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ozziegooen

Karma: 4,225

I’m currently researching forecasting and epistemics as part of the Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute.

Nuanced Models for the In­fluence of Information

ozziegooenApr 10, 2025, 6:28 PM
8 points
0 commentsLW link

6 (Po­ten­tial) Mis­con­cep­tions about AI Intellectuals

ozziegooenFeb 14, 2025, 11:51 PM
18 points
11 commentsLW link

$300 Fermi Model Competition

ozziegooenFeb 3, 2025, 7:47 PM
16 points
18 commentsLW link

AI for Re­solv­ing Fore­cast­ing Ques­tions: An Early Exploration

ozziegooenJan 16, 2025, 9:41 PM
10 points
2 commentsLW link

In­tro­duc­ing Squig­gle AI

ozziegooenJan 3, 2025, 5:53 PM
92 points
15 commentsLW link

En­hanc­ing Math­e­mat­i­cal Model­ing with LLMs: Goals, Challenges, and Evaluations

ozziegooenOct 28, 2024, 9:44 PM
7 points
0 commentsLW link

My Cur­rent Claims and Cruxes on LLM Fore­cast­ing & Epistemics

ozziegooenJun 26, 2024, 12:40 AM
11 points
0 commentsLW link

LLM-Se­cured Sys­tems: A Gen­eral-Pur­pose Tool For Struc­tured Transparency

ozziegooenJun 18, 2024, 12:21 AM
10 points
1 commentLW link

“Full Au­toma­tion” is a Slip­pery Metric

ozziegooenJun 11, 2024, 7:56 PM
30 points
1 commentLW link

A Case for Su­per­hu­man Gover­nance, us­ing AI

ozziegooenJun 7, 2024, 12:10 AM
30 points
0 commentsLW link

Ideas for Next-Gen­er­a­tion Writ­ing Plat­forms, us­ing LLMs

ozziegooenJun 4, 2024, 6:40 PM
26 points
4 commentsLW link

Higher-Order Forecasts

ozziegooenMay 22, 2024, 9:49 PM
45 points
1 commentLW link

Scorable Func­tions: A For­mat for Al­gorith­mic Forecasting

ozziegooenMay 21, 2024, 4:14 AM
29 points
0 commentsLW link

What’s Go­ing on With OpenAI’s Mes­sag­ing?

ozziegooenMay 21, 2024, 2:22 AM
191 points
13 commentsLW link

Distinc­tions when Dis­cussing Utility Functions

ozziegooenMar 9, 2024, 8:14 PM
24 points
7 commentsLW link

Us­ing Points to Rate Differ­ent Kinds of Evidence

ozziegooenAug 25, 2023, 8:11 PM
18 points
3 comments6 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

An­nounc­ing Squig­gle Hub

Aug 5, 2023, 1:00 AM
46 points
4 comments5 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Rel­a­tive Value Func­tions: A Flex­ible New For­mat for Value Estimation

ozziegooenMay 18, 2023, 4:39 PM
20 points
0 commentsLW link

Think­ing of Con­ve­nience as an Eco­nomic Term

ozziegooenMay 7, 2023, 1:21 AM
6 points
0 comments12 min readLW link
(forum.effectivealtruism.org)

Eli Lifland on Nav­i­gat­ing the AI Align­ment Landscape

ozziegooenFeb 1, 2023, 9:17 PM
9 points
1 comment31 min readLW link
(quri.substack.com)