FLI Pod­cast: On Su­perfore­cast­ing with Robert de Neufville

Palus AstraApr 30, 2020, 11:08 PM
6 points
0 comments52 min readLW link

“God Re­wards Fools”

CzynskiApr 30, 2020, 10:51 PM
17 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

Gen­er­al­ized Effi­cient Mar­kets and Academia

johnswentworthApr 30, 2020, 9:59 PM
52 points
29 comments2 min readLW link

Sea­son­al­ity of COVID-19, Other Coron­aviruses, and Influenza

Radford NealApr 30, 2020, 9:43 PM
10 points
9 comments1 min readLW link
(radfordneal.wordpress.com)

Covid-19 4/​30: Stuck in Limbo

ZviApr 30, 2020, 8:40 PM
28 points
8 comments7 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

The Em­bar­rass­ing Prob­lem of Pre­ma­ture Exploitation

Richard MeadowsApr 30, 2020, 8:33 PM
42 points
7 comments7 min readLW link
(thedeepdish.org)

Fore­cast­ing Newslet­ter: April 2020

NunoSempereApr 30, 2020, 4:41 PM
22 points
3 comments6 min readLW link

Against strong bayesianism

Richard_NgoApr 30, 2020, 10:48 AM
59 points
65 comments6 min readLW link

Op­ti­mis­ing So­ciety to Con­strain Risk of War from an Ar­tifi­cial Su­per­in­tel­li­gence

JohnCDraperApr 30, 2020, 10:47 AM
4 points
1 comment51 min readLW link

[Question] What is the al­ter­na­tive to in­tent al­ign­ment called?

Richard_NgoApr 30, 2020, 2:16 AM
12 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Since the “Will COVID-19 sur­vivors suffer last­ing dis­abil­ity at a high rate?” thread was posted, has new in­for­ma­tion emerged that may up­date those es­ti­mates?

nonzerosumApr 29, 2020, 9:40 PM
12 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

List of prompts for brain­storm­ing COVID re­sponse pro­ject ideas

nonzerosumApr 29, 2020, 9:39 PM
2 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Melt­ing democracy

Richard_NgoApr 29, 2020, 8:10 PM
30 points
6 comments6 min readLW link
(thinkingcomplete.blogspot.com)

Why any­thing that can be for-profit, should be

jasoncrawfordApr 29, 2020, 8:00 PM
51 points
39 comments6 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

On “COVID-19 Su­per­spreader Events in 28 Coun­tries: Crit­i­cal Pat­terns and Les­sons”

ZviApr 29, 2020, 7:40 PM
67 points
12 comments10 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Train­ing Regime Day 25: Re­cur­sive Self-Im­prove­ment

Mark XuApr 29, 2020, 6:22 PM
15 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

Mo­ti­vat­ing Ab­strac­tion-First De­ci­sion Theory

johnswentworthApr 29, 2020, 5:47 PM
42 points
16 comments5 min readLW link

[AN #97]: Are there his­tor­i­cal ex­am­ples of large, ro­bust dis­con­ti­nu­ities?

Rohin ShahApr 29, 2020, 5:30 PM
15 points
0 comments10 min readLW link
(mailchi.mp)

Face­book AI: A state-of-the-art open source chatbot

FactorialCodeApr 29, 2020, 5:21 PM
9 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(ai.facebook.com)

Peter’s COVID Con­soli­dated Brief − 29 Apr

Peter WildefordApr 29, 2020, 3:27 PM
54 points
5 comments32 min readLW link

I do not like math

lsusrApr 29, 2020, 11:27 AM
34 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

Nega­tive Feed­back and Simulacra

ElizabethApr 29, 2020, 2:00 AM
156 points
24 comments9 min readLW link1 review
(acesounderglass.com)

[Question] Es­ti­mates of COVID risk rank­ings for differ­ent ac­tivi­ties when to­gether with peo­ple in the same house­hold?

nonzerosumApr 29, 2020, 1:13 AM
1 point
0 comments1 min readLW link

Chris Master­john on Coron­avirus, Part 2

philhApr 28, 2020, 9:50 PM
6 points
0 comments8 min readLW link
(reasonableapproximation.net)

Train­ing Regime Day 24: Re­solve Cy­cles 2

Mark XuApr 28, 2020, 7:00 PM
20 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

A Book Review

Zack_M_DavisApr 28, 2020, 5:43 PM
15 points
3 comments1 min readLW link
(unremediatedgender.space)

UAP and Global Catas­trophic Risks

avturchinApr 28, 2020, 1:07 PM
8 points
12 comments1 min readLW link

Growth mind­set for bet­ter sex

agentydragonApr 28, 2020, 8:49 AM
7 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

A spec­u­la­tive in­cen­tive de­sign: self-de­ter­mined price com­mit­ments as a way of avert­ing monopoly

mako yassApr 28, 2020, 7:44 AM
5 points
17 comments1 min readLW link

Emer­gency Cen­tral Planning

jefftkApr 28, 2020, 12:50 AM
16 points
14 comments1 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

Mar­ket-shap­ing ap­proaches to ac­cel­er­ate COVID-19 re­sponse: a role for op­tion-based guaran­tees?

Apr 27, 2020, 10:43 PM
38 points
2 comments6 min readLW link1 review

The Best Vir­tual Wor­lds for “Hang­ing Out”

RaemonApr 27, 2020, 9:54 PM
60 points
31 comments10 min readLW link1 review

[Link] COVID-19 caus­ing deadly blood clots in younger people

orthonormalApr 27, 2020, 9:02 PM
46 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

[Edit­ted for re­moval]

kungfuhobbitApr 27, 2020, 8:59 PM
1 point
0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What phys­i­cal trig­ger-ac­tion plans did you im­ple­ment?

Mati_RoyApr 27, 2020, 8:10 PM
5 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What so­cial trig­ger-ac­tion plans did you im­ple­ment?

Mati_RoyApr 27, 2020, 8:08 PM
5 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What cog­ni­tive trig­ger-ac­tion plans did you im­ple­ment?

Mati_RoyApr 27, 2020, 7:58 PM
4 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

Train­ing Regime Day 23: TAPs 2

Mark XuApr 27, 2020, 5:37 PM
15 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

A Brief Up­date on Updates

SlimepriestessApr 27, 2020, 5:30 PM
15 points
0 comments2 min readLW link
(hivewired.wordpress.com)

Cambridge Vir­tual LW/​SSC Meetup

NoSignalNoNoiseApr 27, 2020, 3:41 AM
6 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Helping Lily Make Dinner

jefftkApr 27, 2020, 2:10 AM
15 points
5 comments2 min readLW link
(www.jefftk.com)

It’s Not About The Nail

eapacheApr 26, 2020, 11:50 PM
30 points
8 comments2 min readLW link

Train­ing Regime Day 22: Mur­phyjitsu 2

Mark XuApr 26, 2020, 8:18 PM
13 points
0 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Should we be re­assess­ing the ar­gu­ment for global­iza­tion?

jmhApr 26, 2020, 1:52 PM
5 points
8 comments1 min readLW link

Post/​meta-skep­ti­cism I

OuroborusApr 26, 2020, 12:18 AM
8 points
10 comments3 min readLW link
(ouroborusdotblog.wordpress.com)

Train­ing Regime Day 21: Ex­e­cut­ing Intentions

Mark XuApr 25, 2020, 10:16 PM
13 points
3 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] What are your fa­vorite ex­am­ples of dis­til­la­tion?

NaiveTortoiseApr 25, 2020, 5:06 PM
49 points
6 comments1 min readLW link

On New York’s An­ti­body Tests

ZviApr 25, 2020, 3:20 PM
31 points
1 comment12 min readLW link
(thezvi.wordpress.com)

Fast Take­off in Biolog­i­cal Intelligence

eapacheApr 25, 2020, 12:21 PM
14 points
21 comments2 min readLW link

[Question] Why is my (our?) rea­son­ing pro­cess noisy?

emanuele ascaniApr 25, 2020, 12:19 PM
9 points
4 comments2 min readLW link