LINK: Melt­ing Arc­tic is re­leas­ing mil­lions of tons of methane

[QUESTION]: LessWrong web traf­fic data?

Use­ful Stan­dard­ized Tests?

Time se­ries fore­cast­ing for global tem­per­a­ture: an out­side view of cli­mate forecasting

Cli­mate sci­ence: how it mat­ters for un­der­stand­ing fore­cast­ing, ma­te­ri­als I’ve read or plan to read, sources of po­ten­tial bias

Open thread, 7-14 July 2014

Eth­i­cal­ity of Deny­ing Agency

Quickly pass­ing through the great filter

Harry Yud­kowsky and the Meth­ods of Pos­tra­tional­ity: Chap­ter One: Em Dashes Colons and Ellipses, Lit­téra­teurs Go Wild

Ra­tion­al­ity Quotes July 2014

Good books for in­com­ing col­lege stu­dents?

Meetup : LessWrong Aus­tralia—On­line Hangout

Toy prob­lem: in­crease pro­duc­tion or use pro­duc­tion?

Meetup :

Meetup : Wash­ing­ton D.C. Games Meetup

Meetup : Lon­don so­cial meetup—pos­si­bly in a park

[LINK] Claus­trum Stim­u­la­tion Tem­porar­ily Turns Off Con­scious­ness in an oth­er­wise Awake Patient

Weekly LW Meetups

Weather and cli­mate fore­cast­ing: how the challenges differ by time horizon

Tools want to be­come agents

Meetup : Moscow meet up

Just for fun: Com­puter game to illus­trate AI takeover con­cepts?

Separat­ing uni­ver­sity ed­u­ca­tion from grad­ing

Steel­man­ning Inefficiency

[mod­er­a­tor ac­tion] Eug­ine_Nier is now banned for mass down­vote harassment

Ter­minol­ogy Thread (or “name that pat­tern”)

Moder­a­tors, please wake up and start pro­tect­ing this com­mu­nity!

How Com­mon Are Science Failures?

Fu­tures stud­ies: the field and the as­so­ci­ated community

Sce­nario plan­ning, its util­ity, and its re­la­tion­ship with forecasting

Down­vote stalk­ers: Driv­ing mem­bers away from the LessWrong com­mu­nity?

July 2014 Me­dia Thread

Group Ra­tion­al­ity Diary, July 1-15

Meetup : Can­berra: Para­noid Debating

An an­swer to a pos­si­ble ob­jec­tion to cash-trans­fer charities

A Parable of Elites and Takeoffs

Meetup : LW Syd­ney Ra­tion­al­ity Dojo—Agency

Open thread, 30 June 2014- 6 July 2014

An At­tempt at Log­i­cal Uncertainty

Meetup : Up­per Canada LW Megameetup: Ot­tawa, Toronto, Mon­treal, Water­loo, London

Weekly LW Meetups

[LINK] Neu­roe­co­nomics course on coursera started just this week

Hyper­link Superorganism

Meetup : Ra­tion­al­ity Prac­tice—Be Specific

R sup­port group and the benefits of ap­plied statistics

The silos of ex­per­tise: be­yond heuris­tics and biases

Set­ting an ex­am­ple too good

Hap­piness and Children

Gen­eral-pur­pose fore­cast­ing and the as­so­ci­ated community

Separat­ing the roles of the­ory and di­rect em­piri­cal ev­i­dence in be­lief for­ma­tion: the ex­am­ples of min­i­mum wage and an­thro­pogenic global warming