Market Movement Modeling

ZviMar 15, 2022, 10:20 PM

28 points

2 comments14 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Do small studies add up?

one_forwardMar 15, 2022, 10:00 PM

14 points

6 comments5 min readLW link

I read Einstein’s biography. Here are 15 quotes that reveal his philosophy on life.

dmaberyMar 15, 2022, 6:14 PM

−7 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

AI researchers from Russia looking for a new home

AnonResearchMar 15, 2022, 6:13 PM

36 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

My current thoughts on the risks from SETI

Matthew BarnettMar 15, 2022, 5:18 PM

132 points

27 comments10 min readLW link

Smoking cigarettes in airplanes made the airplanes safer?

CraigMichaelMar 15, 2022, 5:03 PM

9 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

Probabilistic Negotiation

Robert KennedyMar 15, 2022, 2:39 PM

20 points

9 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Who is doing Cryonics-relevant research?

Wuschel SchulzMar 15, 2022, 10:26 AM

32 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Dual use of artificial-intelligence-powered drug discovery

VaniverMar 15, 2022, 2:52 AM

93 points

15 comments1 min readLW link

(www.nature.com)

May I Speak?

RaythenMar 14, 2022, 10:57 PM

−8 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

ELK contest submission: route understanding through the human ontology

Vika, Ramana Kumar and Vikrant Varma

Mar 14, 2022, 9:42 PM

21 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] MicroCOVID risk levels inaccurate due to undercounting in data sources vs wastewater data?

SameerishereMar 14, 2022, 8:04 PM

6 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

One possible approach to develop the best possible general learning algorithm

martillopartMar 14, 2022, 7:24 PM

3 points

0 comments7 min readLW link

The Meaninglessness of it all

foxaccMar 14, 2022, 5:56 PM

−9 points

12 comments1 min readLW link

Ethicality Behind Breaking the Glass Ceiling

foxaccMar 14, 2022, 5:56 PM

31 points

15 comments2 min readLW link

Technological Resurrection: Two Possible Approaches

Alex PolischukMar 14, 2022, 5:53 PM

−3 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

Omicron #16: Danger in China

ZviMar 14, 2022, 3:50 PM

58 points

10 comments4 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Ukraine #3: Decision Theory, Madman Theory and the Mafioso Nature

ZviMar 14, 2022, 2:50 PM

35 points

25 comments19 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Linkpost] Growth in FLOPS used to train ML models

Derek M. JonesMar 14, 2022, 11:28 AM

3 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Shotgun Book Reviews: Against Method, The Knowledge Machine and Understanding Nature

adamShimiMar 14, 2022, 8:13 AM

28 points

3 comments8 min readLW link

Alex Tabarrok advocates for crowdfunding systems with Refund Bonuses. I think this might be a natural occurrence of a money pump against Causal Decision Theory pledgers

mako yassMar 14, 2022, 7:27 AM

17 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

(marginalrevolution.com)

Challenges to Yudkowsky’s Pronoun Reform Proposal

Zack_M_DavisMar 13, 2022, 8:38 PM

50 points

56 comments39 min readLW link 1 review

(unremediatedgender.space)

War-prompted Disaster Planning

jefftkMar 13, 2022, 8:10 PM

20 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Whence the determinant?

Ege ErdilMar 13, 2022, 7:38 PM

28 points

27 comments6 min readLW link

Food manufacturers are out to get you

jwrayMar 13, 2022, 7:36 PM

27 points

6 comments5 min readLW link

Game theory, sanctions, and Ukraine

Dumbledore's ArmyMar 13, 2022, 5:45 PM

27 points

36 comments3 min readLW link

How to Lumenate (UK Edition)

chanamessingerMar 13, 2022, 1:43 PM

49 points

17 comments5 min readLW link

New GPT3 Impressive Capabilities—InstructGPT3 [1/2]

simeon_cMar 13, 2022, 10:58 AM

72 points

10 comments7 min readLW link

Anecdotes Can Be Strong Evidence and Bayes Theorem Proves It

FCCCMar 13, 2022, 4:06 AM

16 points

3 comments4 min readLW link

Compute Trends — Comparison to OpenAI’s AI and Compute

lennart, Jsevillamol, Pablo Villalobos, Marius Hobbhahn, Tamay Besiroglu and anson.ho

Mar 12, 2022, 6:09 PM

23 points

3 comments3 min readLW link

Experience Restarting Contra

jefftkMar 12, 2022, 3:00 PM

16 points

5 comments3 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Is there a good dataset for the moments of the income distribution throughout history?

Ege ErdilMar 12, 2022, 1:26 PM

9 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Why Rome?

Erich_GrunewaldMar 12, 2022, 11:29 AM

19 points

7 comments8 min readLW link

(www.erichgrunewald.com)

Bear Surprise Freedom Network

CraigMichaelMar 12, 2022, 10:15 AM

26 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

Book review of “Mengzi”

AnonymousMar 12, 2022, 4:54 AM

33 points

2 comments12 min readLW link

[Question] If someone with sufficient capabilities decides to deliberately create an Unaligned AGI, is there anything anyone can actually DO, to stop them?

nx2059Mar 12, 2022, 12:01 AM

−4 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

Your Future Self’s Credences Should Be Unpredictable to You

David UdellMar 11, 2022, 11:33 PM

6 points

8 comments2 min readLW link

Arguments are good for helping people reason about things

AprilSRMar 11, 2022, 11:02 PM

28 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

Is There a Valley of Bad Civilizational Adequacy?

lbThingrbMar 11, 2022, 7:49 PM

13 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

Rhythm Stage Setup v4

jefftkMar 11, 2022, 7:40 PM

9 points

0 comments5 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Deep Dives: My Advice for Pursuing Work in Research

scasperMar 11, 2022, 5:56 PM

33 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

If your solution doesn’t work, make it work

Ege ErdilMar 11, 2022, 4:10 PM

17 points

7 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] Ways to invest your wealth if you believe in a high-variance future?

Alex_AltairMar 11, 2022, 4:07 PM

51 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

A Longlist of Theories of Impact for Interpretability

Neel NandaMar 11, 2022, 2:55 PM

127 points

41 comments5 min readLW link 2 reviews

Beyond micromarriages

Richard_NgoMar 11, 2022, 3:40 AM

91 points

13 comments3 min readLW link

(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

On continuous decision boundaries

eeegnuMar 11, 2022, 3:36 AM

2 points

2 comments3 min readLW link

Book review: The Dawn of Everything

PeterMcCluskeyMar 11, 2022, 1:56 AM

24 points

1 comment7 min readLW link

(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

[Question] Are there any impossibility theorems for strong and safe AI?

David JohnstonMar 11, 2022, 1:41 AM

5 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Algorithmic Measure of Emergence v2.0

intersticeMar 10, 2022, 8:26 PM

15 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

I left Russia on March 8

avturchinMar 10, 2022, 8:05 PM

127 points

16 comments1 min readLW link