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The Law of Least Effort Contributes to the Conjunction Fallacy

curi9 Aug 2020 19:38 UTC

7 points

53 comments3 min readLW link

Social Interfaces

thoughtfulmadison9 Aug 2020 18:13 UTC

14 points

8 comments3 min readLW link

Existential Risk is a single category

Rafael Harth9 Aug 2020 17:47 UTC

31 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Can we expect more value from AI alignment than from an ASI with the goal of running alternate trajectories of our universe?

Maxime Riché9 Aug 2020 17:17 UTC

2 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] 10/50/90% chance of GPT-N Transformative AI?

human_generated_text9 Aug 2020 0:10 UTC

24 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

Towards a Formalisation of Logical Counterfactuals

Bunthut8 Aug 2020 22:14 UTC

6 points

2 comments2 min readLW link

The Fusion Power Generator Scenario

johnswentworth8 Aug 2020 18:31 UTC

142 points

30 comments3 min readLW link

Evaluating Opus

jefftk8 Aug 2020 16:40 UTC

20 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] How much is known about the “inference rules” of logical induction?

Eigil Rischel8 Aug 2020 10:45 UTC

11 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

The Manual Economy

eapache7 Aug 2020 22:29 UTC

14 points

1 comment4 min readLW link

[Question] Is Wirecutter still good?

Ben Pace7 Aug 2020 21:54 UTC

46 points

16 comments1 min readLW link

Are Americans Becoming More Depressed?

calebo7 Aug 2020 15:57 UTC

26 points

3 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] I’m looking for research looking at the influence of fiction on changing elite/public behaviors and opinions

Timothy Underwood7 Aug 2020 13:49 UTC

6 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are some low-information priors that you find practically useful for thinking about the world?

Linch7 Aug 2020 4:37 UTC

27 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

The Quantitative Reasoning Deficit

proshowersinger7 Aug 2020 3:05 UTC

10 points

8 comments3 min readLW link

Exploring Two-Level Visual Mnemonic Compression

armatures6 Aug 2020 23:58 UTC

11 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

[Question] Why is aging research our primary attempt at immortality?

sd16 Aug 2020 23:47 UTC

1 point

2 comments1 min readLW link

Sunday August 9, 1pm (PDT) — talks by elityre, jacobjacob, Ruby

jacobjacob and Ben Pace

6 Aug 2020 22:50 UTC

31 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

Analyzing the Problem GPT-3 is Trying to Solve

adamShimi6 Aug 2020 21:58 UTC

16 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

Asch Conformity Could Explain the Conjunction Fallacy

curi6 Aug 2020 21:46 UTC

7 points

1 comment5 min readLW link

Covid 8/6: The Case of the Missing Data

Zvi6 Aug 2020 21:40 UTC

43 points

3 comments15 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Procrastination Paradoxes: the Good, the Bad, and the Ugly

scasper6 Aug 2020 19:47 UTC

21 points

4 comments10 min readLW link

Market norms and Social norms

TruetoThis6 Aug 2020 18:27 UTC

3 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] How do you organise your reading?

brook6 Aug 2020 14:54 UTC

20 points

16 comments1 min readLW link

Open & Welcome Thread—August 2020

habryka6 Aug 2020 6:16 UTC

13 points

101 comments1 min readLW link

Zen and Rationality: Don’t Know Mind

Gordon Seidoh Worley6 Aug 2020 4:33 UTC

25 points

1 comment2 min readLW link

The Isolation Assumption of Expected Utility Maximization

Pedro Oliboni6 Aug 2020 4:05 UTC

7 points

1 comment5 min readLW link

[Question] Titan (the Wealthfront of active stock picking) - What’s the catch?

Liron6 Aug 2020 1:06 UTC

10 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What should an Einstein-like figure in Machine Learning do?

Razied5 Aug 2020 23:52 UTC

7 points

4 comments1 min readLW link

Diagramming “Replacing Guilt,” Part 1

armatures5 Aug 2020 23:36 UTC

34 points

7 comments2 min readLW link

Measuring hardware overhang

hippke5 Aug 2020 19:59 UTC

115 points

14 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Which COVID-19 serology (antibody) test is best?

knite5 Aug 2020 18:54 UTC

5 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

[AN #111]: The Circuits hypotheses for deep learning

Rohin Shah5 Aug 2020 17:40 UTC

23 points

0 comments9 min readLW link

(mailchi.mp)

[Question] Can Social Dynamics Explain Conjunction Fallacy Experimental Results?

curi5 Aug 2020 8:50 UTC

8 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

Tools for keeping focused

benkuhn5 Aug 2020 2:10 UTC

129 points

26 comments4 min readLW link

(www.benkuhn.net)

The Golden Age of Data

Collisteru4 Aug 2020 21:35 UTC

5 points

0 comments4 min readLW link

My paper was signalling the whole time—Robin Hanson wins again

Tim Liptrot4 Aug 2020 21:13 UTC

49 points

19 comments2 min readLW link

Boston/Cambridge LW Hangout, Sunday 8/16/20

ItsGiusto4 Aug 2020 20:43 UTC

1 point

1 comment1 min readLW link

Infinite Data/Compute Arguments in Alignment

johnswentworth4 Aug 2020 20:21 UTC

50 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

Property as Coordination Minimization

Vaniver4 Aug 2020 19:24 UTC

38 points

35 comments4 min readLW link

Interpretability in ML: A Broad Overview

lifelonglearner4 Aug 2020 19:03 UTC

53 points

5 comments15 min readLW link

Budapest Meetup on Margit Sziget

Timothy Underwood4 Aug 2020 12:29 UTC

2 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

RT-LAMP is the right way to scale diagnostic testing for the coronavirus

Kevin4 Aug 2020 10:05 UTC

35 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

A sketch of ‘Simulacra Levels and their Interactions’

Yoav Ravid4 Aug 2020 9:13 UTC

44 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

What is filling the hole left by religion?

Philosophistry4 Aug 2020 6:48 UTC

13 points

14 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] RFC: COVID-19 Statistical Guilt

Erhannis4 Aug 2020 6:46 UTC

3 points

4 comments8 min readLW link

(Ir)rationality of Pascal’s wager

filozof3377@gmial.com3 Aug 2020 20:57 UTC

3 points

10 comments4 min readLW link

is gpt-3 few-shot ready for real applications?

nostalgebraist3 Aug 2020 19:50 UTC

31 points

5 comments9 min readLW link

(nostalgebraist.tumblr.com)

Solving Key Alignment Problems Group

Logan Riggs3 Aug 2020 19:30 UTC

19 points

7 comments2 min readLW link

Cryonics Cost-Benefit Analysis

niplav3 Aug 2020 17:30 UTC

46 points

8 comments32 min readLW link