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2020 Election: Prediction Markets versus Polling/Modeling Assessment and Postmortem

ZviNov 18, 2020, 11:00 PM

71 points

17 comments20 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

The ethics of AI for the Routledge Encyclopedia of Philosophy

Stuart_ArmstrongNov 18, 2020, 5:55 PM

45 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

The Pointers Problem: Human Values Are A Function Of Humans’ Latent Variables

johnswentworthNov 18, 2020, 5:47 PM

129 points

50 comments11 min readLW link 2 reviews

Normativity

abramdemskiNov 18, 2020, 4:52 PM

47 points

11 comments9 min readLW link

[Question] What would a world of widespread statistical numeracy look like?

PontorNov 18, 2020, 4:23 PM

5 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Should we postpone AGI until we reach safety?

otto.bartenNov 18, 2020, 3:43 PM

27 points

36 comments3 min readLW link

Sunzi’s《Methods of War》- Introduction

lsusrNov 18, 2020, 8:23 AM

49 points

23 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Comparative Advantage Intuition

arxhyNov 18, 2020, 1:23 AM

4 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Thoughts on Voting Methods

abramdemskiNov 17, 2020, 8:23 PM

61 points

24 comments5 min readLW link

On the Shoulders of Giants

meanderingmooseNov 17, 2020, 6:10 PM

1 point

5 comments6 min readLW link

How the Moderna vaccine works, and a note about mRNA vaccines

masasinNov 17, 2020, 5:22 PM

27 points

3 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Comparing Covid and Tobacco

Tim LiptrotNov 17, 2020, 4:13 PM

4 points

24 comments1 min readLW link

Writing to think

Adam ZernerNov 17, 2020, 7:54 AM

69 points

27 comments5 min readLW link

Notes on Honor

David GrossNov 17, 2020, 5:25 AM

20 points

4 comments8 min readLW link

Debug Headers with GET

jefftkNov 17, 2020, 3:10 AM

9 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Solomonoff Induction and Sleeping Beauty

ikeNov 17, 2020, 2:28 AM

7 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

The Darwin Game—Rounds 10 to 20

lsusrNov 17, 2020, 1:14 AM

26 points

7 comments5 min readLW link

Propinquity Cities So Far

mako yassNov 16, 2020, 11:12 PM

24 points

48 comments20 min readLW link

[Question] How can labour productivity growth be an indicator of automation?

PolytoposNov 16, 2020, 9:16 PM

2 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

Extortion beats brinksmanship, but the audience matters

Stuart_ArmstrongNov 16, 2020, 9:13 PM

27 points

15 comments4 min readLW link

Anatomy of a Gear

johnswentworthNov 16, 2020, 4:34 PM

79 points

12 comments7 min readLW link

How Roodman’s GWP model translates to TAI timelines

Daniel KokotajloNov 16, 2020, 2:05 PM

22 points

5 comments3 min readLW link

Brigaded Rounds

jefftkNov 16, 2020, 1:50 AM

10 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] When socializing, to what extent does walking reduce the risk of contracting Covid as opposed to being stationary?

Adam ZernerNov 16, 2020, 12:39 AM

7 points

7 comments1 min readLW link

Announcing the Forecasting Innovation Prize

ozziegooen and NunoSempere

Nov 15, 2020, 9:12 PM

69 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

FAR—UVC

todd@acatrack.netNov 15, 2020, 7:34 PM

1 point

0 comments1 min readLW link

Notes on Loyalty

David GrossNov 15, 2020, 7:30 PM

17 points

2 comments8 min readLW link

Spend twice as much effort every time you attempt to solve a problem

JsevillamolNov 15, 2020, 6:37 PM

55 points

11 comments2 min readLW link 1 review

A guide to Iterated Amplification & Debate

Rafael HarthNov 15, 2020, 5:14 PM

75 points

12 comments15 min readLW link

Beware Experiments Without Evaluation

Davis_KingsleyNov 15, 2020, 8:18 AM

75 points

13 comments1 min readLW link

Examples of Measures

Maxwell PetersonNov 15, 2020, 1:44 AM

23 points

20 comments2 min readLW link

Early Thoughts on Ontology/Grounding Problems

johnswentworthNov 14, 2020, 11:19 PM

32 points

5 comments5 min readLW link

Signalling & Simulacra

abramdemskiNov 14, 2020, 7:24 PM

63 points

30 comments5 min readLW link

[Event] Ajeya’s Timeline Report Reading Group #1 (Nov. 17, 6:30PM − 8:00PM PT)

habrykaNov 14, 2020, 7:14 PM

9 points

1 comment1 min readLW link

Stuart Russell at the SlateStarCodex Online Meetup

JoshuaFoxNov 14, 2020, 6:42 PM

11 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Specialized Labor and Counterfactual Compensation

philhNov 14, 2020, 6:13 PM

18 points

2 comments19 min readLW link

(reasonableapproximation.net)

European Master’s Programs in Machine Learning, Artificial Intelligence, and related fields

Master Programs ML/AINov 14, 2020, 3:51 PM

34 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

EPF Lausanne, ML related MSc programs

Master Programs ML/AINov 14, 2020, 3:51 PM

3 points

0 comments4 min readLW link

University of Oxford, Master’s Statistical Science

Master Programs ML/AINov 14, 2020, 3:51 PM

3 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

University of Tübingen, Master’s Machine Learning

Master Programs ML/AINov 14, 2020, 3:50 PM

16 points

0 comments7 min readLW link

TU Darmstadt, Computer Science Master’s with a focus on Machine Learning

Master Programs ML/AINov 14, 2020, 3:50 PM

6 points

0 comments8 min readLW link

University of Edinburgh, Master’s Artificial Intelligence

Master Programs ML/AINov 14, 2020, 3:49 PM

4 points

0 comments12 min readLW link

ETH Zurich, ML related MSc programs

Master Programs ML/AINov 14, 2020, 3:49 PM

3 points

0 comments10 min readLW link

University of Amsterdam (UvA), Master’s Artificial Intelligence

Master Programs ML/AINov 14, 2020, 3:49 PM

17 points

5 comments21 min readLW link

On Arguments for God

Chris_LeongNov 14, 2020, 9:06 AM

10 points

19 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are some good examples of fake beliefs?

Adam ZernerNov 14, 2020, 7:40 AM

18 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

My Confusion about Moral Philosophy

Nacruno96Nov 14, 2020, 3:49 AM

1 point

14 comments3 min readLW link

Sharding the Brigade

jefftkNov 14, 2020, 3:30 AM

8 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Notes on Wisdom

David GrossNov 14, 2020, 2:37 AM

6 points

0 comments6 min readLW link

The Darwin Game—Rounds 3 to 9

lsusrNov 14, 2020, 2:26 AM

25 points

6 comments10 min readLW link