RSS

In­fra-Bayesianism

TagLast edit: Mar 24, 2022, 4:48 AM by Yoav Ravid

Infra-Bayesianism is a new approach to epistemology /​ decision theory /​ reinforcement learning theory, which builds on “imprecise probability” to solve the problem of prior misspecification /​ grain-of-truth /​ nonrealizability which plagues Bayesianism and Bayesian reinforcement learning.

Infra-Bayesianism also naturally leads to an implementation of UDT, and (more speculatively at this stage) has applications to multi-agent theory, embedded agency and reflection.

See the Infra-Bayesianism Sequence.

In­tro­duc­tion To The In­fra-Bayesi­anism Sequence

Aug 26, 2020, 8:31 PM
109 points
62 comments13 min readLW link2 reviews

In­fra-Bayesian phys­i­cal­ism: a for­mal the­ory of nat­u­ral­ized induction

Vanessa KosoyNov 30, 2021, 10:25 PM
114 points
23 comments42 min readLW link1 review

Pro­ject pro­posal: Test­ing the IBP defi­ni­tion of agent

Aug 9, 2022, 1:09 AM
21 points
4 comments2 min readLW link

AXRP Epi­sode 5 - In­fra-Bayesi­anism with Vanessa Kosoy

DanielFilanMar 10, 2021, 4:30 AM
35 points
12 comments36 min readLW link

Ba­sic In­framea­sure Theory

DiffractorAug 27, 2020, 8:02 AM
36 points
19 comments25 min readLW link

[Closed] Job Offer­ing: Help Com­mu­ni­cate Infrabayesianism

Mar 23, 2022, 6:35 PM
129 points
22 comments1 min readLW link

Belief Func­tions And De­ci­sion Theory

DiffractorAug 27, 2020, 8:00 AM
20 points
7 comments39 min readLW link

A very non-tech­ni­cal ex­pla­na­tion of the ba­sics of in­fra-Bayesianism

David MatolcsiApr 26, 2023, 10:57 PM
62 points
9 comments9 min readLW link

A mostly crit­i­cal re­view of in­fra-Bayesianism

David MatolcsiFeb 28, 2023, 6:37 PM
104 points
9 comments29 min readLW link

In­framea­sures and Do­main Theory

DiffractorMar 28, 2021, 9:19 AM
28 points
3 comments33 min readLW link

Un­der­stand­ing In­fra-Bayesi­anism: A Begin­ner-Friendly Video Series

Sep 22, 2022, 1:25 PM
140 points
6 comments2 min readLW link

In­fra-Ex­er­cises, Part 1

Sep 1, 2022, 5:06 AM
56 points
10 comments1 min readLW link

Davi­dad’s Bold Plan for Align­ment: An In-Depth Explanation

Apr 19, 2023, 4:09 PM
161 points
35 comments21 min readLW link1 review

Fixed points in mor­tal pop­u­la­tion games

ViktoriaMalyasovaMar 14, 2023, 7:10 AM
31 points
0 comments12 min readLW link
(www.lesswrong.com)

Uncer­tainty in all its flavours

Cleo NardoJan 9, 2024, 4:21 PM
27 points
6 comments35 min readLW link

The Learn­ing-The­o­retic Agenda: Sta­tus 2023

Vanessa KosoyApr 19, 2023, 5:21 AM
135 points
14 comments55 min readLW link1 review

Lin­ear in­fra-Bayesian Bandits

Vanessa KosoyMay 10, 2024, 6:41 AM
39 points
5 comments1 min readLW link
(arxiv.org)

Video lec­tures on the learn­ing-the­o­retic agenda

Vanessa KosoyOct 27, 2024, 12:01 PM
75 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.youtube.com)

$500 Bounty/​Con­test: Ex­plain In­fra-Bayes In The Lan­guage Of Game Theory

johnswentworthMar 25, 2023, 5:29 PM
83 points
7 comments2 min readLW link

In­frafunc­tions and Ro­bust Optimization

DiffractorApr 27, 2023, 7:25 PM
61 points
11 comments15 min readLW link

Re­sult Of The Bounty/​Con­test To Ex­plain In­fra-Bayes In The Lan­guage Of Game Theory

johnswentworthMay 9, 2023, 4:35 PM
79 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

[Question] Is In­fra-Bayesi­anism Ap­pli­ca­ble to Value Learn­ing?

RogerDearnaleyMay 11, 2023, 8:17 AM
5 points
4 comments1 min readLW link

Proofs Sec­tion 1.1 (Ini­tial re­sults to LF-du­al­ity)

DiffractorAug 27, 2020, 7:59 AM
8 points
0 comments20 min readLW link

Proofs Sec­tion 1.2 (Mix­tures, Up­dates, Push­for­wards)

DiffractorAug 27, 2020, 7:57 AM
8 points
0 comments14 min readLW link

Proofs Sec­tion 2.1 (The­o­rem 1, Lem­mas)

DiffractorAug 27, 2020, 7:54 AM
8 points
0 comments36 min readLW link

Proofs Sec­tion 2.2 (Iso­mor­phism to Ex­pec­ta­tions)

DiffractorAug 27, 2020, 7:52 AM
8 points
0 comments46 min readLW link

Proofs Sec­tion 2.3 (Up­dates, De­ci­sion The­ory)

DiffractorAug 27, 2020, 7:49 AM
8 points
0 comments31 min readLW link

Less Ba­sic In­framea­sure Theory

DiffractorDec 16, 2020, 3:52 AM
22 points
1 comment61 min readLW link

The Many Faces of In­fra-Beliefs

DiffractorApr 6, 2021, 10:43 AM
30 points
6 comments63 min readLW link

In­fra-Bayesi­anism Unwrapped

adamShimiJan 20, 2021, 1:35 PM
58 points
0 comments24 min readLW link

My take on Vanessa Kosoy’s take on AGI safety

Steven ByrnesSep 30, 2021, 12:23 PM
103 points
10 comments31 min readLW link

AXRP Epi­sode 14 - In­fra-Bayesian Phys­i­cal­ism with Vanessa Kosoy

DanielFilanApr 5, 2022, 11:10 PM
25 points
10 comments52 min readLW link

Un­der­stand­ing the Merg­ing of Opinions with In­creas­ing In­for­ma­tion theorem

ViktoriaMalyasovaApr 21, 2022, 2:13 PM
16 points
1 comment5 min readLW link

In­fra-Miscellanea

DiffractorApr 22, 2022, 2:09 AM
17 points
0 comments21 min readLW link

In­fra-Bayesi­anism Distil­la­tion: Real­iz­abil­ity and De­ci­sion Theory

Thomas LarsenMay 26, 2022, 9:57 PM
40 points
9 comments18 min readLW link

Causal ab­strac­tions vs infradistributions

Pablo VillalobosDec 26, 2022, 12:21 AM
24 points
0 comments6 min readLW link

Non-Uni­tary Quan­tum Logic—SERI MATS Re­search Sprint

YegregFeb 16, 2023, 7:31 PM
27 points
0 comments7 min readLW link

Com­po­si­tional lan­guage for hy­pothe­ses about computations

Vanessa KosoyMar 11, 2023, 7:43 PM
37 points
2 comments11 min readLW link

In­fra-Bayesian phys­i­cal­ism: proofs part I

Vanessa KosoyNov 30, 2021, 10:26 PM
9 points
0 comments21 min readLW link

In­fra-Bayesian Logic

Jul 5, 2023, 7:16 PM
15 points
2 comments1 min readLW link

In­fra-Bayesian phys­i­cal­ism: proofs part II

Vanessa KosoyNov 30, 2021, 10:27 PM
9 points
0 comments25 min readLW link

Com­men­su­rable Scien­tific Paradigms; or, com­putable induction

samshapApr 13, 2022, 12:01 AM
14 points
0 comments5 min readLW link

Vanessa Kosoy’s PreDCA, distilled

Martín SotoNov 12, 2022, 11:38 AM
17 points
19 comments5 min readLW link

Perfor­mance guaran­tees in clas­si­cal learn­ing the­ory and in­fra-Bayesianism

David MatolcsiFeb 28, 2023, 6:37 PM
9 points
4 comments31 min readLW link

Un­tan­gling In­frabayesi­anism: A re­dis­til­la­tion [PDF link; ~12k words + lots of math]

LorxusAug 1, 2023, 12:42 PM
29 points
16 comments2 min readLW link
(docdro.id)

My sub­mis­sion to the ALTER Prize

LorxusSep 30, 2023, 4:07 PM
6 points
0 comments1 min readLW link
(www.docdroid.net)

An Ele­men­tary In­tro­duc­tion to In­fra-Bayesianism

CharlesRWSep 20, 2023, 2:29 PM
16 points
0 comments1 min readLW link

Re­quire­ments for a STEM-ca­pa­ble AGI Value Learner (my Case for Less Doom)

RogerDearnaleyMay 25, 2023, 9:26 AM
33 points
3 comments15 min readLW link

Ele­men­tary In­fra-Bayesianism

JanMay 8, 2022, 12:23 PM
41 points
3 comments7 min readLW link
(universalprior.substack.com)

In­fra-Bayesi­anism nat­u­rally leads to the mono­ton­ic­ity prin­ci­ple, and I think this is a problem

David MatolcsiApr 26, 2023, 9:39 PM
19 points
6 comments4 min readLW link

Ra­tion­al­ism be­fore the Sequences

Eric RaymondMar 30, 2021, 2:04 PM
594 points
83 comments11 min readLW link2 reviews

In­fra-Bayesian haggling

hannagaborMay 20, 2024, 12:23 PM
27 points
0 comments20 min readLW link

In­ter­pret­ing Quan­tum Me­chan­ics in In­fra-Bayesian Physicalism

YegregFeb 12, 2024, 6:56 PM
30 points
6 comments43 min readLW link

Solu­tions to prob­lems with Bayesianism

B JacobsJul 31, 2024, 2:18 PM
6 points
0 comments21 min readLW link
(bobjacobs.substack.com)
No comments.