LeelaKnightOdds has convincingly beaten both Awonder Liang and Anish Giri at 3+2 by large margins, and has an extremely strong record at 5+3 against people who have challenged it.
I think 15+0 and probably also 10+0 would be a relatively easy win for Magnus based on Awonder, a ~150 elo weaker player, taking two draws at 8+3 and a win and a draw at 10+5. At 5+3 I’m not sure because we have so little data at winnable time controls, but wouldn’t expect an easy win for either player.
It’s also certainly not the case that these few-months-old networks running a somewhat improper algorithm are the best we could build—it’s known at minimum that this Leela is tactically weaker than normal and can drop endgame wins, even if humans rarely capitalize on that.
LeelaKnightOdds has convincingly beaten both Awonder Liang and Anish Giri at 3+2 by large margins, and has an extremely strong record at 5+3 against people who have challenged it.
I think 15+0 and probably also 10+0 would be a relatively easy win for Magnus based on Awonder, a ~150 elo weaker player, taking two draws at 8+3 and a win and a draw at 10+5. At 5+3 I’m not sure because we have so little data at winnable time controls, but wouldn’t expect an easy win for either player.
It’s also certainly not the case that these few-months-old networks running a somewhat improper algorithm are the best we could build—it’s known at minimum that this Leela is tactically weaker than normal and can drop endgame wins, even if humans rarely capitalize on that.