Vladimir_Nesov comments on Goertzel on Psi in H+ Magazine

Vladimir_Nesov 5 Nov 2010 19:13 UTC
2 points

I expect the true number to be far higher than I’d like to believe

You’d like to be true, not you’d like to believe (I do so hope).
- Relsqui 6 Nov 2010 0:20 UTC
  3 points
  Parent
  “I would like to believe it, and I would like the reason for that belief to be that it is true.”
- WrongBot 5 Nov 2010 21:54 UTC
  2 points
  Parent
  I would like to believe that the true figure isn’t very high. But I like having beliefs that correspond with reality much more.
  - Vladimir_Nesov 5 Nov 2010 21:58 UTC
    3 points
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    Do you like liking to believe things for reasons other than their truth?
    - WrongBot 5 Nov 2010 23:52 UTC
      1 point
      Parent
      I should rephrase: I would like to accurately believe that the figure isn’t very high.
      
      I’m actually really uncertain about whether there’s a meaningful distinction between “I want to sincerely and rationally believe x” and “I want x to be true” for a perfect Bayesian. For humans, of course, the distinction is enormous.