All 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 201920202021 2022 2023 2024

All Jan Feb Mar AprMayJun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

All12 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31

FLI Podcast: On Superforecasting with Robert de Neufville

Palus Astra30 Apr 2020 23:08 UTC

6 points

0 comments52 min readLW link

“God Rewards Fools”

Czynski30 Apr 2020 22:51 UTC

17 points

6 comments2 min readLW link

Generalized Efficient Markets and Academia

johnswentworth30 Apr 2020 21:59 UTC

52 points

29 comments2 min readLW link

Seasonality of COVID-19, Other Coronaviruses, and Influenza

Radford Neal30 Apr 2020 21:43 UTC

10 points

9 comments1 min readLW link

(radfordneal.wordpress.com)

Covid-19 4/30: Stuck in Limbo

Zvi30 Apr 2020 20:40 UTC

28 points

8 comments7 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

The Embarrassing Problem of Premature Exploitation

Richard Meadows30 Apr 2020 20:33 UTC

42 points

7 comments7 min readLW link

(thedeepdish.org)

Forecasting Newsletter: April 2020

NunoSempere30 Apr 2020 16:41 UTC

22 points

3 comments6 min readLW link

Against strong bayesianism

Richard_Ngo30 Apr 2020 10:48 UTC

58 points

65 comments6 min readLW link

Optimising Society to Constrain Risk of War from an Artificial Superintelligence

JohnCDraper30 Apr 2020 10:47 UTC

4 points

1 comment51 min readLW link

[Question] What is the alternative to intent alignment called?

Richard_Ngo30 Apr 2020 2:16 UTC

12 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Since the “Will COVID-19 survivors suffer lasting disability at a high rate?” thread was posted, has new information emerged that may update those estimates?

nonzerosum29 Apr 2020 21:40 UTC

12 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

List of prompts for brainstorming COVID response project ideas

nonzerosum29 Apr 2020 21:39 UTC

2 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Melting democracy

Richard_Ngo29 Apr 2020 20:10 UTC

30 points

6 comments6 min readLW link

(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Why anything that can be for-profit, should be

jasoncrawford29 Apr 2020 20:00 UTC

51 points

39 comments6 min readLW link

(rootsofprogress.org)

On “COVID-19 Superspreader Events in 28 Countries: Critical Patterns and Lessons”

Zvi29 Apr 2020 19:40 UTC

67 points

12 comments10 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Training Regime Day 25: Recursive Self-Improvement

Mark Xu29 Apr 2020 18:22 UTC

15 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

Motivating Abstraction-First Decision Theory

johnswentworth29 Apr 2020 17:47 UTC

42 points

16 comments5 min readLW link

[AN #97]: Are there historical examples of large, robust discontinuities?

Rohin Shah29 Apr 2020 17:30 UTC

15 points

0 comments10 min readLW link

(mailchi.mp)

Facebook AI: A state-of-the-art open source chatbot

FactorialCode29 Apr 2020 17:21 UTC

9 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(ai.facebook.com)

Peter’s COVID Consolidated Brief − 29 Apr

Peter Wildeford29 Apr 2020 15:27 UTC

54 points

5 comments32 min readLW link

I do not like math

lsusr29 Apr 2020 11:27 UTC

34 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

Negative Feedback and Simulacra

Elizabeth29 Apr 2020 2:00 UTC

152 points

24 comments9 min readLW link 1 review

(acesounderglass.com)

[Question] Estimates of COVID risk rankings for different activities when together with people in the same household?

nonzerosum29 Apr 2020 1:13 UTC

1 point

0 comments1 min readLW link

Chris Masterjohn on Coronavirus, Part 2

philh28 Apr 2020 21:50 UTC

6 points

0 comments8 min readLW link

(reasonableapproximation.net)

Training Regime Day 24: Resolve Cycles 2

Mark Xu28 Apr 2020 19:00 UTC

20 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

A Book Review

Zack_M_Davis28 Apr 2020 17:43 UTC

15 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

(unremediatedgender.space)

UAP and Global Catastrophic Risks

avturchin28 Apr 2020 13:07 UTC

8 points

12 comments1 min readLW link

Growth mindset for better sex

agentydragon28 Apr 2020 8:49 UTC

7 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

A speculative incentive design: self-determined price commitments as a way of averting monopoly

mako yass28 Apr 2020 7:44 UTC

5 points

17 comments1 min readLW link

Emergency Central Planning

jefftk28 Apr 2020 0:50 UTC

16 points

14 comments1 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Market-shaping approaches to accelerate COVID-19 response: a role for option-based guarantees?

DerekF and Davidmanheim

27 Apr 2020 22:43 UTC

38 points

2 comments6 min readLW link 1 review

The Best Virtual Worlds for “Hanging Out”

Raemon27 Apr 2020 21:54 UTC

60 points

31 comments10 min readLW link 1 review

[Link] COVID-19 causing deadly blood clots in younger people

orthonormal27 Apr 2020 21:02 UTC

46 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

[Editted for removal]

kungfuhobbit27 Apr 2020 20:59 UTC

1 point

0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What physical trigger-action plans did you implement?

Mati_Roy27 Apr 2020 20:10 UTC

5 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What social trigger-action plans did you implement?

Mati_Roy27 Apr 2020 20:08 UTC

5 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What cognitive trigger-action plans did you implement?

Mati_Roy27 Apr 2020 19:58 UTC

4 points

2 comments1 min readLW link

Training Regime Day 23: TAPs 2

Mark Xu27 Apr 2020 17:37 UTC

15 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

A Brief Update on Updates

Slimepriestess27 Apr 2020 17:30 UTC

15 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

(hivewired.wordpress.com)

Cambridge Virtual LW/SSC Meetup

NoSignalNoNoise27 Apr 2020 3:41 UTC

6 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Helping Lily Make Dinner

jefftk27 Apr 2020 2:10 UTC

15 points

5 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

It’s Not About The Nail

eapache26 Apr 2020 23:50 UTC

30 points

8 comments2 min readLW link

Training Regime Day 22: Murphyjitsu 2

Mark Xu26 Apr 2020 20:18 UTC

13 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Should we be reassessing the argument for globalization?

jmh26 Apr 2020 13:52 UTC

5 points

8 comments1 min readLW link

Post/meta-skepticism I

Ouroborus26 Apr 2020 0:18 UTC

8 points

10 comments3 min readLW link

(ouroborusdotblog.wordpress.com)

Training Regime Day 21: Executing Intentions

Mark Xu25 Apr 2020 22:16 UTC

13 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are your favorite examples of distillation?

NaiveTortoise25 Apr 2020 17:06 UTC

49 points

6 comments1 min readLW link

On New York’s Antibody Tests

Zvi25 Apr 2020 15:20 UTC

31 points

1 comment12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Fast Takeoff in Biological Intelligence

eapache25 Apr 2020 12:21 UTC

14 points

21 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Why is my (our?) reasoning process noisy?

emanuele ascani25 Apr 2020 12:19 UTC

9 points

4 comments2 min readLW link