is there a handy label for “crux(es) on which i’m maximally uncertain”? there are infinite cruxes that i have for any decision, but the ones i care about are the ones about which i’m most uncertain. it’d be nice to have a reference-able label for this concept, but i haven’t seen one anywhere.
there’s also an annoying issue that feels analogous to “elasticity” — how much does a marginal change in my doxastic attitude toward my belief in some crux affect my conative attitude toward the decision?
if no such concepts exist for either, i’d propose: crux uncertainty, crux elasticity (respectively)
I’ve sometimes used “crux weight” for a related but different concept—how important that crux is to a decision. I’d propose “crux belief strength” for your topic—that part of it fits very well into a Bayesean framework for evidence.
Most decisions (for me, as far as I can tell) are overdetermined—there are multiple cruxes, with different weights and credences, which add up to more than 51% “best”. They’re inter-correlated, but not perfectly, so it’s REALLY tricky to be very explicit or legible in advance what would actually change my mind.
is there a handy label for “crux(es) on which i’m maximally uncertain”? there are infinite cruxes that i have for any decision, but the ones i care about are the ones about which i’m most uncertain. it’d be nice to have a reference-able label for this concept, but i haven’t seen one anywhere.
there’s also an annoying issue that feels analogous to “elasticity” — how much does a marginal change in my doxastic attitude toward my belief in some crux affect my conative attitude toward the decision?
if no such concepts exist for either, i’d propose: crux uncertainty, crux elasticity (respectively)
I’ve sometimes used “crux weight” for a related but different concept—how important that crux is to a decision. I’d propose “crux belief strength” for your topic—that part of it fits very well into a Bayesean framework for evidence.
Most decisions (for me, as far as I can tell) are overdetermined—there are multiple cruxes, with different weights and credences, which add up to more than 51% “best”. They’re inter-correlated, but not perfectly, so it’s REALLY tricky to be very explicit or legible in advance what would actually change my mind.