I went and had fun! I’ll be going to them every week, in the absence of other plans.
meta_ark
I’ll be going!
Hi! I’m from Sydney, but I’m visiting Melbourne this week and I keep seeing note about these regular Melbourne meetups. So I might head down there. I have dinner with my family around 7, so I’m not sure what time I can get there. Hope to meet some of you there!
Wow, sounds great. I’m really looking forward to this :)
It helped teach me a few valuable thought-processes which should help optimise my social life. I’m glad it’s here.
I think you could use Kolgomorov complexity to define simple, for these purposes. That way replacing your formula with “5##” wouldn’t make it any simpler, because the machine would still have to execute all those multiplicative operations.
How can we be sure we have the simplest explanation? We can’t be sure, because new data could come in to make us change our minds. But given a finite amount like {1, 2, …} we can still weight possible formulae by Kogomorov complexity and prefer the simpler hypothesis.
I think natural numbers is simpler in this case, because n is simpler to calculate than 2^n. As for {1, …} I don’t think we have enough information to locate a hypothesis.
I’m uncertain about what I’ve said, so please correct me if I’m wrong about anything.
When you say you’ll cover the cost of flights, does this include international trips?
We’re now meeting at 3 instead. Will you be able to make it?
We’re now meeting at 3. See you then!
We’re now meeting at 3:00. See you tomorrow!
Would you be able to make it if we moved to a slightly later time, so Oklord and Erratio could come after work?
It’s good to see that lots of people would like to come, even if they can’t make it to this specific meeting. Hopefully in the future it’ll work out better.
Thank you! These will be great. I much prefer books to podcasts, but I can’t read books while I’m walking to uni :(
NEW TIME: Sydney Less Wrong meetup, 23/4, 3PM
wedrified: I would have, except mutual friends who had been in similar situations with her had tried that, and it made things very awkward between them for a few months. So I had to find a more subtle way.
Alicorn: I just made an overly flirtatious joke and when she didn’t respond, I knew what it meant. She’s usually very flirtatious with everyone, so it was very unexpected behaviour for her.
I’ve become good at resolving fights in my family—people don’t understand why the other person’s angry, and I can explain the mistakes they’re making in terms of probability, or in biases, cognitive science or often status-seeking behaviour, and they understand.
Also, I’ve become a lot better at managing my life romantically. I kept changing my mind about whether someone had feelings for me—she did, she didn’t, she did, she didn’t—and I could never be sure if I was re-interpreting evidence to suit my preferred hypothesis. So I decided upon a test, decided ahead of time how I should update my beliefs based on how she’d react, and did it. Saved myself a lot of heartache.
Learning about priming, consistency effects and cached thoughts has also helped me steer my future self towards what I’d like to be.
Very true. Since starting university I’ve had many more opportunities to try new things, many of which I didn’t think I’d like, but had a small enough failure cost that it seemed worth trying.
I’m now head writer of a university show, in a Madrigal choir and can dance salsa. I’m having a lot of fun.
In social situations, where you fear embarrassment and a status loss if you fail, you could try to cultivate a reputation for giving anything a try. Most people have the same fears, and trying something scary will usually get you respect because you’re facing fears others couldn’t. Trying and failing at something can actually be a status-raising move.
Sigh… I haven’t checked “new posts” recently, and would have loved to attend this. I mostly read Less Wrong through its RSS feed, which only shows the promoted posts. Man, I’ve got to start checking the actual site more often.
Sigh… I would consider flying down from Sydney to go to it, but sadly I’m in a show that whole week and have to miss out entirely. Ah well. Hopefully they’ll have the audio online, but I would have loved to mingle with people who share my worldview.
Super-tangential, I know, but there are at least two Austin bakeries that bake a range of fresh kolaches every day, https://www.batchatx.com/menus and https://www.quacksbakery.com/