Well… sorry to put it this way, but when you said that, I checked to see if you’d posted anything, and you hadn’t. There’s a rule I have which often offends people, and yet it seems like a very important rule, which is when someone tells you that change X will prevent people from doing Y, and they aren’t doing Y, you probably want to check with people who are currently doing Y about that.
Take as a sample some of the people who have made nonmeta top-level posts in the past week or so and aren’t super-regular posters. I count Shalmanese, David Balan, Matt, Mr. Hen, Warrigal, and JHuffman. A few of the posts I downvoted, but none was so abominably stupid that the person involved should be ridden out of town on a rail.
I looked up how long it took each of those posters to earn their 20 karma/50 karma based on comment points alone (not counting comments replying to their own posts). IE, how far do you have to go back for all comments between then and now to total >20/50 karma? It was quick and involved a lot of skimming and mental math, but it was something like:
Matt: 20 September, 50 May
JHuffman: 20 April, 50 March
MrHen: 20 July, 50 June
Warrigal: 20 early Dec, 50 early Nov
Shalmanese: 20 September, not at 50 yet
David Balan: AFAICT only comments on his own posts
If these numbers are representative of people who aren’t super-regulars but like making top-level posts, they’re getting comment karma on other people’s posts somewhere like five to ten per month.
That means it takes someone with their usage habits 2-4 months to get 20 comment karma and 5-10 months to get 50. It also means that if one of these people’s first posts made a dumb mistake and got them voted down to −5, then at 50 point threshold it’d take another 5-10 months for them to be able to make their second.
The cost of having too low a threshold is that there are a few dumb posts that never get promoted to where anyone can see them anyway. The cost of having too high a threshold is that we miss out on interesting information and the community doesn’t expand.
Lower the posting threshold back to 20, and maybe do something about first post downvotes.
At the last less-wrong meet-up I attended, several people noted that they did not even comment for fear of getting negative karma on comments. I was one of only two people out of 12 with karma over 25, and some of these people are long-time readers. People who avoid posting based on the new rule might not be karma optimizing, but then you need to consider what’s the purpose of karma to begin with—is it to create a hierarchy based on score, or is it to discourage trolls and encourage useful comment? If it’s the latter, I think the new rule will discourage more first-time posters than it will encourage, as 5 downvotes on a post will literally wipe away what might be a few month’s worth of collected karma from shy commenters.
I spend half an hour on average crafting a LW comment and don’t post half the comments I write. Usually, I’m anxious post-comment but positively surprised by karma.
Note that maybe commenting fear causes the high quality of LW discussion.
I suspect the same motivations will apply even in the absence of a direct numerical representation of people’s peer’s opinions. I, for example, posted a lot less than I would have liked to on The Octagon because I feared verbal or even non-verbalized disapproval.
I occasionally post despite fears of disapproval, but then immediately after posting my anxiety levels will become so uncomfortably high I delete the comment. Perhaps some people have noticed me doing this, but if they knew how anxious I felt I believe they would understand. It’s kind of neurotic...
I also have some social anxiety as well. A usual amount, I think. And then I tell myself that posting on Less Wrong (which is not the ‘real world’) would be good desensitizing training. I think it has helped some, but occasionally it has the opposite effect. I once had a minor panic attack at a conference moments before giving a talk -- not because of the talk, but because I realized I wouldn’t be able to delete a comment or a post I just submitted and thought I might regret.
Incidentally, the chances of me making a comment (and leaving it) doesn’t correlate as much with my perceived quality of my comments as much as with my anxiety threshold at that time. Since I’m not very good at gauging my anxiety response, I tend to always rewrite my comments more and more conservatively until the first idea is all but lost. Then I’ll submit the comment just because I spent so much time on it.
(Please don’t respond that I probably shouldn’t bother commenting; I kind of know that. I’m curious if the whole thing improves over time.)
Heh. I once drove ~45 minutes to a Less Wrong meetup in Santa Clara, made a U-turn at the end of the block the house was on and drove straight back home.
Well… I would say that it was one part not knowing what to expect—was I just going to mingle in this house full of extremely bright people for a few hours? I wasn’t sure I was going to know what to do with myself.
It was one part doubt about my own.. uh.. qualifications for being there. I haven’t commented much on my main account, nor made a submission (I hope you’ll forgive me for using a throwaway account for these comments). I’m a college senior whose done well in every class (from lit. to programming to organic chem. to math), but I don’t yet have a passion, nor area of expertise, so I wasn’t sure that I would be able to contribute much… or even last long (i.e. be able to carry on) in a conversation with the opinionated and up-to-date scholars there.
I guess the advice I would give would be this: cater more to shy / socially anxious people. Maybe have a snippet you can paste at the end of every announcement, just summarizing what goes on there and who all is welcome, what the ecology / environment is like, etc. Tell people what the sufficient conditions are for their being welcome.
Please don’t respond that I probably shouldn’t bother commenting; I kind of know that.
If you have a social anxiety problem then i expect that reassurances from a stranger on the internet won’t have much effect. But if it’s any help, then from a glance at your user overview page it looks like what you say has a generally positive reception. So it looks like you can write here without worrying about disapproval, based on your karma score at least.
I’m right there with you on this. As taa22 mentions below, there are often things that I do, and put a great amount of energy or expense into, only to give up for a variety of reasons (usually self-consciousness, which is the strangest thing to me, since I spent most of the 1980s on a stage of one kind or another, at the center of many people’s attention).
I’ve noticed that I tend to do better when I try to censor (Allcorn, got it right this time) myself less than I usually tend to censor myself (I self-censor to a great degree, which is exactly what it sounds like you are doing).
This brings two issues to my mind:
• Are you destroying what you originally intended to say (in which case, I will not touch my original thoughts, as written the first time)? or
• Are you strengthening your original intended thoughts (in which case, revision can often be a good idea. If this revision is not done in an attempt to censor oneself, but to further reveal a thought)?
I just recalled something… There are exercises that actors & musicians often do before they go onto stage in order to decease stress over potential mistakes. Is it the case that you might find something f this sort beneficial? It seems to me that irrational fears are often best countered by direct action, even if it seems to have nothing to do with the fears in question (this is what your typical theatrical warm-up exercises are geared to address)
I guess I can speak from the position of doing a little of Y.
The latest is currently at −4, but I’m fine with it. If every post from now on goes −4 I can make 9ish more posts. I think I’ve posted three articles in all my time here, so at this rate I have nothing to worry about. I figure none of my posts are going to be terribly popular because I am still learning everything and will be talking about simple, uncomplicated things.
Of course, if I keeping posting and getting −4, I will probably just move into the open thread. :)
Post a half dozen posts that aren’t particularly experimental. Then branch out. This tends to be a practical social approach even without a formalized karma system.
By way of providing feedback from someone who recently posted for the very first time: while I don’t think the new rules would have prevented me from submitting my three extant posts, I do expect that I will be more cautious in the future than I otherwise would have been. (I’m well known to suffer from karma-loss-aversion.)
I’m not opposed to the change, however—votes on posts should be worth more than votes on comments. (Also, my karma more than doubled when the change was made.)
There’s a consistent pattern to what gets voted down.
“Experimental” isn’t what gets voted down. Arrogance or confrontation combined with poor thinking/writing gets voted down. If you’re making a really big conclusion, you need to make your premises really clear. If you’re not confident in your point, or if you’re incredibly confident in your point, you should frame your post more as raising a question than answering one. And you need to respect basic rules of grammar and spelling; lesswrong is probably in the top .1% of civility for this type of forum, and users like it that way.
If you exercise a certain degree of humility, use a spellchecker, and avoid being confrontational, it is very unlikely you will be voted down. You might not be voted up, but people will be hesitant to punish you if you are humble and friendly, as opposed to arrogant and antagonistic.
Of course, I have to admit I’m thrilled about this new system; I’ve had maybe a dozen good top-level post ideas bouncing around, and this should motivate me to start posting them. But I think there’s a consistent pattern to what gets voted down; polite posts that use a spellchecker almost never get voted down, even if people aren’t interested in them.
“If you exercise a certain degree of humility, use a spellchecker, and avoid being confrontational, it is very unlikely you will be voted down.”
This will hopefully be true with the new system that shows negative scores (I for one will be a lot more loath to vote down anything below +2), but I’m not sure it has been true historically, as I have seen posts that I liked and were all of the above that have been voted down. I’m not entirely opposed to the karma changes, as I can see that there will be positive effects via motivation, but I think a modification may be helpful: Instead of downvotes being automatic −10, why not let negative scores on posts be −2 or −3? It would still make people think twice before posting, without scaring the bejeezes out of lower karma posters, and readers won’t feel as bad about voting down things that really oughtn’t be here.
If someone starts a post with “Rationality is wrong...” or similar, I’m much more likely to downvote it than if they start it with “I’ve got these scenarios where standard rationality techniques seem not to work...” To this extent at least the presentation of the ideas matters as much as the content.
So I hope that these rules will cause people to present their ideas more cautiously, while still posting experimentally. If you are thinking of posting something controversial, it might be worth seeking advice from the other users who you think will be interested.
Basically, I think downvotes should work as an “utter stupidity” filter.
I think this change will prevent people from posting anything even remotely experimental. Is this what we really want?
You might be right but that tendency would be a result of risk aversion and not anything approximating expected karma optimisation. Assuming reasonable English skills, the ability to proof read and the exposure to the content of this site required to know how the karma works you can expect a significant net karma gain from posts even if you add a lot of experimental noise.
I think this change will prevent people from posting anything even remotely experimental. Is this what we really want?
Well… sorry to put it this way, but when you said that, I checked to see if you’d posted anything, and you hadn’t. There’s a rule I have which often offends people, and yet it seems like a very important rule, which is when someone tells you that change X will prevent people from doing Y, and they aren’t doing Y, you probably want to check with people who are currently doing Y about that.
Take as a sample some of the people who have made nonmeta top-level posts in the past week or so and aren’t super-regular posters. I count Shalmanese, David Balan, Matt, Mr. Hen, Warrigal, and JHuffman. A few of the posts I downvoted, but none was so abominably stupid that the person involved should be ridden out of town on a rail.
I looked up how long it took each of those posters to earn their 20 karma/50 karma based on comment points alone (not counting comments replying to their own posts). IE, how far do you have to go back for all comments between then and now to total >20/50 karma? It was quick and involved a lot of skimming and mental math, but it was something like:
Matt: 20 September, 50 May
JHuffman: 20 April, 50 March
MrHen: 20 July, 50 June
Warrigal: 20 early Dec, 50 early Nov
Shalmanese: 20 September, not at 50 yet
David Balan: AFAICT only comments on his own posts
If these numbers are representative of people who aren’t super-regulars but like making top-level posts, they’re getting comment karma on other people’s posts somewhere like five to ten per month.
That means it takes someone with their usage habits 2-4 months to get 20 comment karma and 5-10 months to get 50. It also means that if one of these people’s first posts made a dumb mistake and got them voted down to −5, then at 50 point threshold it’d take another 5-10 months for them to be able to make their second.
The cost of having too low a threshold is that there are a few dumb posts that never get promoted to where anyone can see them anyway. The cost of having too high a threshold is that we miss out on interesting information and the community doesn’t expand.
Lower the posting threshold back to 20, and maybe do something about first post downvotes.
At the last less-wrong meet-up I attended, several people noted that they did not even comment for fear of getting negative karma on comments. I was one of only two people out of 12 with karma over 25, and some of these people are long-time readers. People who avoid posting based on the new rule might not be karma optimizing, but then you need to consider what’s the purpose of karma to begin with—is it to create a hierarchy based on score, or is it to discourage trolls and encourage useful comment? If it’s the latter, I think the new rule will discourage more first-time posters than it will encourage, as 5 downvotes on a post will literally wipe away what might be a few month’s worth of collected karma from shy commenters.
I spend half an hour on average crafting a LW comment and don’t post half the comments I write. Usually, I’m anxious post-comment but positively surprised by karma.
Note that maybe commenting fear causes the high quality of LW discussion.
I suspect the same motivations will apply even in the absence of a direct numerical representation of people’s peer’s opinions. I, for example, posted a lot less than I would have liked to on The Octagon because I feared verbal or even non-verbalized disapproval.
I occasionally post despite fears of disapproval, but then immediately after posting my anxiety levels will become so uncomfortably high I delete the comment. Perhaps some people have noticed me doing this, but if they knew how anxious I felt I believe they would understand. It’s kind of neurotic...
I also have some social anxiety as well. A usual amount, I think. And then I tell myself that posting on Less Wrong (which is not the ‘real world’) would be good desensitizing training. I think it has helped some, but occasionally it has the opposite effect. I once had a minor panic attack at a conference moments before giving a talk -- not because of the talk, but because I realized I wouldn’t be able to delete a comment or a post I just submitted and thought I might regret.
Incidentally, the chances of me making a comment (and leaving it) doesn’t correlate as much with my perceived quality of my comments as much as with my anxiety threshold at that time. Since I’m not very good at gauging my anxiety response, I tend to always rewrite my comments more and more conservatively until the first idea is all but lost. Then I’ll submit the comment just because I spent so much time on it.
(Please don’t respond that I probably shouldn’t bother commenting; I kind of know that. I’m curious if the whole thing improves over time.)
Heh. I once drove ~45 minutes to a Less Wrong meetup in Santa Clara, made a U-turn at the end of the block the house was on and drove straight back home.
Is there anything useful you can say about anything we could change that would stop that from happening again?
Well… I would say that it was one part not knowing what to expect—was I just going to mingle in this house full of extremely bright people for a few hours? I wasn’t sure I was going to know what to do with myself.
It was one part doubt about my own.. uh.. qualifications for being there. I haven’t commented much on my main account, nor made a submission (I hope you’ll forgive me for using a throwaway account for these comments). I’m a college senior whose done well in every class (from lit. to programming to organic chem. to math), but I don’t yet have a passion, nor area of expertise, so I wasn’t sure that I would be able to contribute much… or even last long (i.e. be able to carry on) in a conversation with the opinionated and up-to-date scholars there.
I guess the advice I would give would be this: cater more to shy / socially anxious people. Maybe have a snippet you can paste at the end of every announcement, just summarizing what goes on there and who all is welcome, what the ecology / environment is like, etc. Tell people what the sufficient conditions are for their being welcome.
If you have a social anxiety problem then i expect that reassurances from a stranger on the internet won’t have much effect. But if it’s any help, then from a glance at your user overview page it looks like what you say has a generally positive reception. So it looks like you can write here without worrying about disapproval, based on your karma score at least.
This seems like a problem that some other online community would have encountered before. Is there a standard solution for it?
I’m right there with you on this. As taa22 mentions below, there are often things that I do, and put a great amount of energy or expense into, only to give up for a variety of reasons (usually self-consciousness, which is the strangest thing to me, since I spent most of the 1980s on a stage of one kind or another, at the center of many people’s attention).
I’ve noticed that I tend to do better when I try to censor (Allcorn, got it right this time) myself less than I usually tend to censor myself (I self-censor to a great degree, which is exactly what it sounds like you are doing).
This brings two issues to my mind:
• Are you destroying what you originally intended to say (in which case, I will not touch my original thoughts, as written the first time)? or • Are you strengthening your original intended thoughts (in which case, revision can often be a good idea. If this revision is not done in an attempt to censor oneself, but to further reveal a thought)?
I just recalled something… There are exercises that actors & musicians often do before they go onto stage in order to decease stress over potential mistakes. Is it the case that you might find something f this sort beneficial? It seems to me that irrational fears are often best countered by direct action, even if it seems to have nothing to do with the fears in question (this is what your typical theatrical warm-up exercises are geared to address)
I guess I can speak from the position of doing a little of Y.
The latest is currently at −4, but I’m fine with it. If every post from now on goes −4 I can make 9ish more posts. I think I’ve posted three articles in all my time here, so at this rate I have nothing to worry about. I figure none of my posts are going to be terribly popular because I am still learning everything and will be talking about simple, uncomplicated things.
Of course, if I keeping posting and getting −4, I will probably just move into the open thread. :)
Well I won’t be posting anything more experimental. I can’t for a long time. Unless I spend inordinate amounts of time commenting and karma farming.
Post a half dozen posts that aren’t particularly experimental. Then branch out. This tends to be a practical social approach even without a formalized karma system.
By way of providing feedback from someone who recently posted for the very first time: while I don’t think the new rules would have prevented me from submitting my three extant posts, I do expect that I will be more cautious in the future than I otherwise would have been. (I’m well known to suffer from karma-loss-aversion.)
I’m not opposed to the change, however—votes on posts should be worth more than votes on comments. (Also, my karma more than doubled when the change was made.)
There’s a consistent pattern to what gets voted down.
“Experimental” isn’t what gets voted down. Arrogance or confrontation combined with poor thinking/writing gets voted down. If you’re making a really big conclusion, you need to make your premises really clear. If you’re not confident in your point, or if you’re incredibly confident in your point, you should frame your post more as raising a question than answering one. And you need to respect basic rules of grammar and spelling; lesswrong is probably in the top .1% of civility for this type of forum, and users like it that way.
If you exercise a certain degree of humility, use a spellchecker, and avoid being confrontational, it is very unlikely you will be voted down. You might not be voted up, but people will be hesitant to punish you if you are humble and friendly, as opposed to arrogant and antagonistic.
Of course, I have to admit I’m thrilled about this new system; I’ve had maybe a dozen good top-level post ideas bouncing around, and this should motivate me to start posting them. But I think there’s a consistent pattern to what gets voted down; polite posts that use a spellchecker almost never get voted down, even if people aren’t interested in them.
“If you exercise a certain degree of humility, use a spellchecker, and avoid being confrontational, it is very unlikely you will be voted down.”
This will hopefully be true with the new system that shows negative scores (I for one will be a lot more loath to vote down anything below +2), but I’m not sure it has been true historically, as I have seen posts that I liked and were all of the above that have been voted down. I’m not entirely opposed to the karma changes, as I can see that there will be positive effects via motivation, but I think a modification may be helpful: Instead of downvotes being automatic −10, why not let negative scores on posts be −2 or −3? It would still make people think twice before posting, without scaring the bejeezes out of lower karma posters, and readers won’t feel as bad about voting down things that really oughtn’t be here.
If someone starts a post with “Rationality is wrong...” or similar, I’m much more likely to downvote it than if they start it with “I’ve got these scenarios where standard rationality techniques seem not to work...” To this extent at least the presentation of the ideas matters as much as the content. So I hope that these rules will cause people to present their ideas more cautiously, while still posting experimentally. If you are thinking of posting something controversial, it might be worth seeking advice from the other users who you think will be interested.
Basically, I think downvotes should work as an “utter stupidity” filter.
You might be right but that tendency would be a result of risk aversion and not anything approximating expected karma optimisation. Assuming reasonable English skills, the ability to proof read and the exposure to the content of this site required to know how the karma works you can expect a significant net karma gain from posts even if you add a lot of experimental noise.