Bi­ased Pandemic

De­ci­sion The­o­ries: A Less Wrong Primer

Meetup : West LA Meetup—De­ci­sion Theory

Risks from AI and Char­i­ta­ble Giving

[Link] Failed repli­ca­tions of the “el­derly walk­ing” prim­ing effect

What is the best com­pact for­mal­iza­tion of the ar­gu­ment for AI risk from fast take­off?

LINK: Can in­tel­li­gence ex­plode?

TED-Ed Launch

Is in­tel­li­gence ex­plo­sion nec­es­sary for dooms­day?

Real-life ex­pected util­ity max­i­miza­tion [re­sponse to XiXiDu]

The Stable State is Broken

Meetup : Austin, TX

Falsification

Meetup : Melbourne so­cial meetup

The ap­peal of fic­tional conflict

On the etiol­ogy of re­li­gious belief

Any­one have any ques­tions for David Chalmers?

Free Ap­plied In­stru­men­tal Ra­tion­al­ity Webinar

New pa­per on Bayesian philos­o­phy of statis­tics from An­drew Gelman

Is causal de­ci­sion the­ory plus self-mod­ifi­ca­tion enough?

[SEQ RERUN] Is Hu­man­ism A Reli­gion-Sub­sti­tute?

Sus­pi­cious ar­gu­ments re­gard­ing cow counting

Slow­ing Moore’s Law: Why You Might Want To and How You Would Do It

Meetup : Madi­son Mon­day Meetup

How to use hu­man his­tory as a nu­tri­tional prior?

Pre­dictabil­ity of De­ci­sions and the Di­ag­o­nal Method

[Link, 2011] Team may be cho­sen to re­ceive $1.4 billion to simu­late hu­man brain

New cog­ni­tive bias ar­ti­cles on wikipe­dia (up­date)

[Link] Bet­ter re­sults by chang­ing Bayes’ theorem

Weekly LW Mee­tups: At­lanta, Cam­bridge UK, Chicago, Fort Col­lins, Hous­ton, Melbourne, Twin Cities, Vancouver

Poli­ti­cal philos­o­phy and/​ver­sus poli­ti­cal ac­tion, not to men­tion arguing

How does real world ex­pected util­ity max­i­miza­tion work?

[SEQ RERUN] Amaz­ing Break­through Day: April 1st

Meetup : Fort Col­lins Meetup Satur­day 17th

A tax­on­omy of Or­a­cle AIs

Meetup : Atlanta

Con­junc­tion fal­lacy and prob­a­bil­is­tic risk as­sess­ment.

James Martin Post­doc­toral Re­search Fel­low­ship: So­cio-eco­nomic Im­pacts of Tech­nolog­i­cal Change

Nick Bostrom: Mo­ral un­cer­tainty – to­wards a solu­tion? [link, 2009]

Sud­den Fu­ture Sin­gu­lar­ity (SFS) as soon as 8.7 mil­lion years in the fu­ture?

I Was Not Al­most Wrong But I Was Al­most Right: Close-Call Coun­ter­fac­tu­als and Bias

[SEQ RERUN] The Beauty of Set­tled Science

Meetup : Pitts­burgh Meetup: Big Gam­ing Fun 4!

Mak­ing com­puter sys­tems with ex­tended Iden­tity

DAGGRE group fore­cast­ing workshop

Meetup : Queue­ing and More

Friendly AI Society

Ra­tion­ally Irrational

Causal di­a­grams and soft­ware engineering

Harry Pot­ter and the Meth­ods of Ra­tion­al­ity dis­cus­sion thread, part 10