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[Question] Jaynesian interpretation—How does “estimating probabilities” make sense?

Haziq Muhammad21 Jul 2021 21:36 UTC

4 points

40 comments1 min readLW link

Ask Not “How Are You Doing?”

Collisteru21 Jul 2021 17:53 UTC

15 points

14 comments2 min readLW link

Randomized Zettelkasten Test

Josephine21 Jul 2021 17:21 UTC

32 points

7 comments7 min readLW link

The shoot-the-moon strategy

jchan21 Jul 2021 16:19 UTC

90 points

18 comments1 min readLW link

Reward splintering for AI design

Stuart_Armstrong21 Jul 2021 16:13 UTC

30 points

1 comment8 min readLW link

[Question] Why is Kleros valued so low?

ChristianKl21 Jul 2021 13:50 UTC

12 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

My Marriage Vows

Vanessa Kosoy21 Jul 2021 10:48 UTC

84 points

53 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Is there a reasonable reading according to which Baric, Shi et al 2015 isn’t gain-of-function research?

ChristianKl21 Jul 2021 8:19 UTC

31 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

The Utility Function of a Prepper

Alex Hollow21 Jul 2021 2:26 UTC

4 points

20 comments1 min readLW link

(alexhollow.wordpress.com)

Funds are available to support LessWrong groups, among others

Buck and ClaireZabel

21 Jul 2021 1:11 UTC

88 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Punishing the good

KatjaGrace20 Jul 2021 23:30 UTC

28 points

10 comments2 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Entropic boundary conditions towards safe artificial superintelligence

Santiago Nunez-Corrales20 Jul 2021 22:15 UTC

3 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

(www.tandfonline.com)

Working With Monsters

johnswentworth20 Jul 2021 15:23 UTC

245 points

54 comments5 min readLW link 1 review

An examination of Metaculus’ resolved AI predictions and their implications for AI timelines

CharlesD20 Jul 2021 9:08 UTC

28 points

0 comments7 min readLW link

Pi Sound Box

jefftk20 Jul 2021 4:10 UTC

10 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Book review: The Explanation of Ideology

PeterMcCluskey20 Jul 2021 3:42 UTC

43 points

10 comments9 min readLW link

(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

In search of benevolence (or: what should you get Clippy for Christmas?)

Joe Carlsmith20 Jul 2021 1:12 UTC

26 points

0 comments33 min readLW link

Future Of Work

specbug19 Jul 2021 23:16 UTC

−1 points

6 comments6 min readLW link

(sixeleven.in)

Some thoughts on David Roodman’s GWP model and its relation to AI timelines

Tom Davidson19 Jul 2021 22:59 UTC

32 points

1 comment8 min readLW link

[Question] Work on Bayesian fitting of AI trends of performance?

Jsevillamol19 Jul 2021 18:45 UTC

3 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Is the argument that AI is an xrisk valid?

MACannon19 Jul 2021 13:20 UTC

5 points

61 comments1 min readLW link

(onlinelibrary.wiley.com)

Preparing for ambition

Adam Zerner19 Jul 2021 6:13 UTC

19 points

8 comments10 min readLW link

Compositionality: SQL and Subways

DanB19 Jul 2021 5:37 UTC

30 points

4 comments7 min readLW link

Happy paths and the planning fallacy

Adam Zerner18 Jul 2021 23:26 UTC

38 points

10 comments3 min readLW link

One Study, Many Results (Matt Clancy)

aarongertler18 Jul 2021 23:10 UTC

84 points

19 comments9 min readLW link

(mattsclancy.substack.com)

Book Review: The Signal and the Noise

Sam Enright18 Jul 2021 22:05 UTC

16 points

2 comments6 min readLW link

Munich SSC/ACX (+LW) (online) meetup August 2021

vi21maobk9vp18 Jul 2021 20:39 UTC

7 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Any taxonomies of conscious experience?

JohnDavidBustard18 Jul 2021 18:28 UTC

7 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

A model of decision-making in the brain (the short version)

Steven Byrnes18 Jul 2021 14:39 UTC

20 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

The Mountaineer’s Fallacy

Alex Power17 Jul 2021 23:45 UTC

29 points

11 comments1 min readLW link

Reflecting on building my own tools from scratch and ‘inventing on principle’

Amir Bolous17 Jul 2021 18:43 UTC

44 points

7 comments5 min readLW link

A Models-centric Approach to Corrigible Alignment

J Bostock17 Jul 2021 17:27 UTC

2 points

0 comments6 min readLW link

Generalising Logic Gates

J Bostock17 Jul 2021 17:25 UTC

6 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

(2009) Shane Legg—Funding safe AGI

Tomás B.17 Jul 2021 16:46 UTC

36 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

(www.vetta.org)

Large corporations can unilaterally ban/tax ransomware payments via bets

ryan_greenblatt17 Jul 2021 12:56 UTC

26 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

Fixing the arbitrariness of game depth

cousin_it17 Jul 2021 12:37 UTC

8 points

9 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Equivalent of Information Theory but for Computation?

J Bostock17 Jul 2021 9:38 UTC

5 points

27 comments1 min readLW link

Media Diet: Cultivating Voice, Deliberate Action, and Alive Time

Willa17 Jul 2021 5:56 UTC

5 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] What are some examples from history where a scientific theory predicted a significant experimental observation in advance?

Insub17 Jul 2021 5:39 UTC

8 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

Longtermism vs short-termism for personal life extension

Mati_Roy17 Jul 2021 3:52 UTC

12 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

Bayesianism versus conservatism versus Goodhart

Stuart_Armstrong16 Jul 2021 23:39 UTC

15 points

2 comments6 min readLW link

“If and Only If” Should Be Spelled “Ifeff”

jimrandomh16 Jul 2021 22:03 UTC

24 points

21 comments1 min readLW link

Open Philanthropy is seeking proposals for outreach projects

abergal and ClaireZabel

16 Jul 2021 21:19 UTC

61 points

2 comments10 min readLW link

[AN #156]: The scaling hypothesis: a plan for building AGI

Rohin Shah16 Jul 2021 17:10 UTC

46 points

20 comments8 min readLW link

(mailchi.mp)

Underlying model of an imperfect morphism

Stuart_Armstrong16 Jul 2021 13:13 UTC

13 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

When beliefs become identities, truth-seeking becomes hard

Writer16 Jul 2021 9:02 UTC

7 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

(youtu.be)

Benchmarking an old chess engine on new hardware

hippke16 Jul 2021 7:58 UTC

74 points

4 comments5 min readLW link 1 review

Lafayette: empty traffic signals

KatjaGrace16 Jul 2021 4:30 UTC

20 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

How to Sleep Better

Marius Hobbhahn16 Jul 2021 0:00 UTC

48 points

49 comments15 min readLW link

Generalizing Koopman-Pitman-Darmois

johnswentworth15 Jul 2021 22:33 UTC

61 points

14 comments11 min readLW link