Pre­face to the se­quence on eco­nomic growth

Matthew BarnettAug 27, 2020, 8:29 PM
51 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Notes on “The An­thro­pol­ogy of Child­hood”

juliawiseAug 27, 2020, 5:11 PM
185 points
10 comments45 min readLW link

Covid 8/​27: The Fall of the CDC

ZviAug 27, 2020, 2:10 PM
85 points
16 comments12 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Tech­ni­cal model re­fine­ment formalism

Stuart_ArmstrongAug 27, 2020, 11:54 AM
19 points
0 comments6 min readLW link

Model splin­ter­ing: mov­ing from one im­perfect model to another

Stuart_ArmstrongAug 27, 2020, 11:53 AM
79 points
10 comments33 min readLW link

Are We Right about How Effec­tive Mock­ery Is?

Ronny FernandezAug 27, 2020, 10:48 AM
44 points
12 comments9 min readLW link

Ba­sic In­framea­sure Theory

DiffractorAug 27, 2020, 8:02 AM
39 points
19 comments25 min readLW link

Belief Func­tions And De­ci­sion Theory

DiffractorAug 27, 2020, 8:00 AM
20 points
7 comments39 min readLW link

Proofs Sec­tion 1.1 (Ini­tial re­sults to LF-du­al­ity)

DiffractorAug 27, 2020, 7:59 AM
8 points
0 comments20 min readLW link

Proofs Sec­tion 1.2 (Mix­tures, Up­dates, Push­for­wards)

DiffractorAug 27, 2020, 7:57 AM
8 points
0 comments14 min readLW link

Proofs Sec­tion 2.1 (The­o­rem 1, Lem­mas)

DiffractorAug 27, 2020, 7:54 AM
8 points
0 comments36 min readLW link

Proofs Sec­tion 2.2 (Iso­mor­phism to Ex­pec­ta­tions)

DiffractorAug 27, 2020, 7:52 AM
8 points
0 comments46 min readLW link

Proofs Sec­tion 2.3 (Up­dates, De­ci­sion The­ory)

DiffractorAug 27, 2020, 7:49 AM
8 points
0 comments31 min readLW link

19th-cen­tury progress studies

jasoncrawfordAug 27, 2020, 2:28 AM
30 points
0 comments3 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

[Question] What is the in­ter­pre­ta­tion of the do() op­er­a­tor?

BunthutAug 26, 2020, 9:54 PM
10 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

In­tro­duc­tion To The In­fra-Bayesi­anism Sequence

Aug 26, 2020, 8:31 PM
110 points
62 comments13 min readLW link2 reviews

We­bBun­dles and URL Randomization

jefftkAug 26, 2020, 5:50 PM
10 points
1 comment3 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

[AN #114]: The­ory-in­spired safety solu­tions for pow­er­ful Bayesian RL agents

Rohin ShahAug 26, 2020, 5:20 PM
21 points
3 comments8 min readLW link
(mailchi.mp)

Ex­cus­ing a Failure to Adjust

Ronny FernandezAug 26, 2020, 1:51 PM
14 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

nos­talge­braist: Re­cur­sive Good­hart’s Law

Kaj_SotalaAug 26, 2020, 11:07 AM
53 points
27 comments1 min readLW link
(nostalgebraist.tumblr.com)

On Sud­denly Not Be­ing Able to Work

Jacob FalkovichAug 25, 2020, 10:14 PM
35 points
11 comments4 min readLW link

I Started a Sports and Gam­bling Substack

ZviAug 25, 2020, 9:30 PM
17 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

A Re­fu­ta­tion of (Global) “Hap­piness Max­i­miza­tion”

fareAug 25, 2020, 8:33 PM
−1 points
5 comments15 min readLW link

Sun­day, 20/​8/​30, 12pm PDT – Tag­ging Cel­e­bra­tion: Habryka/​Crawford + Party

RubyAug 25, 2020, 8:21 PM
49 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Math­e­mat­i­cal In­con­sis­tency in Solomonoff In­duc­tion?

curiAug 25, 2020, 5:09 PM
7 points
15 comments2 min readLW link

The Best Toy In The Park

jefftkAug 25, 2020, 2:30 PM
27 points
15 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Why hasn’t there been re­search on the effec­tive­ness of zinc for Covid-19?

Rudi CAug 24, 2020, 8:58 PM
12 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

So­cially-dis­tanced out­door Petrov Day cer­e­mo­nial manual

jchanAug 24, 2020, 2:11 PM
8 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

When can Fic­tion Change the World?

Timothy UnderwoodAug 24, 2020, 1:47 PM
79 points
18 comments11 min readLW link

[Question] Do you vote based on what you think to­tal karma should be?

Rafael HarthAug 24, 2020, 1:37 PM
44 points
57 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Is ‘sat­ific­ing’ op­ti­mi­sa­tion?

Riccardo VolpatoAug 24, 2020, 11:51 AM
5 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Learn­ing hu­man prefer­ences: black-box, white-box, and struc­tured white-box access

Stuart_ArmstrongAug 24, 2020, 11:42 AM
26 points
9 comments6 min readLW link

“Good judge­ment” and its components

owencbAug 24, 2020, 10:32 AM
27 points
4 comments3 min readLW link

Split-a-Dol­lar Game

Martin SustrikAug 24, 2020, 4:54 AM
29 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] In­vest­ment is a use­ful so­cietal mechanism for get­ting new things made. Stock trad­ing shares some func­tion­al­ity with in­vest­ment, but seems very very in­effi­cient, at that?

mako yassAug 24, 2020, 1:18 AM
10 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Em­pa­thetic vs In­trin­sic Oof

Ronny FernandezAug 24, 2020, 12:12 AM
8 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

Chart­ing Is Mostly Superstition

gilchAug 23, 2020, 8:26 PM
37 points
18 comments7 min readLW link

Pos­tel’s Prin­ci­ple as Mo­ral Aphorism

eapacheAug 23, 2020, 7:36 PM
15 points
3 comments4 min readLW link

How to set up foot pedals

jefftkAug 23, 2020, 4:40 PM
19 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

SlateS­tarCodex On­line Meetup: Dr David Man­heim on Co­op­er­a­tion for AI

JoshuaFoxAug 23, 2020, 10:00 AM
13 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(forms.gle)

[Geo: Cal­ifor­nia/​Bay Area] Mini-Re­search of 2020 Fire Situation

RubyAug 23, 2020, 5:13 AM
71 points
13 comments6 min readLW link

[Question] Cur­rent guidance for COVID-19 self-care?

kniteAug 23, 2020, 2:10 AM
20 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

A trick for Safer GPT-N

RaziedAug 23, 2020, 12:39 AM
7 points
1 comment2 min readLW link

Maybe Ly­ing Can’t Ex­ist?!

Zack_M_DavisAug 23, 2020, 12:36 AM
58 points
16 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] Why don’t coun­tries, like com­pa­nies, more of­ten merge?

Vishrut AryaAug 22, 2020, 11:56 PM
15 points
20 comments1 min readLW link

Effi­cient Mar­ket Frontier

AlexeiAug 22, 2020, 11:52 PM
19 points
3 comments10 min readLW link

Tag­ging Progress at 100%! (Party & Cel­e­bra­tory Talk w/​ Ja­son Crawford, Habryka on Sun, Aug 30th, 12pm PDT)

RubyAug 22, 2020, 4:45 PM
54 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

Ex­po­sure or Con­tacts?

jefftkAug 22, 2020, 1:00 PM
15 points
4 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Sun­day Au­gust 23rd, 12pm (PDT) – Dou­ble Crux with Buck Sh­legeris and Oliver Habryka on Slow vs. Fast AI Takeoff

Ben PaceAug 22, 2020, 6:37 AM
33 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What posts on fi­nance would your find helpful or in­ter­est­ing?

AlexeiAug 22, 2020, 4:31 AM
32 points
48 comments1 min readLW link