Ok, I’m agreeing in principle to make the same bet as with RatsWrongAboutUAP.
(“I commit to paying up if I agree there’s a >0.4 probability something non-mundane happened in a UFO/UAP case, or if there’s overwhelming consensus to that effect and my probability is >0.1.”)
Ok, I’m agreeing in principle to make the same bet as with RatsWrongAboutUAP.
(“I commit to paying up if I agree there’s a >0.4 probability something non-mundane happened in a UFO/UAP case, or if there’s overwhelming consensus to that effect and my probability is >0.1.”)
Charlie and I have made the bet. I sent $1000 on 11/18/24 against his $50,000. Happy betting!
The bet is indeed on. See you back here in 2029 :)