What 2026 looks like

Daniel Kokotajlo6 Aug 2021 16:14 UTC
522 points
156 comments16 min readLW link1 review

How To Write Quickly While Main­tain­ing Epistemic Rigor

johnswentworth28 Aug 2021 17:52 UTC
451 points
38 comments4 min readLW link3 reviews

Grav­ity Turn

alkjash16 Aug 2021 19:20 UTC
219 points
21 comments5 min readLW link1 review
(radimentary.wordpress.com)

Can you con­trol the past?

Joe Carlsmith27 Aug 2021 19:39 UTC
175 points
90 comments47 min readLW link1 review

Out­line of Galef’s “Scout Mind­set”

Rob Bensinger10 Aug 2021 0:16 UTC
163 points
17 comments14 min readLW link

Cur­ing in­san­ity with malaria

Swimmer963 (Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg) 4 Aug 2021 2:28 UTC
159 points
8 comments4 min readLW link1 review

The Death of Be­hav­ioral Economics

habryka22 Aug 2021 22:39 UTC
155 points
24 comments1 min readLW link2 reviews
(www.thebehavioralscientist.com)

Wel­come & FAQ!

24 Aug 2021 20:14 UTC
114 points
12 comments6 min readLW link

Eight Hun­dred Slightly Poi­soned Word Games

Scott Alexander9 Aug 2021 20:17 UTC
110 points
5 comments3 min readLW link

Against “blank­faces”

philh8 Aug 2021 23:00 UTC
102 points
12 comments4 min readLW link
(reasonableapproximation.net)

Coase’s “Na­ture of the Firm” on Polyamory

1a3orn13 Aug 2021 13:15 UTC
101 points
34 comments1 min readLW link2 reviews

A short in­tro­duc­tion to ma­chine learning

Richard_Ngo30 Aug 2021 14:31 UTC
94 points
8 comments8 min readLW link

Model­ling Trans­for­ma­tive AI Risks (MTAIR) Pro­ject: Introduction

16 Aug 2021 7:12 UTC
91 points
0 comments9 min readLW link

Au­tomat­ing Au­dit­ing: An am­bi­tious con­crete tech­ni­cal re­search proposal

evhub11 Aug 2021 20:32 UTC
88 points
13 comments14 min readLW link1 review

How Deep­Mind’s Gen­er­ally Ca­pable Agents Were Trained

1a3orn20 Aug 2021 18:52 UTC
87 points
6 comments19 min readLW link

The Fu­ture: Where are the Colors and the Sports?

rogersbacon8 Aug 2021 18:55 UTC
82 points
37 comments8 min readLW link

A Re­sponse to A Con­tam­i­na­tion The­ory of the Obe­sity Epidemic

skot52312 Aug 2021 4:23 UTC
82 points
36 comments10 min readLW link
(goodtosell.substack.com)

AI Safety Papers: An App for the TAI Safety Database

ozziegooen21 Aug 2021 2:02 UTC
81 points
13 comments2 min readLW link

Covid 8/​12: The Worst Is Over

Zvi12 Aug 2021 13:30 UTC
79 points
66 comments26 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Train­ing My Friend to Cook

lsusr29 Aug 2021 5:54 UTC
70 points
33 comments3 min readLW link

Stay­ing Grounded

johnswentworth14 Aug 2021 17:43 UTC
66 points
15 comments4 min readLW link

The two-headed bacterium

Malmesbury10 Aug 2021 15:28 UTC
66 points
4 comments7 min readLW link

How to turn money into AI safety?

Charlie Steiner25 Aug 2021 10:49 UTC
66 points
26 comments8 min readLW link

We need a new philos­o­phy of progress

jasoncrawford23 Aug 2021 21:31 UTC
65 points
44 comments2 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

Anal­y­sis of World Records in Speedrun­ning [LINKPOST]

Jsevillamol4 Aug 2021 15:26 UTC
65 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 8/​5: Much Ado About Nothing

Zvi5 Aug 2021 14:00 UTC
63 points
34 comments31 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

COVID/​Delta ad­vice I’m cur­rently giv­ing to friends

Rob Bensinger24 Aug 2021 3:46 UTC
61 points
31 comments8 min readLW link

When Pro­gram­mers Don’t Un­der­stand Code, Don’t Blame The User

Adam Zerner18 Aug 2021 19:59 UTC
61 points
13 comments3 min readLW link

Hu­man­ity is Win­ning the Fight Against In­fec­tious Disease

lsusr30 Aug 2021 1:31 UTC
60 points
8 comments2 min readLW link

Garrabrant and Shah on hu­man mod­el­ing in AGI

Rob Bensinger4 Aug 2021 4:35 UTC
60 points
10 comments47 min readLW link

Be­ware of small world puzzles

mukashi30 Aug 2021 6:00 UTC
59 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

AI Risk for Epistemic Minimalists

Alex Flint22 Aug 2021 15:39 UTC
58 points
12 comments13 min readLW link1 review

[Question] Fram­ing Practicum: Stable Equilibrium

johnswentworth9 Aug 2021 17:28 UTC
57 points
42 comments4 min readLW link

LCDT, A My­opic De­ci­sion Theory

3 Aug 2021 22:41 UTC
57 points
50 comments15 min readLW link

Analo­gies and Gen­eral Pri­ors on Intelligence

20 Aug 2021 21:03 UTC
57 points
12 comments14 min readLW link

Per­haps vastly more peo­ple should be on FDA-ap­proved weight loss medication

25Hour14 Aug 2021 17:22 UTC
57 points
30 comments8 min readLW link

Covid 8/​26: Full Vac­cine Approval

Zvi26 Aug 2021 13:00 UTC
56 points
46 comments15 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Provide feed­back on Open Philan­thropy’s AI al­ign­ment RFP

20 Aug 2021 19:52 UTC
56 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

MIRI/​OP ex­change about de­ci­sion theory

Rob Bensinger25 Aug 2021 22:44 UTC
55 points
7 comments10 min readLW link

Re­search agenda update

Steven Byrnes6 Aug 2021 19:24 UTC
55 points
40 comments7 min readLW link

Im­pli­ca­ture Conflation

abramdemski9 Aug 2021 19:48 UTC
54 points
5 comments7 min readLW link

Mildly against COVID risk budgets

Optimization Process16 Aug 2021 5:53 UTC
54 points
15 comments5 min readLW link

When Most VNM-Co­her­ent Prefer­ence Order­ings Have Con­ver­gent In­stru­men­tal Incentives

TurnTrout9 Aug 2021 17:22 UTC
53 points
4 comments5 min readLW link

The Myth of the Myth of the Lone Genius

rogersbacon2 Aug 2021 20:55 UTC
53 points
24 comments9 min readLW link

A Bet­ter Time un­til Sun­burn Calculator

Josh Jacobson17 Aug 2021 0:40 UTC
52 points
11 comments2 min readLW link

Covid 8/​19: Crack­ing the Booster

Zvi19 Aug 2021 14:20 UTC
52 points
23 comments21 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] What frac­tion of break­through COVID cases are at­tributable to low an­ti­body count?

johnswentworth22 Aug 2021 4:07 UTC
51 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

Re­search pro­duc­tivity tip: “Solve The Whole Prob­lem Day”

Steven Byrnes27 Aug 2021 13:05 UTC
50 points
5 comments4 min readLW link

OpenAI Codex: First Impressions

specbug13 Aug 2021 16:52 UTC
49 points
8 comments4 min readLW link
(sixeleven.in)

The Codex Skep­tic FAQ

Michaël Trazzi24 Aug 2021 16:01 UTC
49 points
24 comments2 min readLW link