RSS

Pas­cal’s Mugging

Tag

[Question] “Fa­nat­i­cal” Longter­mists: Why is Pas­cal’s Wager wrong?

YitzJul 27, 2022, 4:16 AM
3 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s Mug­ging: Tiny Prob­a­bil­ities of Vast Utilities

Eliezer YudkowskyOct 19, 2007, 11:37 PM
112 points
354 comments4 min readLW link

[Question] Has there been any work on at­tempt­ing to use Pas­cal’s Mug­ging to make an AGI be­have?

Chris_LeongJun 15, 2022, 8:33 AM
7 points
17 comments1 min readLW link

Desider­ata for an Ad­ver­sar­ial Prior

ShmiNov 9, 2022, 11:45 PM
13 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Dis­solve: The Petty Crimes of Blaise Pascal

SebastianG Aug 12, 2022, 8:04 PM
17 points
4 comments6 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s Mug­gle: In­finites­i­mal Pri­ors and Strong Evidence

Eliezer YudkowskyMay 8, 2013, 12:43 AM
73 points
402 comments26 min readLW link

Against the Lin­ear Utility Hy­poth­e­sis and the Lev­er­age Penalty

AlexMennenDec 14, 2017, 6:38 PM
41 points
47 comments11 min readLW link

The Lifes­pan Dilemma

Eliezer YudkowskySep 10, 2009, 6:45 PM
61 points
220 comments7 min readLW link

More on the Lin­ear Utility Hy­poth­e­sis and the Lev­er­age Prior

AlexMennenFeb 26, 2018, 11:53 PM
16 points
4 comments9 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s Mug­gle (short ver­sion)

Eliezer YudkowskyMay 5, 2013, 11:36 PM
48 points
53 comments11 min readLW link

Ob­served Pas­cal’s Mugging

[deleted]Jun 28, 2011, 3:53 PM
36 points
61 comments1 min readLW link

Prob­a­bil­ities Small Enough To Ig­nore: An at­tack on Pas­cal’s Mugging

Kaj_SotalaSep 16, 2015, 10:45 AM
27 points
176 comments5 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s mug­ging in re­ward learning

Stuart_ArmstrongNov 5, 2017, 7:44 PM
9 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

Ex­pected util­ity, un­los­ing agents, and Pas­cal’s mugging

Stuart_ArmstrongJul 28, 2014, 6:05 PM
32 points
54 comments5 min readLW link

Tac­tics against Pas­cal’s Mugging

ArisKatsarisApr 25, 2013, 12:07 AM
26 points
54 comments8 min readLW link

Con­sider Re­con­sid­er­ing Pas­cal’s Mugging

Rafael HarthJan 3, 2018, 12:03 AM
5 points
9 comments3 min readLW link

A Thought on Pas­cal’s Mugging

komponistoDec 10, 2010, 6:08 AM
15 points
159 comments1 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s Mug­ging for bounded util­ity functions

BenyaDec 6, 2012, 10:28 PM
18 points
49 comments2 min readLW link

Com­ments on Pas­cal’s Mugging

[deleted]May 3, 2012, 9:23 PM
15 points
31 comments2 min readLW link

No, I won’t go there, it feels like you’re try­ing to Pas­cal-mug me

RupertJul 11, 2018, 1:37 AM
9 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s Mug­ging—Pe­nal­iz­ing the prior prob­a­bil­ity?

XiXiDuMay 17, 2011, 2:44 PM
12 points
30 comments2 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s Gift

BongoDec 25, 2010, 7:42 PM
13 points
46 comments1 min readLW link

What do you mean by Pas­cal’s mug­ging?

XiXiDuNov 20, 2014, 4:38 PM
10 points
24 comments2 min readLW link

An in­vest­ment anal­ogy for Pas­cal’s Mugging

[deleted]Dec 9, 2014, 7:50 AM
9 points
36 comments1 min readLW link

Strong­man­ning Pas­cal’s Mugging

PentashagonFeb 20, 2013, 12:36 PM
4 points
20 comments2 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s Mug­gle Pays

ZviDec 16, 2017, 8:40 PM
25 points
17 comments4 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

In­tro­duc­tion to Ex­pected Value Fanaticism

Petra KosonenFeb 14, 2025, 7:05 PM
9 points
8 comments1 min readLW link
(utilitarianism.net)

Be­ing Half-Ra­tional About Pas­cal’s Wager is Even Worse

Eliezer YudkowskyApr 18, 2013, 5:20 AM
62 points
162 comments9 min readLW link

Model Uncer­tainty, Pas­calian Rea­son­ing and Utilitarianism

multifoliateroseJun 14, 2011, 3:19 AM
35 points
155 comments5 min readLW link

[Question] How do bounded util­ity func­tions work if you are un­cer­tain how close to the bound your util­ity is?

GhatanathoahOct 6, 2021, 9:31 PM
13 points
26 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Has Pas­cal’s Mug­ging prob­lem been com­pletely solved yet?

EniScienNov 6, 2022, 12:52 PM
3 points
11 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Is acausal ex­tor­tion pos­si­ble?

sisyphusNov 11, 2022, 7:48 PM
−20 points
34 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] What qual­ities does an AGI need to have to re­al­ize the risk of false vac­uum, with­out hard­cod­ing physics the­o­ries into it?

RationalSieveFeb 3, 2023, 4:00 PM
1 point
4 comments1 min readLW link

Could Roko’s basilisk acausally bar­gain with a pa­per­clip max­i­mizer?

Christopher KingMar 13, 2023, 6:21 PM
1 point
8 comments1 min readLW link

Hyper­bolic Dis­count­ing and Pas­cal’s Mugging

Andrew Keenan RichardsonDec 23, 2023, 9:55 PM
9 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

AGI is un­con­trol­lable, al­ign­ment is impossible

Donatas LučiūnasMar 19, 2023, 5:49 PM
−12 points
21 comments1 min readLW link

Should we max­i­mize the Geo­met­ric Ex­pec­ta­tion of Utility?

A.H.Apr 17, 2024, 10:37 AM
5 points
17 comments9 min readLW link

Pas­cal’s Mug­ging and the Order of Quantification

Mascal's PuggingMay 10, 2024, 6:34 PM
11 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

Solv­ing Pas­cal’s Wager us­ing dy­namic programming

Paul WilczewskiJul 10, 2024, 6:09 PM
1 point
0 comments5 min readLW link

De­mog­ra­phy and Destiny

Zero ContradictionsJul 21, 2024, 8:34 PM
6 points
11 comments1 min readLW link
(thewaywardaxolotl.blogspot.com)

Over­pop­u­la­tion FAQs

Zero ContradictionsAug 10, 2024, 4:21 AM
−12 points
7 comments1 min readLW link
(zerocontradictions.net)

[Question] (i no longer en­dorse this post) - cry­on­ics is a pas­cal’s mug­ging?

KvmanThinkingOct 25, 2024, 11:24 PM
−12 points
4 comments1 min readLW link
No comments.