My presumption is that UK has a bunch of AZ vaccinations in its mix that aren’t that good at stopping Delta from spreading (but are very good at preventing hospitalization/death) and so it’s not as vaccinated as the numbers suggest. But yeah, it’s gotta be frustrating since it means UK won’t be able to go back to normal for a while unless they can up their vaccination numbers.
One piece of evidence against this: almost all the uptick in the UK is in folks under 40. Under 40s have a much lower vaccination rate due to the age-dependent rollout, but because of the blood clot scare under 40s have preferentially gotten Pfizer. Over 40s meanwhile have a very high vaccination rate but it’s mostly AstraZeneca. Their case rate is flat.
Those lines aren’t flat, they’re just hard to read on that scale. I made my own based on the heatmap of case rates for england (there doesn’t seem to be a whole-UK heatmap).
I’ve seen graphs on /r/CoronavirusUK showing AZ and Pfizer roughly equal in count, and Moderna a tiny sliver. Couldn’t find any of those on demand, though. (I thought the data was available somewhere in the adverse effects reports, but I can’t find those now either.)
My presumption is that UK has a bunch of AZ vaccinations in its mix that aren’t that good at stopping Delta from spreading (but are very good at preventing hospitalization/death) and so it’s not as vaccinated as the numbers suggest. But yeah, it’s gotta be frustrating since it means UK won’t be able to go back to normal for a while unless they can up their vaccination numbers.
What about Israel? R-value is the highest since the first wave despite ~60% vaccinated with afaict mostly mRNA vaccines: OurWolrdInData Link.
Luckily hospitalizations/deaths also appear to be not strongly affected.
One piece of evidence against this: almost all the uptick in the UK is in folks under 40. Under 40s have a much lower vaccination rate due to the age-dependent rollout, but because of the blood clot scare under 40s have preferentially gotten Pfizer. Over 40s meanwhile have a very high vaccination rate but it’s mostly AstraZeneca. Their case rate is flat.
Source
Those lines aren’t flat, they’re just hard to read on that scale. I made my own based on the heatmap of case rates for england (there doesn’t seem to be a whole-UK heatmap).
I think the great majority of UK vaccinations are AZ.
I’ve seen graphs on /r/CoronavirusUK showing AZ and Pfizer roughly equal in count, and Moderna a tiny sliver. Couldn’t find any of those on demand, though. (I thought the data was available somewhere in the adverse effects reports, but I can’t find those now either.)