Med­i­ta­tions On Moloch

[mod­er­a­tor ac­tion] Eug­ine_Nier is now banned for mass down­vote harassment

Look for the Next Tech Gold Rush?

Con­found it! Cor­re­la­tion is (usu­ally) not cau­sa­tion! But why not?

A Vi­su­al­iza­tion of Nick Bostrom’s Superintelligence

Down­vote stalk­ers: Driv­ing mem­bers away from the LessWrong com­mu­nity?

Poli­tics is hard mode

Knigh­tian un­cer­tainty in a Bayesian framework

This is why we can’t have so­cial science

[LINK] Claus­trum Stim­u­la­tion Tem­porar­ily Turns Off Con­scious­ness in an oth­er­wise Awake Patient

Con­fused as to use­ful­ness of ‘con­scious­ness’ as a concept

Causal In­fer­ence Se­quence Part 1: Ba­sic Ter­minol­ogy and the As­sump­tions of Causal Inference

Knigh­tian Uncer­tainty and Am­bi­guity Aver­sion: Motivation

Se­quence An­nounce­ment: Ap­plied Causal Inference

Change Con­texts to Im­prove Arguments

The Cor­rect Use of Analogy

“And that’s okay”: ac­cept­ing and own­ing reality

Fifty Shades of Self-Fulfilling Prophecy

Re­cent up­dates to gw­ern.net (2013-2014)

Jokes Thread

Too good to be true

Ex­pected util­ity, un­los­ing agents, and Pas­cal’s mugging

An Ex­per­i­ment In So­cial Sta­tus: Soft­ware Eng­ineer vs. Data Science Manager

SSRIs: Much More Than You Wanted To Know

In­tu­itive cooperation

Steel­man­ning Inefficiency

Ex­per­i­ments 1: Learn­ing trivia

How Com­mon Are Science Failures?

Tools want to be­come agents

How defer­en­tial should we be to the fore­casts of sub­ject mat­ter ex­perts?

A sim­ple game that has no solution

Quickly pass­ing through the great filter

How to treat prob­lems of un­known difficulty

Why I Am Not a Ra­tion­al­ist, or, why sev­eral of my friends warned me that this is a cult

Just for fun: Com­puter game to illus­trate AI takeover con­cepts?

Separat­ing uni­ver­sity ed­u­ca­tion from grad­ing

[LINK] Another “LessWrongers are crazy” ar­ti­cle—this time on Slate

Three ques­tions about source code uncertainty

[link] [poll] Fu­ture Progress in Ar­tifi­cial Intelligence

[QUESTION]: Aca­demic so­cial sci­ence and ma­chine learning

Ter­minol­ogy Thread (or “name that pat­tern”)

Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, July 2014, chap­ter 102

“All nat­u­ral food” as an con­strained op­ti­mi­sa­tion problem

Ten­ta­tive tips for peo­ple en­gaged in an ex­er­cise that in­volves some form of pre­dic­tion or forecasting

Sce­nario analy­ses for tech­nolog­i­cal progress for the next decade

Eth­i­cal­ity of Deny­ing Agency

Gam­ing Democracy

The in­su­lar­ity cri­tique of cli­mate science

Effec­tive Writing

Be Wary of Think­ing Like a FAI