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Effi­cient Mar­ket Hypothesis

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Zoom Tech­nolo­gies, Inc. vs. the Effi­cient Mar­kets Hypothesis

Zack_M_Davis11 May 2020 6:00 UTC
72 points
47 comments4 min readLW link

The EMH Aten’t Dead

Richard Meadows15 May 2020 20:44 UTC
195 points
87 comments19 min readLW link

Mar­kets are Anti-Inductive

Eliezer Yudkowsky26 Feb 2009 0:55 UTC
88 points
61 comments4 min readLW link

Be­ing the (Pareto) Best in the World

johnswentworth24 Jun 2019 18:36 UTC
448 points
60 comments3 min readLW link3 reviews

The Effi­cient Mar­ket Hy­poth­e­sis in Research

libai8 Jul 2021 17:00 UTC
11 points
9 comments3 min readLW link

How Effi­cient is the Char­i­ta­ble Mar­ket?

lukeprog24 Aug 2013 5:57 UTC
26 points
12 comments2 min readLW link

The EMH is False—Spe­cific Strong Evidence

sapphire18 Mar 2021 18:38 UTC
62 points
83 comments6 min readLW link

List of civil­i­sa­tional inadequacy

ChristianKl23 Nov 2017 13:56 UTC
22 points
49 comments1 min readLW link

Dis­solv­ing the “Is the Effi­cient Mar­ket Hy­poth­e­sis Dead?” Question

Alexei2 Aug 2020 4:46 UTC
37 points
4 comments7 min readLW link

Chap­ter 4: The Effi­cient Mar­ket Hypothesis

Eliezer Yudkowsky14 Mar 2015 19:00 UTC
76 points
5 comments6 min readLW link

Hero Licensing

Eliezer Yudkowsky21 Nov 2017 21:13 UTC
239 points
83 comments52 min readLW link

[Question] What are the best prece­dents for in­dus­tries failing to in­vest in valuable AI re­search?

Daniel Kokotajlo14 Dec 2020 23:57 UTC
18 points
16 comments1 min readLW link

Anti-EMH Ev­i­dence (and a plea for help)

Wei Dai5 Dec 2020 18:29 UTC
93 points
44 comments5 min readLW link

Post-crash mar­ket effi­ciency 1696-2020

bfinn22 May 2020 14:13 UTC
22 points
8 comments3 min readLW link

Inad­e­quacy and Modesty

Eliezer Yudkowsky28 Oct 2017 21:51 UTC
132 points
78 comments18 min readLW link

Retro fun­der pro­file & Man­i­fund team recs (ACX Grants 2024: Im­pact Mar­ket)

Saul Munn26 Mar 2024 3:29 UTC
9 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Vac­ci­na­tion with the EMH

DirectedEvolution29 Dec 2020 3:05 UTC
17 points
16 comments8 min readLW link

MSP Ar­ti­cle Dis­cus­sion Meetup: The EMH, Long-Term In­vest­ing, and Lev­er­aged ETFs

25Hour27 Dec 2023 16:50 UTC
3 points
1 comment1 min readLW link

Gen­er­al­ized Effi­cient Mar­kets and Academia

johnswentworth30 Apr 2020 21:59 UTC
52 points
29 comments2 min readLW link

The Eco­nomic Con­se­quences of Noise Traders

FactorialCode14 Jun 2020 17:14 UTC
45 points
3 comments1 min readLW link
(www.nber.org)

Con­trar­ian LW views and their eco­nomic implications

Larks8 Oct 2014 23:48 UTC
30 points
126 comments1 min readLW link

Sun­day July 12 — talks by Scott Garrabrant, Alexflint, alexei, Stu­art_Armstrong

jacobjacob and Ben Pace
8 Jul 2020 0:27 UTC
19 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

An Equil­ibrium of No Free Energy

Eliezer Yudkowsky31 Oct 2017 21:27 UTC
129 points
48 comments27 min readLW link

Moloch’s Toolbox (1/​2)

Eliezer Yudkowsky4 Nov 2017 21:46 UTC
154 points
70 comments33 min readLW link

Moloch’s Toolbox (2/​2)

Eliezer Yudkowsky7 Nov 2017 1:58 UTC
110 points
56 comments24 min readLW link

Zero­ing Out

Zvi5 Nov 2017 16:10 UTC
45 points
8 comments4 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Limits of Cur­rent US Pre­dic­tion Mar­kets (Pre­dic­tIt Case Study)

aphyer14 Jul 2020 7:24 UTC
204 points
50 comments7 min readLW link

Effi­cient Mar­ket Frontier

Alexei22 Aug 2020 23:52 UTC
19 points
3 comments10 min readLW link

The Effi­cient LessWrong Hy­poth­e­sis—Stock In­vest­ing Competition

MrThink11 Apr 2022 20:43 UTC
30 points
35 comments2 min readLW link

Be less scared of overconfidence

benkuhn30 Nov 2022 15:20 UTC
163 points
22 comments9 min readLW link
(www.benkuhn.net)

Against us­ing stock prices to fore­cast AI timelines

basil.halperin, tmychow and J. Zachary Mazlish
10 Jan 2023 16:03 UTC
23 points
2 comments2 min readLW link

Stock mar­ket hints for 2021 from past crashes

bfinn30 Dec 2020 20:05 UTC
19 points
8 comments2 min readLW link

pa­tio11′s “Ob­ser­va­tions from an EA-ad­ja­cent (?) char­i­ta­ble effort”

RobertM10 Dec 2022 0:27 UTC
43 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Mar­ket Misconceptions

gilch20 Aug 2020 4:46 UTC
27 points
8 comments4 min readLW link

Vio­lat­ing the EMH—Pre­dic­tion Markets

sapphire28 Mar 2021 4:05 UTC
40 points
9 comments4 min readLW link

AI Safety via Luck

Jozdien1 Apr 2023 20:13 UTC
81 points
7 comments11 min readLW link

Coron­avirus crash vs history

bfinn14 Jun 2021 10:55 UTC
39 points
3 comments2 min readLW link

The Ker­nel of Mean­ing in Prop­erty Rights

Abhimanyu Pallavi Sudhir21 Jun 2024 1:12 UTC
7 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

Re­tail In­vestor Advantages

leogao7 Dec 2021 2:08 UTC
13 points
13 comments1 min readLW link

Your Fu­ture Self’s Cre­dences Should Be Un­pre­dictable to You

David Udell11 Mar 2022 23:33 UTC
6 points
8 comments2 min readLW link

AGI and the EMH: mar­kets are not ex­pect­ing al­igned or un­al­igned AI in the next 30 years

basil.halperin, J. Zachary Mazlish and tmychow
10 Jan 2023 16:06 UTC
117 points
44 comments26 min readLW link

Op­ti­miza­tion and Ad­e­quacy in Five Bullets

james.lucassen6 Jun 2022 5:48 UTC
35 points
2 comments4 min readLW link
(jlucassen.com)

Pro­gram­mers Should Plan For Lower Pay

jefftk29 Dec 2019 3:20 UTC
76 points
72 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

[Question] Is the “busi­ness cy­cle” an ac­tual eco­nomic prin­ci­ple?

Liron18 Jun 2019 14:52 UTC
43 points
15 comments1 min readLW link
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