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What makes a probability question “well-defined”? (Part I)

Noah Topper2 Oct 2022 21:05 UTC

14 points

4 comments7 min readLW link

(naivebayes.substack.com)

Against the weirdness heuristic

Eleni Angelou2 Oct 2022 19:41 UTC

17 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

Easy fixing Voting

Charbel-Raphaël2 Oct 2022 17:03 UTC

12 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Monthly Shorts 9/22, and An Essay in Defense of Technodeterminism

Celer2 Oct 2022 16:10 UTC

10 points

1 comment5 min readLW link

(keller.substack.com)

Open & Welcome Thread—Oct 2022

niplav2 Oct 2022 11:04 UTC

17 points

62 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Any further work on AI Safety Success Stories?

Krieger2 Oct 2022 9:53 UTC

8 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Request for feedback on sample blurbs for the EA fantasy novel I wrote

Timothy Underwood2 Oct 2022 9:01 UTC

8 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

Paper: Large Language Models Can Self-improve [Linkpost]

Evan R. Murphy2 Oct 2022 1:29 UTC

52 points

15 comments1 min readLW link

(openreview.net)

Four usages of “loss” in AI

TurnTrout2 Oct 2022 0:52 UTC

46 points

18 comments4 min readLW link

The computational complexity of progress

Malmesbury1 Oct 2022 21:50 UTC

21 points

2 comments10 min readLW link

Company leadership and tactical decisions

Dentin1 Oct 2022 21:21 UTC

21 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

Clarifying Your Principles

Raemon1 Oct 2022 21:20 UTC

60 points

10 comments9 min readLW link

How I Make Diagrams

jefftk1 Oct 2022 21:10 UTC

14 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Are c-sections underrated?

braces1 Oct 2022 20:32 UTC

47 points

15 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] Do anthropic considerations undercut the evolution anchor from the Bio Anchors report?

Ege Erdil1 Oct 2022 20:02 UTC

22 points

13 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Potential infinite value

[deleted]1 Oct 2022 19:45 UTC

3 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

AGI by 2050 probability less than 1%

fumin1 Oct 2022 19:45 UTC

−10 points

4 comments9 min readLW link

(docs.google.com)

[Question] What sorts of preparations ought I do in case of further escalation in Ukraine?

tailcalled1 Oct 2022 16:44 UTC

47 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Interesting predictions on manifold.markets

jmh1 Oct 2022 16:09 UTC

6 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

[Question] What’s the actual evidence that AI marketing tools are changing preferences in a way that makes them easier to predict?

Emrik1 Oct 2022 15:21 UTC

10 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

Google could build a conscious AI in three months

derek shiller1 Oct 2022 13:24 UTC

10 points

18 comments1 min readLW link

Announcing the AI Safety Nudge Competition to Help Beat Procrastination

Marc Carauleanu1 Oct 2022 1:49 UTC

10 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

A Few Terrifying Facts About The Russo-Ukrainian War

Pee Doom30 Sep 2022 21:34 UTC

70 points

105 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] What Is the Idea Behind (Un-)Supervised Learning and Reinforcement Learning?

Morpheus30 Sep 2022 16:48 UTC

9 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

Do insects’ lives matter?

Carn30 Sep 2022 15:38 UTC

0 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

Another Loft Bed

jefftk30 Sep 2022 14:50 UTC

5 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Eli’s review of “Is power-seeking AI an existential risk?”

elifland30 Sep 2022 12:21 UTC

67 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

(docs.google.com)

Truth-Seeking: Reason vs. Intuition

sakraf30 Sep 2022 12:12 UTC

4 points

7 comments4 min readLW link

(Structural) Stability of Coupled Optimizers

Paul Bricman30 Sep 2022 11:28 UTC

25 points

0 comments10 min readLW link

[Question] Rank the following based on likelihood to nullify AI-risk

Aorou30 Sep 2022 11:15 UTC

3 points

1 comment4 min readLW link

The Importance-Avoidance Effect

David Hartsough30 Sep 2022 10:09 UTC

19 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

History of the theory of well-being

David Hartsough30 Sep 2022 10:08 UTC

5 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Media Publication Governed by Prediction Markets

joao_abrantes30 Sep 2022 10:01 UTC

1 point

0 comments1 min readLW link

(joao-abrantes.com)

If it seems intuitive, you’re not building intuition

myutin30 Sep 2022 7:46 UTC

4 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

linkpost: loss basin visualization

Nathan Helm-Burger30 Sep 2022 3:42 UTC

14 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

How To Observe Abstract Objects

LoganStrohl30 Sep 2022 2:11 UTC

54 points

12 comments21 min readLW link 1 review

Prioritizing Parental Sleep

jefftk30 Sep 2022 2:10 UTC

77 points

9 comments3 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Bruce Wayne and the Cost of Inaction

TurnTrout and DivineMango

30 Sep 2022 0:19 UTC

89 points

5 comments21 min readLW link

Distribution Shifts and The Importance of AI Safety

Leon Lang29 Sep 2022 22:38 UTC

17 points

2 comments12 min readLW link

Clarifying the Agent-Like Structure Problem

johnswentworth29 Sep 2022 21:28 UTC

59 points

15 comments6 min readLW link

Where I currently disagree with Ryan Greenblatt’s version of the ELK approach

So8res29 Sep 2022 21:18 UTC

65 points

7 comments5 min readLW link

It matters when the first sharp left turn happens

Adam Jermyn29 Sep 2022 20:12 UTC

44 points

9 comments4 min readLW link

Covid 9/29/22: The Jones Act Waver

Zvi29 Sep 2022 18:20 UTC

47 points

10 comments24 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

High-Impact Psychology (HIPsy): Piloting a Global Network

Inga G.29 Sep 2022 18:16 UTC

8 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Unit Test Everything

DirectedEvolution29 Sep 2022 18:12 UTC

30 points

0 comments8 min readLW link

Builder/Breaker for Deconfusion

abramdemski29 Sep 2022 17:36 UTC

72 points

9 comments9 min readLW link

[Question] Resources to find/register the rationalists that specialize in a given topic?

tailcalled29 Sep 2022 17:20 UTC

25 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

Make-A-Video by Meta AI

P.29 Sep 2022 17:07 UTC

9 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

(makeavideo.studio)

FDT is not directly comparable to CDT and EDT

SMK29 Sep 2022 14:42 UTC

40 points

8 comments21 min readLW link

[Link] “Improper Nouns” by siderea

Kenny29 Sep 2022 13:28 UTC

17 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

(siderea.dreamwidth.org)