The Ho­muncu­lus Problem

abramdemski27 May 2021 20:25 UTC
50 points
38 comments5 min readLW link

99% shorter

philh27 May 2021 19:50 UTC
16 points
0 comments6 min readLW link
(reasonableapproximation.net)

Data on fore­cast­ing ac­cu­racy across differ­ent time hori­zons and lev­els of fore­caster experience

CharlesD27 May 2021 18:53 UTC
25 points
0 comments23 min readLW link

[Question] What’s your vi­sual ex­pe­rience when read­ing tech­ni­cal ma­te­rial?

DirectedEvolution27 May 2021 18:34 UTC
23 points
22 comments1 min readLW link

A Re­view and Sum­mary of the Land­mark Forum

reviewer27 May 2021 18:22 UTC
55 points
11 comments14 min readLW link

[Question] How likely is our view of the cos­mos?

Yitz27 May 2021 16:35 UTC
8 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Freak­ing blockchains: How do they work?

norswap27 May 2021 16:22 UTC
3 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(norswap.com)

Covid 5/​27: The Fi­nal Countdown

Zvi27 May 2021 12:30 UTC
72 points
19 comments12 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Donat­ing Bit­coin to Cri­sis Zones—Is there a plat­form col­lat­ing and ver­ify­ing pub­lic key ad­dress for in­di­vi­d­u­als in con­flict zones which al­lows donors to send Bit­coin di­rectly to them?

Siddhartha Gautama27 May 2021 8:20 UTC
2 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

What’s your peace plan?

CraigMichael26 May 2021 23:26 UTC
8 points
10 comments7 min readLW link

The Anti-Carter Basilisk

Jon Gilbert26 May 2021 22:56 UTC
0 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Is (“Chem­i­cal Im­bal­ance” ⇒ De­pres­sion) an ex­am­ple of fake causal­ity?

const LIZARDMAN26 May 2021 22:55 UTC
3 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] List of good AI safety pro­ject ideas?

Aryeh Englander26 May 2021 22:36 UTC
24 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Dal­las SSC Meetup #11

Dacyn26 May 2021 22:19 UTC
4 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

An­tifrag­ility in Games of Chance, Re­search, and Debate

DirectedEvolution26 May 2021 17:51 UTC
13 points
1 comment4 min readLW link

[Pre­dic­tion] What war be­tween the USA and China would look like in 2050

lsusr26 May 2021 6:24 UTC
76 points
55 comments8 min readLW link

The Prac­tice & Virtue of Discernment

ozziegooen26 May 2021 0:34 UTC
41 points
11 comments11 min readLW link

MDP mod­els are de­ter­mined by the agent ar­chi­tec­ture and the en­vi­ron­men­tal dynamics

TurnTrout26 May 2021 0:14 UTC
23 points
34 comments3 min readLW link

The BTC equil­ibriu­mat­ing and the ETH one-eightening

Randomized, Controlled25 May 2021 21:32 UTC
22 points
7 comments13 min readLW link

[Question] Is there a term for ‘the mis­take of mak­ing a de­ci­sion based on av­er­ages when you could cherry picked in­stead’?

freedomandutility25 May 2021 19:18 UTC
6 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

De­cou­pling de­liber­a­tion from competition

paulfchristiano25 May 2021 18:50 UTC
84 points
17 comments9 min readLW link1 review
(ai-alignment.com)

Knowl­edge is not just map/​ter­ri­tory resemblance

Alex Flint25 May 2021 17:58 UTC
28 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

Ab­strac­tion Talk

johnswentworth25 May 2021 16:45 UTC
38 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Start­ing a Ra­tion­al­ist Meetup dur­ing Lockdown

Felix Karg25 May 2021 15:43 UTC
29 points
2 comments11 min readLW link

Or­a­cles, In­form­ers, and Controllers

ozziegooen25 May 2021 14:16 UTC
15 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

We should prob­a­bly buy ADA?

mako yass24 May 2021 23:58 UTC
15 points
41 comments9 min readLW link

Books on In­fant and Early Child­hood Devel­op­ment?

moderock24 May 2021 23:44 UTC
14 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Ques­tions are tools to help an­swer­ers op­ti­mize utility

ozziegooen24 May 2021 19:30 UTC
33 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

A.D&D.Sci May 2021 Eval­u­a­tion and Ruleset

abstractapplic24 May 2021 16:25 UTC
19 points
16 comments2 min readLW link

Prob­lems fac­ing a cor­re­spon­dence the­ory of knowledge

Alex Flint24 May 2021 16:02 UTC
30 points
22 comments6 min readLW link

Con­trol­ling In­tel­li­gent Agents The Only Way We Know How: Ideal Bureau­cratic Struc­ture (IBS)

Justin Bullock24 May 2021 12:53 UTC
14 points
15 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] If in­di­vi­d­ual perfor­mance is Pareto dis­tributed, how should we re­form ed­u­ca­tion?

yhoiseth24 May 2021 12:22 UTC
27 points
26 comments2 min readLW link

Sig­nal­ling lack of fa­mil­iar­ity with out­siders or out­side knowl­edge, to raise sta­tus among your in-group peers?

orthogenesis24 May 2021 3:42 UTC
11 points
8 comments3 min readLW link

Don’t feel bad about not know­ing ba­sic things

Adam Zerner24 May 2021 1:49 UTC
89 points
33 comments4 min readLW link

Is nu­clear war in­deed un­likely?

Valentin202623 May 2021 23:14 UTC
2 points
13 comments2 min readLW link

Burmese Days #4 Tar­geted costs

Tim Liptrot23 May 2021 20:54 UTC
13 points
1 comment5 min readLW link

Finite Fac­tored Sets

Scott Garrabrant23 May 2021 20:52 UTC
148 points
95 comments24 min readLW link1 review

Book re­view: Sub­tract: The Un­tapped Science of Less

Aaron Bergman23 May 2021 20:21 UTC
27 points
3 comments22 min readLW link
(aaronbergman.substack.com)

[Question] What’s your prob­a­bil­ity that the con­cept of prob­a­bil­ity makes sense?

Mati_Roy22 May 2021 21:53 UTC
3 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

I’m Sorry Fluttershy

sapphire22 May 2021 20:09 UTC
138 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

Kids NCurses Messenger

jefftk22 May 2021 17:50 UTC
40 points
2 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] What is the biggest crypto news of the past year?

mike_hawke22 May 2021 2:01 UTC
0 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Tri­an­gle SSC (Vir­tual) Meetup-May 27th

willbobaggins21 May 2021 23:40 UTC
5 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

The Web is Turn­ing into Cable TV

matto21 May 2021 23:06 UTC
17 points
7 comments4 min readLW link

[Event] Weekly Align­ment Re­search Coffee Time (05/​24)

adamShimi21 May 2021 17:45 UTC
9 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

The Ree­bok effect

Jan Christian Refsgaard21 May 2021 17:11 UTC
13 points
14 comments1 min readLW link
(statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)

AI Safety Re­search Pro­ject Ideas

Owain_Evans21 May 2021 13:39 UTC
58 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

Get your gun license

Alex Hollow21 May 2021 12:44 UTC
5 points
19 comments2 min readLW link
(alexhollow.wordpress.com)

The Ar­gu­ment For Spoilers

abramdemski21 May 2021 12:23 UTC
21 points
24 comments4 min readLW link

Book Re­view of 5 Ap­plied Bayesian Statis­tics Books

Jan Christian Refsgaard21 May 2021 10:23 UTC
66 points
8 comments4 min readLW link