Another UFO Bet

It’s been a little while since this has come up, but I’m hoping there’s still interest. I’m offering the best odds yet (50:1).

I’d like to offer another bet similar to Yudkowsky’s bet with RatsWrongAboutUAP. Here would be the rules:

  • I will pay out immediately upon our agreement to the bet. The other party only needs to pay out if and when they lose the bet.

  • The odds I’m offering are 75:1, or 50:1 if you’re willing to provide proof of liquidity.

  • The time frame is 5 years from the day the bet is made

  • The bet will resolve in my favor if a non-prosaic origin of the existing evidence around UFOs, or of new evidence, is confirmed in this time frame. The standards would be the same that Yudkowsky agreed to.

  • I’ll send amounts of $100-$10,000, depending on what you’d prefer.

  • I am willing to make multiple bets with different people.

  • I’d prefer that the bet is made public (with identifying names) so there’s accountability, but this point is negotiable.

  • If there are any points of ambiguity, we’d fall back on the rules Yudkowsky agreed to in his similar bet.

Summary: I’ll send you ~$1000 now. You send me $50,000 if UFOs are shown to be non-prosaic in the next 5 years.