RSS

Stagnation

TagLast edit: Dec 24, 2021, 2:27 AM by Lost Futures

Quoting Jason Crawford’s Technological Stagnation: Why I came around:

Thiel, along with economists such as Tyler Cowen (The Great Stagnation) and Robert Gordon (The Rise and Fall of American Growth), promotes a “stagnation hypothesis”: that there has been a significant slowdown in scientific, technological, and economic progress in recent decades—say, for a round number, since about 1970, or the last ~50 years.

Eliezer has posted a short work of fiction on Reddit which explores related ideas.

Related Pages: Progress Studies, Bureaucracy, World Modeling

Tech­nolog­i­cal stag­na­tion: Why I came around

jasoncrawfordJan 23, 2021, 10:05 PM
193 points
79 comments8 min readLW link1 review
(rootsofprogress.org)

1960: The Year The Sin­gu­lar­ity Was Cancelled

Scott AlexanderApr 23, 2019, 1:30 AM
104 points
15 comments11 min readLW link1 review
(slatestarcodex.com)

Where is my Fly­ing Car?

PeterMcCluskeyOct 15, 2018, 6:39 PM
50 points
10 comments17 min readLW link
(www.bayesianinvestor.com)

A re­view of Where Is My Fly­ing Car? by J. Storrs Hall

jasoncrawfordNov 6, 2020, 8:01 PM
103 points
23 comments11 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

Ex­po­nen­tial growth is the baseline

jasoncrawfordFeb 22, 2021, 2:08 AM
27 points
4 comments6 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

Progress, Stag­na­tion, & Collapse

abramdemskiJul 22, 2021, 4:51 PM
38 points
14 comments4 min readLW link

Book Re­view: Sec­u­lar Cycles

Scott AlexanderAug 13, 2019, 4:10 AM
62 points
10 comments16 min readLW link1 review
(slatestarcodex.com)

Death by Red Tape

abramdemskiMay 1, 2021, 6:03 PM
38 points
15 comments3 min readLW link

The Rise and Fall of Amer­i­can Growth: A summary

jasoncrawfordOct 5, 2020, 9:41 PM
58 points
9 comments11 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

“Hereti­cal Thoughts on AI” by Eli Dourado

DragonGodJan 19, 2023, 4:11 PM
146 points
38 comments3 min readLW link
(www.elidourado.com)

Thiel on Progress and Stagnation

Richard_NgoJul 20, 2020, 8:27 PM
173 points
32 comments11 min readLW link
(docs.google.com)

How to end stag­na­tion?

jasoncrawfordMar 1, 2021, 7:42 PM
36 points
35 comments4 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

More power to you

jasoncrawfordDec 15, 2021, 11:50 PM
16 points
14 comments1 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

How to an­a­lyze progress, stag­na­tion, and low-hang­ing fruit

jasoncrawfordJun 15, 2020, 9:02 PM
42 points
9 comments4 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

Peter Thiel warns of up­com­ing (and cur­rent) stagnation

SilasBartaOct 4, 2011, 5:30 PM
36 points
121 comments2 min readLW link

The Rise and Stag­na­tion of Modernity

Zero ContradictionsAug 2, 2024, 3:31 AM
1 point
0 comments1 min readLW link
(thewaywardaxolotl.blogspot.com)

Tech­nol­ogy and Progress

Zero ContradictionsAug 1, 2024, 4:49 AM
1 point
0 comments1 min readLW link
(thewaywardaxolotl.blogspot.com)

On Es­cap­ing The Sta­tus Quo

IsmailNov 12, 2023, 6:40 PM
1 point
0 comments3 min readLW link

Why Job Dis­place­ment Pre­dic­tions are Wrong: Ex­pla­na­tions of Cog­ni­tive Automation

Moritz WallawitschMay 30, 2023, 8:43 PM
−4 points
0 comments8 min readLW link

if you’re read­ing this it’s too late (a new the­ory on what is caus­ing the Great Stag­na­tion)

rogersbaconJun 8, 2023, 11:49 AM
−10 points
2 comments13 min readLW link
(www.secretorum.life)

Why haven’t we cel­e­brated any ma­jor achieve­ments lately?

jasoncrawfordAug 17, 2020, 8:34 PM
198 points
69 comments12 min readLW link2 reviews
(rootsofprogress.org)

Is Science Slow­ing Down?

Scott AlexanderNov 27, 2018, 3:30 AM
129 points
77 comments9 min readLW link1 review
(slatestarcodex.com)

Can growth con­tinue?

jasoncrawfordMay 27, 2022, 4:19 PM
28 points
22 comments3 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)

Is growth lin­ear, not ex­po­nen­tial?

jasoncrawfordApr 20, 2022, 6:46 PM
28 points
8 comments3 min readLW link
(rootsofprogress.org)