Paradigm shifts in forecasting

Ra­tion­al­ity Quotes May 2014

Meetup : Ur­bana-Cham­paign: Recreation

[Link] Quan­tum the­ory as the most ro­bust de­scrip­tion of re­pro­ducible experiments

[LINK] No Boltz­mann Brains in an Empty Ex­pand­ing Universe

Meetup : Mon­treal—How to be charismatic

[LINK] Sean Car­roll Against Afterlife

Pro­posal: Com­mu­nity Cu­rated Anki Decks For MIRI Recom­mended Courses

MIRI Dona­tion Col­lab­o­ra­tion Sta­tion Re­dux: The Fi­nal Push (IMPORTANT)

Some his­tor­i­cal eval­u­a­tions of forecasting

Meetup : Resched­uled: Chicago Cal­ibra­tion Game

LW Meetup in Nurem­berg (Ger­many)

Sor­ti­tion—Hack­ing Govern­ment To Avoid Cog­ni­tive Bi­ases And Corruption

Meetup : Wash­ing­ton DC: Museums

Find a study part­ner—May 2014 Thread

Ar­gu­ments and rele­vance claims

Ot­tawa meetup: Ap­plied Ra­tion­al­ity Series, Value of Information

Open Thread, May 5 − 11, 2014

2014 Sur­vey of Effec­tive Altruists

Does in­creas­ing peak typ­ing speed help?

Cal­ling all MIRI sup­port­ers for unique May 6 giv­ing op­por­tu­nity!

Truth: It’s Not That Great

Meetup : Frank­furt: Pre­sen­ta­tion about Oper­ant Conditioning

Hawk­ing on AI

May Monthly Brag­ging Thread

Email tone and sta­tus: !s, friendli­ness, ‘please’, etc.

In­cen­tive com­pat­i­bil­ity and the Reve­la­tion Principle

Weekly LW Meetups

The Ex­tended Liv­ing-For­ever Strat­egy-Space

May 2014 Me­dia Thread

Meetup : Can­berra: Ra­tion­al­ist Fun and Games!

Ra­tion­al­ity Quotes May 2014

Group Ra­tion­al­ity Diary, May 1-15

Meetup : Wash­ing­ton DC Games meetup

Ex­plor­ing Botworld

Dis­cus­sion: How sci­en­tifi­cally sound are MBAs?

Re­but­ting rad­i­cal sci­en­tific skepticism

Mechanism De­sign: Con­struct­ing Al­gorithms for Strate­gic Agents

[Se­quence an­nounce­ment] In­tro­duc­tion to Mechanism Design

Meetup : Lon­don so­cial meetup

Sum­mary of the first SoCal FAI Workshop

Link: Study finds that us­ing a for­eign lan­guage changes moral decisions

Pos­i­tive Queries—How Fetching

Cog­nito Men­tor­ing and zero-sum competition

The Univer­sal Med­i­cal Jour­nal Ar­ti­cle Error

MIRI Dona­tion Col­lab­o­ra­tion Station

Euro­pean Com­mu­nity Week­end 2014 retrospective

The Value of Uncer­tainty Re­duc­tion—refer­ences to aca­demic liter­a­ture appreciated

The Con­trol Group Is Out Of Control

LessWrong as so­cial catalyst