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Up­dated Beliefs (ex­am­ples thereof)

TagLast edit: Feb 8, 2025, 12:31 AM by lesswrong-internal

Updated Beliefs is a report of general beliefs or perspectives that one has substantially changed their mind about. A post on this may share what one used to think, what the new views are, and what caused the change. Sharing such accounts publicly is prosocial and allows others to learn from one’s experience too.

This tag is specifically for changes in general beliefs about the world – what you believed before, what you believe now, and causes of the change. If a post focuses reporting actions and outcomes together with an evaluation of the choices/​thinking patterns used, then it is a good fit for Postmortems & Retrospectives. Central examples of Updated Beliefs posts are “‘Other people are wrong’ vs ‘I am right’” and “Six Economics Misconceptions”; in contrast, a central example of a Postmortems & Retrospectives post is “Arbital Postmortem”.

Six eco­nomics mis­con­cep­tions of mine which I’ve re­solved over the last few years

BuckJul 13, 2020, 3:01 AM
196 points
59 comments9 min readLW link

“Other peo­ple are wrong” vs “I am right”

BuckFeb 22, 2019, 8:01 PM
265 points
20 comments9 min readLW link2 reviews

Why I no longer iden­tify as transhumanist

Kaj_SotalaFeb 3, 2024, 12:00 PM
55 points
33 comments3 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

Fibromyal­gia, Pain & De­pres­sion. How much is due to phys­i­cal mis­al­ign­ment?

leggiOct 29, 2019, 2:58 PM
7 points
4 comments18 min readLW link

Three ways CFAR has changed my view of rationality

Julia_GalefSep 10, 2013, 6:24 PM
172 points
59 comments5 min readLW link

Up­dat­ing my AI timelines

Matthew BarnettDec 5, 2022, 8:46 PM
145 points
50 comments2 min readLW link

Where I’ve Changed My Mind on My Ap­proach to Spec­u­la­tive Causes

Peter WildefordAug 16, 2013, 7:09 AM
59 points
51 comments4 min readLW link

Have you changed your mind lately? On what?

EmileJun 4, 2012, 7:54 PM
39 points
106 comments1 min readLW link

Oops on Com­mod­ity Prices

sarahconstantinJun 10, 2018, 3:40 PM
148 points
8 comments2 min readLW link
(srconstantin.wordpress.com)

Self-driv­ing car bets

paulfchristianoJul 29, 2023, 6:10 PM
235 points
44 comments5 min readLW link
(sideways-view.com)

Up­dates Thread

Adam ZernerSep 9, 2020, 4:34 AM
56 points
41 comments1 min readLW link

Link: Re-read­ing Kah­ne­man’s Think­ing, Fast and Slow

toomanymetasJul 4, 2016, 6:32 AM
26 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Willing to share some words that changed your be­liefs/​be­hav­ior?

Duncan Sabien (Deactivated)Mar 23, 2019, 2:08 AM
28 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

List of re­solved con­fu­sions about IDA

Wei DaiSep 30, 2019, 8:03 PM
97 points
18 comments3 min readLW link

Book Re­view: De­sign Prin­ci­ples of Biolog­i­cal Circuits

johnswentworthNov 5, 2019, 6:49 AM
222 points
24 comments12 min readLW link1 review

Talk­ing Snakes: A Cau­tion­ary Tale

Scott AlexanderMar 13, 2009, 1:41 AM
190 points
235 comments3 min readLW link

My Bayesian Enlightenment

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 5, 2008, 4:45 PM
72 points
65 comments7 min readLW link

Musk, Star­link, and Crimea

Nicholas / Heather KrossSep 23, 2023, 2:35 AM
−13 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Kelly *is* (just) about log­a­r­ith­mic utility

abramdemskiMar 1, 2021, 8:02 PM
99 points
26 comments12 min readLW link1 review

[Question] If my pre­vi­ous re­search is wrong, what are my op­tions ?

BB6Apr 7, 2021, 4:44 PM
50 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

How feel­ing more se­cure feels differ­ent than I expected

Kaj_SotalaSep 17, 2021, 9:20 AM
83 points
15 comments3 min readLW link
(kajsotala.fi)

Ta­boo “Out­side View”

Daniel KokotajloJun 17, 2021, 9:36 AM
351 points
33 comments8 min readLW link3 reviews

An Up­date on Academia vs. In­dus­try (one year into my fac­ulty job)

David Scott Krueger (formerly: capybaralet)Sep 3, 2022, 8:43 PM
122 points
18 comments4 min readLW link

Knox and Sol­lecito freed

komponistoOct 3, 2011, 8:24 PM
40 points
114 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are some ar­ti­cles that up­dated your be­liefs a lot on an im­por­tant topic?

Mati_RoyMar 11, 2020, 10:34 PM
34 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

Change A View: An in­ter­est­ing on­line community

habrykaApr 30, 2019, 6:34 PM
50 points
6 comments1 min readLW link
(changeaview.com)

Why could you be op­ti­mistic that the Sin­gu­lar­ity is Near?

gwernJul 14, 2012, 11:33 PM
34 points
37 comments1 min readLW link

What I’ve learned from Less Wrong

LouieNov 20, 2010, 12:47 PM
113 points
235 comments3 min readLW link

Ex­treme up­dat­ing: The devil is in the miss­ing details

PhilGoetzMar 25, 2009, 5:55 PM
7 points
17 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] What did you learn from leaked doc­u­ments?

wassnameSep 2, 2023, 1:28 AM
13 points
9 comments1 min readLW link

De­fund­ing My Mistake

ymeskhoutSep 4, 2023, 2:43 PM
175 points
41 comments6 min readLW link

I Changed My Mind To­day—Canned Laughter

preApr 15, 2009, 11:59 PM
15 points
9 comments3 min readLW link

What fact that you know is true but most peo­ple aren’t ready to ac­cept it?

lorepieriFeb 3, 2023, 12:06 AM
47 points
211 comments1 min readLW link

At 87, Pearl is still able to change his mind

rotatingpaguroOct 18, 2023, 4:46 AM
148 points
15 comments5 min readLW link

Tech­nolog­i­cal stag­na­tion: Why I came around

jasoncrawfordJan 23, 2021, 10:05 PM
193 points
79 comments8 min readLW link1 review
(rootsofprogress.org)

Leaky Del­e­ga­tion: You are not a Commodity

DarmaniJan 25, 2021, 2:04 AM
308 points
38 comments15 min readLW link1 review

Dear Self; We Need To Talk About So­cial Media

ElizabethDec 7, 2021, 12:40 AM
157 points
19 comments10 min readLW link1 review
(acesounderglass.com)

A case for ca­pa­bil­ities work on AI as net pos­i­tive

Noosphere89Feb 27, 2023, 9:12 PM
10 points
37 comments1 min readLW link

Ad­dress­ing doubts of AI progress: Why GPT-5 is not late, and why data scarcity isn’t a fun­da­men­tal limiter near term.

LDJJan 17, 2025, 6:53 PM
2 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

List a few posts in Main and/​or Dis­cus­sion which ac­tu­ally made you change your mind

ShmiJun 13, 2014, 2:42 AM
24 points
35 comments1 min readLW link

Posts I re­pent of

Will_NewsomeMar 20, 2012, 5:29 AM
25 points
19 comments1 min readLW link

Mis­takes repository

DorikkaSep 9, 2013, 3:32 AM
39 points
197 comments1 min readLW link

Alex Ir­pan: “My AI Timelines Have Sped Up”

VaniverAug 19, 2020, 4:23 PM
43 points
20 comments1 min readLW link
(www.alexirpan.com)

What false be­liefs have you held and why were you wrong?

PunoxysmOct 16, 2014, 5:58 PM
43 points
368 comments1 min readLW link

The Im­por­tance of Judg­ing: A Reflec­tion on Ra­tional Thought

CrimsonChinJun 20, 2023, 10:49 PM
2 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Types of Con­fu­sion Experiences

HazardMar 11, 2018, 2:32 PM
13 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Men­tal Ill­ness Is Not Ev­i­dence Against Abuse Allegations

sarahconstantinMay 13, 2018, 7:50 PM
4 points
43 comments1 min readLW link
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