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Ukraine/​Rus­sia Con­flict (2022)

TagLast edit: 29 Mar 2022 2:28 UTC by Raemon

On the 24th of February 2022, Russia began a military invasion into Ukraine.

This is relevant to LessWrong both because it seems to be generally an important topic for understanding the world, and because of its potential implications for great-power conflict, nuclear war, and existential risk generally.

See Also:

Rus­sia has In­vaded Ukraine

lsusr24 Feb 2022 7:52 UTC
173 points
268 comments3 min readLW link

The harms you don’t see

ViktoriaMalyasova16 Oct 2022 23:45 UTC
63 points
54 comments10 min readLW link

Ukraine Post #1: Pre­dic­tion Markets

Zvi28 Feb 2022 19:20 UTC
67 points
0 comments16 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Help Ukraine

ubik7 Mar 2022 20:40 UTC
0 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

You have a place to stay in Swe­den, should you need it.

Dojan27 Feb 2022 1:21 UTC
134 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Prepar­ing for Pos­si­ble Rus­sian Coun­ter­sanc­tions in Europe

arunto27 Feb 2022 12:01 UTC
25 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Is Any­one Else Seek­ing to Help Com­mu­nity Mem­bers in Ukraine Who Make Re­fugee Claims?

Evan_Gaensbauer27 Feb 2022 0:51 UTC
52 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Ukraine Si­tu­a­tion Re­port 2022/​03/​01

lsusr2 Mar 2022 5:07 UTC
121 points
59 comments10 min readLW link

[Question] Why is the war in Ukraine par­tic­u­larly dan­ger­ous for the world?

mikbp6 Mar 2022 13:38 UTC
28 points
47 comments1 min readLW link

Ukraine Si­tu­a­tion Re­port 2022/​03/​04

lsusr5 Mar 2022 6:44 UTC
71 points
25 comments1 min readLW link

Ukraine Post #2: Options

Zvi10 Mar 2022 16:10 UTC
84 points
55 comments24 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

RFC WWIII

Adam Zerner1 Mar 2022 9:10 UTC
45 points
34 comments9 min readLW link

When should you re­lo­cate to miti­gate the risk of dy­ing in a nu­clear war?

Adam Zerner4 Mar 2022 10:34 UTC
55 points
27 comments14 min readLW link

[Question] What sorts of prepa­ra­tions ought I do in case of fur­ther es­ca­la­tion in Ukraine?

tailcalled1 Oct 2022 16:44 UTC
47 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

Ukraine Post #11: Longer Term Predictions

Zvi25 Apr 2022 14:10 UTC
32 points
6 comments11 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Ukraine Post #10: Next Phase

Zvi12 Apr 2022 13:40 UTC
47 points
13 comments14 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] For­mal epistemiol­ogy for ex­tract­ing truth from news sources

Enigma17 Mar 2022 2:06 UTC
18 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

A Few Ter­rify­ing Facts About The Russo-Ukrainian War

Pee Doom30 Sep 2022 21:34 UTC
70 points
105 comments3 min readLW link

[Let­ter] Rus­si­ans are Wel­come in America

lsusr5 Mar 2022 10:15 UTC
68 points
13 comments1 min readLW link

Lower Risk of Nu­clear war?

arunto6 Mar 2022 6:59 UTC
9 points
13 comments2 min readLW link

Ukraine up­date 06/​03/​2022

ViktoriaMalyasova6 Mar 2022 21:49 UTC
22 points
6 comments3 min readLW link

I left Rus­sia on March 8

avturchin10 Mar 2022 20:05 UTC
127 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

Game the­ory, sanc­tions, and Ukraine

Dumbledore's Army13 Mar 2022 17:45 UTC
27 points
36 comments3 min readLW link

Ukraine #3: De­ci­sion The­ory, Mad­man The­ory and the Mafioso Nature

Zvi14 Mar 2022 14:50 UTC
35 points
25 comments19 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Why I think there’s a one-in-six chance of an im­mi­nent global nu­clear war

Max Tegmark8 Oct 2022 6:26 UTC
164 points
169 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Hedg­ing the Pos­si­bil­ity of Rus­sia in­vad­ing Ukraine

Annapurna23 Dec 2021 1:13 UTC
27 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Rus­sia will do a nu­clear test

sanxiyn4 Oct 2022 14:59 UTC
3 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

Ukraine Post #9: Again

Zvi5 Apr 2022 19:40 UTC
97 points
37 comments16 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Ukraine and the Crimea Question

ChristianKl28 Oct 2022 12:26 UTC
−2 points
153 comments11 min readLW link

Only needs a fly­ing saucer

Mary Chernyshenko18 Mar 2022 15:11 UTC
76 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

Ukraine Post #12

Zvi22 Sep 2022 14:40 UTC
104 points
3 comments16 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

What’s the chance a smart Lon­don res­i­dent dies of a Rus­sian nuke in the next month?

DanielFilan10 Mar 2022 19:20 UTC
40 points
8 comments4 min readLW link
(danielfilan.com)

Why a No-Fly-Zone would be the biggest gift to Putin, and why Ze­len­skyy keeps ask­ing for it [Linkpost and com­men­tary]

Dojan17 Mar 2022 3:13 UTC
48 points
16 comments3 min readLW link

My mis­take about the war in Ukraine

Ege Erdil25 Mar 2022 23:04 UTC
40 points
35 comments3 min readLW link

Higher Risk of Nu­clear War

jefftk4 Mar 2022 18:10 UTC
21 points
28 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

If Ukraine fails, the world will reap fatal consequences

Danylo Zhyrko5 Mar 2024 19:42 UTC
−17 points
14 comments5 min readLW link

PSA for aca­demics in Ukraine (or any­where else) who want to come to the United Kingdom

gabrielrecc8 Mar 2022 20:00 UTC
3 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Nu­clear Deter­rence 101 (and why the US can’t even hint at in­ter­ven­ing in Ukraine)

Darmani18 Mar 2022 7:25 UTC
36 points
9 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] What’s the best ra­tio for Afri­cans to starve com­pared to Ukraini­ans not dy­ing in the war?

ChristianKl10 Mar 2022 18:52 UTC
9 points
28 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Weigh­ing rep­u­ta­tional and moral con­se­quences of leav­ing Rus­sia or staying

spza18 Feb 2024 19:36 UTC
29 points
24 comments1 min readLW link

5 Rea­sons Why Govern­ments/​Mili­taries Already Want AI for In­for­ma­tion Warfare

trevor30 Oct 2023 16:30 UTC
32 points
0 comments10 min readLW link

Helpful ex­am­ples to get a sense of mod­ern au­to­mated manipulation

trevor12 Nov 2023 20:49 UTC
33 points
3 comments9 min readLW link

Musk, Star­link, and Crimea

Nicholas / Heather Kross23 Sep 2023 2:35 UTC
−12 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Amer­ica’s In­visi­ble Grave­yard: Un­der­stand­ing the Mo­ral Im­pli­ca­tions of Western sanctions

ebrodey7 Mar 2022 3:58 UTC
−14 points
44 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Will Rus­sia de­fault, and if so, will it lead to fi­nan­cial crisis?

sanxiyn9 Mar 2022 6:34 UTC
11 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Bear Sur­prise Free­dom Network

CraigMichael12 Mar 2022 10:15 UTC
26 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

War-prompted Disaster Planning

jefftk13 Mar 2022 20:10 UTC
20 points
0 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

AI re­searchers from Rus­sia look­ing for a new home

AnonResearch15 Mar 2022 18:13 UTC
36 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Ukraine #4: Pre­dic­tion Mar­ket Move­ment Modeling

Zvi15 Mar 2022 22:20 UTC
28 points
2 comments14 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Ukraine Post #5: Bits of Information

Zvi21 Mar 2022 14:00 UTC
71 points
33 comments27 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

It’s not WWIII if 5/​6 of hu­man­ity re­mains neutral

lsusr8 Mar 2022 9:20 UTC
9 points
20 comments1 min readLW link

Cy­ber­war escalation

ChristianKl23 Mar 2022 11:29 UTC
35 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Albert Hirschman on liber­al­ism and nationalism

David Hugh-Jones23 Mar 2022 10:08 UTC
6 points
0 comments4 min readLW link
(wyclif.substack.com)

Ukraine Post #6: More Data and Peace Terms

Zvi25 Mar 2022 18:20 UTC
59 points
21 comments21 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Ukraine Post #7: Pre­dic­tion Mar­ket Update

Zvi28 Mar 2022 16:10 UTC
45 points
3 comments9 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Rus­sian x-risk newslet­ter March 2022 update

avturchin1 Apr 2022 13:26 UTC
19 points
13 comments2 min readLW link

The Case for Fre­quen­tism: Why Bayesian Prob­a­bil­ity is Fun­da­men­tally Un­sound and What Science Does Instead

lsusr3 Apr 2022 20:52 UTC
22 points
29 comments6 min readLW link

Ukraine Post #8: Risk of Nu­clear War

Zvi4 Apr 2022 12:00 UTC
60 points
17 comments13 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Will/​Has the Rus­sia-Ukraine war been a tip­ping point for the shift from oil en­ergy?

jmh22 Apr 2022 11:07 UTC
13 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Why I think nu­clear war trig­gered by Rus­sian tac­ti­cal nukes in Ukraine is unlikely

Dave Orr11 Oct 2022 18:30 UTC
50 points
7 comments3 min readLW link

What to do if a nu­clear weapon is used in Ukraine?

Valentin202619 Oct 2022 18:43 UTC
8 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

About Q Home

Q Home28 Sep 2022 4:56 UTC
11 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How many gen­er­als does Rus­sia have left?

Yitz27 Mar 2022 23:11 UTC
14 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

Not us­ing a pri­ori in­for­ma­tion for Rus­sian propaganda

EniScien24 Apr 2023 1:14 UTC
−3 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Rus­sian par­li­a­men­tar­ian: let’s ban per­sonal com­put­ers and the Internet

RomanS25 Jul 2023 17:30 UTC
11 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

In­ter­view with Bill O’Rourke—Rus­sian Cor­rup­tion, Putin, Ap­plied Ethics, and More

JohnGreer27 Oct 2024 17:11 UTC
3 points
0 comments6 min readLW link

Tac­ti­cal Nu­clear Weapons Aren’t Cost-Effec­tive Com­pared to Pre­ci­sion Artillery

Lao Mein31 Oct 2022 4:33 UTC
28 points
7 comments3 min readLW link

That one apoc­a­lyp­tic nu­clear famine pa­per is bunk

Lao Mein12 Oct 2022 3:33 UTC
110 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

Open Let­ter Against Reck­less Nu­clear Es­ca­la­tion and Use

Max Tegmark3 Nov 2022 5:34 UTC
27 points
23 comments1 min readLW link

Pay­ing Rus­si­ans to not in­vade Ukraine

djColliderBias24 Jun 2024 17:46 UTC
9 points
7 comments3 min readLW link

Sig­nals of war in Au­gust 2021

yieldthought26 Oct 2022 8:11 UTC
70 points
16 comments2 min readLW link

(Ra­tional) De­ci­sion-Mak­ing In Wartime

Danylo Zhyrko10 Apr 2024 18:08 UTC
15 points
2 comments5 min readLW link

Defense Against The Dark Arts: An Introduction

Lyrongolem25 Dec 2023 6:36 UTC
24 points
36 comments20 min readLW link

Pre­dict­ing a global catas­tro­phe: the Ukrainian model

RomanS7 Apr 2022 12:06 UTC
5 points
11 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Why did Rus­sia in­vade Ukraine?

Bohaska17 Jun 2022 1:36 UTC
0 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Moloch and the sand­pile catastrophe

Eric Raymond2 Apr 2022 15:35 UTC
120 points
25 comments3 min readLW link