What makes a prob­a­bil­ity ques­tion “well-defined”? (Part I)

Noah TopperOct 2, 2022, 9:05 PM
14 points
4 comments7 min readLW link
(naivebayes.substack.com)

Against the weird­ness heuristic

Eleni AngelouOct 2, 2022, 7:41 PM
17 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

Easy fix­ing Voting

Charbel-RaphaëlOct 2, 2022, 5:03 PM
12 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Monthly Shorts 9/​22, and An Es­say in Defense of Technodeterminism

CelerOct 2, 2022, 4:10 PM
10 points
1 comment5 min readLW link
(keller.substack.com)

Open & Wel­come Thread—Oct 2022

niplavOct 2, 2022, 11:04 AM
17 points
62 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Any fur­ther work on AI Safety Suc­cess Sto­ries?

KriegerOct 2, 2022, 9:53 AM
8 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Re­quest for feed­back on sam­ple blurbs for the EA fan­tasy novel I wrote

Timothy UnderwoodOct 2, 2022, 9:01 AM
8 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Paper: Large Lan­guage Models Can Self-im­prove [Linkpost]

Evan R. MurphyOct 2, 2022, 1:29 AM
52 points
15 comments1 min readLW link
(openreview.net)

Four us­ages of “loss” in AI

TurnTroutOct 2, 2022, 12:52 AM
46 points
18 comments4 min readLW link

The com­pu­ta­tional com­plex­ity of progress

MalmesburyOct 1, 2022, 9:50 PM
21 points
2 comments10 min readLW link

Com­pany lead­er­ship and tac­ti­cal decisions

DentinOct 1, 2022, 9:21 PM
21 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

Clar­ify­ing Your Principles

RaemonOct 1, 2022, 9:20 PM
60 points
10 comments9 min readLW link

How I Make Diagrams

jefftkOct 1, 2022, 9:10 PM
14 points
0 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Are c-sec­tions un­der­rated?

bracesOct 1, 2022, 8:32 PM
47 points
15 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] Do an­thropic con­sid­er­a­tions un­der­cut the evolu­tion an­chor from the Bio An­chors re­port?

Ege ErdilOct 1, 2022, 8:02 PM
22 points
13 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Po­ten­tial in­finite value

[deleted]Oct 1, 2022, 7:45 PM
3 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

AGI by 2050 prob­a­bil­ity less than 1%

fuminOct 1, 2022, 7:45 PM
−10 points
4 comments9 min readLW link
(docs.google.com)

[Question] What sorts of prepa­ra­tions ought I do in case of fur­ther es­ca­la­tion in Ukraine?

tailcalledOct 1, 2022, 4:44 PM
47 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] In­ter­est­ing pre­dic­tions on man­i­fold.markets

jmhOct 1, 2022, 4:09 PM
6 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] What’s the ac­tual ev­i­dence that AI mar­ket­ing tools are chang­ing prefer­ences in a way that makes them eas­ier to pre­dict?

EmrikOct 1, 2022, 3:21 PM
10 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

Google could build a con­scious AI in three months

derek shillerOct 1, 2022, 1:24 PM
10 points
18 comments1 min readLW link

An­nounc­ing the AI Safety Nudge Com­pe­ti­tion to Help Beat Procrastination

Marc CarauleanuOct 1, 2022, 1:49 AM
10 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

A Few Ter­rify­ing Facts About The Russo-Ukrainian War

Pee DoomSep 30, 2022, 9:34 PM
70 points
105 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] What Is the Idea Be­hind (Un-)Su­per­vised Learn­ing and Re­in­force­ment Learn­ing?

MorpheusSep 30, 2022, 4:48 PM
9 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

Do in­sects’ lives mat­ter?

CarnSep 30, 2022, 3:38 PM
0 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

Another Loft Bed

jefftkSep 30, 2022, 2:50 PM
5 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Eli’s re­view of “Is power-seek­ing AI an ex­is­ten­tial risk?”

eliflandSep 30, 2022, 12:21 PM
67 points
0 comments3 min readLW link
(docs.google.com)

Truth-Seek­ing: Rea­son vs. Intuition

sakrafSep 30, 2022, 12:12 PM
4 points
7 comments4 min readLW link

(Struc­tural) Sta­bil­ity of Cou­pled Optimizers

Paul BricmanSep 30, 2022, 11:28 AM
25 points
0 comments10 min readLW link

[Question] Rank the fol­low­ing based on like­li­hood to nul­lify AI-risk

AorouSep 30, 2022, 11:15 AM
3 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

The Im­por­tance-Avoidance Effect

David HartsoughSep 30, 2022, 10:09 AM
19 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

His­tory of the the­ory of well-being

David HartsoughSep 30, 2022, 10:08 AM
5 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Me­dia Publi­ca­tion Governed by Pre­dic­tion Markets

joao_abrantesSep 30, 2022, 10:01 AM
1 point
0 comments1 min readLW link
(joao-abrantes.com)

If it seems in­tu­itive, you’re not build­ing intuition

myutinSep 30, 2022, 7:46 AM
4 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

linkpost: loss basin visualization

Nathan Helm-BurgerSep 30, 2022, 3:42 AM
14 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

How To Ob­serve Ab­stract Objects

LoganStrohlSep 30, 2022, 2:11 AM
54 points
12 comments21 min readLW link1 review

Pri­ori­tiz­ing Parental Sleep

jefftkSep 30, 2022, 2:10 AM
77 points
9 comments3 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Bruce Wayne and the Cost of Inaction

Sep 30, 2022, 12:19 AM
89 points
5 comments21 min readLW link

Distri­bu­tion Shifts and The Im­por­tance of AI Safety

Leon LangSep 29, 2022, 10:38 PM
17 points
2 comments12 min readLW link

Clar­ify­ing the Agent-Like Struc­ture Problem

johnswentworthSep 29, 2022, 9:28 PM
60 points
15 comments6 min readLW link

Where I cur­rently dis­agree with Ryan Green­blatt’s ver­sion of the ELK approach

So8resSep 29, 2022, 9:18 PM
65 points
7 comments5 min readLW link

It mat­ters when the first sharp left turn happens

Adam JermynSep 29, 2022, 8:12 PM
45 points
9 comments4 min readLW link

Covid 9/​29/​22: The Jones Act Waver

ZviSep 29, 2022, 6:20 PM
47 points
10 comments24 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

High-Im­pact Psy­chol­ogy (HIPsy): Pilot­ing a Global Network

Inga G.Sep 29, 2022, 6:16 PM
8 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Unit Test Everything

DirectedEvolutionSep 29, 2022, 6:12 PM
30 points
0 comments8 min readLW link

Builder/​Breaker for Deconfusion

abramdemskiSep 29, 2022, 5:36 PM
72 points
9 comments9 min readLW link

[Question] Re­sources to find/​reg­ister the ra­tio­nal­ists that spe­cial­ize in a given topic?

tailcalledSep 29, 2022, 5:20 PM
25 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Make-A-Video by Meta AI

P.Sep 29, 2022, 5:07 PM
9 points
4 comments1 min readLW link
(makeavideo.studio)

FDT is not di­rectly com­pa­rable to CDT and EDT

SMKSep 29, 2022, 2:42 PM
40 points
8 comments21 min readLW link

[Link] “Im­proper Nouns” by siderea

KennySep 29, 2022, 1:28 PM
17 points
3 comments1 min readLW link
(siderea.dreamwidth.org)