Bets, Bonds, and Kindergarteners

jefftk3 Jan 2021 21:20 UTC
418 points
35 comments2 min readLW link1 review
(www.jefftk.com)

Les­sons I’ve Learned from Self-Teaching

TurnTrout23 Jan 2021 19:00 UTC
355 points
75 comments9 min readLW link1 review

Leaky Del­e­ga­tion: You are not a Commodity

Darmani25 Jan 2021 2:04 UTC
304 points
38 comments15 min readLW link1 review

Science in a High-Di­men­sional World

johnswentworth8 Jan 2021 17:52 UTC
290 points
53 comments7 min readLW link1 review

Birds, Brains, Planes, and AI: Against Ap­peals to the Com­plex­ity/​Mys­te­ri­ous­ness/​Effi­ciency of the Brain

Daniel Kokotajlo18 Jan 2021 12:08 UTC
194 points
86 comments13 min readLW link1 review

Tech­nolog­i­cal stag­na­tion: Why I came around

jasoncrawford23 Jan 2021 22:05 UTC
192 points
79 comments8 min readLW link1 review
(rootsofprogress.org)

Si­mu­lacrum 3 As Stag-Hunt Strategy

johnswentworth26 Jan 2021 19:40 UTC
183 points
37 comments4 min readLW link3 reviews

[Link] Still Alive—As­tral Codex Ten

jimrandomh21 Jan 2021 23:20 UTC
169 points
10 comments1 min readLW link
(astralcodexten.substack.com)

Pseu­do­ran­dom­ness con­test: prizes, re­sults, and analysis

Eric Neyman15 Jan 2021 6:24 UTC
158 points
22 comments20 min readLW link
(ericneyman.wordpress.com)

Covid 1/​7: The Fire of a Thou­sand Suns

Zvi7 Jan 2021 17:00 UTC
157 points
56 comments27 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Cry­on­ics signup guide #1: Overview

mingyuan6 Jan 2021 0:25 UTC
150 points
34 comments6 min readLW link1 review

Covid 1/​21: Turn­ing the Corner

Zvi21 Jan 2021 16:40 UTC
136 points
41 comments26 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Matt Lev­ine on “Fraud is no fun with­out friends.”

Raemon19 Jan 2021 18:23 UTC
120 points
24 comments4 min readLW link
(www.bloomberg.com)

Catch­ing the Spark

LoganStrohl30 Jan 2021 23:23 UTC
117 points
21 comments36 min readLW link1 review

Les­sons from “The Book of My Life”

bmgarfinkel6 Jan 2021 22:40 UTC
114 points
3 comments16 min readLW link
(benmgarfinkel.wordpress.com)

Covid 1/​14: To Launch a Thou­sand Shipments

Zvi14 Jan 2021 17:30 UTC
108 points
35 comments22 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Fourth Wave Covid Toy Modeling

Zvi6 Jan 2021 18:30 UTC
108 points
22 comments14 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Imi­ta­tive Gen­er­al­i­sa­tion (AKA ‘Learn­ing the Prior’)

Beth Barnes10 Jan 2021 0:30 UTC
107 points
15 comments11 min readLW link1 review

Avoid Un­nec­es­sar­ily Poli­ti­cal Examples

Raemon11 Jan 2021 5:41 UTC
106 points
42 comments3 min readLW link

DALL-E by OpenAI

Daniel Kokotajlo5 Jan 2021 20:05 UTC
97 points
20 comments1 min readLW link

Covid 1/​28: Mud­dling Through

Zvi28 Jan 2021 16:50 UTC
97 points
18 comments35 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Ex­er­cise: Ta­boo “Should”

johnswentworth22 Jan 2021 21:02 UTC
96 points
28 comments9 min readLW link2 reviews

#3: Choos­ing a cry­on­ics provider

mingyuan20 Jan 2021 1:47 UTC
95 points
21 comments18 min readLW link

Ra­tion­alWiki on face masks

Viliam15 Jan 2021 1:55 UTC
92 points
27 comments3 min readLW link

Ten­ta­tive covid sur­face risk estimates

KatjaGrace25 Jan 2021 9:40 UTC
92 points
8 comments2 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

A few thought on the in­ner ring

KatjaGrace21 Jan 2021 3:40 UTC
90 points
23 comments4 min readLW link1 review
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

What is go­ing on in the world?

KatjaGrace17 Jan 2021 11:30 UTC
90 points
48 comments3 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Un­nat­u­ral Cat­e­gories Are Op­ti­mized for Deception

Zack_M_Davis8 Jan 2021 20:54 UTC
89 points
27 comments33 min readLW link1 review

Ac­tu­ally pos­si­ble: thoughts on Utopia

Joe Carlsmith18 Jan 2021 8:27 UTC
87 points
7 comments13 min readLW link

A vastly faster vac­cine rollout

KatjaGrace12 Jan 2021 7:40 UTC
86 points
37 comments5 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Tak­ing money seriously

dominicq28 Jan 2021 12:53 UTC
85 points
8 comments5 min readLW link

Thoughts on be­ing mortal

Joe Carlsmith1 Jan 2021 19:17 UTC
83 points
5 comments6 min readLW link

Liter­a­ture Re­view on Goal-Directedness

18 Jan 2021 11:15 UTC
80 points
21 comments31 min readLW link

Re­view of Soft Take­off Can Still Lead to DSA

Daniel Kokotajlo10 Jan 2021 18:10 UTC
79 points
15 comments6 min readLW link

Reflec­tions on Larks’ 2020 AI al­ign­ment liter­a­ture review

Alex Flint1 Jan 2021 22:53 UTC
79 points
7 comments6 min readLW link

Eight claims about multi-agent AGI safety

Richard_Ngo7 Jan 2021 13:34 UTC
79 points
18 comments5 min readLW link

Luna Love­g­ood and the Cham­ber of Se­crets—Part 13

lsusr1 Jan 2021 8:01 UTC
77 points
23 comments2 min readLW link

For Bet­ter Com­ment­ing, Avoid PONDS

DirectedEvolution20 Jan 2021 1:11 UTC
77 points
16 comments2 min readLW link

How to Write Like Kaj Sotala

Matt Goldenberg7 Jan 2021 19:33 UTC
77 points
4 comments5 min readLW link

Why I’m ex­cited about Debate

Richard_Ngo15 Jan 2021 23:37 UTC
75 points
12 comments7 min readLW link

Covid: The Ques­tion of Im­mu­nity From Infection

Zvi20 Jan 2021 15:50 UTC
68 points
9 comments2 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Group house norms re­ally do seem toxic to many peo­ple.

sapphire11 Jan 2021 23:42 UTC
66 points
31 comments3 min readLW link

Ret­ro­spec­tive on Teach­ing Ra­tion­al­ity Workshops

Neel Nanda3 Jan 2021 17:15 UTC
66 points
2 comments31 min readLW link

Un­pop­u­lar­ity of efficiency

KatjaGrace28 Jan 2021 8:30 UTC
64 points
20 comments1 min readLW link
(worldspiritsockpuppet.com)

Every­thing Okay

Zvi23 Jan 2021 14:50 UTC
62 points
13 comments7 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

On clinging

Joe Carlsmith24 Jan 2021 23:25 UTC
61 points
11 comments8 min readLW link

The Prob­lem of the Criterion

Gordon Seidoh Worley21 Jan 2021 15:05 UTC
61 points
63 comments10 min readLW link

The Poin­t­ers Prob­lem: Clar­ifi­ca­tions/​Variations

abramdemski5 Jan 2021 17:29 UTC
61 points
15 comments18 min readLW link

[Question] How good are our mouse mod­els (psy­chol­ogy, biol­ogy, medicine, etc.), ig­nor­ing trans­la­tion into hu­mans, just in terms of un­der­stand­ing mice? (Same ques­tion for drosophila.)

Ruby22 Jan 2021 20:45 UTC
60 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

D&D.Sci II: The Sorceror’s Per­sonal Shopper

abstractapplic12 Jan 2021 1:38 UTC
60 points
29 comments2 min readLW link