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Ukraine/​Rus­sia Con­flict (2022)

TagLast edit: Mar 29, 2022, 2:28 AM by Raemon

On the 24th of February 2022, Russia began a military invasion into Ukraine.

This is relevant to LessWrong both because it seems to be generally an important topic for understanding the world, and because of its potential implications for great-power conflict, nuclear war, and existential risk generally.

See Also:

Rus­sia has In­vaded Ukraine

lsusrFeb 24, 2022, 7:52 AM
173 points
268 comments3 min readLW link

The harms you don’t see

ViktoriaMalyasovaOct 16, 2022, 11:45 PM
63 points
54 comments10 min readLW link

Ukraine Post #1: Pre­dic­tion Markets

ZviFeb 28, 2022, 7:20 PM
67 points
0 comments16 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Help Ukraine

ubikMar 7, 2022, 8:40 PM
0 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

You have a place to stay in Swe­den, should you need it.

DojanFeb 27, 2022, 1:21 AM
134 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Prepar­ing for Pos­si­ble Rus­sian Coun­ter­sanc­tions in Europe

aruntoFeb 27, 2022, 12:01 PM
25 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Is Any­one Else Seek­ing to Help Com­mu­nity Mem­bers in Ukraine Who Make Re­fugee Claims?

Evan_GaensbauerFeb 27, 2022, 12:51 AM
52 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Ukraine Si­tu­a­tion Re­port 2022/​03/​01

lsusrMar 2, 2022, 5:07 AM
121 points
59 comments10 min readLW link

[Question] Why is the war in Ukraine par­tic­u­larly dan­ger­ous for the world?

mikbpMar 6, 2022, 1:38 PM
28 points
47 comments1 min readLW link

Ukraine Si­tu­a­tion Re­port 2022/​03/​04

lsusrMar 5, 2022, 6:44 AM
71 points
25 comments1 min readLW link

Ukraine Post #2: Options

ZviMar 10, 2022, 4:10 PM
84 points
55 comments24 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

RFC WWIII

Adam ZernerMar 1, 2022, 9:10 AM
45 points
34 comments9 min readLW link

When should you re­lo­cate to miti­gate the risk of dy­ing in a nu­clear war?

Adam ZernerMar 4, 2022, 10:34 AM
55 points
27 comments14 min readLW link

[Question] What sorts of prepa­ra­tions ought I do in case of fur­ther es­ca­la­tion in Ukraine?

tailcalledOct 1, 2022, 4:44 PM
47 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

Ukraine Post #11: Longer Term Predictions

ZviApr 25, 2022, 2:10 PM
32 points
6 comments11 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Ukraine Post #10: Next Phase

ZviApr 12, 2022, 1:40 PM
47 points
13 comments14 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] For­mal epistemiol­ogy for ex­tract­ing truth from news sources

EnigmaMar 17, 2022, 2:06 AM
18 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

A Few Ter­rify­ing Facts About The Russo-Ukrainian War

Pee DoomSep 30, 2022, 9:34 PM
70 points
105 comments3 min readLW link

[Let­ter] Rus­si­ans are Wel­come in America

lsusrMar 5, 2022, 10:15 AM
68 points
13 comments1 min readLW link

Lower Risk of Nu­clear war?

aruntoMar 6, 2022, 6:59 AM
9 points
13 comments2 min readLW link

Ukraine up­date 06/​03/​2022

ViktoriaMalyasovaMar 6, 2022, 9:49 PM
22 points
6 comments3 min readLW link

I left Rus­sia on March 8

avturchinMar 10, 2022, 8:05 PM
127 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

Game the­ory, sanc­tions, and Ukraine

Dumbledore's ArmyMar 13, 2022, 5:45 PM
27 points
36 comments3 min readLW link

Ukraine #3: De­ci­sion The­ory, Mad­man The­ory and the Mafioso Nature

ZviMar 14, 2022, 2:50 PM
35 points
25 comments19 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Why I think there’s a one-in-six chance of an im­mi­nent global nu­clear war

Max TegmarkOct 8, 2022, 6:26 AM
164 points
169 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Hedg­ing the Pos­si­bil­ity of Rus­sia in­vad­ing Ukraine

AnnapurnaDec 23, 2021, 1:13 AM
27 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Rus­sia will do a nu­clear test

sanxiynOct 4, 2022, 2:59 PM
3 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

Ukraine Post #9: Again

ZviApr 5, 2022, 7:40 PM
97 points
37 comments16 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Ukraine and the Crimea Question

ChristianKlOct 28, 2022, 12:26 PM
−2 points
153 comments11 min readLW link

Only needs a fly­ing saucer

Mary ChernyshenkoMar 18, 2022, 3:11 PM
76 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

Ukraine Post #12

ZviSep 22, 2022, 2:40 PM
104 points
3 comments16 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

What’s the chance a smart Lon­don res­i­dent dies of a Rus­sian nuke in the next month?

DanielFilanMar 10, 2022, 7:20 PM
40 points
8 comments4 min readLW link
(danielfilan.com)

Why a No-Fly-Zone would be the biggest gift to Putin, and why Ze­len­skyy keeps ask­ing for it [Linkpost and com­men­tary]

DojanMar 17, 2022, 3:13 AM
48 points
16 comments3 min readLW link

My mis­take about the war in Ukraine

Ege ErdilMar 25, 2022, 11:04 PM
40 points
35 comments3 min readLW link

Higher Risk of Nu­clear War

jefftkMar 4, 2022, 6:10 PM
21 points
28 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

If Ukraine fails, the world will reap fatal consequences

Danylo ZhyrkoMar 5, 2024, 7:42 PM
−22 points
14 comments5 min readLW link

PSA for aca­demics in Ukraine (or any­where else) who want to come to the United Kingdom

gabrielreccMar 8, 2022, 8:00 PM
3 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Nu­clear Deter­rence 101 (and why the US can’t even hint at in­ter­ven­ing in Ukraine)

DarmaniMar 18, 2022, 7:25 AM
36 points
9 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] What’s the best ra­tio for Afri­cans to starve com­pared to Ukraini­ans not dy­ing in the war?

ChristianKlMar 10, 2022, 6:52 PM
9 points
28 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Weigh­ing rep­u­ta­tional and moral con­se­quences of leav­ing Rus­sia or staying

spzaFeb 18, 2024, 7:36 PM
29 points
24 comments1 min readLW link

5 Rea­sons Why Govern­ments/​Mili­taries Already Want AI for In­for­ma­tion Warfare

trevorOct 30, 2023, 4:30 PM
32 points
0 comments10 min readLW link

Helpful ex­am­ples to get a sense of mod­ern au­to­mated manipulation

trevorNov 12, 2023, 8:49 PM
33 points
4 comments9 min readLW link

Musk, Star­link, and Crimea

Nicholas / Heather KrossSep 23, 2023, 2:35 AM
−13 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Amer­ica’s In­visi­ble Grave­yard: Un­der­stand­ing the Mo­ral Im­pli­ca­tions of Western sanctions

ebrodeyMar 7, 2022, 3:58 AM
−14 points
44 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Will Rus­sia de­fault, and if so, will it lead to fi­nan­cial crisis?

sanxiynMar 9, 2022, 6:34 AM
11 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Bear Sur­prise Free­dom Network

CraigMichaelMar 12, 2022, 10:15 AM
26 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

War-prompted Disaster Planning

jefftkMar 13, 2022, 8:10 PM
20 points
0 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

AI re­searchers from Rus­sia look­ing for a new home

AnonResearchMar 15, 2022, 6:13 PM
36 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Ukraine #4: Pre­dic­tion Mar­ket Move­ment Modeling

ZviMar 15, 2022, 10:20 PM
28 points
2 comments14 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Ukraine Post #5: Bits of Information

ZviMar 21, 2022, 2:00 PM
71 points
33 comments27 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

It’s not WWIII if 5/​6 of hu­man­ity re­mains neutral

lsusrMar 8, 2022, 9:20 AM
9 points
20 comments1 min readLW link

Cy­ber­war escalation

ChristianKlMar 23, 2022, 11:29 AM
35 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Albert Hirschman on liber­al­ism and nationalism

David Hugh-JonesMar 23, 2022, 10:08 AM
6 points
0 comments4 min readLW link
(wyclif.substack.com)

Ukraine Post #6: More Data and Peace Terms

ZviMar 25, 2022, 6:20 PM
59 points
21 comments21 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Ukraine Post #7: Pre­dic­tion Mar­ket Update

ZviMar 28, 2022, 4:10 PM
45 points
3 comments9 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Rus­sian x-risk newslet­ter March 2022 update

avturchinApr 1, 2022, 1:26 PM
19 points
13 comments2 min readLW link

The Case for Fre­quen­tism: Why Bayesian Prob­a­bil­ity is Fun­da­men­tally Un­sound and What Science Does Instead

lsusrApr 3, 2022, 8:52 PM
22 points
29 comments6 min readLW link

Ukraine Post #8: Risk of Nu­clear War

ZviApr 4, 2022, 12:00 PM
60 points
17 comments13 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Will/​Has the Rus­sia-Ukraine war been a tip­ping point for the shift from oil en­ergy?

jmhApr 22, 2022, 11:07 AM
13 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Why I think nu­clear war trig­gered by Rus­sian tac­ti­cal nukes in Ukraine is unlikely

Dave OrrOct 11, 2022, 6:30 PM
50 points
7 comments3 min readLW link

What to do if a nu­clear weapon is used in Ukraine?

Valentin2026Oct 19, 2022, 6:43 PM
13 points
9 comments3 min readLW link

About Q Home

Q HomeSep 28, 2022, 4:56 AM
11 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How many gen­er­als does Rus­sia have left?

YitzMar 27, 2022, 11:11 PM
14 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

Not us­ing a pri­ori in­for­ma­tion for Rus­sian propaganda

EniScienApr 24, 2023, 1:14 AM
−5 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Rus­sian par­li­a­men­tar­ian: let’s ban per­sonal com­put­ers and the Internet

RomanSJul 25, 2023, 5:30 PM
11 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

In­ter­view with Bill O’Rourke—Rus­sian Cor­rup­tion, Putin, Ap­plied Ethics, and More

JohnGreerOct 27, 2024, 5:11 PM
3 points
0 comments6 min readLW link

Tac­ti­cal Nu­clear Weapons Aren’t Cost-Effec­tive Com­pared to Pre­ci­sion Artillery

Lao MeinOct 31, 2022, 4:33 AM
28 points
7 comments3 min readLW link

That one apoc­a­lyp­tic nu­clear famine pa­per is bunk

Lao MeinOct 12, 2022, 3:33 AM
110 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

Open Let­ter Against Reck­less Nu­clear Es­ca­la­tion and Use

Max TegmarkNov 3, 2022, 5:34 AM
27 points
25 comments1 min readLW link

Pay­ing Rus­si­ans to not in­vade Ukraine

djColliderBiasJun 24, 2024, 5:46 PM
9 points
7 comments3 min readLW link

Sig­nals of war in Au­gust 2021

yieldthoughtOct 26, 2022, 8:11 AM
70 points
16 comments2 min readLW link

(Ra­tional) De­ci­sion-Mak­ing In Wartime

Danylo ZhyrkoApr 10, 2024, 6:08 PM
15 points
2 comments5 min readLW link

Defense Against The Dark Arts: An Introduction

LyrongolemDec 25, 2023, 6:36 AM
24 points
36 comments20 min readLW link

Pre­dict­ing a global catas­tro­phe: the Ukrainian model

RomanSApr 7, 2022, 12:06 PM
5 points
11 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Why did Rus­sia in­vade Ukraine?

BohaskaJun 17, 2022, 1:36 AM
0 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Moloch and the sand­pile catastrophe

Eric RaymondApr 2, 2022, 3:35 PM
120 points
25 comments3 min readLW link