June 2020
COVID-19 Updates and Analysis
Covid-19 6/4: The Eye of the Storm
Covid-19 6/11: Bracing For a Second Wave
Covid-19 6/18: The Virus Goes South
Covid 6/25: The Dam Breaks
July 2020
Covid 7/2: It Could Be Worse
Covid 7/9: Lies, Damn Lies and Death Rates
Covid-19: Analysis of Mortality Data
Covid 7/16: Becoming the Mask
Covid 7/23: The Second Summit
New Paper on Herd Immunity Thresholds
Covid 7/30: Whack a Mole
August 2020
Covid 8/6: The Case of the Missing Data
Covid 8/13: Same As It Ever Was
Covid 8/20: A Little Progress
Covid 8/27: The Fall of the CDC
March 2020
Coronavirus is Here
What is a School?
Let My People Stay Home
April 2020
Taking Initial Viral Load Seriously
On R0
Seemingly Popular Covid-19 Model is Obvious Nonsense
My Covid-19 Thinking: 4/17
My Covid-19 Thinking: 4/23 pre-Cuomo Data
On New York’s Antibody Tests
On “COVID-19 Superspreader Events in 28 Countries: Critical Patterns and Lessons”
Covid-19 4/30: Stuck in Limbo
May 2020
SlateStarCodex 2020 Predictions: Buy, Sell, Hold
Covid-19: New York’s Antibody Tests 2
Covid-19 5/7: Fighting Limbo
Covid-19: Comorbidity
Covid 5/21: Limbo Under
Covid-19 5/29: Dumb Reopening
Covid-19: My Current Model
September 2020
Covid 9/3: Meet the New CDC
Covid 9/10: Vitamin D
Covid 9/17: It’s Worse
Covid 9/24: Until Morale Improves
October 2020
Covid 10/1: The Long Haul
Covid 10/8: October Surprise
Covid 10/15: Playtime is Over
Covid 10/22: Europe in Crisis
Covid Covid Covid Covid Covid 10/29: All We Ever Talk About
November 2020
Covid 11/5: Don’t Mention the War
Covid 11/12: The Winds of Winter
Covid 11/19: Don’t Do Stupid Things
Covid 11/26: Thanksgiving
December 2020
Covid 12/3: Land of Confusion
Covid 12/10: Vaccine Approval Day in America
Covid 12/17: The First Dose
Covid 12/24: We’re F***ed, It’s Over
[Question] What evidence will tell us about the new strain? How are you updating?
Covid 12/31: Meet the New Year
January 2021
Fourth Wave Covid Toy Modeling
Covid 1/7: The Fire of a Thousand Suns
Covid 1/14: To Launch a Thousand Shipments
Covid: The Question of Immunity From Infection
Covid 1/21: Turning the Corner
Covid 1/28: Muddling Through
February 2021
Covid 2/4: Safe and Effective Vaccines Aplenty
Covid 2/11: As Expected
Covid 2/18: Vaccines Still Work
Judging Our April 2020 Covid-19 Predictions
Covid 2/25: Holding Pattern
March 2021
Covid 3/4: Declare Victory and Leave Home
Covid 3/12: New CDC Guidelines Available
Covid 3/18: An Expected Quantity of Blood Clots
Covid 3/25: Own Goals
April 2021
Covid 4/1: Vaccine Passports
Covid 4/9: Another Vaccine Passport Objection
Covid 4/15: Are We Seriously Doing This Again
Covid 4/22: Crisis in India
Covid 4/29: Vaccination Slowdown
May 2021
Covid 5/6: Vaccine Patent Suspension
Covid 5/13: Moving On
Covid 5/20: The Great Unmasking
Covid 5/27: The Final Countdown
June 2021
Covid 6/3: No News is Good News
Covid 6/10: Somebody Else’s Problem
Covid 6/17: One Last Scare
Covid 6/24: The Spanish Prisoner
July 2021
Covid 7/1: Don’t Panic
Covid 7/8: Delta Takes Over
Covid 7/15: Rates of Change
Covid 7/22: Error Correction
Covid 7/29: You Play to Win the Game
August 2021
Covid 8/5: Much Ado About Nothing
Covid 8/12: The Worst Is Over
Covid 8/19: Cracking the Booster
Covid 8/26: Full Vaccine Approval
September 2021
Covid 9/2: Long Covid Analysis
Covid 9/9: Passing the Peak
Covid 9/17: Done Biden His Time
Covid 9/23: There Is a War
Covid 9/30: People Respond to Incentives
October 2021
Covid 10/7: Steady as She Goes
Covid 10/14: Less Long Cvoid
Covid 10/21: Rogan vs. Gupta
Covid 10/28: An Unexpected Victory
November 2021