Although possibly the red candidate would care more about CATXOKLA red issues and the blue about CATXOKLA blue issues, so it just increases variance rather than expected satisfaction?
Measure
Karma: 1,520
The advantage comes from having the parties care about your particular issues rather than those of the current swing states. This would look like both candidates being more favorable to you even if it’s still 50-50 which of them wins (and even if they’re still in roughly the same places on the left-right axis).
I remember there was a movement a while back to have states agree to award their electors to the national proportional vote winner, but I’m not sure what came of that.
The problem statement says it’s true (Omega did indeed send the message, and the problem statement says that only happens when the message is true).
I think, in effect, this boils down to Omega telling you “This stranger is a murderous psychopath. You’d better not give them the opportunity.”
Windows 10. I have a large HD monitor, and the default UI is really small, so I use the “make everything bigger” display setting at 150% to compensate. There is a separate “make text bigger” setting, and the problem goes away when I set that to 102%. I’m guessing there’s a slight real difference that was being exaggerated by pixel rounding.
I think this was caused by my OS-level UI scale setting. I didn’t notice anything with the previous font, but I can adjust it a bit to work around this I think.
Something weird is happening for me where ‘e’ and ‘o’ in italic text appear to extend below the line (wrong vertical size or position) so that the whole looks jumbled. It’s very noticeable at 100% zoom, but at much higher zoom levels it goes away.
Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua.
The fact that Bob has this policy in the first place is more likely when he’s being self-deceptive. Sure, some people will glomorize even when they have nothing to hide, but more often it will be the result of Bob noticing that he’s the sort of person who might have something to hide.
It’s a general rule that if E is strong evidence for X, then ~E is at least weak evidence for ~X.
I think this is mostly about how weak air is against dielectric breakdown.
it’s not information about whether I’m secretly trying to two-box
It’s still Bayesian evidence. Someone with a different policy (always deeply investigating themselves), could get Omega-C to have a higher credence of them one-boxing. We’d have to specify how sure Omega has to be to offer the large payment (and what priors Omega has) to know if the choice of policy matters.
If you’re reading this direct, this text is the last one that is wise like what’s written between.
This sounds like it tried to encode something steganographically in the message? Maybe that accounts for some of the bizarre language.
If you’re going to get one of those, then may I suggest that the same weight is given by almost exactly 4.5 Statues of Liberty?
How many chimps though?
I separately think though that if the actual outcome of each coin flip was recorded, there would be a roughly equal distribution between heads and tails.
Importantly, this is counting each coinflip as the “experiment”, whereas the above counts each awakening as the “experiment”. It’s okay that different experiments would see different outcome frequencies.
Les Misérables agrees.
There should be a dropdown menu at the left side in the input box (opposite the “submit” button).
Did you switch to the markdown editor?
Congrats everyone!
Kudos to “GeneralAnderson” for the suggestion that generals report if their own side launches to help mitigate the unreliable report channel.
To be clear, I wasn’t trying to suggest that citizens could break the rules without getting caught. I was suggesting that they could disincentivize nuking without breaking the rules. If coordinated, distributed, mass downvoting is also disallowed, then we would have to come up with some other incentive.
It was probably thinking of sodium hydroxide rather than elemental sodium.