Poli­tics is hard mode

Knigh­tian Uncer­tainty and Am­bi­guity Aver­sion: Motivation

[ACTIVITY]: Ex­plo­ra­tory Visit to the Bay Area

Open thread, July 21-27, 2014

How to buy a truth from a liar

A sim­ple game that has no solution

Ex­per­i­ments 1: Learn­ing trivia

LINK: Top HIV re­searcher kil­led in plane crash

[QUESTION]: Aca­demic so­cial sci­ence and ma­chine learning

Look for the Next Tech Gold Rush?

Effec­tive Writing

Be Wary of Think­ing Like a FAI

Map­ping Ex­tra Buttons

Weekly LW Meetups

[LINK] Another “LessWrongers are crazy” ar­ti­cle—this time on Slate

Meetup : MIRIxAt­lanta: 19 July 2014

Meetup : Wash­ing­ton DC: Short Talks

The Cor­rect Use of Analogy

Meetup : Can­berra: In­tro to An­thropic Reasoning

Meetup : Melbourne So­cial Meetup

LINK: Blood from youth keeps you young

Group Ra­tion­al­ity Diary, July 16-31

An Ex­per­i­ment In So­cial Sta­tus: Soft­ware Eng­ineer vs. Data Science Manager

Why would info worsen al­tru­is­tic op­tions?

Wealth from Self-Repli­cat­ing Robots

How defer­en­tial should we be to the fore­casts of sub­ject mat­ter ex­perts?

Sce­nario analy­ses for tech­nolog­i­cal progress for the next decade

Meetup : MIRIx Tel-Aviv

Open thread, 14-20 July 2014

LW Aus­tralia’s on­line hang­out re­sults, (short sto­ries about cog­ni­tive bi­ases)

Brag­ging Thread, July 2014

This is why we can’t have so­cial science

Why I Am Not a Ra­tion­al­ist, or, why sev­eral of my friends warned me that this is a cult

Con­fused as to use­ful­ness of ‘con­scious­ness’ as a concept

Meetup : Robin Han­son: Why is Ab­strac­tion both Sta­tus­ful and Silly?

Com­mu­ni­cat­ing fore­cast uncertainty

“Dialec­tics”?

[Re­tracted] More silent dele­tion; LessWrong’s mod­er­a­tion needs to change

Fore­cast­ing rare events

Too good to be true

[Ques­tion] Adop­tion and twin stud­ies confounders

Weekly LW Meetups

[QUESTION]: Driver­less car forecasts

Meetup : Is­rael Less Wrong Meetup—So­cial Topics and LW outreach

Meetup : Wash­ing­ton, D.C.: Pri­soner’s Dilemna tournament

[link] [poll] Fu­ture Progress in Ar­tifi­cial Intelligence

Do­mains of forecasting

Con­found it! Cor­re­la­tion is (usu­ally) not cau­sa­tion! But why not?

The in­su­lar­ity cri­tique of cli­mate science

Meetup : Brus­sels—Au­gust (topic TBD)