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Risk Premiums vs Prediction Markets

SimonM28 Jul 2021 23:03 UTC

35 points

6 comments6 min readLW link

Delta Strain: Fact Dump and Some Policy Takeaways

Connor_Flexman28 Jul 2021 3:38 UTC

119 points

60 comments16 min readLW link

[Question] How much do variations in diet quality determine individual productivity?

Natália28 Jul 2021 3:05 UTC

37 points

20 comments1 min readLW link

A reasonable debate about Ivermectin

CraigMichael27 Jul 2021 22:31 UTC

7 points

14 comments2 min readLW link

Black ravens and red herrings

Matthew Barnett27 Jul 2021 17:46 UTC

51 points

17 comments1 min readLW link

DeepMind: Generally capable agents emerge from open-ended play

Daniel Kokotajlo27 Jul 2021 14:19 UTC

247 points

53 comments2 min readLW link

(deepmind.com)

In Praise (and Defence) of The People

Olitness27 Jul 2021 7:13 UTC

−8 points

4 comments14 min readLW link

(olitness.wordpress.com)

More Useful Way of Answering “Mind vs. Body” Problem

Olitness27 Jul 2021 7:13 UTC

9 points

4 comments2 min readLW link

(olitness.wordpress.com)

A conversation about cooking, science, and creativity

DirectedEvolution27 Jul 2021 5:00 UTC

16 points

4 comments4 min readLW link

Neuroscience things that confuse me right now

Steven Byrnes26 Jul 2021 21:01 UTC

16 points

5 comments9 min readLW link

Refactoring Alignment (attempt #2)

abramdemski26 Jul 2021 20:12 UTC

46 points

17 comments8 min readLW link

Wanted: Foom-scared alignment research partner

Icarus Gallagher26 Jul 2021 19:23 UTC

42 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What does knowing the heritability of a trait tell me in practice?

Kaj_Sotala26 Jul 2021 16:29 UTC

58 points

22 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Is there a theoretical upper limit on the R0 of Covid variants?

CraigMichael26 Jul 2021 6:53 UTC

11 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

When writing triggers memory reconsolidation

Adam Zerner25 Jul 2021 22:10 UTC

34 points

4 comments3 min readLW link

Can I teach myself scientific creativity?

DirectedEvolution25 Jul 2021 20:15 UTC

13 points

3 comments3 min readLW link

When Arguing Definitions is Arguing Decisions

Hazard25 Jul 2021 16:45 UTC

28 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

Come Build Affordable Housing!

jefftk25 Jul 2021 14:10 UTC

24 points

8 comments4 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Academic Rationality Research

ChristianKl25 Jul 2021 13:59 UTC

63 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

The biological intelligence explosion

Rob Lucas25 Jul 2021 13:08 UTC

8 points

5 comments4 min readLW link

My Productivity Tips and Systems

Jack R25 Jul 2021 12:52 UTC

16 points

2 comments10 min readLW link

[Question] What are some triggers that prompt you to do a Fermi estimate, or to pull up a spreadsheet and make a simple/rough quantitative model?

Eli Tyre25 Jul 2021 6:47 UTC

38 points

16 comments1 min readLW link

Failing safely is the anomaly

Andrew Vlahos25 Jul 2021 4:56 UTC

12 points

4 comments2 min readLW link

A Contamination Theory of the Obesity Epidemic

Bob Baker25 Jul 2021 2:39 UTC

99 points

50 comments5 min readLW link

Social media: designed to be bad for you & for society

matto24 Jul 2021 18:59 UTC

29 points

18 comments4 min readLW link

Believing vs understanding

Adam Zerner24 Jul 2021 3:39 UTC

15 points

2 comments6 min readLW link

Housing Without Street Parking: Implemented

jefftk24 Jul 2021 2:40 UTC

12 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

AXRP Episode 10 - AI’s Future and Impacts with Katja Grace

DanielFilan23 Jul 2021 22:10 UTC

34 points

2 comments77 min readLW link

Delta variant: we should probably be re-masking

Aaron Bergman23 Jul 2021 21:13 UTC

34 points

34 comments4 min readLW link

(aaronbergman.substack.com)

How is low-latency phasic dopamine so fast?

Steven Byrnes23 Jul 2021 17:43 UTC

41 points

1 comment3 min readLW link

[AN #157]: Measuring misalignment in the technology underlying Copilot

Rohin Shah23 Jul 2021 17:20 UTC

28 points

18 comments7 min readLW link

(mailchi.mp)

Hypergames 101

Josephine23 Jul 2021 13:19 UTC

12 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

Decision Duels

Josephine23 Jul 2021 9:22 UTC

11 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

Examples of human-level AI running unaligned.

df fd23 Jul 2021 8:49 UTC

−3 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

(sortale.substack.com)

A Guide for Productivity

Marius Hobbhahn23 Jul 2021 7:03 UTC

34 points

7 comments41 min readLW link

[Question] What is the net effect of memes that call out the huge impact of big players in climate change?

hookdump23 Jul 2021 2:46 UTC

7 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

Re-Define Intent Alignment?

abramdemski22 Jul 2021 19:00 UTC

29 points

32 comments4 min readLW link

Learning in layers of muscle memory

Anshul Jain22 Jul 2021 18:57 UTC

5 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

(www.anshuljain.me)

Progress, Stagnation, & Collapse

abramdemski22 Jul 2021 16:51 UTC

38 points

14 comments4 min readLW link

The Walking Dead

Logan Zoellner22 Jul 2021 16:19 UTC

22 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 7/22: Error Correction

Zvi22 Jul 2021 14:20 UTC

66 points

45 comments21 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Hobbies and the curse of Spontaneity

J Bostock22 Jul 2021 13:25 UTC

4 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

Fire Law Incentives

jefftk22 Jul 2021 12:30 UTC

32 points

23 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Handicapping competitive games

DanielFilan22 Jul 2021 3:00 UTC

15 points

19 comments4 min readLW link

(danielfilan.com)

[Question] ($1000 bounty) How effective are marginal vaccine doses against the covid delta variant?

jacobjacob22 Jul 2021 1:26 UTC

105 points

73 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Jaynesian interpretation—How does “estimating probabilities” make sense?

Haziq Muhammad21 Jul 2021 21:36 UTC

4 points

40 comments1 min readLW link

Ask Not “How Are You Doing?”

Collisteru21 Jul 2021 17:53 UTC

15 points

14 comments2 min readLW link

Randomized Zettelkasten Test

Josephine21 Jul 2021 17:21 UTC

32 points

7 comments7 min readLW link

The shoot-the-moon strategy

jchan21 Jul 2021 16:19 UTC

90 points

18 comments1 min readLW link

Reward splintering for AI design

Stuart_Armstrong21 Jul 2021 16:13 UTC

30 points

1 comment8 min readLW link