Paper: Fore­cast­ing world events with neu­ral nets

Jul 1, 2022, 7:40 PM
39 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

Covid 7/​14/​22: BA.2.75 Plus Tax

ZviJul 14, 2022, 2:40 PM
39 points
9 comments8 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

What Is The True Name of Mo­du­lar­ity?

Jul 1, 2022, 2:55 PM
39 points
10 comments12 min readLW link

Mo­saic and Pal­impsests: Two Shapes of Research

adamShimiJul 12, 2022, 9:05 AM
39 points
3 comments9 min readLW link

Pre­dict­ing Parental Emo­tional Changes?

jefftkJul 6, 2022, 1:50 PM
39 points
11 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Ro­bust­ness to Scal­ing Down: More Im­por­tant Than I Thought

adamShimiJul 23, 2022, 11:40 AM
38 points
5 comments3 min readLW link

Ars D&D.sci: Mys­ter­ies of Mana

aphyerJul 9, 2022, 12:19 PM
38 points
13 comments3 min readLW link

Com­par­ing Four Ap­proaches to In­ner Alignment

Lucas TeixeiraJul 29, 2022, 9:06 PM
38 points
1 comment9 min readLW link

Per­sonal fore­cast­ing ret­ro­spec­tive: 2020-2022

eliflandJul 21, 2022, 12:07 AM
38 points
4 comments8 min readLW link
(www.foxy-scout.com)

Five views of Bayes’ Theorem

Adam ScherlisJul 2, 2022, 2:25 AM
38 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

[AN #173] Re­cent lan­guage model re­sults from DeepMind

Rohin ShahJul 21, 2022, 2:30 AM
37 points
9 comments8 min readLW link
(mailchi.mp)

Levels of Pluralism

adamShimiJul 27, 2022, 9:35 AM
37 points
0 comments14 min readLW link

Re­mak­ing Effi­cien­tZero (as best I can)

HoagyJul 4, 2022, 11:03 AM
36 points
9 comments22 min readLW link

Be­ing a donor for Fe­cal Micro­biota Trans­plants (FMT): Do good & earn easy money (up to 180k/​y)

EternallyBlissfulJul 8, 2022, 6:17 AM
36 points
26 comments8 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Fore­cast­ing ML Bench­marks in 2023

jsteinhardtJul 18, 2022, 2:50 AM
36 points
20 comments12 min readLW link
(bounded-regret.ghost.io)

Hiring Pro­gram­mers in Academia

jefftkJul 24, 2022, 8:20 PM
36 points
19 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Mon­key­pox Post #2

ZviJul 28, 2022, 1:20 PM
36 points
3 comments6 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Minerva

AlgonJul 1, 2022, 8:06 PM
36 points
6 comments2 min readLW link
(ai.googleblog.com)

Hes­sian and Basin volume

Vivek HebbarJul 10, 2022, 6:59 AM
35 points
10 comments4 min readLW link

New US Se­nate Bill on X-Risk Miti­ga­tion [Linkpost]

Evan R. MurphyJul 4, 2022, 1:25 AM
35 points
12 comments1 min readLW link
(www.hsgac.senate.gov)

Book Re­view: The Righ­teous Mind

ErnestScribblerJul 4, 2022, 5:45 PM
34 points
8 comments35 min readLW link

Covid 7/​7/​22: Paxlovid at the Pharmacy

ZviJul 7, 2022, 2:30 PM
34 points
11 comments12 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Distil­la­tion Con­test—Re­sults and Recap

ArisJul 29, 2022, 5:40 PM
34 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

Ars D&D.Sci: Mys­ter­ies of Mana Eval­u­a­tion & Ruleset

aphyerJul 19, 2022, 2:06 AM
33 points
4 comments5 min readLW link

A com­pressed take on re­cent disagreements

kmanJul 4, 2022, 4:39 AM
33 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 7/​28/​22: Ruin­ing It For Everyone

ZviJul 28, 2022, 3:10 PM
32 points
8 comments12 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Who is this MSRayne per­son any­way?

MSRayneJul 1, 2022, 5:32 PM
32 points
30 comments11 min readLW link

User re­search as a barom­e­ter of soft­ware design

Adam ZernerJul 8, 2022, 6:02 AM
31 points
13 comments3 min readLW link

MIRI Con­ver­sa­tions: Tech­nol­ogy Fore­cast­ing & Grad­u­al­ism (Distil­la­tion)

CallumMcDougallJul 13, 2022, 3:55 PM
31 points
1 comment20 min readLW link

Find­ing Skele­tons on Rashomon Ridge

Jul 24, 2022, 10:31 PM
30 points
2 comments7 min readLW link

[Question] I’ve be­come a med­i­cal mys­tery and I don’t know how to effec­tively get help

CraigMichaelJul 9, 2022, 6:58 AM
30 points
53 comments2 min readLW link

Mar­burg Virus Pan­demic Pre­dic­tion Checklist

DirectedEvolutionJul 18, 2022, 11:15 PM
30 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

One-day ap­plied ra­tio­nal­ity work­shop in Ber­lin Aug 29 (af­ter LWCW)

Duncan Sabien (Deactivated)Jul 22, 2022, 7:58 AM
30 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

Alien Mes­sage Con­test: Solution

DaemonicSigilJul 13, 2022, 4:07 AM
29 points
2 comments4 min readLW link

Pass­ing Up Pay

jefftkJul 13, 2022, 2:10 PM
29 points
8 comments5 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Straw-Steelmanning

Chris van MerwijkJul 13, 2022, 5:48 AM
29 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Spend­ing Up­date 2022

jefftkJul 19, 2022, 2:10 PM
28 points
0 comments3 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

AGI Safety Needs Peo­ple With All Skil­lsets!

Severin T. SeehrichJul 25, 2022, 1:32 PM
28 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Train­ing goals for large lan­guage models

Johannes TreutleinJul 18, 2022, 7:09 AM
28 points
5 comments19 min readLW link

Na­ture ab­hors an im­mutable repli­ca­tor… usually

MSRayneJul 3, 2022, 3:08 PM
28 points
10 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Which AI Safety re­search agen­das are the most promis­ing?

Chris_LeongJul 13, 2022, 7:54 AM
27 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 7/​21/​22: Fea­tur­ing ASPR

ZviJul 21, 2022, 1:50 PM
27 points
0 comments14 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Is Gen­eral In­tel­li­gence “Com­pact”?

DragonGodJul 4, 2022, 1:27 PM
27 points
6 comments22 min readLW link

Trans­lat­ing be­tween La­tent Spaces

Jul 30, 2022, 3:25 AM
27 points
2 comments8 min readLW link

[Question] What are the sim­plest ques­tions in ap­plied ra­tio­nal­ity where you don’t know the an­swer to?

ChristianKlJul 20, 2022, 9:53 AM
26 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

Refram­ing the AI Risk

Thane RuthenisJul 1, 2022, 6:44 PM
26 points
7 comments6 min readLW link

Rainmaking

WalterLJul 12, 2022, 12:42 AM
26 points
5 comments1 min readLW link
(www.youtube.com)

Hu­mans Reflect­ing on HRH

leogaoJul 29, 2022, 9:56 PM
26 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

What En­vi­ron­ment Prop­er­ties Select Agents For World-Model­ing?

Thane RuthenisJul 23, 2022, 7:27 PM
25 points
1 comment12 min readLW link

Notes on Learn­ing the Prior

carboniferous_umbraculum Jul 15, 2022, 5:28 PM
25 points
2 comments25 min readLW link