Sleep­ing Beauty, Clon­ing Beauty, and Fre­quen­tist Ar­gu­ments In An­thropic Paradoxes

dadadarrenNov 9, 2020, 11:17 PM
5 points
11 comments4 min readLW link

The 300-year jour­ney to the covid vaccine

jasoncrawfordNov 9, 2020, 11:06 PM
123 points
9 comments5 min readLW link2 reviews
(rootsofprogress.org)

Au­tomat­ing rea­son­ing about the fu­ture at Ought

jungofthewonNov 9, 2020, 9:51 PM
17 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(ought.org)

Notes on Self-Control

David GrossNov 9, 2020, 9:27 PM
9 points
0 comments10 min readLW link

Clar­ify­ing in­ner al­ign­ment terminology

evhubNov 9, 2020, 8:40 PM
109 points
17 comments3 min readLW link1 review

[Question] What frac­tion of Dan Ariely’s Ir­ra­tional Game hasn’t repli­cated?

Mati_RoyNov 9, 2020, 8:25 PM
8 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Open Prob­lems Create Paradigms

johnswentworthNov 9, 2020, 8:04 PM
50 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

Com­mit­ting, As­sum­ing, Ex­ter­nal­iz­ing, and Internalizing

Scott GarrabrantNov 9, 2020, 4:59 PM
31 points
25 comments10 min readLW link

Time Travel Mar­kets for In­tel­lec­tual Accounting

abramdemskiNov 9, 2020, 4:58 PM
45 points
7 comments7 min readLW link

Build­ing AGI Us­ing Lan­guage Models

leogaoNov 9, 2020, 4:33 PM
11 points
1 comment1 min readLW link
(leogao.dev)

In­cen­tive Prob­lems With Cur­rent Fore­cast­ing Com­pe­ti­tions.

Nov 9, 2020, 4:20 PM
44 points
21 comments5 min readLW link

Costs and benefits of metaphysics

George3d6Nov 9, 2020, 2:31 PM
11 points
2 comments11 min readLW link

Why You Should Care About Goal-Directedness

adamShimiNov 9, 2020, 12:48 PM
38 points
15 comments9 min readLW link

Com­pet­i­tive Univer­sal Ba­sic Ser­vices?

GentzelNov 9, 2020, 3:20 AM
13 points
20 comments2 min readLW link
(theconsequentialist.wordpress.com)

Notes on Temperance

David GrossNov 9, 2020, 2:33 AM
15 points
2 comments9 min readLW link

Model Depth as Panacea and Obfuscator

abstractapplicNov 9, 2020, 12:02 AM
8 points
3 comments15 min readLW link

Where Do We Go From Here?

eapacheNov 8, 2020, 7:53 PM
7 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

When Hind­sight Isn’t 20/​20: In­cen­tive De­sign With Im­perfect Credit Allocation

johnswentworthNov 8, 2020, 7:16 PM
79 points
24 comments6 min readLW link

Two rea­sons to ex­pect a peace­ful change of power in the US

Tim LiptrotNov 8, 2020, 5:13 PM
11 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

Carte­sian Frames Definitions

Rob BensingerNov 8, 2020, 12:44 PM
28 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Is cor­rup­tion a valuable an­ti­dote to over­reg­u­la­tion?

ChristianKlNov 8, 2020, 12:15 PM
17 points
23 comments1 min readLW link

Scor­ing 2020 U.S. Pres­i­den­tial Elec­tion Predictions

Zack_M_DavisNov 8, 2020, 2:28 AM
38 points
7 comments4 min readLW link
(zackmdavis.net)

Sun­day 8th 2pm PT: Scott Garrabrant’s Office Hours /​ Carte­sian Frames

RaemonNov 8, 2020, 2:03 AM
10 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Fre­quen­tist prac­tice in­cor­po­rates prior in­for­ma­tion all the time

Maxwell PetersonNov 7, 2020, 8:43 PM
18 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Three Open Prob­lems in Aging

johnswentworthNov 7, 2020, 7:39 PM
48 points
8 comments5 min readLW link

Can we prime peo­ple to take risk?

tonyoconnorNov 7, 2020, 5:17 PM
5 points
11 comments3 min readLW link

Somerville Mask Usage II

jefftkNov 7, 2020, 5:00 PM
17 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] How can I bet on short timelines?

Daniel KokotajloNov 7, 2020, 12:44 PM
43 points
16 comments2 min readLW link

Why philos­o­phy of sci­ence?

Richard_NgoNov 7, 2020, 11:10 AM
54 points
3 comments2 min readLW link
(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

the scal­ing “in­con­sis­tency”: openAI’s new insight

nostalgebraistNov 7, 2020, 7:40 AM
148 points
14 comments9 min readLW link
(nostalgebraist.tumblr.com)

Nu­clear war is un­likely to cause hu­man extinction

Jeffrey LadishNov 7, 2020, 5:42 AM
131 points
48 comments11 min readLW link3 reviews

Does SGD Pro­duce De­cep­tive Align­ment?

Mark XuNov 6, 2020, 11:48 PM
96 points
9 comments16 min readLW link

Ethics in Many Worlds

finNov 6, 2020, 11:21 PM
8 points
24 comments9 min readLW link

The Power & Tragedy of Names

SocratesDissatisfiedNov 6, 2020, 10:50 PM
12 points
4 comments5 min readLW link

Ob­serve, bab­ble, and prune

DirectedEvolutionNov 6, 2020, 9:45 PM
8 points
1 comment8 min readLW link

A re­view of Where Is My Fly­ing Car? by J. Storrs Hall

jasoncrawfordNov 6, 2020, 8:01 PM
103 points
23 comments11 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

Covid ‘Mink var­i­ant’

henryajNov 6, 2020, 5:50 PM
2 points
5 comments1 min readLW link

Gen­er­al­ized Heat Eng­ine II: Ther­mo­dy­namic Effi­ciency Limit

johnswentworthNov 6, 2020, 5:30 PM
69 points
1 comment7 min readLW link

Teach Peo­ple to Rec­og­nize the Sound of Covid?

jefftkNov 6, 2020, 2:30 PM
21 points
8 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Ad­di­tive and Mul­ti­plica­tive Subagents

Scott GarrabrantNov 6, 2020, 2:26 PM
20 points
7 comments12 min readLW link

“model scores” is a ques­tion­able concept

Maxwell PetersonNov 6, 2020, 3:19 AM
26 points
0 comments6 min readLW link

Sun­day, Nov 8: Tun­ing Your Cog­ni­tive Algorithms

RaemonNov 6, 2020, 12:57 AM
16 points
17 comments1 min readLW link

Notes on Jus­tice (as a virtue)

David GrossNov 5, 2020, 8:27 PM
6 points
4 comments8 min readLW link

Im­pos­tor Syn­drome as skill/​dom­i­nance mismatch

ViliamNov 5, 2020, 8:05 PM
94 points
12 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] What con­sid­er­a­tions in­fluence whether I have more in­fluence over short or long timelines?

Daniel KokotajloNov 5, 2020, 7:56 PM
28 points
30 comments1 min readLW link

Gen­er­al­ized Heat Engine

johnswentworthNov 5, 2020, 7:01 PM
186 points
11 comments7 min readLW link

Sub-Sums and Sub-Tensors

Scott GarrabrantNov 5, 2020, 6:06 PM
34 points
4 comments8 min readLW link

Defin­ing ca­pa­bil­ity and al­ign­ment in gra­di­ent descent

Edouard HarrisNov 5, 2020, 2:36 PM
22 points
6 comments10 min readLW link

Covid 11/​5: Don’t Men­tion the War

ZviNov 5, 2020, 2:20 PM
64 points
16 comments28 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

[Question] Bab­ble Challenge: 50 thoughts on sta­ble, co­op­er­a­tive institutions

Bird ConceptNov 5, 2020, 6:38 AM
29 points
12 comments3 min readLW link