While overturning Chevron deference seems likely to have positive effects for many industries which I think are largely overregulated, it seems like it could be quite bad for AI governance. Assuming that the regulation of AI systems is conducted by members of a federal agency (either a pre-existing one or a new one designed for AI as several politicians have suggested), I expect that the bureaucrats and experts who staff the agency will need a fair amount of autonomy to do their job effectively. This is because the questions relevant AI regulation (i. e. which evals systems are required to pass) are more technically complicated than in most other regulatory domains, which are already too complicated for politicians to have a good understanding of.
Why do you think that the same federal bureaucrats who incompetently overregulate other industries will do a better job regulating AI?
Why do you think that the same federal bureaucrats who incompetently overregulate other industries will do a better job regulating AI?
Chevron deference means that judges defer to federal agencies instead of interpreting the laws themselves where the statute is ambiguous. It’s not so much a question of overregulation vs underregulation as it is about who is doing the interpretation. For example, would you rather the career bureaucrats in the Environmental Protection Agency determine what regulations are appropriate to protect drinking water or random judges without any relevant expertise?
One consequence of blowing up Chevron deference is that one activist judge in Texas can unilaterally invalidate FDA approval of a drug like mifepristone for the entire country that’s been safe, effective, and available on the markets for decades by substituting his own idiosyncratic opinion instead of deferring to the regulatory agency whose entire purpose is to make those kinds of determinations.
Government agencies aren’t always competent but the alternative is a patchwork of potentially conflicting decisions from judges ruling outside of their area of expertise.
If the EPA would say: “You are not allowed to build any new buildings in city X, because that will reduce drinking water quality” you have to think about whether this is a power that the EPA should have or shouldn’t have because there are tradeoffs between drinking water quality on the one hand and other public goods.
Having a law that specifies what kind of actions the EPA is allowed to take to improve drinking water quality instead of just letting the EPA to do whatever it wants makes sense.
The company will also contribute to local education and preservation efforts — including preparing a historical context report of the events of the Mexican War and the Civil War that took place in the area as well as replacing missing ornaments on a local historical marker.
With regulations like this, it seems there’s a lot of regulatory overreach and it would be useful to reign it in.
Chevron deference means that judges defer to federal agencies instead of interpreting the laws themselves where the statute is ambiguous.
Which is as it should be, according to the way the US system of government is set up. The legislative branch makes the law. The executive branch enforces the law. The judicial branch interprets the law. This is a fact that every American citizen ought to know, from their grade-school civics classes.
For example, would you rather the career bureaucrats in the Environmental Protection Agency determine what regulations are appropriate to protect drinking water or random judges without any relevant expertise?
I would much rather have an impartial third party determine which regulations are appropriate rather a self-interested bureaucrat. Otherwise what’s the point of having a judicial system at all, if the judges are just going to yield to the executive on all but a narrow set of questions?
Government agencies aren’t always competent but the alternative is a patchwork of potentially conflicting decisions from judges ruling outside of their area of expertise.
Which can be resolved by Congress passing laws or by the Supreme Court resolving the contradiction between the different circuit courts.
Note that NickGabs doesn’t necessarily think that at all. For example, I agree with the quoted paragraph NickGabs wrote, but also I don’t expect the same federal bureaucrats who incompetently overregulate other industries to do a better job regulating AI.
Yeah, I think they will probably do better and more regulations than if politicians were more directly involved, but I’m not super sanguine about bureaucrats in absolute terms.
Perhaps agencies consistently overregulate. And when it comes to AI, overregulation is preferable to underregulation, whereas for most other fields the opposite is true.
Governments don’t consistently over-regulate. They consistently regulate poorly. For example cracking down on illegal skateboarding but not shoplifting or public consumption of drugs.
In AI, the predictable outcome of this is lots of regulations about AI bias and basically nothing that actually helps notkilleveryone.
Furthermore, given the long history of government regulation having unintended consequences as a result of companies and private individuals optimizing their actions to take advantage of the regulation, it might be the case that government overregulation makes a catastrophic outcome more likely.
For example cracking down on illegal skateboarding but not shoplifting
This seems like an exaggeration. Shoplifting is still literally illegal in San Francisco and you will be stopped by police and charged with a crime if you do it sufficiently often in the open. I agree with the general point that regulatory priorities are often misplaced, however.
Why do you think that the same federal bureaucrats who incompetently overregulate other industries will do a better job regulating AI?
Chevron deference means that judges defer to federal agencies instead of interpreting the laws themselves where the statute is ambiguous. It’s not so much a question of overregulation vs underregulation as it is about who is doing the interpretation. For example, would you rather the career bureaucrats in the Environmental Protection Agency determine what regulations are appropriate to protect drinking water or random judges without any relevant expertise?
One consequence of blowing up Chevron deference is that one activist judge in Texas can unilaterally invalidate FDA approval of a drug like mifepristone for the entire country that’s been safe, effective, and available on the markets for decades by substituting his own idiosyncratic opinion instead of deferring to the regulatory agency whose entire purpose is to make those kinds of determinations.
Government agencies aren’t always competent but the alternative is a patchwork of potentially conflicting decisions from judges ruling outside of their area of expertise.
If the EPA would say: “You are not allowed to build any new buildings in city X, because that will reduce drinking water quality” you have to think about whether this is a power that the EPA should have or shouldn’t have because there are tradeoffs between drinking water quality on the one hand and other public goods.
Having a law that specifies what kind of actions the EPA is allowed to take to improve drinking water quality instead of just letting the EPA to do whatever it wants makes sense.
The FAA requires SpaceX to:
With regulations like this, it seems there’s a lot of regulatory overreach and it would be useful to reign it in.
Which is as it should be, according to the way the US system of government is set up. The legislative branch makes the law. The executive branch enforces the law. The judicial branch interprets the law. This is a fact that every American citizen ought to know, from their grade-school civics classes.
I would much rather have an impartial third party determine which regulations are appropriate rather a self-interested bureaucrat. Otherwise what’s the point of having a judicial system at all, if the judges are just going to yield to the executive on all but a narrow set of questions?
Which can be resolved by Congress passing laws or by the Supreme Court resolving the contradiction between the different circuit courts.
Note that NickGabs doesn’t necessarily think that at all. For example, I agree with the quoted paragraph NickGabs wrote, but also I don’t expect the same federal bureaucrats who incompetently overregulate other industries to do a better job regulating AI.
Yeah, I think they will probably do better and more regulations than if politicians were more directly involved, but I’m not super sanguine about bureaucrats in absolute terms.
Why do you think this?
Perhaps agencies consistently overregulate. And when it comes to AI, overregulation is preferable to underregulation, whereas for most other fields the opposite is true.
Governments don’t consistently over-regulate. They consistently regulate poorly. For example cracking down on illegal skateboarding but not shoplifting or public consumption of drugs.
In AI, the predictable outcome of this is lots of regulations about AI bias and basically nothing that actually helps notkilleveryone.
Furthermore, given the long history of government regulation having unintended consequences as a result of companies and private individuals optimizing their actions to take advantage of the regulation, it might be the case that government overregulation makes a catastrophic outcome more likely.
This seems like an exaggeration. Shoplifting is still literally illegal in San Francisco and you will be stopped by police and charged with a crime if you do it sufficiently often in the open. I agree with the general point that regulatory priorities are often misplaced, however.
If you look at environmental pollution we might today have pesticide limits that are overregulation and a lack of regulation on microplastics.