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QURI

TagLast edit: Mar 8, 2021, 4:28 AM by Yoav Ravid

The Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute (QURI) is a nonprofit set up to study forecasting and epistemics. You can see their website here.

Related Pages: Prediction Markets, Forecasting & Prediction

In­tro­duc­ing Metafore­cast: A Fore­cast Ag­gre­ga­tor and Search Tool

NunoSempere and ozziegooen
Mar 7, 2021, 7:03 PM
83 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

An­nounc­ing the Fore­cast­ing In­no­va­tion Prize

ozziegooen and NunoSempere
Nov 15, 2020, 9:12 PM
69 points
5 comments2 min readLW link

Pri­ori­ti­za­tion Re­search for Ad­vanc­ing Wis­dom and Intelligence

ozziegooenOct 18, 2021, 10:28 PM
49 points
8 comments5 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Squig­gle: An Overview

ozziegooenNov 24, 2020, 3:00 AM
61 points
6 comments7 min readLW link

18 pos­si­ble mean­ings of “I Like Red”

ozziegooenAug 23, 2021, 11:25 PM
29 points
14 comments3 min readLW link

Eli Lifland on Nav­i­gat­ing the AI Align­ment Landscape

ozziegooenFeb 1, 2023, 9:17 PM
9 points
1 comment31 min readLW link
(quri.substack.com)

In­tro­duc­ing Squig­gle AI

ozziegooenJan 3, 2025, 5:53 PM
92 points
15 comments1 min readLW link

Or­a­cles, In­form­ers, and Controllers

ozziegooenMay 25, 2021, 2:16 PM
15 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

Squig­gle: Tech­ni­cal Overview

ozziegooenNov 25, 2020, 8:51 PM
18 points
3 comments9 min readLW link

En­hanc­ing Math­e­mat­i­cal Model­ing with LLMs: Goals, Challenges, and Evaluations

ozziegooenOct 28, 2024, 9:44 PM
7 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Two Defi­ni­tions of Generalization

ozziegooenMay 29, 2021, 4:20 AM
34 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

In­tel­li­gence, epistemics, and san­ity, in three short parts

ozziegooenOct 15, 2021, 4:01 AM
14 points
2 comments3 min readLW link

Metafore­cast up­date: Bet­ter search, cap­ture func­tion­al­ity, more plat­forms.

NunoSempereAug 16, 2021, 6:31 PM
35 points
0 comments3 min readLW link

Epistemic Progress

ozziegooenNov 20, 2020, 7:58 PM
61 points
16 comments5 min readLW link

AI Safety Papers: An App for the TAI Safety Database

ozziegooenAug 21, 2021, 2:02 AM
81 points
13 comments2 min readLW link

AI for Re­solv­ing Fore­cast­ing Ques­tions: An Early Exploration

ozziegooenJan 16, 2025, 9:41 PM
10 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

The Prac­tice & Virtue of Discernment

ozziegooenMay 26, 2021, 12:34 AM
41 points
11 comments11 min readLW link

[Question] Prize: In­ter­est­ing Ex­am­ples of Evaluations

Elizabeth and ozziegooen
Nov 28, 2020, 9:11 PM
43 points
25 comments2 min readLW link

An­nounc­ing Squig­gle: Early Access

ozziegooenAug 3, 2022, 7:48 PM
51 points
7 comments7 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

All Metafore­cast COVID predictions

NunoSempereAug 16, 2021, 6:30 PM
16 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

$300 Fermi Model Competition

ozziegooenFeb 3, 2025, 7:47 PM
16 points
18 comments1 min readLW link

Distinc­tions when Dis­cussing Utility Functions

ozziegooenMar 9, 2024, 8:14 PM
24 points
7 comments1 min readLW link

In­for­ma­tion Assets

ozziegooenAug 24, 2021, 4:32 AM
42 points
3 comments9 min readLW link

Rel­a­tive Value Func­tions: A Flex­ible New For­mat for Value Estimation

ozziegooenMay 18, 2023, 4:39 PM
20 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Ques­tions are tools to help an­swer­ers op­ti­mize utility

ozziegooenMay 24, 2021, 7:30 PM
33 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

Scorable Func­tions: A For­mat for Al­gorith­mic Forecasting

ozziegooenMay 21, 2024, 4:14 AM
29 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Guessti­mate: Why and how to use it

brook and chanamessinger
Jan 24, 2023, 4:24 PM
8 points
0 comments3 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)
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