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CharlesD

Karma: 135

Experienced quant trader, based in London. Formerly a volunteer at Rethink Priorities, where I did some forecasting research. https://​​forum.effectivealtruism.org/​​users/​​charles_dillon

Es­ti­mates of GPU or equiv­a­lent re­sources of large AI play­ers for 2024/​5

CharlesDNov 28, 2024, 11:01 PM
54 points
7 comments9 min readLW link

How does fore­cast quan­tity im­pact fore­cast qual­ity on Me­tac­u­lus?

CharlesDOct 1, 2021, 7:09 PM
8 points
0 comments9 min readLW link

[Question] What could small scale dis­asters from AI look like?

CharlesDAug 31, 2021, 3:52 PM
14 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

An ex­am­i­na­tion of Me­tac­u­lus’ re­solved AI pre­dic­tions and their im­pli­ca­tions for AI timelines

CharlesDJul 20, 2021, 9:08 AM
28 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

Data on fore­cast­ing ac­cu­racy across differ­ent time hori­zons and lev­els of fore­caster experience

CharlesDMay 27, 2021, 6:53 PM
25 points
0 comments23 min readLW link