I wish too. This is an extraordinary bold claim though. There’s no logical reasoning from “here a few, sparse, mostly theoretical ideas” to “so this is how this immensely complex systems involving billions of humans and organisations with agency we have no idea how to model should behave if we changed some major factor by a few orders of magnitude”.
You can only make the jump with vibes or politics. And fine, since we have no idea, I’d rather make an optimistic jump too! I hope you manage to distill some nuanced faith in the future, sincere thanks for trying!
The reasoning is quite basic actually.
You believe, for decades, that X happening would make absolutely no rational sense.
X happens.
You are shocked. You realize your rationality was lacking.
You didn’t thought your rationality could be lacking in this way.
This meta-fact is important for rationality.
Except if the biases are “fixable”*. Suppose they are. Then you need to work on them. But to do so, it’s pretty logical that you need to be aware of them first. The emphasis on the awareness ensues.
*somehow, partially, and with lot of efforts.
I hope it’s somehow clearer!