My understanding is that the planning fallacy is just not taking the outside view, for whatever it is. Depending on your past experiences, you may or may not have fallen prey to it.
Note: Firstorderpredicate’s response isn’t as condescending as it sounds, it’s a Methods of Rationality quote.
My understanding is that the planning fallacy is just not taking the outside view, for whatever it is. Depending on your past experiences, you may or may not have fallen prey to it.
Note: Firstorderpredicate’s response isn’t as condescending as it sounds, it’s a Methods of Rationality quote.
Yes. (Spoilers deleted; Awfully sorry)
Dude, spoilers.