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Consensus

TagLast edit: Jan 26, 2021, 2:04 PM by Yoav Ravid

A Consensus is a general or full agreement between members of a group. A consensus can be useful in deciding what’s true (e.g, a scientific consensus), or as a criteria in decision making. A False Consensus can happen when someone thinks a position is in consensus when it isn’t. one can also claim a consensus falsely to advance their position and make it difficult for others to oppose it. a False Controversy can happen when one mistakes something to not be in consensus when in fact it is. Claiming false controversies is a common way of creating uncertainty and doubt.

There are many things that are considered a consensus on LessWrong, even though they’re are not considered a consensus in the scientific community, such as: One-Boxing, cooperating on the Prisoner’s Dilemma, Bayesianism over frequentist probability (and more to be added)

Notable things that aren’t in consensus on LessWrong include Blackmail /​ Extortion, the benefits of rationality, AI Timelines and AI Takeoff, as well as AI alignment strategies,

Related Pages: Common Knowledge, Disagreement, Modesty, Modesty argument, Aumann agreement, Government (in the context of democracies), Contrarianism

See also: consensus on wikipedia

Learn­ing To Love Scien­tific Consensus

Scott AlexanderSep 2, 2017, 8:44 AM
30 points
1 comment19 min readLW link

[Question] What Are Your Prefer­ences Re­gard­ing The FLI Let­ter?

JenniferRMApr 1, 2023, 4:52 AM
−4 points
122 comments16 min readLW link

Con­ver­sa­tion about paradigms, in­tel­lec­tual progress, so­cial con­sen­sus, and AI

Sep 5, 2023, 9:30 PM
14 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Knowl­edge Base 1: Could it in­crease in­tel­li­gence and make it safer?

iwisSep 30, 2024, 4:00 PM
−4 points
0 comments4 min readLW link

Re­quest for ad­vice: Re­search for Con­ver­sa­tional Game The­ory for LLMs

Rome ViharoOct 16, 2024, 5:53 PM
10 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

The Screen­play Method

Yeshua GodOct 24, 2023, 5:41 PM
−15 points
0 comments25 min readLW link

Can AI Trans­form the Elec­torate into a Ci­ti­zen’s Assem­bly

RoscoHunterAug 15, 2023, 5:52 PM
−3 points
5 comments3 min readLW link

Knowl­edge Base 6: Con­sen­sus the­ory of truth

iwisNov 3, 2023, 1:56 PM
−8 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Knowl­edge Base 2: The struc­ture and the method of building

iwisOct 9, 2023, 11:53 AM
2 points
4 comments7 min readLW link

Knowl­edge Base 8: The truth as an at­trac­tor in the in­for­ma­tion space

iwisApr 25, 2024, 3:28 PM
−8 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Trust­ing Ex­pert Consensus

ChrisHallquistOct 16, 2013, 8:22 PM
41 points
81 comments17 min readLW link

[Question] Is there an aca­demic con­sen­sus around Rent Con­trol?

edoaradJan 22, 2021, 4:18 PM
3 points
14 comments1 min readLW link

In­di­vi­d­ual Ra­tion­al­ity Needn’t Gen­er­al­ize to Ra­tional Consensus

Akshat MahajanMay 4, 2020, 10:53 PM
42 points
17 comments4 min readLW link

Every­body Knows

ZviJul 2, 2019, 12:20 PM
137 points
21 comments4 min readLW link1 review
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

How Com­mon Are Science Failures?

Scott AlexanderJul 3, 2014, 1:36 AM
24 points
9 comments5 min readLW link

How defer­en­tial should we be to the fore­casts of sub­ject mat­ter ex­perts?

VipulNaikJul 14, 2014, 11:41 PM
22 points
5 comments10 min readLW link

Why Democ­racy?

sxaeMay 14, 2021, 11:02 AM
14 points
7 comments14 min readLW link

Afri­can Wild Dogs Vote By Sneez­ing—Can AI Help Us Do Bet­ter?

Augmented AssemblyFeb 6, 2023, 9:09 PM
10 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

Quan­tum Dar­winism, so­cial con­structs, and the sci­en­tific method

pchvykovFeb 7, 2024, 7:04 AM
6 points
12 comments9 min readLW link

Knowl­edge Base 7: Long-tail knowl­edge and col­lec­tive intelligence

iwisApr 18, 2024, 2:21 PM
−6 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
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